{"id":2267676,"date":"2024-06-14T07:26:02","date_gmt":"2024-06-14T11:26:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-want-the-2024-race-to-change-republicans-hope-it-doesnt\/"},"modified":"2024-06-14T07:30:34","modified_gmt":"2024-06-14T11:30:34","slug":"democrats-want-the-2024-race-to-change-republicans-hope-it-doesnt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-want-the-2024-race-to-change-republicans-hope-it-doesnt\/","title":{"rendered":"Democrats seek change in the 2024 race, while Republicans prefer stability"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">22<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fdemocrats-want-the-2024-race-to-change-republicans-hope-it-doesnt%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2267676&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>As the 2022 U.S.\u200b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/nikki-haley-calls-biden-meeting-with-xi-jinping-embarrassing\/\" title=\"Nikki Haley criticizes Biden's meeting with Xi Jinping as 'embarrassing'.\">presidential\u2064 race approaches<\/a>, former President Donald Trump shows a slight lead over President Joe\u2063 Biden, indicated by various national and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/registered-and-likely-voters-pick-different-candidates-in-biden-trump-rematch-poll\/\" title=\"Poll: Registered and likely voters choose different candidates in Biden-Trump rematch.\">battleground state polls<\/a>. Republican pollster Jim McLaughlin advises Biden to persevere in \u200dthe race despite the challenging numbers. The competition remains tight, with Trump&#8217;s lead being relatively narrow \u2064across different states.<\/p>\n<p>Recent events, including Trump&#8217;s conviction related to hush money in New<\/p>\n<p>York, have had minimal impact \u200con altering the dynamics of the nearly static presidential contest. Voters appear to be firmly entrenched in their support, influenced more by party loyalty than candidates\u2019 controversies or legal\u2064 issues.<\/p>\n<p>Polling \u200bindicates that Republican voters\u2064 are more supportive\u200c of Trump than antagonistic towards Biden, and conversely, Democratic voters are more \u200cagainst Trump than enthusiastic about\u200d Biden. Historical performance suggests both parties have previously surpassed their polling expectations, which adds an element of unpredictability to the race.<\/p>\n<p>The unpopularity of both major candidates has maintained a close contest, historically speaking. The ongoing\u2064 debates within the Democratic Party reveal a division between those who hope Biden&#8217;s lead will expand and others concerned\u200d about nominating a potentially weak candidate against Trump, despite his controversial background.<\/p>\n<p>Speculations about\u2063 dramatic changes to the race include unlikely scenarios such as Trump\u2019s \u2062imprisonment or a last-minute replacement for \u200cBiden at the Democratic National Convention. Meanwhile, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/white-house-wont-say-if-biden-will-picket-with-uaw-workers\/\" title=\"White House silent on Biden's potential picketing with UAW workers.\">stakes remain high<\/a> \u2063with discussions of electability at the forefront of party concerns, particularly regarding potential Republican candidates like Governor Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley as alternatives to Trump.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>With the 2024 presidential race deadlocked or slightly favoring former President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Donald Trump<\/a> less than five months away from Election Day, Republican pollster Jim McLaughlin offered President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/joe-biden\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Joe Biden<\/a> some advice: Keep running.<\/p>\n<p>McLaughlin, who has done polling for Trump, made his \u201cStay in the race\u201d quip in response to a question from NBC News\u2019s Katherine Doyle at a panel discussion in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/washington-dc\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Washington, D.C.<\/a>, on Thursday afternoon. At the same event, pollsters James Johnson and Landon Wall presented findings that Trump\u2019s New York hush money conviction was practically a wash with voters, with the presumptive Republican nominee gaining as well as losing support.<\/p>\n<p>Republican voters are more pro-Trump than anti-Biden, <a href=\"https:\/\/s3.documentcloud.org\/documents\/24400249\/cnn-poll-trump-narrowly-leads-biden-in-general-election-rematch.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>according to various polls<\/a>, while the opposite is true for the Democrats. But many Republicans still feel fortunate in their opponent. Biden, like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/hillary-clinton\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Hillary Clinton<\/a> eight years ago, might be the GOP MVP.<\/p>\n<p>The race for the White House is close. Trump leads Biden in the national <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title><em>RealClearPolitics <\/em>polling average<\/a> by just 0.8 points. According to the same aggregate, Trump is up in all the battleground states but by margins that range from 0.1 points to 5.3 points.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/election-2024\/?utm_source=homepage&#038;utm_medium=banner&#038;utm_campaign=iowa_caucus&#038;utm_id=election2024\"><strong>ELECTION 2024: FOLLOW LATEST COVERAGE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Yet nothing that has happened in the past few months has jolted the presidential contest out of its near stalemate \u2014 not Trump\u2019s felony conviction or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/hunter-biden\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Hunter Biden<\/a>\u2019s (though it is still early) or any fluctuation in the economic data as the Federal Reserve attempts to stick a \u201csoft landing\u201d by whipping inflation without triggering a recession.