{"id":2262250,"date":"2024-06-07T12:47:01","date_gmt":"2024-06-07T16:47:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-conviction-deals-fatal-blow-to-biden-makes-blue-states-look-like-swing-states-as-new-data-arrives\/"},"modified":"2024-06-07T12:50:50","modified_gmt":"2024-06-07T16:50:50","slug":"trump-conviction-deals-fatal-blow-to-biden-makes-blue-states-look-like-swing-states-as-new-data-arrives","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-conviction-deals-fatal-blow-to-biden-makes-blue-states-look-like-swing-states-as-new-data-arrives\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Conviction Undermines Biden, Turns Blue States into Potential Swing States with Latest Data"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">28<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ftrump-conviction-deals-fatal-blow-to-biden-makes-blue-states-look-like-swing-states-as-new-data-arrives%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2262250&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Ist. <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span> <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/subscribe\/?utm_source=site&#038;utm_medium=westernjournalism&#038;utm_campaign=authorpitch\"><i><span>I urge you to join \u2013 stand with us<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span>. If Americans unite\u2062 together, we\u2062 will never be defeated. Thank you and God bless.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p>In this commentary by C. Douglas \u200cGolden on the Western Journal&#8217;s website, the author discusses recent\u200c polls that\u2062 suggest former president Donald Trump is still a strong\u2064 contender for the 2024 election despite his recent conviction on 34 counts in Manhattan. The author points out that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/desantis-mixes-up-media-strategy-in-hope-of-closing-trump-gap\/\" title=\"DeSantis alters media approach to narrow Trump gap.\">mainstream media \u200doutlets<\/a> have mainly focused on polls that show\u2064 a decrease in support for Trump after \u200cthe verdict, but according to newer polls by Fox News, this may not be the case. The polls show Trump is in\u200c a dead heat with President Biden in\u200b traditionally blue states like Virginia \u200dand is even leading in Nevada.\u2064 The author also highlights potential \u200bproblems for Biden&#8217;s campaign, such as a decrease\u2064 in support from young voters and the black vote, which could \u200cimpact critical down-ballot races. The article also includes \u200da note from the Western Journal&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/new-york-times-reporter-forced-to-resign-over-n-word-controversy-tells-his-side-of-the-story\/\" title=\"New York Times Reporter Forced To Resign Over N-Word Controversy Tells His Side Of The Story\">deputy managing editor<\/a>, urging \u2064readers to support the platform and its fight against Big Tech. The article concludes that despite mainstream media narratives, Trump is still a strong contender for\u200b the 2024 election and the outcome is\u2063 crucial for \u200cthe future of America.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<header> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/commentary\/\">  Commentary <\/a>   <span> <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/author\/cillianzeal\/\">  <\/a> <\/p>\n<p> <span>   By <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/author\/cillianzeal\/%20\"><span>C. Douglas Golden<\/span><\/a> <\/span> <span>   June 7, 2024 at 9:09am <\/span> <\/span>  <\/header>\n<section>\n<p>For those of you who were stuck in a CNN-sodden airport terminal last Thursday, or if you were visiting the pink-haired aunt who always keeps MSNBC on in the background, you no doubt heard anchors and pundits practically giddy with excitement over what former President Donald Trump\u2019s kangaroo-court conviction would mean for the 2024 polls.<\/p>\n<p>Depending on the source the talking heads on the left side of the dial consulted, Trump\u2019s conviction on 34 counts in Manhattan either mattered a great deal or not at all. They tended to ignore polls that fell into the latter category.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, if you listened to or read left-bubble sources over the past week or so, you tended to see a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/one-10-republicans-less-likely-vote-trump-after-guilty-verdict-reutersipsos-poll-2024-05-31\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters<\/a> poll reported in H1 font, considering it found that one in 10 Republicans would be less likely to vote for Trump after the guilty verdict. Meanwhile, mostly elided over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2024\/05\/30\/nx-s1-4974598\/trump-verdict-trial-voters-presidential-election\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NPR\u2019s<\/a> conclusion: \u201cTrump verdict would likely move only a small number of votes, poll finds.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Either way, the proof of the pudding is in the eating, and the proof of the polling is in the leading. And, on that count, both Reuters and NPR are wrong, according to new polls from Fox News: Not only is Trump <em>not<\/em> losing ground after the verdict, he\u2019s putting non-traditional states into play for the Republicans.