{"id":2337715,"date":"2024-09-06T07:45:56","date_gmt":"2024-09-06T11:45:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/ranking-harriss-hardest-battlegrounds-post-labor-day-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-09-06T07:52:40","modified_gmt":"2024-09-06T11:52:40","slug":"ranking-harriss-hardest-battlegrounds-post-labor-day-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/ranking-harriss-hardest-battlegrounds-post-labor-day-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Ranking Harris&#8217;s hardest battlegrounds post-Labor Day &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">18<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Franking-harriss-hardest-battlegrounds-post-labor-day-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2337715&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>In the lead-up to the 2024 presidential election, \u200bpolling data indicates a competitive race \u200dbetween Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, with\u2063 various analysts\u200c and \u2064forecasters offering differing insights into the candidates&#8217; prospects.<\/p>\n<p>Nate Silver, a prominent statistician, recently noted that Trump&#8217;s chances of winning are currently at their highest since late July, although the race remains in a &#8220;toss-up&#8221;\u2064 range. Meanwhile, historian Allan Lichtman, known for accurately predicting nine out of\u200d the \u200clast ten presidential elections,\u200d has asserted that he believes Harris will emerge victorious.<\/p>\n<p>The battleground states\u2064 play a critical role in this election,\u2064 and recent rankings have highlighted Pennsylvania as the most challenging \u2062state for Harris to secure. Polls indicate a tight race \u2064in Pennsylvania, with\u200d both candidates currently tied at around 47% in various surveys. The\u200c state has historically been\u200c pivotal, often determining the\u200c overall outcome of presidential elections.<\/p>\n<p>In North Carolina, despite Harris holding a slight lead in some polls, the state&#8217;s red-leaning history poses a\u200c significant challenge. Trump\u200d remains focused on North Carolina, recognizing its importance to his path to securing the\u200d necessary Electoral College votes.<\/p>\n<p>Arizona, traditionally a\u2063 Republican stronghold, shows a mixed polling\u2064 landscape,\u200c with some surveys giving Trump an edge, while others suggest a tie. The Harris\u2064 campaign is actively targeting features\u2063 like reproductive rights\u200d to sway \u200dvoters.<\/p>\n<p>Georgia, another key battleground state, \u2062has seen shifting dynamics, moving from a &#8220;lean Republican&#8221; classification to\u2064 a &#8220;toss-up.&#8221; Polling in Georgia has Trump leading Harris but \u2062efforts\u2062 are underway from \u200bboth campaigns to solidify support, with Harris emphasizing her status as the underdog in\u2064 the\u2062 election.<\/p>\n<p>In Nevada, polling suggests Harris has a slight advantage, bolstered \u200bby \u2063an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/ohio-abortion-rights-amendment-advances-after-ballot-language-approved\/\" title=\"Ohio abortion rights amendment advances after ballot language approved\">abortion rights amendment<\/a> that is expected to mobilize Democratic voters.\u200c The campaign is heavily invested \u2062in \u2063ground operations compared to the Trump\u2062 campaign, \u200dsignaling\u200d their\u2062 confidence in\u2063 securing the state.<\/p>\n<p>Michigan \u200cappears to be a relative stronghold for Harris, who maintains a lead in several recent polls despite facing challenges\u200c from \u200cpro-Palestinian demonstrators. Her support among unions continues to be a favorable factor.<\/p>\n<p>Wisconsin, \u2064along with Michigan and \u200bPennsylvania, represents part of the critical &#8220;blue \u200dwall&#8221; that Democrats aim to regain. The race continues to develop, with significant resources being allocated in these battleground \u200cstates\u200d as candidates gear up for the \u200bupcoming debates and the \u2064final stretch before Election Day.<\/p>\n<p> <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Swing-state scorecard: Ranking Harris&rsquo;s hardest battlegrounds post-Labor Day<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1745838\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>The presidential contest between Vice President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/kamala-harris\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Kamala Harris<\/a> and former President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Donald Trump<\/a> kicked into high gear post-Labor Day as the two candidates and their running mates have crisscrossed the nation in hopes of galvanizing enough votes to secure a White House victory.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Yet the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/elections\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>election<\/a> remains close as most polls show Harris and Trump nearly tied roughly 60 days before Nov. 5.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/elections\/president\/2024\/battleground-states\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title><em>Real Clear Politics <\/em>average<\/a> of the seven battleground states shows Harris narrowly leading Trump, 47.7% to 47.5%, while a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/politics\/elections\/trump-harris-poll-august-election-2024-e6fa024e?mod=e2tw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title><em>Wall Street Journal <\/em>poll<\/a> released last week showed Harris leading Trump by only 1 percentage point, 48% to 47%, in a head-to-head matchup.