{"id":2314727,"date":"2024-07-27T15:14:54","date_gmt":"2024-07-27T19:14:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2314727"},"modified":"2024-07-27T15:24:09","modified_gmt":"2024-07-27T19:24:09","slug":"game-show-judges-players-on-what-they-know-they-dont-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/game-show-judges-players-on-what-they-know-they-dont-know\/","title":{"rendered":"Game Show Judges Players On What They Know They Don\u2019t Know"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">22<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fgame-show-judges-players-on-what-they-know-they-dont-know%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2314727&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The new ABC \u2064game show \u2062&#8221;Lucky\u200c 13,&#8221; hosted by Shaquille O&#8217;Neal and\u2062 Gina \u200cRodriguez, creatively combines elements of a quiz show and game theory. Contestants answer 13 true\/false questions spanning various trivia topics and must then self-assess\u2063 their performance before revealing their actual answers. To win money, they have\u200d to predict their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/how-i-learned-that-grading-students-is-racist\/\" title=\"How I Learned That Grading Students Is Racist\">correct answers<\/a> within a certain range. The\u2064 prize varies,\u200c with potential winnings of up to $1 million for predicting a perfect score,\u2062 but they can\u2063 leave with nothing if their prediction is incorrect.<\/p>\n<p>The show&#8217;s \u2064premise echoes Donald\u200d Rumsfeld&#8217;s concepts of &#8220;known unknowns&#8221; and &#8220;unknown unknowns,&#8221; emphasizing the importance of self-awareness and instincts alongside knowledge. For \u200dexample, \u200beven if a\u2063 contestant answers all\u200b questions correctly, they could still walk away empty-handed if their prediction is off. The first\u2062 episode illustrated the game&#8217;s dynamics well, as contestants faced financial dilemmas based on their performance predictions and the associated risks involved in guessing their accuracy. \u200cThe strategic decision-making required adds a compelling layer to the competition.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>It sounds like a joke: When coming up with its newest game show offering, ABC turned to Shaquille O&rsquo;Neal and Donald Rumsfeld for inspiration. Yet the new show, titled &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/abc.com\/show\/7d0f83f1-b2a3-408d-b076-a9da52ee4b35\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Lucky 13<\/a>,&rdquo; works, serving as a unique hybrid between a quiz show and a tutorial in game theory.<\/p>\n<p>The basketball Hall of Famer hosts the show along with actress Gina Rodriguez. But the ghost of the former secretary of defense lingers over the show&rsquo;s premise. In order to win any money, contestants must correctly assess what they don&rsquo;t know, which echoes Rumsfeld&rsquo;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=REWeBzGuzCc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">famous soliloquy<\/a> about &ldquo;known unknowns&rdquo; and &ldquo;unknown unknowns.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<h2>Contestant Grades Own Performance<\/h2>\n<p>An episode of <em>Lucky 13<\/em> starts simply enough, with a contestant picked at random from a group of 13 and then being given a series of 13 true\/false questions. The queries run the gamut of general knowledge, from celebrity gossip to geography to more obscure trivia (e.g., the number of dimples on a golf ball).<\/p>\n<p>The show&rsquo;s twist comes when the contestant gets asked to assess his own performance &mdash; i.e., the number of questions he believes he answered correctly &mdash; after being asked the questions but before seeing the answers. If the contestant correctly guesses his performance within a range, he wins money ranging from $5,000 (if the contestant got one to three <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/age-related-cognitive-decline-former-wh-doctor-talks-biden-says-obama-wrote-him-scathing-email-over-betrayal\/\" title=\"\u2018Age-Related Cognitive Decline\u2019: Former WH Doctor Talks Biden, Says Obama Wrote Him \u2018Scathing\u2019 Email Over \u2018Betrayal\u2019\">questions correct<\/a>) to $1 million if he got all 13 questions correct. But if the contestant&rsquo;s actual number of correct answers falls outside the range he predicted, either high or low, the contestant walks away with nothing.