{"id":2339659,"date":"2024-09-11T10:49:01","date_gmt":"2024-09-11T14:49:01","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2024-09-11T10:53:58","modified_gmt":"2024-09-11T14:53:58","slug":"results-released-for-battleground-poll-conducted-immediately-after-debate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/results-released-for-battleground-poll-conducted-immediately-after-debate\/","title":{"rendered":"Results Released for Battleground Poll Conducted Immediately After Debate"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">18<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fresults-released-for-battleground-poll-conducted-immediately-after-debate%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2339659&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>A recent snap poll conducted by the Trafalgar Group following a debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump showed minimal movement in candidate support despite the perception that Harris won the debate. In battleground states like Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, 55.3% of viewers believed Harris performed better than Trump, who received 42.5%\u2063 support in that regard. However, pre-debate support was nearly tied, with\u200d Trump at 47.4% and Harris\u200d at 46.8%. Post-debate, Trump&#8217;s lead shrank slightly to 48.2% versus Harris\u2019s 47.9%, highlighting that the debate\u200b did little\u200d to\u2062 change voters&#8217; preferences.<\/p>\n<p>The\u200b debate moderators, particularly from ABC, faced criticism for their perceived bias, as they fact-checked \u2062Trump multiple times without addressing Harris\u2019s inaccuracies. This seemingly lopsided moderation,\u200b combined\u2063 with Trump\u2019s lackluster performance during the debate,\u200d raised questions about\u200d the impact of \u200dthese factors on voters in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/poll-state-republicans-lead-democrats-by-six-points-on-generic-ballot\/\" title=\"Poll: State Republicans Lead Democrats by Six Points on Generic Ballot\">crucial battleground states<\/a>. Despite the debate dynamics, the Trafalgar poll suggests that Trump maintains an advantage in these areas,\u2064 leaving uncertainty regarding whether the debate helped Harris&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/chris-christie-qualifies-for-third-rnc-debate\/\" title=\"Chris Christie makes the cut for third RNC debate.\">campaign moving forward<\/a>.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> <script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_0)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_1)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>Vice President Harris got plenty of help from the debate moderators Tuesday night, but a snap poll released in its immediate aftermath raises the question of whether it helped her campaign.<\/p>\n<p>A poll by the Trafalgar Group taken during and immediately after the matchup in Philadelphia showed the contest barely moved the needle when it came to support for the candidates.<\/p>\n<p>And it was taken in the battleground states that will decide the 2024 campaign.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetrafalgargroup.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Swing-State-Debate-Report-0910.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a> surveyed 2,245 respondents in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.<\/p>\n<p>It found that a clear majority of those watching thought Harris had won the debate with former President Donald Trump &mdash; 55.3 percent to 42.5 percent.<\/p>\n<p>  <script> \t\t\t\tif( ! getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) if( typeof FFADS.replace_ict !='undefined' ) if( FFADS.replace_ict ) eval( FFADS.replace_ict ); \t\t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p>However, it also showed that on the all-important question of what candidate would get respondents&rsquo; votes, the results were statistically unchanged from before the debate began.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">RESULTS of our joint <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/trafalgar_group?\">@trafalgar_group<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/InsiderPolling?\">@InsiderPolling<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/PresidentialDebate2024?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#PresidentialDebate2024<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Battlegroundstate?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Battlegroundstate<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/poll?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#poll<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>1) Supporting for president before the debate.<\/p>\n<p>47% Trump<br \/> 47% Harris<br \/> 2% Others<br \/> 4% Undecided<\/p>\n<p>2) Who won the debate?<\/p>\n<p>55% Harris<br \/> 43% Trump<br \/> 2% Tie<\/p>\n<p>3) Who are you&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HT0uKQS4fK\">pic.twitter.com\/HT0uKQS4fK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RobertCahaly\/status\/1833734394101604631?\">September 11, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Pre-debate, the poll found Trump with a slight edge &mdash; 47.4 percent to 46.8 percent, a statistical tie. Post-debate, the poll found Trump still with an edge, just a slightly slighter one &mdash; 48.2 percent to 47.9 percent.<\/p>\n<p>In short, it amounts to a wash.<\/p>\n<p>And that&rsquo;s not for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/abc-moderators-called-double-standard-becomes-evident-disgraceful-failure\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lack of trying<\/a> by the ABC moderators David Muir and Linsey Davis.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/media\/abc-presidential-debate-moderators-david-muir-linsey-davis-fact-check-trump-5-times-0-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fox News<\/a> reported early Wednesday that Muir and Davis inserted themselves into the proceedings, &ldquo;fact-checking&rdquo; Trump a total of five times in the debate while not doing it to Harris even once.<\/p>\n<p>Not that there wasn&rsquo;t room to do so.<\/p>\n<p>As Fox noted in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/trump-fact-checks-harris-charlottesville-riot-accusation-debunked\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">separate piece<\/a>, Harris mischaracterized Trump&rsquo;s comments on the 2017 violence in Charlottesville, Virginia. The moderators let it slide, Trump had to call Harris&rsquo; statement out as &ldquo;debunked.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>She twisted his use of the word &ldquo;bloodbath&rdquo; when describing what would happen if he lost the election. (Trump was<a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-flips-bloodbath-hoax-around-turns-biden\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> clearly referring<\/a> to the prospects for the U.S. auto industry.)