<\/p>\n<p>Election analyst Nate Silver <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3144047\/trump-election-forecast-bounce-nate-silver-harris-boom-mellows\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>recently claimed<\/a> Trump&rsquo;s chances of winning the November election are at his highest levels. &ldquo;The forecast is still in toss-up range, but Trump&rsquo;s chances of winning are his highest since July 30,&rdquo; Silver&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.natesilver.net\/p\/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">wrote<\/a>&nbsp;on his Substack, the Silver Bulletin.<\/p>\n<p>However, historian Allan Lichtman, who correctly predicted the last nine out of 10 presidential winners, predicted <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/09\/05\/opinion\/allan-lichtman-trump-harris-prediction.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Harris would win<\/a> the election.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the first presidential debate, and perhaps the only one that will happen, between the two candidates next week in Philadelphia, the&nbsp;<em>Washington Examiner<\/em>&nbsp;reranked the battleground states according to which would be the hardest for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/hunter-biden-defector-emails-pipeline-to-obama-admin-seen-as-currency\/\" title=\"Hunter Biden Defector Emails: &#039;Pipeline&#039; to Obama Admin Seen as &#039;Currency&#039;\">vice president<\/a> to win.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Pennsylvania<\/h2>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Vice President Kamala Harris speaks as second gentleman Doug Emhoff, from left, Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN), and his wife Gwen Walz listen at a campaign event on Sunday, Aug. 18, 2024, in Rochester, Pennsylvania. (AP Photo\/Julia Nikhinson)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>The last time the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3116467\/swing-state-scorecard-walz-harris-battleground-rankings\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>scorecard was published<\/a>, which was just after Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN) joined the Democratic ticket as Harris&rsquo;s running mate, Pennsylvania was ranked as the third-hardest state for her to win.<\/p>\n<p>But the race has vastly changed since then. The Keystone State is the top state of the 2024 cycle &mdash; whichever candidate wins Pennsylvania is nearly likely to win the election.<\/p>\n<p>Yet Harris and Trump are tied in the state, according to several polls. A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2024\/09\/04\/politics\/cnn-polls-battleground-states\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>CNN poll<\/a> released on Wednesday shows the candidates neck and neck at 47%. They are also tied in the state at 47.2%, according to a <em>Real Clear Politics<\/em> poll composite.<\/p>\n<p>Some of Trump&rsquo;s foes are coming to Harris&rsquo;s aid in hopes of boosting turnout. Republican Voters Against Trump announced <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3141424\/republican-voters-against-trump-12-million-swing-states\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>an $11.5 million ad blitz<\/a>&nbsp;on Tuesday, with $4.5 million going toward advertising in Pennsylvania.<\/p>\n<p>Between Labor Day and Election Day, $70.8 million has been reserved in advertising in support of Democrats and $70.6 million in support of the GOP,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AdImpact_Pol\/status\/1829613830281801803\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">according to AdImpact<\/a>. But the Harris campaign has stressed it is the underdog in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3143117\/harris-trump-campaign-battleground-travel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>final stretch<\/a> of this cycle.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Make no mistake: We head into the final stretch of this race as the clear underdogs,&rdquo; campaign Chairwoman Jen O&rsquo;Malley Dillon wrote. &ldquo;Donald Trump has a motivated base of support, with more support and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/joebiden.us13.list-manage.com\/track\/click?u=db6b693f24f8d92d026e0c2d2&amp;id=bc542a1c64&amp;e=2a192e88e7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">higher favorability<\/a>&nbsp;than he has had at any point since 2020.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>The Trump campaign appears to agree with senior advisers Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles, writing in a memo released Tuesday that &ldquo;if the election were held today, Donald Trump would be reelected.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TrumpWarRoom\/status\/1831505993479409988\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>warned<\/a> Pennsylvanians that they &ldquo;cannot even take a chance&rdquo; on Harris during a town hall with Fox News&rsquo;s Sean Hannity filmed in Harrisburg&nbsp;on Wednesday. &ldquo;If she won, you&rsquo;re not going to have any fracking in Pennsylvania,&rdquo; he claimed in response to Harris&rsquo;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3101853\/kamala-says-she-doesnt-support-ban-on-fracking\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>flip-flopping<\/a> on the issue. &ldquo;It&rsquo;s your biggest business, and you get a big majority of your income from fracking.