{"id":2344660,"date":"2024-09-23T07:10:01","date_gmt":"2024-09-23T11:10:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/why-this-is-trumps-best-chance-to-win-the-popular-vote-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-09-23T07:11:08","modified_gmt":"2024-09-23T11:11:08","slug":"why-this-is-trumps-best-chance-to-win-the-popular-vote-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/why-this-is-trumps-best-chance-to-win-the-popular-vote-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Why this is Trump\u2019s best chance to win the popular vote &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">28<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fwhy-this-is-trumps-best-chance-to-win-the-popular-vote-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2344660&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>As Election Day approaches, former\u2062 President Donald Trump is presented with a significant opportunity to win the popular vote\u2063 in the upcoming presidential election, a goal he \u2064has struggled to achieve in previous elections, losing by 2 percentage points in 2016 and 4 points in\u2062 2020. Current polling \u200bsuggests Trump is in a stronger \u200dposition compared to\u2063 the past; he \u2064is reportedly deadlocked with Vice President Kamala Harris, contrasting sharply with \u200bhis earlier campaigns where he trailed by significant margins. <\/p>\n<p>Trump&#8217;s increasing\u200b popularity among key voter \u2064demographics, including white evangelicals and male voters, may \u200ccontribute to\u200d his enhanced chances. Notably, he has also garnered more support from\u200c black \u2064voters, nearly doubling his backing to about 15%. His outreach efforts\u200d in traditionally Democratic \u200cstrongholds and \u2063his engagement with young voters have further broadened his appeal. <\/p>\n<p>In a \u2063<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrat-congressman-proposes-bill-to-tear-down-statue-of-liberty-in-sad-attempt-to-own-the-gop\/\" title=\"Democrat Congressman suggests removing Statue of Liberty to spite GOP\">politically charged landscape<\/a>, Harris faces challenges uniting her base,\u200c particularly among \u2062younger voters frustrated \u200cby her stance on issues like the Gaza conflict. Meanwhile, Trump&#8217;s appearances on unconventional media platforms have allowed him to connect with millions of potential\u200b young voters. All these factors suggest that Trump may \u200dhave a viable \u200bshot at capturing the popular vote in the upcoming\u2064 election.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Why this is Trump&rsquo;s best chance to win the popular vote<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1764649\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>With <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/2024-elections\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Election Day<\/a> just over a month away, former President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Donald Trump<\/a> might have the best chance he&rsquo;s ever had to win something that&rsquo;s eluded his grasp for years: the popular vote.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>He lost the popular vote by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/politics\/2018\/08\/09\/an-examination-of-the-2016-electorate-based-on-validated-voters\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>2 percentage points<\/a> in 2016 and 4 points in 2020.&nbsp;Despite his loss four years ago, Trump has often reminded people that he &ldquo;got more votes than any Republican in history by far,&rdquo; during the 2020 election.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;In fact, I got more votes than any president, sitting president in history by far,&rdquo; he said during his first debate with Harris earlier this month.<\/p>\n<p>Here&rsquo;s why Trump might be able to break even his own record this fall.<\/p>\n<p>Polling shows Trump in a much stronger position to win the popular vote than the previous races he&rsquo;s run in. <em>New York Times<\/em> polling indicates that Biden had an 8-point lead over Trump in September 2020. Similarly, polling <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20161006061512\/http:\/\/www.ipsos-na.com\/news-polls\/pressrelease.aspx?id=7399\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>showed<\/a> Trump losing to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton by 7 points in 2016.<\/p>\n<p>At roughly the same point in the election this time around, Trump appears to be in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/09\/19\/us\/elections\/times-siena-poll-likely-electorate-crosstabs.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>dead heat<\/a> with Vice President Kamala Harris.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event on Wednesday, Sept.18, 2024, at Nassau Coliseum in Uniondale, New York. (AP Photo\/Alex Brandon)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Meanwhile, Trump has a long history of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3153464\/why-polls-not-show-trump-surge\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>outperforming polling<\/a>, defying expectations when he won the 2016 election, and once again breaking expectations four years later.<\/p>\n<p>Enthusiasm for Trump increasing among critical voting blocs could be another factor fueling his rising popular vote numbers.