<\/p>\n<p>In the most extreme case, a contestant could answer all 13 questions correctly, yet win absolutely nothing &mdash; because answering all 13 questions correctly only matters if the contestant also correctly predicted his perfect performance. Put another way, &ldquo;Lucky 13&rdquo; assesses a contestant&rsquo;s own instincts and game-playing ability as much as it does his knowledge base.<\/p>\n<h2>Financial Gambles<\/h2>\n<p>The show does pay more for contestants with accurate answers. Contestants accurately predicting they will answer all 13 questions correctly receive $1 million, with $100,000 for 10-12 questions correct, $25,000 for seven to nine questions correct, $15,000 for four to six questions correct, and $5,000 for one to three questions correct. The last scenario seems highly unlikely because most contestants will get more than three true\/false questions correct just by random choice. (Besides, if players were confident enough to believe they got only one question correct, shouldn&rsquo;t they just have given the opposite answers to the true\/false questions, in which case they could put themselves in line for bigger bucks?)<\/p>\n<p>The show&rsquo;s premiere episode demonstrates the upsides and downsides of the theory behind the game. In the show&rsquo;s first half, a contestant predicted he would answer seven to nine questions correctly and then further predicted he would get nine questions correct. (Hitting the number of correct questions on the nose wins a contestant a $25,000 bonus).<\/p>\n<p>By predicting he would answer nine questions correctly, the contestant put himself in line for a total prize of $50,000 ($25,000 for being in the range of seven to nine and an additional $25,000 for hitting it on the nose). But predicting he would have answered 10 questions correctly would have won him a total prize of $125,000 ($100,000 for being in the range of 10-12 and an additional $25,000 for hitting it on the nose). In other words, predicting he would get an additional question right would have paid this contestant 2.5:1 odds &mdash; $125,000 for predicting 10 questions correct versus $50,000 for predicting nine questions correct.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Put in mathematical terms, the choice seems obvious: Take the calculated risk and select the slightly higher total, given the much higher payoff that comes with it. Yet the contestant in question not only picked the lower total, he missed out on the (smaller) payoff &mdash; because the contestant ended up getting 10 questions right rather than nine after all, putting him out of his chosen range and leaving him with nothing.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Like the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=-8xjeGZN_Rg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">infamous second episode<\/a> of &ldquo;Jeopardy!&rsquo;s&rdquo; syndicated run, where all three contestants ended up with $0 scores because they hadn&rsquo;t thought through how to wager on &ldquo;Final Jeopardy!,&rdquo; the contestants&rsquo; behavior on &ldquo;Lucky 13&rdquo; apparently has not caught up with game theory and strategy. In some ways, that speaks to the novelty of the concept; time will tell if that concept plays well with viewers.<\/p>\n<h2>Unique Pairing<\/h2>\n<p>When it comes to playing well, &ldquo;Lucky 13&rsquo;s&rdquo; hosts do just that. O&rsquo;Neal and Rodriguez complement each other nicely and hit the right tone for a quiz show. While the gargantuan Shaq towers over both his fellow host and the contestants, the show does not rely on visual pranks or over-the-top jokes to hold its viewers&rsquo; attention.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, &ldquo;Lucky 13&rdquo; seeks to engage the audience by asking contestants to judge their own performance &mdash; and with sizable sums available only if they judge correctly. Here&rsquo;s hoping that viewers judge the show a novel new offering in the game show universe.<\/p>\n<p><em>&ldquo;Lucky 13<\/em>&rdquo; <em>airs Thursdays at 9 p.m. Eastern\/8 p.m. Central on ABC and is available online.<\/em><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p>      Chris Jacobs is founder and CEO of Juniper Research Group, a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/game-show-judges-assess-players-on-their-unknown-knowledge\/\" title=\"Game Show Judges Assess Players on Their Unknown Knowledge\">policy consulting firm based<\/a> in Washington, and author of the book &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/dp\/1645720020\">The Case Against Single Payer<\/a>.&#8221; He appeared in the 1995 &#8220;Jeopardy!