{"id":2273359,"date":"2024-06-21T09:55:02","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T13:55:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/new-york-shows-biden-scary-numbers-as-trump-surges-in-2024-election-polls\/"},"modified":"2024-06-21T09:58:13","modified_gmt":"2024-06-21T13:58:13","slug":"new-york-shows-biden-scary-numbers-as-trump-surges-in-2024-election-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/new-york-shows-biden-scary-numbers-as-trump-surges-in-2024-election-polls\/","title":{"rendered":"New York Polls Show Alarming Figures for Biden as Trump Gains Momentum for 2024 Election"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">30<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fnew-york-shows-biden-scary-numbers-as-trump-surges-in-2024-election-polls%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2273359&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The article discusses recent polling data in the context of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, \u2064focusing specifically on a Fox News poll. It highlights that President Joe Biden has a narrow lead over\u200b Donald Trump,\u200c capturing 50% to Trump&#8217;s 48%,\u200b their\u2062 first shift \u2063in this direction after \u2062a\u2063 year-and-a-half. However, it\u200c is emphasized \u200cthat national poll results \u200dmay not be decisive in determining\u200b the outcome \u2062of\u2062 the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/petty-and-small-karl-rove-hammers-trump-and-says-desantis-is-more-popular\/\" title=\"Rove criticizes Trump, praises DeSantis.\">presidential race due<\/a> to the Electoral College \u200bsystem.<\/p>\n<p>The piece notes\u200c that President\u2063 Biden may not be performing as\u2063 well in\u200c swing states, which play\u2063 a critical role in electoral victories. An example \u200bgiven is a\u200d Siena \u2064College poll that\u2064 shows Trump has strong support among Republicans and independents in New York, \u200ca\u200c state traditionally viewed as safe for Democrats. The implication is that while Biden might win New York, the margins are tighter\u200c than expected, which could be problematic for other Democratic candidates in\u2064 the state.<\/p>\n<p>The\u2062 article also mentions a series of polls from Emerson\/The Hill showing Trump\u2019s \u200cstrength in other <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-more-votes-than-voters-in-key-swing-states\/\" title=\"Trump: More Votes Than Voters in Key Swing States\">key swing states<\/a>, presumably giving him an\u2064 overall advantage\u2063 if\u2062 those trends\u2064 hold until the election. although Democrats celebrate the national poll\u2063 results \u2062showing \u2063Biden ahead, these are tempered by concerns over critical\u200c swing state performances that could ultimately sway the election result.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> <script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_0)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_1)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>When Fox News\u2019 latest national presidential poll came out, Democrats rejoiced; for the first time in a year-and-a-half, President Joe Biden had the lead.<\/p>\n<p>Now, mind you, Biden\u2019s 50 percent to 48 percent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/official-polls\/fox-news-poll-three-point-shift-biden-trump-matchup-since-may\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lead<\/a> is still within the margin of error, and Trump was only ahead by one point last month \u2014 but to online Democrats, it was proof that constant yammering about the economy combined with a kangaroo-court conviction for the opposition had <em>worked<\/em>. Happy days were here again!<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">And there it is. According to Fox News, Biden is now leading Trump in the latest national poll for the first time since the fall of 2023. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/TiEHYo5cNB\">pic.twitter.com\/TiEHYo5cNB<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Brian Tyler Cohen (@briantylercohen) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/briantylercohen\/status\/1803566247545884866?\">June 19, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div id=\"IC1-ad\" class=\"sponsor IC1\">\n<div class=\"ad-notice flipboard-remove\" fl:fl-noexcerpt=\"true\">Advertisement &#8211; story continues below<\/div>\n<div id=\"IC1\"> <script> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '#IC1-ad' ).style.display='none';} else if( 'IC1' !