{"id":2341575,"date":"2024-09-15T21:06:02","date_gmt":"2024-09-16T01:06:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/majority-of-gop-senate-candidates-lag-behind-trump-in-polling-ahead-of-election-day-washington-examiner-majority-of-gop-senate-candidates-lag-behind-trump-in-polling\/"},"modified":"2024-09-15T21:06:24","modified_gmt":"2024-09-16T01:06:24","slug":"majority-of-gop-senate-candidates-lag-behind-trump-in-polling-ahead-of-election-day-washington-examiner-majority-of-gop-senate-candidates-lag-behind-trump-in-polling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/majority-of-gop-senate-candidates-lag-behind-trump-in-polling-ahead-of-election-day-washington-examiner-majority-of-gop-senate-candidates-lag-behind-trump-in-polling\/","title":{"rendered":"Majority of GOP Senate candidates lag behind Trump in polling ahead of Election Day &#8211; Washington Examiner Majority of GOP Senate candidates lag behind Trump in polling"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">54<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fmajority-of-gop-senate-candidates-lag-behind-trump-in-polling-ahead-of-election-day-washington-examiner-majority-of-gop-senate-candidates-lag-behind-trump-in-polling%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2341575&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The article discusses the challenging position of several Republican Senate candidates who are lagging behind\u200c both Democratic opponents and former President Donald Trump \u2062in polls across <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-more-votes-than-voters-in-key-swing-states\/\" title=\"Trump: More Votes Than Voters in Key Swing States\">key swing states<\/a>, as Election\u200d Day approaches. Despite nearly two dozen Democratic seats being up for reelection in 2024, with five incumbents \u2064viewed as vulnerable, many GOP candidates are underperforming compared to Trump&#8217;s\u200b polling. Only Montana Republican Tim Sheehy consistently leads, \u2063with a narrower margin than Trump. In critical states like Ohio and Nevada, Republican candidates are trailing in \u200cpolls against their Democratic opponents, even while Trump remains competitive for \u2063the\u200b presidency. The dynamics suggest that while Republicans could gain seats, many of \u2062their candidates\u2062 are struggling to maintain a connection with Trump&#8217;s substantial support, complicating their paths to victory. the article highlights the electoral difficulties facing Republican \u2063Senate candidates ahead of the upcoming elections.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Majority of GOP Senate candidates lag behind Trump in polling ahead of Election Day&nbsp;<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1759604\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>A number of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/republicans\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Republican\">Republican<\/a> Senate candidates are trailing their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/democrats\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Republican\">Democratic<\/a> rivals and running behind <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"former President Donald Trump\">former President Donald Trump<\/a> in polling in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/mi-judge-orders-dem-sec-of-state-to-release-all-communications-with-dominion-facebook-apple-amazon-and-google\/\" title=\"MI Judge Orders Dem Sec of State To Release All Communications With Dominion, Facebook, Apple, Amazon and Google\">critical swing states<\/a>, with a little under two months until <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/elections\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"election day\">Election Day<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Nearly two dozen Democratic seats are up for reelection in 2024, with five incumbents seen as vulnerable, while only 10 Republicans face reelection. However, Republicans in six critical races are trailing Trump and their Democratic opponents.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The only Senate GOP candidate who is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/virginia-republican-party-seeks-to-disqualify-democratic-nominee-for-governor-terry-mcauliffe-in-new-lawsuit\/\" title=\"Virginia Republican Party Seeks To Disqualify Democratic Nominee For Governor Terry McAuliffe In New Lawsuit\">consistently leading<\/a> is Montana Republican Tim Sheehy. In an average of polling, Sheehy is ahead of incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/senate\/general\/2024\/montana\/sheehy-vs-tester\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>by<\/a> 5.2 percentage points. However, Sheehy&rsquo;s lead <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/montana\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>is not as strong<\/a> as Trump&rsquo;s in Big Sky Country, in which he leads by an average of 17.6 percentage points.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) walks to a vote on Capitol Hill, Wednesday, Sept. 6, 2023, in Washington. Tester faced off with Republican challenger Tim Sheehy during their first debate on Sunday, June 9, 2024. (AP Photo\/Alex Brandon, File)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) has a 51-seat advantage and the ability to tap Vice President Kamala Harris for any tiebreaking votes. He is already expected to lose one seat in West Virginia with the retirement of Sen. Joe Manchin (I-WV). If Republicans win in Montana, they&rsquo;ll be able to capture the majority, but the race for control of the upper chamber is still up in the air in a cycle that favors Republicans.<\/p>\n<p>In Republican-leaning Ohio, where Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/ohio\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>has a 9-percentage point lead<\/a> over Vice President Kamala Harris, Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) is leading Republican Bernie Moreno <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/senate\/general\/2024\/ohio\/brown-vs-moreno\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>by an average<\/a> of 3.6 percentage points.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In battleground state Nevada, Republican Sam Brown is trailing Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-NV) by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/senate\/general\/2024\/nevada\/brown-vs-rosen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>an average<\/a> of 10.7 percentage points, while the race for president is still neck and neck, with Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/nevada\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>down less than 2 percentage points <\/a>in polling averages.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In states with open seats like Arizona and Michigan, Republican candidates are trailing their Democratic opponents and underperforming Trump. GOP Senate hopeful Kari Lake is down an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/senate\/general\/2024\/arizona\/lake-vs-gallego\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>average of 4.5 percentage points<\/a> to her Democratic opponent, Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ), in the Grand Canyon State, as they face off to take over Sen. Kyrsten Sinema&rsquo;s (I-AZ) seat. Lake is significantly underperforming in comparison to Trump, who is up 1.3 percentage points over Harris in the state <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/arizona\/trump-vs-harris\">in an average<\/a> of polling numbers.<\/p>\n<p>Former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/elections\/senate\/2024\/michigan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> is behind<\/a> opponent Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) by an average of 5 percentage points. Meanwhile, Trump and Harris are polling neck and neck with averages showing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/michigan\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>they are tied or separated by less <\/a>than 1 percentage point.