{"id":2343614,"date":"2024-09-19T19:03:02","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T23:03:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/crystal-ball-moves-north-carolina-ratings-in-democrats-favor-for-governor-race-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-09-19T19:04:45","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T23:04:45","slug":"crystal-ball-moves-north-carolina-ratings-in-democrats-favor-for-governor-race-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/crystal-ball-moves-north-carolina-ratings-in-democrats-favor-for-governor-race-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Crystal Ball moves North Carolina ratings in Democrats&#8217; favor for governor race- Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">28<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fcrystal-ball-moves-north-carolina-ratings-in-democrats-favor-for-governor-race-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2343614&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The article discusses a significant \u200bshift in the\u2062 assessment of \u2062the \u200bNorth Carolina <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/ga-republicans-launch-stop-stacey-effort-ahead-of-possible-abrams-2022-announcement\/\" title=\"GA Republicans Launch \u2018Stop Stacey\u2019 Effort Ahead Of Possible Abrams 2022 Announcement\">gubernatorial race<\/a>, \u200bas announced by Larry Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball. The\u2063 race has moved from a\u2062 &#8220;lean Democratic&#8221; to a\u2064 &#8220;likely Democratic&#8221; rating \u200bfollowing controversial statements attributed \u2062to the Republican nominee, Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, who\u200d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/school-board-member-claims-to-be-victim-of-homophobic-vandalism-no-one-will-provide-the-police-report\/\" title=\"School Board Member Claims To Be Victim Of Homophobic Vandalism. No One Will Provide The Police Report.\">allegedly made<\/a> disturbing comments on a pornographic web forum. In a swift reaction, Sabato called an &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/north-carolina-gop-censures-sen-richard-burr-over-impeachment-vote\/\" title=\"North Carolina GOP Censures Sen. Richard Burr Over Impeachment Vote\">emergency session<\/a>&#8221; to adjust the race&#8217;s rating after details emerged about \u2064Robinson&#8217;s past comments, which included expressions of controversial views on \u200cslavery and race. Despite the\u200b controversy, Robinson\u2064 has dismissed \u200cthe \u200dreport as &#8220;salacious tabloid\u200b trash&#8221; \u200dand affirmed his intention to continue his campaign for governor.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Crystal Ball&rsquo;s &rsquo;emergency&rsquo; North Carolina ratings change moves governor race further in Democrats&rsquo; favor<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1764649\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/larry-sabato\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Larry Sabato<\/a>&lsquo;s Crystal Ball announced it is shifting the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/north-carolina\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>North Carolina <\/a>gubernatorial <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/3158972\/democrats-keep-pumping-cash-montana-despite-tester-long-odds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>race<\/a> from &ldquo;lean D&rdquo; to &ldquo;likely D&rdquo; after a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/state\/3160257\/mark-robinson-denies-dropping-out-governors-race-alleged-porn-forum-comments\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>controversial report<\/a> was released concerning Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, the Republican nominee.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Sabato, the founder of the University of Virginia&rsquo;s Center for Politics, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/LarrySabato\/status\/1836852138565120028\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>said he called<\/a> &ldquo;an emergency session&rdquo; to change the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/what-to-expect-in-kansas-michigan-missouri-and-washington-primaries-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"What to expect in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, and Washington primaries - Washington Examiner\">race&#038;rsquo<\/a>;s rating. <\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;The Crystal Ball team has just met in emergency session, and in the fastest rating change in our history, we are moving NC GOVERNOR from Lean D to LIKELY D,&rdquo; Sabato said in a post on X.<\/p>\n<p>The report released on Robinson details comments he allegedly made in a pornographic web forum between 2008 and 2012. He is accused of saying he wished to own slaves, expressing his enjoyment of transgender pornography, and calling Martin Luther King Jr. a &ldquo;commie,&rdquo; among other things.<\/p>\n<p>Robinson denied the details of the report, calling it &ldquo;salacious tabloid trash,&rdquo; and vowed to stay in the gubernatorial race.<\/p>\n<p>The North Carolina gubernatorial race has Democratic Attorney General Josh Stein building a lead over Robinson. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/dems-lost-all-credibility-on-social-distancing-after-biden-celebrations\/\" title=\"Dems Lost All Credibility On Social Distancing After Biden Celebrations\">presidential race<\/a> in the Tar Heel State is far different, as former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked in a dead heat. Trump won North Carolina in 2016 and 2020, though by very thin margins.<\/p>\n<p>Sabato <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/LarrySabato\/status\/1836845248175370490\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>speculated before the report was released<\/a> that it could bring down Trump and Robinson in North Carolina. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title><strong><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Our Crystal Ball rating for NC Governor has been Lean D. Mark Robinson (R) was going to lose even before this new story,&rdquo; he said. &ldquo;The question is whether Robinson brings down the top of the ticket (Donald Trump) with him. Those 16 electoral votes could be the whole election.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Before the report, Decision Desk HQ&rsquo;s polling <a href=\"https:\/\/elections2024.thehill.com\/north-carolina\/north-carolina-governor-stein-robinson\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>average<\/a> showed Robinson trailing Stein by about 11 points. Stein&rsquo;s lead will likely expand with the report.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1764649\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1764649\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Larry Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball has updated its rating for the North Carolina gubernatorial race, moving it from &#8220;lean D&#8221; to &#8220;likely D.&#8221; This change follows a contentious report about Republican nominee Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson. Sabato, who leads the University of Virginia\u2019s Center for Politics, stated that an &#8220;emergency session&#8221; was convened to make this rapid adjustment. In a post on X, he noted, \u201cThe Crystal Ball team has just met in emergency session, and in the fastest rating change in our history, we are moving NC GOVERNOR from Lean D to LIKELY D.\u201d The report on Robinson includes allegations regarding comments he made on a pornographic forum between 2008 and 2012, where he purportedly expressed desires related to slavery and made derogatory remarks about Martin Luther King Jr., among other claims. Robinson dismissed these allegations as \u201csalacious tabloid trash\u201d and confirmed his intention to continue his campaign for governor.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, Democratic Attorney General Josh Stein is leading over Robinson in the race. However, the presidential contest in North Carolina presents a different scenario with former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris tied closely together. Trump narrowly won North Carolina in both 2016 and 2020 elections. Prior to the release of the report about Robinson, Sabato had speculated that it could negatively impact both Trump and Robinson&#8217;s chances in North Carolina: \u201cOur Crystal Ball rating for NC Governor has been Lean D. Mark Robinson (R) was going to lose even before this new story,\u201d he remarked while questioning whether Robinson would also affect Trump&#8217;s performance at the polls since those electoral votes could be crucial for the election outcome.<\/p>\n<p>Before this development emerged, polling averages from Decision Desk HQ indicated that Stein held an approximately 11-point lead over Robinson\u2014a margin likely to widen following these revelations<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2343615,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/AP24143413968529.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[3685,32371,37411,32258,41269],"class_list":["post-2343614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner","tag-democrats","tag-election-analysis","tag-governor-race","tag-north-carolina","tag-political-ratings"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/AP24143413968529.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2343614","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2343614"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2343614\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2343615"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2343614"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2343614"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2343614"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}