='REP' && FFADS.units.IC1 && FFADS.units.IC1.ad_type=='custom' && FFADS.units.IC1.custom_ads && ! getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById( 'IC1' ).innerHTML=FFADS.units.IC1.custom_ads[0].code; \t\t\t\tif( ! FFADS.units.IC1.lazy_load ) eval( FFADS.units.IC1.custom_ads[0].rendering_script ); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately for the liberal punditocracy, like our <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/briantylercohen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">podcaster friend Mr. Cohen<\/a>, elections aren\u2019t decided by a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/breaking-exclusive-analysis-of-election-night-data-from-all-states-shows-millions-of-votes-either-switched-from-president-trump-to-biden-or-were-lost-using-dominion-and-other-systems\/\" title=\"BREAKING EXCLUSIVE: Analysis of Election Night Data from All States Shows MILLIONS OF VOTES Either Switched from President Trump to Biden or Were Lost -- Using Dominion and Other Systems\">national vote<\/a>. We have this thing called the Electoral College; you may have heard of it.<\/p>\n<div id=\"in-article-trending\" class=\"in-article-more inner-content\">\n<div class=\"in-article-more-label\">Trending:<\/div>\n<div class=\"in-article-more-right\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/cbs-forced-delete-segment-embarrassing-biden-reporting-history-exposed-air\/\" data-type=\"Internal link\" data-type-location=\"in-content-trending\">CBS Forced to Delete Segment After Most Embarrassing Biden Reporting in History Exposed On-Air<\/a> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> <script> \t\t\t\tif( ! getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) if( typeof FFADS.replace_ict !='undefined' ) if( FFADS.replace_ict ) eval( FFADS.replace_ict ); \t\t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s why, even though Biden was up by 7.2 points in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2020\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">RealClearPolitics<\/a> polling aggregate in 2020, it took days to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/top-pollster-fox-news-arizona-call-retracted-new-results-show-trump-gaining-fast\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">call the race<\/a>. (It\u2019s also worth noting that Biden\u2019s actual margin of national aggregate vote victory was significantly less than what the polls indicated and that Trump has generally underperformed in the polls, but never mind.)<\/p>\n<p>Thus, the key is whether or not Trump is winning the swing states and turning more states into <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/muslims-turn-biden-key-swing-states-want-democrats-learn-lesson\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">swing states<\/a>, not if he\u2019s leading a national survey. And that\u2019s why, while Cohen is doing a victory dance around his laptop over that single Fox News poll, another survey from the same outlet should have him and every Democrat concerned.<\/p>\n<div id=\"IC2-ad\" class=\"sponsor IC2\">\n<div class=\"ad-notice flipboard-remove\" fl:fl-noexcerpt=\"true\">Advertisement &#8211; story continues below<\/div>\n<div id=\"IC2\"> <script> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '#IC2-ad' ).style.display='none';} else if( 'IC2' !='REP' && FFADS.units.IC2 && FFADS.units.IC2.ad_type=='custom' && FFADS.units.IC2.custom_ads && ! getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById( 'IC2' ).innerHTML=FFADS.units.IC2.custom_ads[0].code; \t\t\t\tif( ! FFADS.units.IC2.lazy_load ) eval( FFADS.units.IC2.custom_ads[0].rendering_script ); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Trump is within single digits in New York state. Yes, liberal New York \u2014 where Biden won by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/election\/2020\/results\/state\/new-york\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>23 points<\/em><\/a>  in 2020 \u2014 now only has the president up 47 to 39 percent.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe survey indicates that Biden\u2019s lead has inched down from 10 points in April and 9 points in May,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/trump-down-single-digits-solidly-blue-state-biden-won-23-points-2020\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fox News<\/a> reported Thursday.