{"id":2337315,"date":"2024-09-05T14:48:02","date_gmt":"2024-09-05T18:48:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/tester-trails-sheehy-by-8-points-in-montana-senate-race-poll-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-09-05T14:49:23","modified_gmt":"2024-09-05T18:49:23","slug":"tester-trails-sheehy-by-8-points-in-montana-senate-race-poll-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/tester-trails-sheehy-by-8-points-in-montana-senate-race-poll-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Tester trails Sheehy by 8 points in Montana Senate race: Poll &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">28<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ftester-trails-sheehy-by-8-points-in-montana-senate-race-poll-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2337315&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Senator\u200b Jon Tester\u200b (D-MT) is currently\u200b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/amazon-wants-15-federal-minimum-wage-reports-small-businesses-would-be-hardest-hit\/\" title=\"Amazon Wants  Federal Minimum Wage; Reports: Small Businesses Would Be Hardest Hit\">trailing<\/a> his \u200bRepublican opponent, Tim Sheehy, by\u200b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/half-of-americans-disapprove-of-biden-handling-of-border-crisis\/\" title=\"Half Of Americans \u2018Disapprove\u2019 Of Biden Handling Of Border Crisis\">8 percentage points<\/a> in \u200ba recent AARP poll\u2063 for the U.S. Senate race in Montana, \u2062with Sheehy\u200b at 49% and Tester at 41%. In\u2064 a hypothetical two-way match-up, Tests slightly\u2064 narrows the \u200dgap to 6 points, at 51% to 45%. This\u200c poll indicates a potential challenge for Democrats in the upcoming November election, which could \u200dthreaten\u200d their Senate majority. \u200dWhile Tester has previously \u200dwon\u200d three elections, 2024 marks the first time he\u2064 faces an election with former President \u2063Donald \u200cTrump on the ballot in the heavily Republican state. \u2063The\u200b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/blue-state-residents-oppose-woke-education\/\" title=\"Blue State Residents Oppose Woke Education\">poll reveals<\/a> that Trump \u2064is performing well among various demographic\u2062 groups, and Tester&#8217;s\u2063 support among Democrats may not\u2063 be enough to offset the Republican\u2063 advantage, raising concerns about his campaign&#8217;s viability.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Tester trails Sheehy by 8 points in Montana Senate race: Poll<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1747542\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Sen. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/jon-tester\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Jon Tester<\/a> (D-MT) is trailing Republican challenger <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/3114871\/vulnerable-jon-tester-trailing-tim-sheehy-montana-senate-race\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Tim Sheehy<\/a> by 8 percentage points, 49%-41%, in the U.S. Senate race in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/montana\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Montana<\/a>, a new AARP poll shows.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>In a two-way race, Tester gains a little ground, shifting his deficit to 6 points, 51%-45%.<\/p>\n<p>It is the latest sign Democrats may lose Montana this November, and possibly their Senate majority with it. While Tester has won three straight elections, 2024 is the first time he is running with former President Donald Trump on the ballot in the decisively red state.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Trump is running ahead of Sheehy with almost every age and partisan group, but Tester is not overperforming Harris by enough to overcome the large gap at the top of the ticket,&rdquo; according to the memo, which also warns that &ldquo;Tester and Harris have both nearly maxed out their vote share among Democrats.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Harris has reinvigorated some Democratic candidates&rsquo; races but does not seem to have had the same effect on Tester, who has declined to endorse her for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-taking-regeneron-drug-remdesivir-therapy-for-coronavirus-diagnosis-ex-wh-doctor-explains\/\" title=\"Trump taking Regeneron drug, Remdesivir therapy for coronavirus diagnosis: ex-WH doctor explains\">president<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans are impressed by Sheehy&rsquo;s polling, even though <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2024\/09\/05\/montana-senate-aarp-poll-tester-sheehy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>both<\/a> parties are pouring money into the state. Democrats have spent a whopping $128 million compared to the GOP&rsquo;s $109 million in advertising and ad reservations so far this cycle.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Even in the 2020 Senate race, which Steve [Daines] won by double digits, we never saw numbers as strong as we are seeing now from Tim Sheehy,&rdquo; NRSC Executive Director Jason Thielman <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2024\/09\/05\/montana-senate-aarp-poll-tester-sheehy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>told<\/a> <em>Axios<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title><strong><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>If Republicans can capture Montana, it will likely be the tipping point for GOP Senate control. West Virginia, with Sen. Joe Manchin&rsquo;s (I-WV) departure, will likely go to Gov. Jim Justice (R-WV) by a landslide. Several other states, including Michigan and Ohio, are considered toss-ups.<\/p>\n<p>Barring an upset in Texas or Florida, Republicans are likely to at least split the Senate 50-50 with Democrats.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1747542\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1747542\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) is currently behind Republican opponent Tim Sheehy by 8 percentage points, with a recent AARP poll indicating a score of 49%-41% in the Montana Senate race. However, in a head-to-head matchup, Tester narrows the gap slightly to 6 points, at 51%-45%. This trend suggests that Democrats may face challenges in Montana this November and could potentially lose their Senate majority as a result. Although Tester has won three consecutive elections, this will be his first campaign alongside former President Donald Trump on the ballot in this strongly Republican state. The memo notes that &#8220;Trump is leading Sheehy among nearly all age and partisan demographics,&#8221; but Tester isn&#8217;t performing well enough compared to Vice President Kamala Harris to close the significant gap at the top of the ticket. While Harris has energized some Democratic candidates&#8217; campaigns, it hasn&#8217;t had a similar impact on Tester, who has not endorsed her for president. Republicans are encouraged by Sheehy&#8217;s polling numbers despite both parties investing heavily in advertising within the state\u2014Democrats have spent around $128 million compared to $109 million from Republicans so far this election cycle. NRSC Executive Director Jason Thielman remarked that even during Steve Daines&#8217; double-digit victory in 2020, they did not see polling numbers as strong for Sheehy as they do now. If Republicans manage to win Montana, it could be pivotal for their control of the Senate; West Virginia is expected to swing heavily towards Governor Jim Justice (R-WV) following Senator Joe Manchin&#8217;s departure. Other states like Michigan and Ohio are viewed as toss-ups while Texas or Florida would need an upset for Democrats to maintain balance; otherwise, Republicans are likely headed toward at least a split Senate of 50-50 with Democrats<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2337316,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jon-Tester.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[34059,40208,40209,40210,4941],"class_list":["post-2337315","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-election-2024","tag-montana-senate","tag-polling-results","tag-sheehy","tag-tester"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jon-Tester.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2337315","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2337315"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2337315\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2337316"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2337315"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2337315"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2337315"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}