&nbsp;His popularity among white evangelicals went from 73% in 2016 to 82%, according to a Marist College poll released this month.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, he&rsquo;s increased in popularity with male voters by 7 points since running against Biden in 2020, according to <em>New York Times<\/em> polling. He&rsquo;s even made inroads with female voters. Biden held a 22-point advantage over Trump with the voting bloc four years ago, while Clinton held a 20-point advantage in 2016, according to Marist polling. Harris is polling lower than either of her Democratic predecessors with a 15-point lead over Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Trump has also made inroads with black voters, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/charlamagne-tha-god-worries-harris-doesnt-like-to-explain-herself-needs-to-answer-questions-from-black-people-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"Charlamagne tha God worries Harris \u2018doesn\u2019t like\u2019 to explain herself: \u2018Needs to answer questions from black people\u2019 - Washington Examiner\">long considered safe votes<\/a> for Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>During his 2020 presidential election, Trump captured 8% of the black vote, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/politics\/2021\/06\/30\/behind-bidens-2020-victory\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>according<\/a> to the Pew Research Center.<\/p>\n<p>The latest <em>New York Times <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/09\/19\/us\/elections\/times-siena-poll-likely-electorate-crosstabs.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>polling<\/a> indicates he&rsquo;s nearly doubled his margin of support with 15% support among black voters. Other polls <a href=\"https:\/\/d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net\/documents\/econTabReport_HIwtch9.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>indicate<\/a> the number is even higher.<\/p>\n<p>During a similar point of his presidential campaign in 2012, GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/story\/2012\/08\/poll-0-percent-of-blacks-for-romney-080015\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>held<\/a> 0% of black support nationally.<\/p>\n<p>The news comes after Trump has ventured into majority-minority Democratic strongholds across the country numerous times over the past year. From the Bronx and Atlanta to Philadelphia and Detroit, he&rsquo;s touted policies he says have helped the black community.<\/p>\n<p>During an appearance before a National Association of Black Journalists conference in July, Trump harped on &ldquo;one of the greatest programs ever for black workers and black entrepreneurs&rdquo; as he celebrated Opportunity Zones. During his presidency, he signed a tax break for distressed communities, spearheaded by Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC), into law.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump looks to Itasha Dotson, right, as Carlos Chambers listens at a campaign event on Saturday, June 15, 2024, at 180 Church in Detroit. (AP Photo\/Carlos Osorio)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Trump is also making <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/dellavolpe\/status\/1833263714725990729\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>progress<\/a> courting young voters, a demographic whose Democratic flank is frustrated with Harris over her stance on the war in Gaza.&nbsp;She&rsquo;s walking a fine line trying to appeal to young people, many of whom are disgruntled over the stance on the war in Gaza, without alienating traditional pro-Israel Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>While Harris battles to pull her coalition together, Trump has reached millions of young voters with a stream of nontraditional media appearances.<\/p>\n<p>He recently discussed the effect drugs had on his older brother during a sit-down with comedian <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TheoVon\/status\/1826348914158829890\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Theo Von<\/a>. That came after doing an interview with Adin Ross on Kick, a platform popular for video game streaming.<\/p>\n<p>He&rsquo;s also appeared on influencer and wrestler Logan Paul&rsquo;s <em>Impaulsive <\/em>podcast and the <a href=\"https:\/\/rollcall.com\/factbase\/trump\/transcript\/donald-trump-interview-all-in-podcast-sacks-friedberg-june-20-2024\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title><em>All-In <\/em>podcast<\/a>, which focuses on tech topics with four venture capitalists. In addition, he went on X with owner Elon Musk for a two-hour interview and participated in a golf challenge with LIV player Bryson DeChambeau on YouTube.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@realDonaldTrump<\/a> | This Past Weekend #526 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zy6pfStBjJ\">pic.twitter.com\/zy6pfStBjJ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Theo Von (@TheoVon) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheoVon\/status\/1826348914158829890?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 21, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script> <\/p>\n<p>Harris&rsquo;s allies have prominently waged their own <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/elite-private-school-students-anonymously-accused-school-officials-of-racism-the-school-caved\/\" title=\"Elite Private School Students Anonymously Accused School Officials Of Racism. The School Caved.