<\/p>\n<div id=\"firefly-poll-container\" class=\"one-half\">\n<div class=\"firefly-poll-question\">Are you voting for Trump?<\/div>\n<div id=\"pollFormBox\" style=\"display: none;\">\n<form id=\"firefly-poll\" class=\"firefly-poll\" onsubmit=\"ff_poll_submit( event );\"> <input type=\"hidden\" name=\"action\" value=\"firefly_polls_record_vote\"> <input type=\"hidden\" name=\"post_id\" value=\"3700732\"> <label><input type=\"radio\" name=\"answer\" value=\"yes\" required=\"required\">Yes<\/label> <label><input type=\"radio\" name=\"answer\" value=\"no\" required=\"required\">No<\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"email\" name=\"email\" placeholder=\"Enter your email\" required=\"required\"> <input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\"> <\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-poll-disclaimer\">  Completing this <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/special-thanks-to-the-new-york-times-for-accidentally-providing-the-data-that-will-bring-down-biden-and-crack-the-biggest-vote-fraud-in-history\/\" title=\"SPECIAL THANKS to The New York Times for Accidentally Providing the Data that Will Bring Down Biden and CRACK THE BIGGEST VOTE FRAUD IN HISTORY\">poll entitles<\/a> you to The Western Journal news updates free of charge via email. You may opt out at anytime. You also agree to our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/about\/privacy-policy\/\">Privacy Policy<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/about\/terms-service\/\">Terms of Use<\/a>. <\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"firefly-poll-results\" style=\"display: none;\">\n<div id=\"firefly-poll-results-yes\" style=\"width: 94%\">  Yes: 94% (17 Votes) <\/div>\n<div id=\"firefly-poll-results-no\" style=\"width: 6%\">  No: 6% (1 Votes) <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> <script> \t\tfunction ffp_getCookie(cname) { \t\t\tvar name=cname + \"=\"; \t\t\tvar decodedCookie=decodeURIComponent(document.cookie); \t\t\tvar ca=decodedCookie.split(';'); \t\t\tfor(var i=0; i <ca.length; i++) { \t\t\t\tvar c=ca[i]; \t\t\t\twhile (c.charAt(0)==' ') { \t\t\t\t\tc=c.substring(1); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tif (c.indexOf(name)==0) { \t\t\t\t\treturn c.substring(name.length, c.length); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t} \t\t\treturn \"\"; \t\t}  \t\tfunction ffp_setCookie(cname, cvalue, exdays) { \t\t\tvar d=new Date(); \t\t\td.setTime(d.getTime() + (exdays*24*60*60*1000)); \t\t\tvar expires=\"expires=\"+ d.toUTCString(); \t\t\tdocument.cookie=cname + \"=\" + cvalue + \";\" + expires + \";path=\/\"; \t\t}  \t\twindow.ff_poll_voted=false;  \t\tvar voted_cookie_name='firefly_voted_3700732';  \t\tfunction ff_poll_submit( event ) { \t\t\tevent.preventDefault();  \t\t\tvar fireflyPoll=jQuery( '#firefly-poll' ); \t\t\tvar fireflyPollContainer=jQuery('#firefly-poll-container'); \t\t\tvar pollFormBox=jQuery('#pollFormBox');  \t\t\tif( window.ff_poll_voted || ffp_getCookie( voted_cookie_name ) ){ return; } \t\t\twindow.ff_poll_voted=true;  \t\t\tfireflyPollContainer.addClass('loading');              \/\/Need to assign URL here as it was defined only in firefly.             var firefly_ajax_url='https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-admin\/admin-ajax.php';  \t\t\tvar posting=jQuery.post( firefly_ajax_url, jQuery( event.target ).serialize() );              \/\/Check the Datalayer             if(window.dataLayer){                 window.dataLayer=window.dataLayer || [];                 window.dataLayer.push( {                     'event': 'in-article poll vote',                     'pollAnswer': jQuery( 'input:radio[name=answer]:checked' ).val(),                     'pollName': jQuery( '.firefly-poll-question').text(),                     'pollSubmitMethod': 'email',                 } );             }  \t\t\tffp_setCookie( voted_cookie_name, 1, 7 );  \t\t\tposting.done( function( response ) { \t\t\t\tif( response.success ){ \t\t\t\t\tyes_el=document.getElementById( 'firefly-poll-results-yes' ); \t\t\t\t\tno_el=document.getElementById( 'firefly-poll-results-no' );  \t\t\t\t\tyes_el.style.width=response.data.percents.yes + '%'; \t\t\t\t\tyes_el.innerHTML='Yes: ' + response.data.percents.yes + '% (' + response.data.votes.yes + ' Votes)';  \t\t\t\t\tno_el.style.width=response.data.percents.no + '%'; \t\t\t\t\tno_el.innerHTML='No: ' + response.data.percents.no + '% (' + response.data.votes.no + ' Votes)';  \t\t\t\t\tfireflyPoll.remove();  \t\t\t\t\tpollFormBox.hide(); \t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById( 'firefly-poll-results' ).style.display='block'; \t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\tfireflyPollContainer.removeClass('loading'); \t\t\t}); \t\t};  \t\tif ( ffp_getCookie( voted_cookie_name ) ) { \t\t\tdocument.getElementById( 'pollFormBox' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\tdocument.getElementById( 'firefly-poll-results' ).style.display='block'; \t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tif( ffp_getCookie( 'ff_source' )=='email' ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar emailField=document.querySelector( '#firefly-poll input[name=\"email\"]' ); \t\t\t\t\temailField.required=false; \t\t\t\t\temailField.style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t \t\t\tdocument.getElementById( 'pollFormBox' ).style.display='block'; \t\t\tdocument.getElementById( 'firefly-poll-results' ).style.display='none'; \t\t} \t<\/script> <\/p>\n<style> \t\t \t\t#firefly-poll-container { \t\t\tborder: 2px solid #d6d6d6; \t\t\tpadding: 15px; \t\t\tmargin-left: 0; \t\t\tmargin-right: 15px; \t\t\tmargin-bottom: 15px; \t\t\twidth: 50%; \t\t\tfloat: left; \t\t\tbackground: #ddd; \t\t\tborder-radius: 3px; \t\t}  \t\t#firefly-poll-container input[type=email] { \t\t\tmargin-top: 5px; \t\t\tmargin-bottom: 5px; \t\t\tpadding-top: 10px; \t\t\tpadding-bottom: 10px; \t\t\tpadding-left: 10px; \t\t\tbackground-color: #F5F5F5; \t\t\tborder-radius: 3px; \t\t\tborder-color: #d6d6d6; \t\t\tborder: 1px solid #d6d6d6; \t\t}  \t\t#firefly-poll-container input[type=submit] { \t\t\tpadding: 10px; \t\t\tborder: 1px solid #d6d6d6; \t\t\tcursor: pointer; \t\t}  \t\t#firefly-poll-results-yes { \t\t\tbackground-color: lightgrey; \t\t\twhite-space: nowrap; \t\t\tmargin-bottom: 5px; \t\t\tborder-radius: 4px; \t\t\tpadding-left: 5px; \t\t}  \t\t#firefly-poll-results-no { \t\t\tbackground-color: lightgrey; \t\t\twhite-space: nowrap; \t\t\tborder-radius: 4px; \t\t\tpadding-left: 5px; \t\t}  \t\t.firefly-poll-question { \t\t\tfont-weight: bold; \t\t\tfont-size: var( --big-font-size ); \t\t}  \t\t.firefly-poll-Disclaimer { \t\t\tfont-size: var(--smallest-font-size); \t\t}  \t\t@media ( max-width: 768px ) { \t\t\t#firefly-poll-container { \t\t\t\twidth: 90%; \t\t\t\tmargin-left: 20px; \t\t\t} \t\t} \t<\/style>\n<\/div>\n<p>The poll, conducted with Siena College among 805 registered voters June 12-17, has a margin of error of 4.1 points.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhile Biden maintains the support of three-quarters of Democrats, Trump has support from 85 percent of Republicans and leads Biden 45-28 percent with independents,\u201d said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg, according to Fox.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA gender gap has reopened as men support Trump 46-42 percent and women favor Biden 51-33 percent. White voters are evenly divided. And while Biden has a commanding lead with non-White voters, Trump garners support from 29 percent of Black and 26 percent of Latino voters.\u201d<\/p>\n<div id=\"IC3-ad\" class=\"sponsor IC3\">\n<div class=\"ad-notice flipboard-remove\" fl:fl-noexcerpt=\"true\">Advertisement - story continues below<\/div>\n<div id=\"IC3\"> <script> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '#IC3-ad' ).style.display='none';} else if( 'IC3' !='REP' && FFADS.units.IC3 && FFADS.units.IC3.ad_type=='custom' && FFADS.units.IC3.custom_ads && ! getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById( 'IC3' ).innerHTML=FFADS.units.IC3.custom_ads[0].code; \t\t\t\tif( ! FFADS.units.IC3.lazy_load ) eval( FFADS.units.IC3.custom_ads[0].rendering_script ); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Both candidates are underwater in terms of favorability \u2014 Biden at 42-53 percent unfavorable, Trump at 37-59 unfavorable \u2014 but several things are working to Trump\u2019s advantage here.<\/p>\n<p>First, despite the happy-clappy messaging Americans have been getting about the economy, this is still the lowest favorability that Biden has garnered in Siena College polling, according to Fox. Apparently, voters haven\u2019t been getting the message that everything is all good for them.