{"id":2284394,"date":"2024-06-27T06:26:02","date_gmt":"2024-06-27T10:26:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trumps-strength-in-the-polls-and-fundraising-haul-leave-democrats-wondering-how-it-all-went-so-wrong-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-06-27T06:30:47","modified_gmt":"2024-06-27T10:30:47","slug":"trumps-strength-in-the-polls-and-fundraising-haul-leave-democrats-wondering-how-it-all-went-so-wrong-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trumps-strength-in-the-polls-and-fundraising-haul-leave-democrats-wondering-how-it-all-went-so-wrong-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s strength in the polls and fundraising haul leave Democrats wondering how it all went so wrong &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">40<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ftrumps-strength-in-the-polls-and-fundraising-haul-leave-democrats-wondering-how-it-all-went-so-wrong-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2284394&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Despite\u2062 being convicted on 34 felony counts, former President Donald Trump has remarkably sustained his political momentum. Following the conviction, Trump&#8217;s campaign raised an impressive \u200c$53 million in just 24 hours, outpacing the Biden campaign&#8217;s fundraising efforts\u200c significantly for the month of May. According to the Federal Election Commission filings, Trump \u2062and associated Republican groups amassed $141 million, compared\u2062 to the $85 million raised by the Biden campaign and Democratic allies.<\/p>\n<p>Interest from major donors remains strong, with \u2063Dr. Miriam Adelson, a prominent Republican supporter, pledging \u200c$100 million to aid Trump&#8217;s campaign, albeit with a request for him to moderate his tone. Despite initial concerns that the conviction\u2062 might hurt his political support, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-great-politically-for-republicans-to-talk-arizona-election-audit\/\" title=\"Trump: 'Great Politically' for Republicans to Talk Arizona Election Audit\">national polls show<\/a> only a slight, temporary dip in Trump\u2019s lead over Biden, which later recovered. Interestingly, Trump&#8217;s position improved slightly in\u2063 key\u200d battleground states post-verdict.<\/p>\n<p>Trump&#8217;s continued resilience in the polls and fundraising suggests a vibrant base of support \u200dand potential\u2062 to not only retain his current political \u2062strongholds but also to make gains in states like Virginia, which has trended Democratic \u200din recent elections. \u200bThis situation underscores the unique and\u200c polarized nature of American politics today, where \u200ceven significant legal controversies can do little \u2062to dampen the electoral prospects of a figure like Donald \u2064Trump.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Democrats were sure that former President <a href=\"http:\/\/washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Donald Trump<\/a>\u2019s conviction on 34 felony counts in a New York courtroom on May 30 would see independent voters abandon him in droves. He is now a convicted felon, and although the verdict will likely be reversed upon appeal, there is little likelihood that will happen before Election Day. No reasonable person would vote for a convict, right? <\/p>\n<p>Much to the Democrats\u2019 chagrin, a lot of reasonable people plan to do just that. Not only will they vote for a felon, but they\u2019ll send him lots of money to make sure he wins. In the 24 hours after the verdict, his campaign raised $53 million online.<\/p>\n<p>And since then, he has closed the fundraising gap with President Joe Biden. According to Federal Election Commission filings, the Biden campaign, the Democratic Committee, and affiliated groups raised<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/06\/20\/biden-campaign-may-fundraising-total-trump.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> $85 million<\/a> in May. This figure was dwarfed by the $141 million taken in by the Trump campaign, the Republican National Committee, and associated groups. At the end of May, the Trump campaign had<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3055875\/democrats-alarm-trump-closes-fundraising-gap-biden\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> $116.6 million<\/a> in cash on hand compared to $91.6 million for the Biden campaign. <\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday, the <em>New York Times<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/06\/25\/us\/politics\/miriam-adelson-trump-israel.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>  reported<\/a> that Dr. Miriam Adelson, the widow of billionaire casino magnate and Republican megadonor Sheldon Adelson, plans to spend $100 million to put Trump back in the White House. In return for her support, she has requested that Trump \u201cbe less bombastic,\u201d according to the report. <\/p>\n<p>It is true that the national polls tightened slightly after the verdict, suggesting that, at least initially, some voters were reluctant to support a candidate who had been convicted of a crime. On May 30, Trump led Biden by<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> 0.9%<\/a> in the <em>RealClearPolitics<\/em> head-to-head average of polls. His lead dipped to 0.3% over the next week. Today, however, Trump\u2019s lead stands at 1%. (It should be noted that Trump received a big boost last week from a Rasmussen Reports poll that showed Trump ahead by 9 points nationally, a result that may be an outlier.) <\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s May 30 lead of<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/trump-vs-biden-vs-kennedy-vs-west-vs-stein\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> 2.2%<\/a> in a five-way race also fell slightly in the week after the verdict, but has since fully recovered. Again, the recent results from Rasmussen are included in this polling average. Extracting this poll from the average would indicate Trump\u2019s lead has not yet returned to its pre-verdict level.<\/p>\n<p>Remarkably, Trump\u2019s slight loss of support in the national polls did not transfer over to polls in the swing states, where the presumptive Republican nominee has modestly increased his lead in the <em>RealClearPolitics<\/em> average from<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/elections\/president\/2024\/battleground-states\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> 3.1%<\/a> on May 30 to 3.2% today.