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In the Keystone State, Republican Dave McCormick <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/senate\/general\/2024\/pennsylvania\/mccormick-vs-casey\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>is down an average of 3 percentage points<\/a> to incumbent Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA). Meanwhile, Trump and Harris have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/pennsylvania\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>been tied or within percentage points<\/a> of each other in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/ga-poll-watcher-it-expert-non-trump-supporter-affidavit-sudden-surge-of-20000-mail-in-votes-for-biden-in-early-hours-on-nov\/\" title=\"GA Poll Watcher, IT Expert, Non-Trump Supporter Affidavit: Sudden Surge of 20,000 Mail-In-Votes For Biden In Early Hours On Nov\">critical swing state<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Republican candidate Eric Hovde is behind incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/senate\/general\/2024\/wisconsin\/hovde-vs-baldwin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"by an average\">by an average<\/a> of 5.2 percentage points. In comparison, Trump is trailing Harris in the critical Midwestern state <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/wisconsin\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>by an average <\/a>of 1.2 percentage points.<\/p>\n<p>In Maryland, former Republican Gov. Larry Hogan appears to be significantly overperforming Trump in his state. A recent average of polling in the state found Hogan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/senate\/general\/2024\/maryland\/hogan-vs-trone\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>leading<\/a> by 3.8 percentage points, while Trump is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/maryland\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>down an average<\/a> of 26.5 percentage points in the state.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), who is defending his seat this cycle, is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/senate\/general\/2024\/texas\/cruz-vs-allred\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>polling an average<\/a> of 6 percentage points ahead of his Democratic challenger, Rep. Colin Allred (D-TX). Trump is slightly overperforming with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/texas\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>a 7.3-percentage point lead<\/a> over Harris in the Lone Star State.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In Florida, Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/senate\/general\/2024\/florida\/scott-vs-mucarsel-powell\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>polling an average of 4.3 percentage points <\/a>ahead of his Democratic opponent, former Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell. While the Florida senator is still ahead, he is not performing as well as the Republican presidential nominee, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/florida\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>who is up an average of 6 percentage points<\/a> over Harris in the Sunshine State.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1759604\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1759604\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Most Republican Senate candidates are falling behind both their Democratic opponents and former President Donald Trump in key swing state polls, with less than two months remaining until Election Day. In 2024, nearly twenty Democratic seats will be contested, with five incumbents considered at risk, while only ten Republicans are up for reelection. However, in six crucial races, Republicans are lagging behind both Trump and their Democratic challengers.<\/p>\n<p>The sole GOP candidate consistently leading is Tim Sheehy from Montana, who has an average polling lead of 5.2 percentage points over incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT). Nevertheless, Trump&#8217;s lead in Montana is significantly stronger at an average of 17.6 percentage points.<\/p>\n<p>Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) currently holds a 51-seat advantage and can rely on Vice President Kamala Harris for any tie-breaking votes. He is anticipated to lose one seat in West Virginia due to Sen. Joe Manchin&#8217;s retirement (I-WV). If Republicans secure a win in Montana, they could regain the majority; however, the battle for control of the Senate remains uncertain during this Republican-favorable election cycle.<\/p>\n<p>In Ohio\u2014a state leaning Republican\u2014Trump leads Harris by 9 percentage points; yet Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) maintains a slight edge over Republican Bernie Moreno by an average of 3.6 percentage points.<\/p>\n<p>In Nevada&#8217;s competitive landscape, Republican Sam Brown trails Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-NV) by about 10.7 percentage points while Trump\u2019s race against Harris remains very close with less than a 2-point deficit.<\/p>\n<p>In open seat contests like Arizona and Michigan, GOP candidates are also underperforming compared to Trump\u2019s numbers: Kari Lake is down an average of 4.5 points against Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ), despite Trump being slightly ahead there; Mike Rogers trails Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) by about 5 points as well.<\/p>\n<p>In Pennsylvania&#8217;s critical race, Dave McCormick is averaging a deficit of around 3 points against incumbent Bob Casey (D-PA), while both Trump and Harris have been closely matched there too.<\/p>\n<p>Eric Hovde finds himself trailing incumbent Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) by approximately 5.2 percentage points; meanwhile Trump&#8217;s margin against Harris stands at just under two-tenths of a point lower than that figure.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly enough in Maryland, former Governor Larry Hogan appears to be outperforming Trump significantly\u2014leading his opponent by about 3.8 percent compared to Trump&#8217;s substantial loss margin averaging around -26 percent statewide.<\/p>\n<p>Senator Ted Cruz from Texas shows some strength with an average lead of about six percentage points over Rep Colin Allred(D-TX), although Trump&#8217;s performance slightly edges higher at approximately seven-point-three percent above Harris within the same state context.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly Florida Senator Rick Scott holds onto an approximate four-point-three advantage over former Rep Debbie Mucarsel-Powell but still lags behind Trump&#8217;s six-point edge versus Harris within that battleground region<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2657,"featured_media":2341576,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Dave-Mccormick-Trump-scaled-1024x682.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[33731,6203,15698,36509,3634],"class_list":["post-2341575","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner","tag-election-day","tag-gop","tag-polling","tag-senate-candidates","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Dave-Mccormick-Trump-scaled-1024x682.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2341575","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2657"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2341575"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2341575\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2341576"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2341575"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2341575"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2341575"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}