<\/p>\n<div id=\"in-article-related\" class=\"in-article-more inner-content\">\n<div class=\"in-article-more-label\">Related:<\/div>\n<div class=\"in-article-more-right\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/biden-plummets-64-voters-union-households\/\" data-type=\"Internal link\" data-type-location=\"in-content-related\">Biden Plummets 64% with Voters from Union Households<\/a> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Second, does this mean that Trump will carry New York? Let\u2019s not get delusional here: Of course not. The last Republican to do it was Ronald Reagan 40 years ago, and while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/mother-woman-allegedly-killed-illegal-immigrant-slams-biden-admin-comment-totally-depersonalizes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Joe Biden<\/a> is weak, he\u2019s not Walter Mondale weak.<\/p>\n<p>However, the poll is indicative of a problematic trend in polling for Joe Biden: While he\u2019s doing OK at the national level, he\u2019s floundering in swing states and places you wouldn\u2019t even expect him to.<\/p>\n<div id=\"IC4-ad\" class=\"sponsor IC4\">\n<div class=\"ad-notice flipboard-remove\" fl:fl-noexcerpt=\"true\">Advertisement - story continues below<\/div>\n<div id=\"IC4\"> <script> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '#IC4-ad' ).style.display='none';} else if( 'IC4' !='REP' && FFADS.units.IC4 && FFADS.units.IC4.ad_type=='custom' && FFADS.units.IC4.custom_ads && ! getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById( 'IC4' ).innerHTML=FFADS.units.IC4.custom_ads[0].code; \t\t\t\tif( ! FFADS.units.IC4.lazy_load ) eval( FFADS.units.IC4.custom_ads[0].rendering_script ); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Take, for instance, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-conviction-deals-fatal-blow-biden-makes-blue-states-look-like-swing-states-new-data-arrives\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Virginia<\/a>, where multiple recent polls have shown Trump and Biden tied. Trump\u2019s campaign isn\u2019t going to make a play for Virginia \u2014 but Biden and the Democrats will have to spend money there, both to preclude a shock presidential result and to help vulnerable down-ballot Democrats in a state with a lot of swing House seats.<\/p>\n<p>The same thing is true in New York. Sure, Biden himself will likely win easily \u2014 but the same can\u2019t be said for Democrats in suburban New York City and upstate districts who need the top of the ballot to perform well.<\/p>\n<p>And, as for the rest of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trumps-good-news-deep-blue-new-england-state-creates-9-swing-states-now-play-polls-show\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">swing-state map<\/a> \u2014 while this isn\u2019t Fox News\u2019 polls, check out what Emerson\/The Hill polling found across the states where the election will be decided:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"de\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf2 2024 GE: Emerson\/The Hill<\/p>\n<p>GEORGIA<br \/> \ud83d\udfe5 Trump: 45% (+8)<br \/> \ud83d\udfe6 Biden: 37%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe8 RFK Jr: 6%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe9 Stein: 1%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe8 West: 1%<br \/> \u2014<br \/> MINNESOTA<br \/> \ud83d\udfe5 Trump: 42% (+1)<br \/> \ud83d\udfe6 Biden: 41%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe8 RFK Jr: 5%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe9 Stein: 1%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe8 West: 1%<br \/> \u2014<br \/> MICHIGAN<br \/> \ud83d\udfe5 Trump: 44% (+2)<br \/> \ud83d\udfe6 Biden: 42%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe8 RFK Jr: 5%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe9 Stein: 1%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe8 West: 1%\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/AkQGtSPeIY\">https:\/\/t.co\/AkQGtSPeIY<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/URwZ07CBpc\">pic.twitter.com\/URwZ07CBpc<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IAPolls2022\/status\/1803820903450427756?\">June 20, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Click on the \u201cshow more\u201d button on the post below to get the bigger picture.<\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf2 2024 GE: Emerson\/The Hill<\/p>\n<p>WISCONSIN<br \/> \ud83d\udfe5 Trump: 47% (+3)<br \/> \ud83d\udfe6 Biden: 44%<br \/> .<br \/> PENNSYLVANIA<br \/> \ud83d\udfe5 Trump: 47% (+2)<br \/> \ud83d\udfe6 Biden: 45%<br \/> .