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats outperformed their poll numbers in the 2022 midterm elections and some recent special elections. Trump outperformed his in 2016 and 2020.<\/p>\n<p>The relative unpopularity of the two <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/nolte-polls-show-hobbled-biden-limping-into-sotu-trailing-trump-in-rematch\/\" title=\"Nolte: Polls Show Hobbled Biden Limping Into SOTU, Trailing Trump in Rematch\">major party candidates<\/a> has kept things close by historical standards. But the resulting slog is why the two most commonly proposed scenarios for shaking up the race involve Trump\u2019s incarceration or Biden\u2019s replacement at the Democratic National Convention. <\/p>\n<p>Neutral observers wonder how much a traditional campaign can swing an election between two highly familiar candidates who have both served in the White House. Partisans, especially though not exclusively on the Democratic side, fear they are poised to nominate the only candidate who can lose to the other party\u2019s highly flawed choice.<\/p>\n<p>This fear intensifies among Democrats whenever Biden has a significant age-related stumble or faces a batch of especially discouraging polls. The president\u2019s party is split between those who hope Trump\u2019s narrow lead will prove as ephemeral as the \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/2625464\/red-wave-crashes-into-blue-wall-five-key-takeaways-from-a-bombshell-midterm-elections-night\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>red wave<\/a>\u201d of 2022 and those who don\u2019t think a race against a felony-convicted, multi-indicted, twice-impeached ex-president who lost in 2020 should even be a jump ball, especially with Democratic Senate candidates still leading in places like Ohio, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada. <\/p>\n<p>Many Democrats hope for, while Republicans worry about, an \u201cAugust surprise,\u201d even though replacing both an incumbent president who swept the primaries and Vice President Kamala Harris against their will while the ticket remains in striking distance of an Electoral College majority would be nearly impossible.<\/p>\n<p>Electability concerns about Trump were similarly expressed by supporters of Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) and former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley during the Republican primaries, though the former president\u2019s polling endurance has mostly muted them for now.<\/p>\n<p>In past elections, it wasn\u2019t clear who was ahead until after both parties\u2019 conventions. This time, the first presidential debate will take place before either candidate is nominated. Trump will be sentenced days before Republicans <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3044054\/trump-campaign-shoots-down-claim-milwaukee-horrible-city\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>gather in Milwaukee<\/a> to nominate him for the third straight time.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, it is Biden who is the subject of most of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/politics\/elections\/could-a-brokered-convention-replace-president-biden-c8d5870f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>contested convention talk<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/nymag.com\/intelligencer\/article\/replacing-biden-at-convention-is-risky-and-unprecedented.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>however improbable<\/a>, not the former president facing the possibility of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/daily-memo\/3020045\/whatever-they-can-get-him-for-is-fine-with-me\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>136 years in prison<\/a>, however remote, while clinging to a 1-point national lead.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title><strong>CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Maybe the race will change after the first debate. Or next month. Or the month after that. This could, after all, be the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/march-12-primaries-what-to-watch-as-biden-and-trump-seek-to-clinch-party-nominations\/\" title=\"March 12 primaries: What to watch as Biden and Trump seek to clinch party nominations\">longest general election campaign<\/a> in history. It is already a rematch of 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Under former President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/barack-obama\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Barack Obama<\/a>, Democrats billed themselves as the party of hope and change. Those words still apply to their aspirations for the 2024 presidential campaign. Republicans want it to stay the same.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Less than five months from Election Day, the 2024 presidential race is either deadlocked or slightly favors former President Donald Trump. Republican pollster Jim McLaughlin, who has worked for Trump, advised President Joe Biden to keep running. McLaughlin humorously suggested this during a response to an NBC News question<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2659,"featured_media":2267677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/AP24162530928000.jpg.optimal.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2267676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/AP24162530928000.jpg.optimal.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2267676","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2659"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2267676"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2267676\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2267677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2267676"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2267676"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2267676"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}