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. North Carolina <\/h2>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event in Greensboro, North Carolina, on Thursday, July 11, 2024. (AP Photo\/Chuck Burton)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>The Tar Heel State remains one of the hardest battleground states for Harris to win, given its red-leaning history.<\/p>\n<p>The last Democrat to win the state in a presidential election was former President Barack Obama in 2008. Not even President Joe Biden could flip the state in 2020. He won every battleground state except for North Carolina.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-08-29\/election-2024-poll-harris-leads-or-ties-with-trump-in-swing-states\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title><em>Bloomberg<\/em>-Morning Consult poll<\/a> released last week showed Harris leading Trump by 2 points, 49% to 47%. But Trump is not abandoning the state. If he wins North Carolina, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, it would give him the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the election.<\/p>\n<p>The former president chose the Tar Heel State as the site where he&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3137975\/trump-vows-ivf-free-second-administration\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">announced support<\/a>&nbsp;for the government to pay for in vitro fertilization in a second administration. It&rsquo;s a move meant to blunt Harris&rsquo;s attacks against him regarding reproductive rights.<\/p>\n<p>In another instance of anti-Trump Republicans supporting Harris&rsquo;s campaign, former Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3143915\/liz-cheney-called-kamala-harris-radical-liberal-now-endorses-her\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>announced her endorsement<\/a> of the vice president at Duke University on Wednesday. <\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;And as a conservative, as someone who believes in and cares about the Constitution, I have thought deeply about this, and because of the danger that Donald Trump poses, not only am I not voting for Donald Trump, but I will be voting for Kamala Harris,&rdquo; she said. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. Arizona <\/h2>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Vice President Kamala Harris and running mate Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN) visit Cocina Adamex on Friday, Aug. 9, 2024, in Phoenix. (AP Photo\/Julia Nikhinson)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>After Harris replaced Biden as the presidential nominee, there have been some reports that the Sun Belt battleground states are now in place for the Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>But polling shows that in Arizona, Trump still has the edge over Harris. In CNN&rsquo;s poll, Trump is leading Harris by 5 points, 49% to 44%, and in the <em>Real Clear Politics<\/em> average, he narrowly leads her by 1 point, 48% to 47%.<\/p>\n<p>The <em>Bloomberg<\/em>-Morning Consult poll shows the two candidates are tied in Arizona at 48%.<\/p>\n<p>As part of the &ldquo;Fighting&nbsp;for&nbsp;Reproductive Freedom&rdquo; bus tour, Harris surrogate Hadley Duvall traveled to Arizona&nbsp;and Nevada this week, telling her story of navigating restrictive abortion laws. The campaign also has the backing of the late Republican Arizona Sen. John McCain&rsquo;s son, Jimmy McCain, who announced this week he had registered as a Democrat and is voting for Harris.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. Georgia <\/h2>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Vice President Kamala Harris waves at a campaign rally on Thursday, Aug. 29, 2024, in Savannah, Georgia. (AP Photo\/Stephen B. Morton)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>In August, Georgia was one of the three battlegrounds that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cookpolitical.com\/analysis\/national\/national-politics\/presidential-campaign-reset-arizona-georgia-and-nevada-move?check_logged_in=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Cook Political Report<\/em><\/a>&nbsp;had&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3114929\/three-battleground-states-shift-harris-cook\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">changed from<\/a>&nbsp;&ldquo;lean Republican&rdquo; to &ldquo;toss-up.&rdquo; The other two states were Arizona and Nevada.<\/p>\n<p>The next week, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/08\/17\/us\/elections\/kamala-harris-trump-az-nc-ga-nv.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>polling<\/a> from the<em> New York Times<\/em> and Siena College showed Trump leading Harris 50% to 46%. Given the importance of the Peach State to Trump&rsquo;s path to victory, the former president has appeared to mend his rift with the popular two-term Gov. Brian Kemp (R-GA) in hopes of blocking Harris&rsquo;s momentum.