<br \/> MICHIGAN<br \/> \ud83d\udfe5 Trump: 46% (+1)<br \/> \ud83d\udfe6 Biden: 45%<br \/> .<br \/> ARIZONA<br \/> \ud83d\udfe5 Trump: 47% (+4)<br \/> \ud83d\udfe6 Biden: 43%<br \/> .<br \/> GEORGIA<br \/> \ud83d\udfe5 Trump: 45% (+4)<br \/> \ud83d\udfe6 Biden: 41%<br \/> .<br \/> NEVADA<br \/> \ud83d\udfe5 Trump: 46%\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/98qmVlw4R9\">pic.twitter.com\/98qmVlw4R9<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IAPolls2022\/status\/1803807792484028918?\">June 20, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>  In head-to-head polls, he leads in all six major swing states and is even tied in normally blue Minnesota. Throw other candidates into the mix and he\u2019s leading in all.<\/p>\n<p>But please, liberals. Do crow about that 2-point margin in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-beats-biden-4-national-polls-despite-indicted-skipping-gop-debate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">national poll<\/a> by Fox News. 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Douglas Golden is a writer who splits his time between the United States and Southeast Asia. Specializing in political commentary and world affairs, he's written for Conservative Tribune and The Western Journal since 2014.<\/div>\n<div class=\"twitter\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CillianZeal\"><i class=\"icon-twitter\"><\/i>  @CillianZeal<\/a> <\/div>\n<div class=\"facebook\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cdouglasgolden\">Facebook<\/a> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"author-tab more-info-tab\">\n<div class=\"firefly_long_bio author-meta-value\">  C. Douglas Golden is a writer who splits his time between the United States and Southeast Asia. Specializing in political commentary and world affairs, he's written for Conservative Tribune and The Western Journal since 2014. Aside from politics, he enjoys spending time with his wife, literature (especially British comic novels and modern Japanese lit), indie rock, coffee, Formula One and football (of both American and world varieties). <\/div>\n<div class=\"firefly_birthplace author-meta-title\">  Birthplace <\/div>\n<div class=\"firefly_birthplace author-meta-value\">  Morristown, New Jersey <\/div>\n<div class=\"firefly_education author-meta-title\">  Education <\/div>\n<div class=\"firefly_education author-meta-value\">  Catholic University of America <\/div>\n<div class=\"firefly_languages author-meta-title\">  Languages Spoken <\/div>\n<div class=\"firefly_languages author-meta-value\">  English, Spanish <\/div>\n<div class=\"firefly_topics author-meta-title\">  Topics of Expertise <\/div>\n<div class=\"firefly_topics author-meta-value\">  American Politics, World Politics, Culture <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"author-tab contact-tab\">\n<form> <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"contact_author_nonce\" name=\"contact_author_nonce\" value=\"e655198813\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wp_http_referer\" value=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/new-york-shows-biden-scary-numbers-trump-surges-2024-election-polls\/\"> <input type=\"hidden\" name=\"post_id\" value=\"3700732\"> <\/p>\n<div class=\"ma-name-field\"> <label>* Name<\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> <\/div>\n<div class=\"ma-email-field\"> <label>* Email<\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"text\" name=\"email\" required> <\/div>\n<p> <label class=\"message-label\">* Message<\/label> <textarea name=\"message\" class=\"message-textarea\" required><\/textarea> <\/p>\n<p> <input type=\"hidden\" name=\"author_id\" value=\"44670\"> <\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> <input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"firefly_ma( 44670 ); event.preventDefault(); return false;\">  <\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-ma-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"author-tab posts-tab\">\n<div class=\"author-headline\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/new-york-shows-biden-scary-numbers-trump-surges-2024-election-polls\/\">New York Shows Biden Scary Numbers as Trump Surges in 2024 Election Polls<\/a> <\/div>\n<div class=\"author-headline\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/southwest-boeing-737-unexpectedly-dives-toward-neighborhood-scares-residents-terrifying-scene\/\">Southwest Boeing 737 Unexpectedly Dives Toward Neighborhood, Scares Residents