<\/p>\n<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/official-polls\/fox-news-poll-biden-trump-dead-heat-virginia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Virginia<\/a>, which hasn\u2019t been a swing state in the presidential election since the George W. Bush years, Trump and Biden are in a dead heat. Biden won that state by over 10 points in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/official-polls\/fox-news-poll-nevadans-trust-trump-over-biden-border-security-22-points\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nevada<\/a> \u2014 which is on the outer limits of being a swing state, but which went for Biden by 2 points in 2020 and typically favors Democrats in national races \u2014 Trump is up by 5 points, with voters overwhelmingly saying the former president is better equipped to handle the border crisis.<\/p>\n<p>Both polls were conducted June 1-4, meaning voters had already absorbed the news of Trump\u2019s conviction \u2014 as well as weeks of wall-to-wall coverage about the so-called \u201cporn star hush money\u201d case.<\/p>\n<p>Both had a margin of error of 3 percent and both used a combination of landline, cell phone and online responses; 1,107 registered Virginia voters and 1,069 registered Nevada voters were surveyed.<\/p>\n<p>In both states, the disappointing results for Biden <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/biden-makes-telling-move-menthol-cigarette-ban-black-voter-support-crumbles\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">represent wider problems<\/a> for his campaign as a whole.<\/p>\n<div id=\"firefly-poll-container\">\n<p>Are you voting for Trump?<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Take Virginia, where Biden and Trump are tied at 48 percent. While there are plenty of demographic explanations for why a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/analysis-democratic-governors-are-doing-a-heckuva-job\/\" title=\"ANALYSIS: Democratic Governors Are Doing a Heckuva Job\">reliably blue state<\/a> would be in play going into the summer months, two numbers stick out like a pair of sore thumbs.<\/p>\n<p>First, young voters \u2014 a reliable source of turnout for the Democrats during the Trump years \u2014 aren\u2019t in their corner this time around.<\/p>\n<p>Fox News noted that, in the poll, there was \u201cno age gap, as voters under 30 (48% each) and those 65 and over (48% each) split their support.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Then there was the black vote, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/desperate-biden-says-trump-wouldnt-pardon-black-americans-insane-jan-6-rant\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">which needs to stay monolithically Democrat<\/a> if Biden is to eke out wins in the same swing states he carried in 2020. In the Fox poll, he still leads, although with nothing like the margins he had four years ago; 48 percent of black voters said they were planning to vote for Biden, with 25 percent saying they were for Trump.<\/p>\n<p>In 2020, that split was 81 percent Biden, 9 percent Trump. Considering that a plummeting black Democrat vote is one of the key demographic stories in the polling for the 2024 election thus far, this is yet another bad augury for the president.<\/p>\n<p>In Nevada, Trump is also over-performing with minority groups, although not to the extent that he is in Virginia. However, three issues dog Biden there.<\/p>\n<p>First, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/bidens-controversial-move-infuriates-rail-unions-catastrophic-strike-looms-joe-biden-blew\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">union household voters<\/a> \u2014 another Democrat bloc, generally \u2014 only favor Biden by 1 point. He won that group by 15 percent four years ago. Second, on border security and the economy, Trump holds huge edges on who voters trust to do a better job \u2014 59 to 37 percent on the border, 56 to 40 percent on the economy.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, there\u2019s the matter of Biden\u2019s approval rating; he\u2019s currently 16 points underwater in the Silver State, a dreadful position for any incumbent to find himself in this late in the game.<\/p>\n<p>But, perhaps most importantly, the matter of the trial didn\u2019t seem to have any substantive effect on voters\u2019 impressions of Trump.<\/p>\n<p>In Nevada, the results are roughly in line with what the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/nevada\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">RealClearPolitics<\/a> polling average has been showing all along; that aggregate has the former president up by 5.3 points over the current president as of Friday morning.<\/p>\n<p>While Virginia is more of a stretch for Trump, considering the state\u2019s recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.270towin.com\/states\/Virginia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">electoral history<\/a>, this is still in line with a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.roanoke.edu\/news\/rc_poll_politics_may_2024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Roanoke College<\/a> poll conducted between May 12-21, which <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/presidential-polls-wrong-polymarket-reveals-massive-favorite\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">found the two candidates tied<\/a> at 42 percent. One before the Trump verdict, one afterwards, same result. Nothing changed.<\/p>\n<p>Trump needs to win more than Nevada and Virginia to take the presidency, mind you, but the fact that these two states are still in play just days <em>after<\/em> the president was convicted is another nail hammered into what increasingly looks like a coffin for Biden\u2019s electoral chances.