<\/p>\n<p>Harris and Walz visited Savannah, Georgia, last week as part of a two-day tour in the southeast part of the state, marking the first time a presidential candidate had visited the city since the 1990s. Her supporters told the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3138494\/harris-supporters-georgia-unconcerned-policy-flip-flops\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title><em>Washington Examiner <\/em>they were unbothered <\/a>by her flip-flops on Medicare for All, the Green New Deal, and the fracking ban.<\/p>\n<p>The vice president again reprised the claim she was the &ldquo;underdog&rdquo; in the race. &ldquo;Don&rsquo;t pay attention to polls. We are underdogs,&rdquo; she warned the crowd.<\/p>\n<p>Harris is hoping to keep Georgia blue after Biden won the state in 2020, breaking Republican dominance at the presidential level for the first time since 1992.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. Nevada<\/h2>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas, on Saturday, Aug. 10, 2024. (AP Photo\/Jae Hong)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>In the Silver State, polling shows Harris has a slight lead over Trump. The CNN poll shows Harris at 48% to Trump&rsquo;s 47%, while <em>Real Clear Politics<\/em> shows Harris leading Trump by less than 1 point, 48% to 47.4%.<\/p>\n<p>However, the <em>Bloomberg<\/em> poll shows Harris with a 4-point advantage, 49% to 45%, and a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/official-polls\/fox-news-poll-harris-closes-gap-trump-sun-belt-states\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Fox News poll<\/a> from last week showed Harris with a 2-point lead, 50% to 48%.<\/p>\n<p>Playing to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/carson-points-out-that-every-democratic-plan-has-backfired-in-trumps-favor-as-seen-in-the-bible-2\/\" title=\"Carson points out that every Democratic plan has backfired in Trump&#039;s favor, as seen in the Bible\">vice president&#038;rsquo<\/a>;s advantage is that Nevada will have an abortion amendment on the ballot, which has galvanized Democratic voters over the past two years. The Fox News survey showed three-quarters of voters, including 54% of Republicans, will vote &ldquo;yes&rdquo; to enshrine abortion rights in the state&rsquo;s constitution.<\/p>\n<p>Harris&rsquo;s campaign has boasted it has 14 offices and more than 100 full-time employees in Nevada, in contrast to the Trump campaign, which &ldquo;has&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/joebiden.us13.list-manage.com\/track\/click?u=db6b693f24f8d92d026e0c2d2&amp;id=8ad5cbc101&amp;e=2a192e88e7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">five<\/a>&nbsp;offices and about 24 staff,&rdquo; according to the O&rsquo;Malley Dillon memo.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">6. Michigan <\/h2>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Vice President Kamala Harris listens during a campaign rally at UAW Local 900 on Thursday, Aug. 8, 2024, in Wayne, Michigan. (AP Photo\/Julia Nikhinson)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Despite rocky tensions with Michigan&rsquo;s sizable Arab-American and Muslim population, which have agitated for a ceasefire in the war between Israel and Hamas, Harris appears to have a consistent lead over Trump in the state.<\/p>\n<p><em>Bloomberg<\/em> shows Harris with a 3-point lead over the former president, 49% to 46%, while the CNN poll shows Harris with a 5-point advantage, 48% to 43%. Her lead shrinks to just 1.1% in the <em>Real Clear Politics <\/em>average, 48% to 46.9%.<\/p>\n<p>The vice president faced pro-Palestinian protesters who disrupted her campaign stops in Detroit, though the pressure doesn&rsquo;t appear to be hurting her polls too sharply. Harris spent part of her Labor Day travel in the Motor City, given its strong and decades-stretching union support.<\/p>\n<p>Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin mark the three <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wisconsin-rally-gives-trump-chance-to-clean-up-horrible-city-firestorm\/\" title=\"Wisconsin rally offers Trump opportunity to address &#039;horrible city&#039; controversy\">blue-wall states<\/a> that, if Harris wins, would almost likely ensure she wins the election.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">7. Wisconsin <\/h2>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Vice President Kamala Harris is welcomed by her running mate, Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN), before she delivers remarks at a campaign rally in Eau Claire, Wisconsin, on Wednesday, Aug. 7, 2024. (Kerem Y&uuml;cel\/Minnesota Public Radio via AP)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Wisconsin marks the second blue-wall state that shows Harris with a comfortable lead over Trump.<\/p>\n<p>CNN shows her beating Trump by 6 points, 50% to 44%, in the Badger State, while <em>Bloomberg<\/em> has her with an 8-point advantage, 52% to 44%. Once again, her lead shrinks according to<em> Real Clear Politics<\/em>,<em> <\/em>which has her with an average lead over Trump of just 1.4 points, 48.2% to Trump&rsquo;s 46.8%.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Harris&rsquo;s running mate, Walz, was in Wisconsin on Labor Day, and he gave a pro-union speech and touted his teachers union membership to attendees. &ldquo;She was part of the most pro-union administration in American history,&rdquo; Walz bragged. &ldquo;From sticking up for workers to voting for fair legislation to walking picket lines, she was there with workers every step of the way.