{"id":2337841,"date":"2024-09-06T11:41:10","date_gmt":"2024-09-06T15:41:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/tim-sheehy-gets-edge-over-jon-tester-in-key-montana-senate-battle-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-09-06T11:43:38","modified_gmt":"2024-09-06T15:43:38","slug":"tim-sheehy-gets-edge-over-jon-tester-in-key-montana-senate-battle-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/tim-sheehy-gets-edge-over-jon-tester-in-key-montana-senate-battle-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Tim Sheehy gets edge over Jon Tester in key Montana Senate battle &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">30<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ftim-sheehy-gets-edge-over-jon-tester-in-key-montana-senate-battle-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2337841&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The Montana\u2062 Senate race has recently seen a\u200b change in\u200b its outlook from a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/elon-musk-americans-should-vote-republican-in-midterms\/\" title=\"Elon Musk: Americans Should Vote Republican in Midterms\">nonpartisan election forecaster<\/a>, Larry Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball, which has shifted its rating from &#8220;toss-up&#8221; \u200dto &#8220;leans Republican.&#8221; This change is significant for Republican candidate Tim Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL, who is \u200daiming to unseat \u2064Democratic Senator Jon\u200c Tester, considered\u200c the most \u200cvulnerable\u2062 Senate Democrat in the upcoming election crucial for maintaining their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/mitch-mcconnells-betrayal-hurts-the-nation-goodwin\/\" title=\"Mitch McConnell\u2019s betrayal hurts the nation\">slim majority<\/a>.\u200c Recent polling indicates Tester trailing Sheehy by eight percentage points, which has contributed to the forecaster&#8217;s decision. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/four-dangerous-new-democrat-bills-that-you-probably-havent-heard-of\/\" title=\"Four Dangerous New Democrat Bills That You Probably Haven\u2019t Heard Of\">political landscape<\/a> in Montana, where Donald Trump won by a significant \u200cmargin in 2020, suggests a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/senate-committee-debates-use-of-force-authorizations-rand-paul-calls-for-public-and-official-ending-of-the-iraq-war\/\" title=\"Senate Committee Debates \u2018Use Of Force\u2019 Authorizations, Rand Paul Calls For \u2018Public And Official Ending Of The Iraq War\u2019\">challenging environment<\/a> for the\u2064 Democrats as they seek to defend several competitive Senate seats to retain \u200btheir majority.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Tim Sheehy gets ratings edge over Jon Tester in Montana Senate battle<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1738897\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>A lead nonpartisan elections forecaster changed its outlook Friday on the closely watched <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/3131270\/montana-abortion-democrats-hope-tester-seat\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Montana Senate race\">Montana Senate race<\/a>, switching the <a href=\"https:\/\/centerforpolitics.org\/crystalball\/montana-senate-race-moves-from-toss-up-to-leans-republican\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>rating<\/a> from &ldquo;toss-up&rdquo; to &ldquo;lean Republican.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>The shift from <em>Larry Sabato&rsquo;s Crystal Ball<\/em> is welcome news for Republican and former Navy SEAL <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/opinion\/3068992\/sheehys-ceo-exit-paves-path-for-senate-showdown\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Tim Sheehy\">Tim Sheehy<\/a>, who&rsquo;s gunning to oust Sen. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/3131846\/tester-advocated-montana-tech-executives-donated-campaign\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Tim Sheehy\">Jon Tester<\/a> (D-MT) in what is Senate Democrats&rsquo; most vulnerable seat that is crucial to maintaining their slim majority.<\/p>\n<p>If the outlook holds true, Republicans would seal their majority fate. Democrats must defend Montana, where former President Donald Trump won by 16 points in 2020, and another seven <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/republicans-warn-against-moving-away-from-trump-legacy-as-gop-moves-forward\/\" title=\"Republicans warn against moving away from Trump legacy as GOP moves forward\">competitive seats<\/a> they currently hold to keep the majority.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/3144426\/tester-trails-sheehy-8-points-poll\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>poll<\/a> released Thursday showed Tester down by eight percentage points to Sheehy, at 49%-41%, a leading contributor to <em>Crystal Ball<\/em> tipping the race in the GOP&rsquo;s favor, a reversal of a day earlier. The <a href=\"https:\/\/elections2024.thehill.com\/montana\/montana-senate-tester-sheehy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"average \">average <\/a>of recent polls shows Tester down by roughly 4.5 points.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">NEW: Crystal Ball Senate Rating Change &ndash;&gt;<\/p>\n<p>Montana: Toss-up to Leans Republican<\/p>\n<p>(See link for explanation as to why we&#8217;re doing this today after not doing it yesterday)<\/p>\n<p>51 Sen seats now Safe\/Likely\/Lean R in our ratings, solidifying R Senate edge<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IjeFKGhDvZ\">https:\/\/t.co\/IjeFKGhDvZ<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VFAnkuFNFs\">pic.twitter.com\/VFAnkuFNFs<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/kkondik\/status\/1832020924691837120?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 6, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script> <\/p>\n<p>Other nonpartisan elections forecasters, including the <em>Cook Political Report<\/em> and <em>Inside Elections<\/em>, still consider Montana a &ldquo;toss-up&rdquo; for the Senate.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Neither campaign responded to requests for comment.<\/p>\n<p>Enshrining&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/policy\/healthcare\/3129072\/montana-adds-abortion-rights-ballot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">abortion rights<\/a>&nbsp;into Montana&rsquo;s constitution will come before voters in Big Sky Country this November after receiving enough signatures to appear on the ballot, buoying Democrats&rsquo; hopes that it will help Tester secure a fourth term in the red state.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1738897\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1738897\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tim Sheehy gains an advantage over Jon Tester in the Montana Senate race. A prominent nonpartisan elections analyst updated its assessment on Friday, changing the rating of the closely monitored Montana Senate contest from &#8220;toss-up&#8221; to &#8220;lean Republican.&#8221; This adjustment from Larry Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball is positive for Republican candidate and former Navy SEAL Tim Sheehy, who aims to unseat Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) in what is considered the most vulnerable seat for Senate Democrats, critical for preserving their narrow majority. If this trend continues, it could solidify a Republican majority. Democrats are tasked with defending Montana\u2014where former President Donald Trump won by 16 points in 2020\u2014along with seven other competitive seats they currently hold to maintain their majority status. A recent poll indicated that Tester is trailing Sheehy by eight percentage points, at 49%-41%, contributing to Crystal Ball&#8217;s shift towards favoring the GOP\u2014a change from just a day prior. The average of recent polls shows Tester down by approximately 4.5 points. <\/p>\n<p>Other nonpartisan election analysts like the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections still classify Montana as a &#8220;toss-up&#8221; for the Senate race. Neither campaign has responded to requests for comments regarding this update. Additionally, an initiative to enshrine abortion rights into Montana\u2019s constitution will be presented to voters this November after gathering sufficient signatures, raising hopes among Democrats that it may aid Tester&#8217;s bid for a fourth term in this predominantly red state<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3108,"featured_media":2337843,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/jon-tester-tim-sheehy-august-2024.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[34059,32875,40208,32603,32876],"class_list":["post-2337841","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-election-2024","tag-jon-tester","tag-montana-senate","tag-political-news","tag-tim-sheehy"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/jon-tester-tim-sheehy-august-2024.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2337841","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3108"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2337841"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2337841\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2337843"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2337841"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2337841"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2337841"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}