{"id":2336388,"date":"2024-09-04T06:48:01","date_gmt":"2024-09-04T10:48:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-dealing-with-no-kamala-harris-dnc-convention-bump-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-09-04T06:56:41","modified_gmt":"2024-09-04T10:56:41","slug":"democrats-dealing-with-no-kamala-harris-dnc-convention-bump-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-dealing-with-no-kamala-harris-dnc-convention-bump-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Democrats dealing with no Kamala Harris DNC convention bump &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">24<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fdemocrats-dealing-with-no-kamala-harris-dnc-convention-bump-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2336388&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Following the recent \u200bDemocratic National Convention, Vice President Kamala Harris has not experienced the typical post-convention \u200dpolling boost associated with presidential campaigns. Despite this, the race\u2064 against former President Donald Trump remains closely contested. \u200bIn current national polls, Harris marginally leads Trump by about 1.9 percentage points, which\u2064 is consistent with her numbers prior to the convention.<\/p>\n<p>Pollster Patrick Murray notes that Harris initially saw a bump\u200c in support when President Joe Biden withdrew\u200b from \u2063the 2024 race, solidifying her position as the Democrats&#8217; nominee. However, veteran Democratic operatives express concern \u2062over Harris&#8217;s lack of significant momentum following the convention, highlighting the high stakes of the \u200cupcoming election. <\/p>\n<p>Both candidates \u200dare preparing \u200dfor their first presidential debate on September 10, which many anticipate will be a pivotal moment in the campaign. \u200bStrategists suggest that \u2064the race is unlikely to shift significantly in the upcoming weeks, predicting a tight contest in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/huge-sidney-powell-witness-whom-ny-times-described-as-always-the-smartest-person-in-the-room-concludes-hundreds-of-thousands-of-votes-transferred-from-trump-to-biden-in-all-battleground-states\/\" title=\"HUGE! Sidney Powell Witness Whom NY Times Described as &quot;Always the Smartest Person in the Room&quot; Concludes Hundreds of Thousands of Votes Transferred from Trump to Biden IN ALL BATTLEGROUND STATES\">key battleground states<\/a>. Despite recent polls showing Harris in a favorable position nationally, her \u200dodds in electoral models have slightly \u2063declined, indicating a competitive landscape that could change depending \u2064on upcoming events.\u200c <\/p>\n<p>both Harris and Trump are engaged in a closely fought contest with little movement expected in their support bases and significant attention now focusing on the \u200bupcoming\u200b debate.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">With no convention bounce, Harris has limited chances to pull away from Trump<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1745011\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>It&rsquo;s been more than a week since the conclusion of the Democratic National Convention, and one thing seems clear: Vice President<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/kamala-harris\/\"> Kamala Harris<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/how-biden-could-be-replaced-as-the-democratic-nominee-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"How Biden could be replaced as the Democratic nominee - Washington Examiner\">isn&#038;rsquo<\/a>;t seeing a post-convention polling bump typical of most presidential campaigns.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Still, the race remains remarkably tight. Harris marginally improved her numbers before the Aug. 19-22 Chicago confab. She is virtually deadlocked with former President<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"> Donald Trump<\/a> in any number of national polls with operatives expecting that to remain the case through November.<\/p>\n<p>Patrick Murray, director of The Polling Institute at Monmouth University, told the <em>Washington Examiner<\/em> that Harris saw her bump before the convention after President Joe Biden ended his 2024 bid on July 21 and Democrats quickly united around Harris as his chosen successor.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;We have an unprecedented situation here, where we have a candidate who was just announced as the candidate a month before the convention, and quite frankly, that&rsquo;s when she got her bounce,&rdquo; he said in an interview Tuesday. &ldquo;What we&rsquo;re looking at with polling since the convention is that she held on to it.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>The <em>RealClearPolitics<\/em> average of national polls on Tuesday has Harris leading Trump in a head-to-head matchup by 1.9 percentage points. That&rsquo;s virtually unchanged from Aug. 19, when Harris was ahead by 1.5 percentage points.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>A handful of veteran Democratic operatives with close ties to the Harris campaign voiced some anxiety to the <em>Washington Examiner<\/em> about the current state of the race.