{"id":2264363,"date":"2024-06-10T18:31:02","date_gmt":"2024-06-10T22:31:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/statistician-nate-silver-its-more-than-fair-to-ask-if-biden-should-drop-out-amid-all-time-low-approval-ratings\/"},"modified":"2024-06-10T18:32:19","modified_gmt":"2024-06-10T22:32:19","slug":"statistician-nate-silver-its-more-than-fair-to-ask-if-biden-should-drop-out-amid-all-time-low-approval-ratings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/statistician-nate-silver-its-more-than-fair-to-ask-if-biden-should-drop-out-amid-all-time-low-approval-ratings\/","title":{"rendered":"Statistician Nate Silver Questions if Biden Should Withdraw Given Record Low Approval Ratings"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fstatistician-nate-silver-its-more-than-fair-to-ask-if-biden-should-drop-out-amid-all-time-low-approval-ratings%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2264363&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>President Joe Biden, facing the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/an-ominous-double-whammy-new-polling-spells-trouble-for-democrats-in-midterms\/\" title=\"\u2018An Ominous Double Whammy\u2019: New Polling Spells Trouble For Democrats In Midterms\">lowest approval ratings<\/a> of \u2063his presidency, is suggested by FiveThirtyEight\u2062 founder Nate Silver\u2062 to potentially withdraw from the 2024\u2063 presidential race, considering\u2062 it a\u2064 more prudent option for the Democrats as the election approaches. Biden&#8217;s \u2063approval rate sank to 37.6%, spotlighting the significant public and \u200dpolitical risks of his continuation in the \u2063race, especially given \u2064concerns about his age and the ongoing economic issues\u2062 under his administration, notably the persisting 8% inflation \u2062rate. Nate Silver, addressing the subject on the social media platform X, acknowledged the complexity and risks associated with Biden dropping out at such a late stage but argued\u2062 that the\u200d challenges\u2063 might outweigh the risks of staying in. Furthermore, Silver contrasted this\u2062 situation with Donald Trump&#8217;s legal \u200btroubles, suggesting that both \u2062parties might benefit from new nominees.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p>As President Joe Biden falls into the lowest approval ratings of his term, statistician and FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver floated Biden dropping out of the race as the best option for Democrats just five months before the 2024 election.<\/p>\n<p>Biden\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/americans-love-trump-president-trumps-approval-rating-hits-51-on-day-before-inauguration\/\" title=\"Americans Love Trump: President Trump\u2019s Approval Rating Hits 51% on Day before Inauguration\">approval rating hit<\/a> an all-time low in recent days, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/biden-approval-rating\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FiveThirtyEight<\/a>\u2018s average of polls, as the president now has a 37.6% approval rating. The downward trend for Biden prompted Silver to post on X on Monday that the 81-year-old president dropping out of the race is worth discussing \u2014 even if, at this point, it \u201cwould be a big risk\u201d for Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut there\u2019s some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk,\u201d he added. \u201cAre we there yet? I don\u2019t know. But it\u2019s more than fair to ask.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf I\u2019d told you 10 years ago a president would seek re-election at 81 despite a supermajority of Americans having concerns about his age, and then we\u2019d hit 8% inflation for 2 years, you wouldn\u2019t be surprised he was an underdog for reelection. You\u2019d be surprised it was even close!\u201d Silver wrote.<\/p>\n<p>One X user criticized Silver for asking if Biden should drop out after Donald Trump was convicted of 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in the New York hush money case.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2018Trump should drop out too!\u2019 is such a weird dunk on people who are pointing out that Biden has big challenges,\u201d Silver shot back. \u201cYes, Trump should drop out! I agree! Biden would lose by 7 points, but I agree, the Republican Party and the country would be better served by a different nominee.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">But Biden just hit a new all-time low in approval (37.4%) at 538 yesterday. Dropping out would be a big risk. But there\u2019s some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk. Are we there yet? I don\u2019t know. But it\u2019s more than fair to ask. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1nmoKQkW85\">pic.twitter.com\/1nmoKQkW85<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NateSilver538\/status\/1800207457240903698?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 10, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>  The statistician and writer then repeated an argument he\u2019s been making for months, saying that Biden hurt Democrats\u2019 2024 chances by running for re-election.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat\u2019s clearer IMO is that Democrats would have been better served if Biden had decided a year ago not to seek a second term, which would have allowed them to have some semblance of a primary process and give voters a say among the many popular Democrats across the country,\u201d Silver <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/NateSilver538\/status\/1800208042874859727\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">added<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/onelink.to\/dwapp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-describedby=\"sk-tooltip-9096\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/onelink.to\/dwapp&#038;source=gmail&#038;ust=1716990157394000&#038;usg=AOvVaw33qQydjIo8bet419amChif\">CLICK HERE TO GET THE DAILYWIRE+ APP<\/a><\/b><\/p>\n<p>In February, Silver <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailywire.com\/news\/prominent-pollster-nate-silver-biden-on-track-to-lose-to-trump-dems-have-no-plans-to-fix-the-problems\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">warned<\/a> Democrats that Biden is on track to lose to Trump.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you\u2019d asked me a year ago, I would have told you that Joe Biden was a reasonably clear favorite in the event of a rematch against Donald Trump,\u201d he wrote in his \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.natesilver.net\/p\/its-time-for-the-white-house-to-put\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Silver Bulletin<\/a>\u201d newsletter, adding that in recent months, \u201cBiden\u2019s situation has become considerably worse.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf he were 10 years younger, he might still be a 65\/35 favorite,\u201d Silver wrote. \u201cBut if his campaign is substantially encumbered by his age, he\u2019s probably the underdog.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Along with the president\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/hammered-on-all-sides-bidens-approval-plummets-to-lowest-level-of-presidency\/\" title=\"\u2018Hammered On All Sides\u2019: Biden\u2019s Approval Plummets To Lowest Level Of Presidency\">poor approval rating<\/a>, he is also falling behind Trump in most polls. The presumptive GOP presidential nominee currently leads Biden in each of the seven battleground states, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/elections\/president\/2024\/battleground-states\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">RealClearPolitics<\/a> average of polls.<\/p>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As President Joe Biden&#8217;s approval ratings plummet to a term low, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight suggests Biden should consider withdrawing from the 2024 race. This advice comes just five months before the election, with Biden&#8217;s popularity at an unprecedented low, based on FiveThirtyEight&#8217;s poll averages<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":324,"featured_media":2264364,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/dw-wp-production.imgix.net\/2024\/06\/GettyImages-2155799804-scaled-e1718043642951.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2264363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/dw-wp-production.imgix.net\/2024\/06\/GettyImages-2155799804-scaled-e1718043642951.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2264363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/324"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2264363"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2264363\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2264364"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2264363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2264363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2264363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}