During Terrifying Scene<\/a> <\/div>\n<div class=\"author-headline\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/caitlin-clark-shines-career-high-game-helps-carry-team-3rd-straight-win-gritty-fashion\/\">Caitlin Clark Shines in Career-High Game, Helps Carry Team to 3rd Straight Win in Gritty Fashion<\/a> <\/div>\n<div class=\"author-headline\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/watch-trump-drops-hammer-kamala-harris-strikes-brutal-reminder-loathed\/\">Watch: Trump Drops the Hammer on Kamala Harris, Strikes Her with Brutal Reminder of Why She's Loathed<\/a> <\/div>\n<div class=\"author-headline\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/another-one-biden-seems-lock-trying-hop-suv-media-will-call-cheap-fake-real\/\">Another One: Biden Seems to Lock Up While Trying to Hop in SUV, Media Will Call It 'Cheap Fake' Because It's Real<\/a> <\/div>\n<div class=\"author-headline\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/author\/cillianzeal\/\">See more...<\/a> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> <script>console.log(\"ad slot (BA1)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<div id=\"BA1-ad\" class=\"sponsor BA1\">\n<div class=\"ad-notice flipboard-remove\" fl:fl-noexcerpt=\"true\">Advertisement<\/div>\n<div id=\"BA1\"> <script> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '#BA1-ad' ).style.display='none';} else if( 'BA1' !='REP' && FFADS.units.BA1 && FFADS.units.BA1.ad_type=='custom' && FFADS.units.BA1.custom_ads && ! getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById( 'BA1' ).innerHTML=FFADS.units.BA1.custom_ads[0].code; \t\t\t\tif( ! FFADS.units.BA1.lazy_load ) eval( FFADS.units.BA1.custom_ads[0].rendering_script ); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\">\n<h3 class=\"ff-fancy-header\">Conversation<\/h3>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<style> \t\t\t \t\t\t.insticator-unit.type-commenting{margin: 0 10px 25px 10px}@media screen and (max-width:1060px){#div-insticator-ad-cmt-1, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-2, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-3, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-4{margin: 0 auto 25px auto !important;}}#div-insticator-ad-cmt-1, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-2, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-3, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-4{height: 280px !important; width: 336px !important} \t\t<\/style>\n<div class=\"insticator-unit type-commenting\">\n<div class=\"insticator-ads\">\n<div id=\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\"><\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\t\t\tif ( ! getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\"); \t\t\t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<div id=\"insticator-comments\">\n<div class=\"so-comments\" data-integration-id=\"9af198ff-22cf-4d4b-80d5-b58d0f23e539\" data-ext-page-id=\"3700732\"><\/div>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/soapps.net\/live\/loader\/bundle.js\"><\/script> <\/div>\n<div class=\"insticator-ads additional\">\n<div id=\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\"><\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\t\t\tif ( ! getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\"); \t\t\t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fox News&#8217; recent national presidential poll showed President Joe Biden leading for the first time in 18 months, causing Democratic celebration. Biden&#8217;s narrow 50% to 48% lead over Trump is within the margin of error. Last month, Trump led by just one point<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":663,"featured_media":2273360,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/biden-sbs-trump-for-june-21-2024.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2273359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/biden-sbs-trump-for-june-21-2024.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2273359","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/663"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2273359"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2273359\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2273360"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2273359"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2273359"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2273359"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}