{"id":2327799,"date":"2024-08-20T18:01:54","date_gmt":"2024-08-20T22:01:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/sabatos-crystal-ball-moves-north-carolina-to-toss-up-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-08-20T18:03:22","modified_gmt":"2024-08-20T22:03:22","slug":"sabatos-crystal-ball-moves-north-carolina-to-toss-up-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/sabatos-crystal-ball-moves-north-carolina-to-toss-up-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball moves North Carolina to \u2018toss-up\u2019 &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">22<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fsabatos-crystal-ball-moves-north-carolina-to-toss-up-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2327799&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The summary discusses recent political developments in North \u200bCarolina concerning the 2024 presidential election. Vice President Kamala Harris&#8217;s prospects in this\u2064 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/huge-sidney-powell-witness-whom-ny-times-described-as-always-the-smartest-person-in-the-room-concludes-hundreds-of-thousands-of-votes-transferred-from-trump-to-biden-in-all-battleground-states\/\" title=\"HUGE! Sidney Powell Witness Whom NY Times Described as &quot;Always the Smartest Person in the Room&quot; Concludes Hundreds of Thousands of Votes Transferred from Trump to Biden IN ALL BATTLEGROUND STATES\">key battleground state<\/a> \u200dhave reportedly improved, \u2062as highlighted by the shift in classification by Larry Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball\u2063 from\u200b &#8220;lean Republican&#8221; to &#8220;toss-up.&#8221; This change \u2063follows findings from\u200b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/hoping-sleepy-joe-would-become-president-osama-bin-laden-banned-al-qaeda-from-attempting-to-kill-biden-because-his-incompetence-would-lead-the-us-into-a-crisis\/\" title=\"Hoping Sleepy-Joe Would Become President, Osama Bin Laden Banned Al-Qaeda From Attempting to Kill Biden Because His Incompetence Would \u201cLead The US Into a Crisis\u201d\">major polls<\/a>, which indicate Harris is \u2062leading former President Donald \u2064Trump by narrow\u2064 margins. However, other recent \u200bpolls still show\u2062 Trump in the lead overall. This adjustment \u200bfurther emphasizes the competitive \u2062landscape\u200b of North \u200bCarolina, which, \u200balong with Georgia, has been reclassified by the Crystal Ball as a toss-up state, underscoring its\u2062 significance\u2062 in the upcoming election.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Sabato&rsquo;s Crystal Ball moves North Carolina to &lsquo;toss-up&rsquo;<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1734710\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Vice President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/kamala-harris\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Kamala Harris\">Kamala Harris<\/a>&lsquo;s chances in a crucial battleground state appear to be improving.<\/p>\n<p>Larry Sabato&rsquo;s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia&rsquo;s Center for Politics <a href=\"https:\/\/centerforpolitics.org\/crystalball\/north-carolina-moves-to-toss-up-setting-up-november-battle-for-magnificent-seven-swing-states\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"shifted\">shifted<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/north-carolina\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"North Carolina\">North Carolina<\/a> from &ldquo;lean Republican&rdquo; to &ldquo;toss-up&rdquo; on Tuesday. The move comes after two major pollsters found Harris leading over former President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Donald Trump\">Donald Trump<\/a> in the Tar Heel State.<\/p>\n<p>Polls from the <em>New York Times<\/em>-Siena College and the Cook Political Report show Harris with a 2% and 1% lead in the state, respectively, but three other recent polls have shown Trump leading Harris, making the <em>RealClearPolitics<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/north-carolina\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"polling average\">polling average<\/a> for the head-to-head matchup a 1.2% Trump lead.<\/p>\n<p>The group&rsquo;s shift of North Carolina to &ldquo;toss-up&rdquo; marks the second time this month they have moved a state from the Republican column to a &ldquo;toss-up,&rdquo; with the other state being Georgia. Sabato&rsquo;s Crystal Ball also said North Carolina has the best chance of being the &ldquo;reddest&rdquo; among the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-more-votes-than-voters-in-key-swing-states\/\" title=\"Trump: More Votes Than Voters in Key Swing States\">key swing states<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats have had their sights set on North Carolina for much of the 2024 presidential race after it was the closest state to vote for Trump over President Joe Biden in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Since 1980, Democrats have only won North Carolina once in the presidential election, in 2008, when then-Sen. Barack Obama beat then-Sen. John McCain by less than half a percentage point.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>North Carolina joins six other states &mdash; Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin &mdash; that have been rated as &ldquo;toss-up&rdquo; contests by Sabato&rsquo;s Crystal Ball. Of the seven &ldquo;toss-up&rdquo; states, only North Carolina voted for Trump in 2020, but all of the &ldquo;toss-up&rdquo; states, except Nevada, voted for Trump in 2016.<\/p>\n<p>The shift in Harris&rsquo;s favor comes as she is set to accept the Democratic Party&rsquo;s nomination for president at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago on Thursday night. The convention will also have high-profile speakers on Tuesday and Wednesday night, including former President Barack Obama and Harris&rsquo;s running mate, Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN).<\/p>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1734710\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1734710\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Larry Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball has updated its assessment of North Carolina, changing its designation from &#8220;lean Republican&#8221; to &#8220;toss-up,&#8221; indicating an improvement in Vice President Kamala Harris&#8217;s prospects in this key battleground state. This change occurred following recent polls from the New York Times-Siena College and the Cook Political Report, which showed Harris with a slight lead over former President Donald Trump\u20142% and 1%, respectively. However, three other recent polls indicated Trump was ahead of Harris, resulting in a RealClearPolitics average showing Trump leading by 1.2%. This marks the second time this month that Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball has reclassified a state from Republican-leaning to toss-up; Georgia was the first. The analysis also noted that North Carolina is likely to be one of the most Republican-leaning among key swing states. Democrats have focused on North Carolina throughout much of the 2024 presidential campaign since it was one of the closest states during Trump&#8217;s victory over President Joe Biden in 2020. Historically, Democrats have only won North Carolina once since 1980\u2014in 2008 when Barack Obama narrowly defeated John McCain by less than half a percentage point. Alongside North Carolina, six other states\u2014Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin\u2014are also classified as toss-ups by Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball. Notably, while all these toss-up states except Nevada voted for Trump in 2016 and only North Carolina did so in 2020. The shift favoring Harris comes just as she prepares to accept her party&#8217;s nomination for president at the Democratic National Convention taking place in Chicago on Thursday night; high-profile speakers are scheduled for earlier convention nights as well<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2638,"featured_media":2327800,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/kamala-harris-donald-trump-north-carolina-rating-aug-2024.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[38735,32258,38734,22488,32076],"class_list":["post-2327799","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-crystal-ball","tag-north-carolina","tag-sabato","tag-toss-up","tag-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/kamala-harris-donald-trump-north-carolina-rating-aug-2024.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2327799","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2638"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2327799"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2327799\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2327800"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2327799"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2327799"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2327799"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}