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Despite this lead, the <em>Cook Political Report<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cookpolitical.com\/ratings\/presidential-race-ratings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>rates<\/a> the state as a toss-up, and Trump will visit the state on Saturday in another sign of the work he is doing to block Harris from winning the blue wall.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1745838\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1745838\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>**Swing-State Scorecard: Evaluating Harris&#8217;s Toughest Battlegrounds After Labor Day**<\/p>\n<p>The presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump intensified after Labor Day, with both candidates and their running mates traveling extensively across the country to rally support for a White House win. The election remains competitive, as most polls indicate that Harris and Trump are nearly tied about 60 days before November 5. According to a Real Clear Politics average of seven key battleground states, Harris holds a slight edge over Trump at 47.7% to 47.5%. A recent Wall Street Journal poll also shows her leading by just one percentage point, at 48% compared to Trump&#8217;s 47%. Election analyst Nate Silver noted that Trump&#8217;s chances of winning in November are currently at their highest since late July, although he still considers the race a toss-up. Conversely, historian Allan Lichtman\u2014who has accurately predicted nine out of the last ten presidential outcomes\u2014forecasts a victory for Harris.<\/p>\n<p>As the first presidential debate approaches next week in Philadelphia, the Washington Examiner has reassessed which battleground states pose the greatest challenges for Harris:<\/p>\n<p>1. **Pennsylvania**<br \/>\n   Previously ranked as third hardest for her to win after Governor Tim Walz (D-MN) joined her ticket, Pennsylvania is now deemed critical; winning it significantly boosts any candidate&#8217;s chances of securing the presidency. Polls show them tied in this state; CNN reports both candidates at 47%, while Real Clear Politics indicates they are even closer at 47.2%. To aid turnout for Harris, Republican Voters Against Trump announced an $11.5 million ad campaign targeting Pennsylvania specifically.<\/p>\n<p>2. **North Carolina**<br \/>\n   Historically leaning Republican\u2014last won by Democrats in a presidential election during Obama\u2019s tenure\u2014North Carolina remains challenging for Harris despite some polls showing her ahead by two points (49% to 47%). However, if Trump secures North Carolina along with Georgia and Pennsylvania, he could reach the necessary Electoral College votes.<\/p>\n<p>3. **Arizona**<br \/>\n   Although there have been suggestions that Sun Belt states may favor Democrats now that Biden is no longer on the ticket, polling indicates Trump still leads in Arizona by five points according to CNN (49% to 44%). Nonetheless, some polls show them tied or within one point of each other.<\/p>\n<p>4. **Georgia**<br \/>\n   Recently classified as a toss-up state rather than leaning Republican by analysts from Cook Political Report due to shifting dynamics since August; however recent polling shows Trump leading with significant margins against Harris.<\/p>\n<p>5. **Nevada**<br \/>\n   Polling suggests that Nevada might be slightly favorable towards Harris who leads various surveys against Trump ranging from less than one point up to four points advantage due largely because abortion rights will be on ballot which energizes Democratic voters.<\/p>\n<p>6. **Michigan**<br \/>\n   Despite facing protests related to foreign policy issues affecting Arab-American communities within Michigan during campaign stops; she maintains an overall lead over Trump according multiple sources including Bloomberg and CNN indicating she\u2019s ahead anywhere from three up five points respectively.<\/p>\n<p>7. **Wisconsin**<br \/>\n    Another blue-wall state where she appears stronger than elsewhere but still faces challenges given mixed polling results showing varying degrees of lead against him ranging between six eight percent depending on source analyzed while Cook Political Report rates it as toss-up territory too indicating ongoing competitiveness here too!<\/p>\n<p>In summary: As we approach Election Day amidst fluctuating poll numbers across these pivotal swing states\u2014the battle lines continue being drawn tightly around key demographics influencing voter turnout strategies!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2658,"featured_media":2337716,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Kamala-Harris-first-interview-scaled-1024x683.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[37737,4021,5894,40273,32076],"class_list":["post-2337715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner","tag-battlegrounds","tag-harris","tag-politics","tag-post-labor-day","tag-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Kamala-Harris-first-interview-scaled-1024x683.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2337715","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2658"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2337715"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2337715\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2337716"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2337715"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2337715"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2337715"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}