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;It certainly would have been nice to see a bump,&rdquo; one such operative stated. &ldquo;The stakes are so high, you&rsquo;d hope that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/carson-points-out-that-every-democratic-plan-has-backfired-in-trumps-favor-as-seen-in-the-bible-2\/\" title=\"Carson points out that every Democratic plan has backfired in Trump&#039;s favor, as seen in the Bible\">vice president&#038;rsquo<\/a>;s message and demeanor alone would be enough to cut through the negative attacks and lies coming from the other side, but that&rsquo;s just the current state of politics, I guess.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>The next major moment for Trump and Harris to capture a large national audience will be Sept. 10, when the two will face off for their first, perhaps only, presidential debate at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;I&rsquo;ve said this before, but it all comes down to September 10. Trump&rsquo;s main critique of Vice President Harris has been that she&rsquo;s slow-rolling her presidential agenda,&rdquo; a second operative said ahead of the upcoming debate. &ldquo;She&rsquo;ll lay it all out on that stage. I just hope people will go into the night with open minds and think about who we want running the country: a woman who will fight like hell to actually help real, American families or a felon who only cares about himself and his cronies.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>National polls are one thing, but the election will likely be decided by the results of just seven battleground states, where, again, Harris and Trump remain extremely competitive.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Jackson, a Democratic strategist based out of battleground North Carolina, told the <em>Washington Examiner<\/em> that, given how entrenched both candidates&rsquo; bases were, he didn&rsquo;t expect Harris to sustain a significant post-convention bounce.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;I didn&rsquo;t think we&rsquo;d see a ton of movement, and I don&rsquo;t think within any demographic cells, whether it is women, African Americans, young voters, seniors &mdash; whatever demographic cell we want to talk about. I think my gut is this race is not going to move very much in any of those individual cells or overall,&rdquo; he explained. &ldquo;I think at the end of the day, this is a 47-48 race &mdash; somebody&rsquo;s going to get 48 and somebody&rsquo;s going to get 47 or potentially both get 48 in some degrees, right? I think that&rsquo;s where we&rsquo;re headed in this race.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>The historic, truncated 2024 race seems to have some polling experts confused as well.<\/p>\n<p>Pollster Nate Silver wrote Tuesday that while his polling average shows Harris leading Trump in national polls, his electoral odds model still presents her as an underdog, though that might change in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Harris&rsquo;s odds have declined slightly over the past two weeks, as she&rsquo;s gone from roughly a 55\/45 favorite to a 45\/55 underdog. It&rsquo;s not a huge change. Probability calculations can be highly sensitive just to either side of the 50\/50 mark,&rdquo; Silver writes. &ldquo;If the New York Knicks make a buzzer-beater just before halftime to go from trailing the Boston Celtics 61-60 to leading them 62-61, they might tick over from &lsquo;underdog&rsquo; to &lsquo;favorite&rsquo; in a win probability model. But it isn&rsquo;t as though the game has been fundamentally transformed.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Murray predicted that, even with the upcoming Harris-Trump debate on Sept. 10, polling &ldquo;margins stay fairly close,&rdquo; but due to the &ldquo;unprecedented&rdquo; nature of this election, he &ldquo;also won&rsquo;t be that surprised if something moves them a few more points.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;The thing that we have with Harris is that it&rsquo;s a situation we&rsquo;ve never faced before, so who knows what this means,&rdquo; Murray said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>While polls don&rsquo;t necessarily grant Harris a post-convention lift, she has improved since last month in less tangible ways.<\/p>\n<p>A poll published over the weekend by ABC and Ipsos found that Americans on both sides give Harris better marks than Trump for how her campaign has been run to date.<\/p>\n<p>More than half of all respondents, including 93% of Democrats, 56% of independents, and 24% of Republicans, say that Harris is running an &ldquo;excellent&rdquo; or good &ldquo;campaign.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>By comparison, just 41% of respondents, including 79% of Republicans, 38% of independents, and 13% of Democrats, said the same of Trump.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><strong><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, that same poll showed Harris opening her previously 6-point lead among women up to 13-points.