<\/p>\n<p>She tried to tie him to &ldquo;Project 2025,&rdquo; a book of proposals by the conservative group Heritage Foundation. Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/fact-check-dncs-biggest-embarrassment-lie-repeated\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">has publicly distanced himself<\/a> from the plan.<\/p>\n<p>There were others, too, but the ABC moderators focused solely on &ldquo;fact-checking&rdquo; Trump, according to Fox.<\/p>\n<p>Americans watching the debate knew that, just as American voters have known for years about the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/theyre-calling-it-the-value-meal-wars-taco-bell-enters-the-fray-with-new-7-deal\/\" title=\"They&#039;re Calling It &#039;The Value Meal Wars&#039;: Taco Bell Enters the Fray with New  Deal\">establishment media&#038;rsquo<\/a>;s undeniable bias against Trump.<\/p>\n<p>It was clear that Trump didn&rsquo;t have his best night on the debate stage &mdash; the conservative leaning <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2024\/09\/11\/us-news\/trump-debate-performance-panned-as-well-prepped-harris-gets-help-from-abc-moderators-three-on-one\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">New York Post<\/a> used the word &ldquo;rattled&rdquo; in a headline on a debate story that also listed the &ldquo;fact-checking&rdquo; and other <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/abc-breaks-rules-less-30-minutes-debate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bias on display<\/a> at the debate.<\/p>\n<p>And that makes the Trafalgar poll big news for the Republican candidate and his supporters.<\/p>\n<p>Critics might point out that Trafalgar Group was founded in 2016 by former Republican political consultant Robert Calahy and claim its findings suspect. But it&rsquo;s also one of the few polling groups that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/pollsters-who-were-dead-on-in-last-2-elections-drop-2024-update-kamala-harris-should-be-terrified\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">correctly predicted<\/a> Trump&rsquo;s win in the 2016 presidential campaign and predicted a Biden win in 2020, too, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/articles\/2024\/09\/09\/over_last_10_years_trafalgar_group_the_most_accurate_presidential_pollster__leading_private_polling_firm_151588.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">RealClearPolitics<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Over the last two presidential cycles, Trafalgar has been the most accurate pollster with an average error margin of 2.45 points, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/rcp-pollster-scorecard\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2023 RealClearPolitics analysis<\/a>,&rdquo; the outlet noted in a report published Monday.<\/p>\n<p>So it&rsquo;s certainly worth paying attention to.<\/p>\n<p>Even with an off-night on national television, confronting the establishment media along with his campaign opponent, Trump retained his edge in the states where the election is going to be won or lost.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s clear that Harris had help from the supposedly neutral moderators.<\/p>\n<p>Judging by the results of the Trafalgar poll, in the battleground states at least, what isn&rsquo;t clear is whether it&rsquo;s going to help her campaign.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\">  <\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> <label>* Name<\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> <\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> <label>* <\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> <\/div>\n<p> <label>* Message<\/label> <br \/> <textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea>  <\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> <input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\">  <\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> <script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! 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A survey conducted by the Trafalgar Group during and right after the debate in Philadelphia indicated that there was little change in candidate support as a result of the event. This poll focused on battleground states crucial for determining the outcome of the 2024 election.<\/p>\n<p>The survey included 2,245 participants from Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. It revealed that a majority of viewers believed Harris won the debate against former President Donald Trump\u201455.3% to 42.5%. However, when it came to who respondents would vote for, there was no significant shift compared to pre-debate figures.<\/p>\n<p>Before the debate began, Trump had a slight lead with 47% compared to Harris&#8217;s 46%, which is statistically negligible. Afterward, Trump&#8217;s lead decreased slightly to 48.2% versus Harris&#8217;s 47.9%, indicating no real change overall.<\/p>\n<p>Despite efforts by ABC moderators David Muir and Linsey Davis\u2014who reportedly fact-checked Trump five times without doing so for Harris\u2014the results suggest that their interventions did not sway public opinion significantly in favor of Harris.<\/p>\n<p>Critics may question Trafalgar Group\u2019s credibility since it was founded by former Republican consultant Robert Cahaly; however, it has accurately predicted outcomes in previous elections according to RealClearPolitics analysis showing an average error margin of just 2.45 points over two presidential cycles.<\/p>\n<p>In summary: even with an off night on stage and facing established media bias alongside his opponent&#8217;s attacks during the debate, Trump maintained his advantage in key states where votes will ultimately matter most for his campaign\u2014a point underscored by Trafalgar\u2019s findings regarding voter sentiment post-debate concerning both candidates&#8217; performances<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2339660,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/debate.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[40633,40634,32371,40635,38017],"class_list":["post-2339659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-battleground-poll","tag-debate-results","tag-election-analysis","tag-political-polling","tag-voter-sentiment"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/debate.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2339659","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2339659"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2339659\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2339660"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2339659"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2339659"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2339659"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}