<\/p>\n<p>Trump currently maintains a lead in six of the seven battleground states included in the <em>RealClearPolitics<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>  average<\/a>: Arizona +5.6%, Georgia +4%, Michigan +0.2%, Nevada +4.0%, North Carolina +5.8%, and Pennsylvania +2.8%, and Trump and Biden are tied in Wisconsin. It should be noted that the Wisconsin polling average contains what looks to be an overly enthusiastic result from a Quinnipiac survey released in early May that showed Biden up 6 points in the state. <\/p>\n<p>With the exception of North Carolina, Biden won all of these states in 2020. <\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s also worth noting that the day after his conviction, Trump\u2019s odds in the <em>RealClearPolitics<\/em> betting average dived by<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/betting-odds\/2024\/president\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> 8.5%<\/a>. He has not only regained this lost ground, but he is now 3 points higher than he was pre-verdict. His odds of winning in November stand at 51.2% compared to Biden\u2019s chances of 35.5%.<\/p>\n<p>Although we may well see a reversal in the national polls, it is important to remember that Trump does <em>not<\/em> need to win the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/6-steps-the-democrats-will-take-to-fundamentally-alter-america-and-ensure-their-permanent-power\/\" title=\"6 Steps The Democrats Will Take To Fundamentally Alter America And Ensure Their Permanent Power\">national popular vote<\/a> to win the election. In 2016, he lost the popular vote but won the presidency in the Electoral College, just as President George Bush did in 2000.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, with recent polls showing Trump tied with Biden in the states of Virginia and Minnesota and even gaining momentum in other <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/indiana-health-department-nurse-claims-fourth-graders-experiment-with-anal-sex\/\" title=\"Indiana Health Department Nurse Claims Fourth Graders Experiment with Anal Sex\">traditionally blue states<\/a>, Trump may be on the verge of expanding the electoral map for Republicans. Considering that Biden won Virginia by 9.4 points in 2020, and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton won it by 5.3 points in 2016, the fact that Trump is even competitive in the state is stunning. <\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s not crazy to think that Trump<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/opinion\/beltway-confidential\/3021405\/trump-may-have-shot-winning-virginia\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> could turn<\/a> Virginia red again. Prior to electing President Barack Obama in 2008, the Old Dominion State had a long history of voting for Republicans. With the exception of President Lyndon Johnson\u2019s 1964 victory, Virginians voted for the Republican candidate in every presidential election from 1952 to 2004. <\/p>\n<p><em>RealClearPolitics<\/em> recently moved Virginia from its \u201cLeans Biden\u201d category into the tossup column, where Biden is currently ahead in the average of polls by<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/virginia\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> 2.2%<\/a>. But two of the four polls included in the average (that show Biden leading by 3 and 6 points) were conducted in December. <\/p>\n<p>A poll released last week from<a href=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/june-2024-state-polls-trump-maintains-edge-over-biden\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> the <em>Hill<\/em>-Emerson<\/a>, meanwhile, showed Trump and Biden tied in Minnesota, a state that hasn\u2019t elected a Republican presidential candidate since President Richard Nixon in 1972. <\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s persistent strength in the battleground states and his recent surge in fundraising has to leave Democrats scratching their heads and wondering how it all went so wrong. <\/p>\n<p>Perhaps Biden can explain it at Thursday night\u2019s presidential debate when the two meet face to face in Atlanta. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Elizabeth Stauffer is a contributor to the <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/author\/elizabeth-stauffer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Washington Examiner<\/a><em> and the <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/author\/estauffer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Western Journal<\/a><em>. Follow her on <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/StaufferVaughn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">X<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/elizabethvaughn313\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">LinkedIn<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Democrats believed that after Donald Trump&#8217;s conviction on 34 felony counts on May 30 in New York, independent voters would massively desert him. Despite being a convicted felon, Trump might see the verdict overturned on appeal, though this is unlikely to occur before Election Day<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":664,"featured_media":2284395,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Biden-Trump-blueprint-poll.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[3685,15467,15638,3634,32076],"class_list":["post-2284394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner","tag-democrats","tag-fundraising","tag-polls","tag-trump","tag-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Biden-Trump-blueprint-poll.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2284394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/664"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2284394"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2284394\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2284395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2284394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2284394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2284394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}