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1745011\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1745011\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With no significant boost from the convention, Harris faces challenges in distancing herself from Trump. Over a week has passed since the Democratic National Convention ended, and it is evident that Vice President Kamala Harris has not experienced the usual post-convention surge in polling that many presidential candidates typically enjoy. Nevertheless, the competition remains extremely close. Before the Chicago event held from August 19-22, Harris had slightly improved her standings. She is nearly tied with former President Donald Trump across various national polls, and campaign insiders anticipate this trend will continue until November.<\/p>\n<p>Patrick Murray, director of The Polling Institute at Monmouth University, shared with the Washington Examiner that Harris did see a bump prior to the convention after President Joe Biden suspended his 2024 campaign on July 21 and Democrats rallied around her as his preferred successor. &#8220;We are in an unprecedented situation where a candidate was just announced as their party&#8217;s nominee a month before the convention; that&#8217;s when she gained her momentum,&#8221; he stated during an interview on Tuesday. According to RealClearPolitics&#8217; average of national polls on Tuesday, Harris leads Trump by 1.9 percentage points in direct matchups\u2014only slightly up from her previous lead of 1.5 percentage points on August 19.<\/p>\n<p>Some seasoned Democratic strategists closely associated with Harris&#8217;s campaign expressed concerns about how things stand currently in this race to the Washington Examiner. &#8220;It would have been beneficial to see some kind of boost,&#8221; one operative remarked. &#8220;Given how high the stakes are, you would hope that just her message and demeanor could counteract all negative attacks coming from opponents; however, that&#8217;s simply how politics operates today.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The next significant opportunity for both Trump and Harris to reach a large audience will be during their first\u2014and possibly only\u2014presidential debate scheduled for September 10 at Philadelphia&#8217;s National Constitution Center. One operative emphasized its importance: \u201cI\u2019ve mentioned this before; everything hinges on September 10th.\u201d Trump&#8217;s primary criticism of Vice President Harris has been regarding delays in advancing her presidential agenda; she is expected to address these issues directly during their debate.<\/p>\n<p>While national polls provide one perspective, it&#8217;s likely that key battleground states will ultimately determine election outcomes\u2014where again both candidates remain highly competitive. Morgan Jackson, a Democratic strategist based in North Carolina\u2014a crucial battleground state\u2014indicated he didn&#8217;t foresee any substantial post-convention bounce for Harris due to both candidates having deeply entrenched support bases: \u201cI didn\u2019t expect much movement across any demographic groups&#8230; I believe we\u2019re looking at a tight race around 47-48 percent.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The unusual nature of this truncated election cycle seems to perplex some polling experts as well; Nate Silver noted that while his averages show Harris leading nationally over Trump, his electoral model still categorizes her as an underdog\u2014a status which may shift soon enough: \u201cHarris\u2019s odds have dipped slightly over recent weeks&#8230; It\u2019s not drastic but reflects sensitivity near even margins.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Murray predicted polling numbers would likely remain close even after their upcoming debate but acknowledged potential shifts given this unique election context: \u201cThis situation with Harris is unprecedented\u2014we don\u2019t know what implications it might hold.\u201d While there hasn&#8217;t been much change reflected in post-convention polling data for Hairs specifically speaking about tangible improvements since last month shows promise; according to an ABC\/Ipsos poll released recently more Americans rate her campaign positively compared to Trump&#8217;s performance thus far\u2014with over half rating hers as &#8216;excellent&#8217; or &#8216;good.&#8217; In contrast only about four out ten respondents felt similarly towards Trump\u2019s efforts while also noting increased support among women voters who now favor Hairs by thirteen points compared previously six-point advantage earlier reported!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2645,"featured_media":2336389,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Harris-DNC.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[3685,38635,32438,33017,32076],"class_list":["post-2336388","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner","tag-democrats","tag-dnc-convention","tag-kamala-harris","tag-political-analysis","tag-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Harris-DNC.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2336388","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2645"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2336388"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2336388\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2336389"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2336388"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2336388"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2336388"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}