&#8221; Teen Tournament and is on Twitter: <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/chrisjacobsHC\">@chrisjacobsHC<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It may seem humorous, but ABC sought inspiration for its latest game show from Shaquille O\u2019Neal and Donald Rumsfeld. The resulting show, \u201cLucky 13,\u201d successfully combines elements of a quiz show with lessons in game theory. Hosted by basketball legend Shaquille O\u2019Neal alongside actress Gina Rodriguez, the show&#8217;s concept is influenced by Rumsfeld\u2019s well-known remarks about \u201cknown unknowns\u201d and \u201cunknown unknowns.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>In each episode of &#8220;Lucky 13,&#8221; a contestant is randomly selected from a group of 13 and faces a series of 13 true\/false questions covering various topics, including celebrity news and geography. The unique twist occurs when contestants must evaluate their own performance\u2014estimating how many questions they believe they answered correctly\u2014before seeing the actual answers. If their self-assessment falls within an acceptable range, they can win cash prizes ranging from $5,000 (for one to three correct answers) to $1 million (for all correct answers). However, if their actual score lies outside their predicted range, they leave empty-handed.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, it\u2019s possible for a contestant to answer all questions correctly yet still win nothing if they fail to predict that outcome accurately. Thus, &#8220;Lucky 13&#8221; tests not only contestants&#8217; knowledge but also their instincts and strategic thinking.<\/p>\n<p>The financial stakes increase with accurate predictions: guessing all correct answers nets $1 million; predicting between ten to twelve correct earns $100,000; seven to nine yields $25,000; four to six brings in $15,000; while one to three results in $5,000. Most contestants are likely to get more than three right purely by chance.<\/p>\n<p>The premiere episode illustrates both the potential rewards and pitfalls inherent in this format. One contestant estimated he would answer between seven and nine questions correctly but then specifically predicted he would get nine right\u2014a choice that could have earned him up to $50,000 ($25K for being within range plus another bonus for hitting his prediction). Had he instead guessed ten correct responses\u2014an option that offered better odds at winning more money\u2014he could have walked away with as much as $125K.<\/p>\n<p>This scenario highlights how some contestants may struggle with strategic decision-making akin to what was seen during an infamous episode of &#8220;Jeopardy!&#8221; where all players ended up scoring zero due to poor wagering choices on &#8220;Final Jeopardy!&#8221; It suggests that participants on &#8220;Lucky 13&#8221; might not yet fully grasp game theory principles\u2014a factor that could influence viewer reception over time.<\/p>\n<p>As for hosting duties on \u201cLucky 13,\u201d O\u2019Neal and Rodriguez work well together without relying on gimmicks or excessive humor typical of other shows. Instead of focusing solely on entertainment value through visual antics or jokes aimed at keeping viewers engaged through laughter alone\u2014the show invites audiences into the experience by challenging contestants&#8217; self-evaluation skills against significant monetary rewards based on accuracy.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLucky 13\u201d airs Thursdays at 9 p.m. Eastern\/8 p.m. Central on ABC and is also available online.<br \/>\nChris Jacobs is the founder and CEO of Juniper Research Group based in Washington D.C., authoring works such as &#8220;The Case Against Single Payer.&#8221; He participated in the Teen Tournament edition of &#8220;Jeopardy!&#8221; back in &#8217;95 and can be found tweeting @chrisjacobsHC<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":521,"featured_media":2314734,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-25-at-7.08.39%E2%80%AFAM.png","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[546],"tags":[26615,14890,36295,7580,5376],"class_list":["post-2314727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-federalist","tag-contestants","tag-entertainment","tag-game-show","tag-judges","tag-knowledge"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-25-at-7.08.39%E2%80%AFAM.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2314727","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/521"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2314727"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2314727\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2314734"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2314727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2314727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2314727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}