\">social media campaign<\/a> to win young voters. Earlier this week, former President Barack Obama went on TikTok to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3157298\/obama-tiktok-harris-boost-younger-voters\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>promote<\/a> voter registration.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>But the vice president has been hesitant to take her own message on various platforms, preferring instead to reach people through rallies and events. She&rsquo;s done only a few media sit-downs this year, all on traditional platforms.<\/p>\n<p>Should Trump continue to focus on taking his voice to new and expanded audiences, he could continue to see increasing popularity among certain demographics and add to his total vote count on Election Day.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1764649\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1764649\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>**Why Trump Has a Strong Opportunity to Win the Popular Vote**<\/p>\n<p>With Election Day approaching in just over a month, former President Donald Trump may have his best opportunity yet to secure the popular vote, which has been out of reach for him in previous elections. He lost the popular vote by 2 percentage points in 2016 and by 4 points in 2020. Despite his defeat four years ago, Trump frequently reminds audiences that he received more votes than any Republican candidate ever during the 2020 election, claiming he garnered more votes than any sitting president in history during his recent debate with Kamala Harris.<\/p>\n<p>Current polling suggests that Trump is better positioned to win the popular vote this time compared to past elections. For instance, New York Times data indicated that Biden had an 8-point lead over Trump as of September 2020 and that Trump was trailing Hillary Clinton by 7 points at a similar point in the race back in 2016. However, recent polls show Trump is now nearly tied with Vice President Harris.<\/p>\n<p>Trump has historically exceeded polling expectations; he surprised many when he won the presidency in 2016 and again defied predictions four years later. Growing enthusiasm among key voter demographics could also contribute to an increase in his popular vote numbers. For example, support from white evangelicals rose from 73% in 2016 to 82%, according to a Marist College poll released recently. Additionally, Trump&#8217;s popularity among male voters has increased by seven points since facing Biden.<\/p>\n<p>He has also made gains with female voters; while Biden had a significant advantage of 22 points over him four years ago and Clinton held a similar lead of about twenty points back then, Harris currently leads Trump by only fifteen points according to Marist polling. Furthermore, Trump&#8217;s appeal appears to be growing among black voters\u2014traditionally strong supporters of Democrats\u2014having captured only eight percent of their votes during the last election but now reportedly receiving around fifteen percent support based on New York Times polling.<\/p>\n<p>Trump&#8217;s outreach efforts have included visits to predominantly minority Democratic areas across various cities like Atlanta and Philadelphia where he&#8217;s promoted policies aimed at benefiting black communities. He highlighted initiatives such as Opportunity Zones designed for distressed neighborhoods during appearances at events like one hosted by the National Association of Black Journalists.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, he&#8217;s making strides with younger voters who are disillusioned with Harris due to her stance on issues like Gaza conflict; she faces challenges trying not alienate traditional pro-Israel Democrats while appealing broadly enough for young people\u2019s support. While she focuses on rallies and traditional media engagements\u2014having conducted few interviews this year\u2014Trump has reached millions through unconventional media channels including podcasts and social media platforms where he&#8217;s shared personal stories about family struggles with addiction.<\/p>\n<p>If Trump continues leveraging these new avenues for communication effectively while expanding his audience reach further into diverse demographics leading up until Election Day, it could significantly boost his overall voter count come November<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3142,"featured_media":2344661,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DJ.-.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[32431,34541,41489,3634,32076],"class_list":["post-2344660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-2024-election","tag-election-strategy","tag-popular-vote","tag-trump","tag-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DJ.-.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2344660","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3142"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2344660"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2344660\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2344661"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2344660"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2344660"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2344660"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}