<\/p>\n<p>Even if he manages to carry both \u2014 and he should carry at least one \u2014 this means the Democrats will have to spend obscene amounts of resources propping up the president in both states. That\u2019s not only to ensure Biden wins there, mind you, but because of critical down-ballot races.<\/p>\n<p>Nevada is host to one of the most competitive Senate races this cycle. Virginia, meanwhile, is one of the states where the GOP \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/red-wave-2024-new-statistics-show-trend-republicans-celebrating\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">red wave<\/a>\u201d never materialized in 2022 \u2014 meaning there are plenty of vulnerable Democrats in swing districts that could get knocked off if the base doesn\u2019t turn out.<\/p>\n<p>Whatever resources get spent there are resources that can\u2019t be spent where Biden needs them: namely Arizona, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Remember, he still has to win some of those, too. He can\u2019t just take home the should-be slam dunks that are Nevada and Virginia. And, no matter what the flapping heads at CNN and MSNBC want to believe, he definitely can\u2019t rely on the Trump verdict to carry him to victory.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<div>\n<p><b><i>A Note from Our Deputy Managing Editor:<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n<p><i><span>I heard a chilling comment the other day: \u201cWe don\u2019t even know if an election will be held in 2024.\u201d <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>That wasn\u2019t said by a conspiracy theorist or a doomsday prophet. No, former U.S. national security advisor Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn said that to the founder of The Western Journal, Floyd Brown.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>Gen. Flynn\u2019s warning means that the 2024 election is the most important election for every single living American. If we lose this one to the wealthy elites who hate us, hate God, and hate what America stands for, we can only assume that 248 years of American history and the values we hold dear to our hearts may soon vanish.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>The end game is here, and as Benjamin Franklin said, \u201cWe must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately.\u201d<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>All of this means that <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/subscribe\/?utm_source=site&#038;utm_medium=westernjournalism&#038;utm_campaign=authorpitch\"><i><span>without you<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span>, it\u2019s over. We have the platform, the journalists, and the experience to fight back hard, but Big Tech is strangling us through advertising blacklists, shadow bans, and algorithms. Did you know that we\u2019ve been blacklisted by 90% of advertisers? Without direct support from you, our readers, we can\u2019t continue the fight.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>Can we count on <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/subscribe\/?utm_source=site&#038;utm_medium=westernjournalism&#038;utm_campaign=authorpitch\"><i><span>your support<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span>? It may not seem like much, but a <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/subscribe\/?utm_source=site&#038;utm_medium=westernjournalism&#038;utm_campaign=authorpitch\"><i><span>Western Journal Membership<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span>  can make all the difference in the world because when you support us directly, you cut Big Tech out of the picture. They lose control. <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>A monthly Western Journal Membership costs less than one coffee and breakfast sandwich each month, and it gets you access to ALL of our content \u2014 news, commentary, and premium articles. You\u2019ll experience a radically reduced number of ads, and most importantly you will be vitally supporting the fight for America\u2019s soul in 2024.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>We are literally counting on you because without our members, The Western Journal would cease to exist. Will you <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/subscribe\/?utm_source=site&#038;utm_medium=westernjournalism&#038;utm_campaign=authorpitch\"><i><span>join us<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span>  in the fight? <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>Sincerely,<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>Josh Manning<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>Deputy Managing Editor<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><span>The Western Journal<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"author-info-44670\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/author\/cillianzeal\/\">  <\/a> <\/p>\n<div>\n<p><label for=\"summary-tab-radio-44670\">Summary<\/label><label for=\"more-info-tab-radio-44670\">More<span> Biographical Information<\/span><\/label><label for=\"posts-tab-radio-44670\">Recent<span> Posts<\/span><\/label><label for=\"contact-tab-radio-44670\" onclick=\"if( typeof grecaptcha=='undefined' ) { let cap_s=document.createElement( 'script' ); cap_s.src='https:\/\/www.google.com\/recaptcha\/api.js?render=6LeJFcsUAAAAAPsIEqvB1EebWbZfqRUe6ebMpGy7'; document.body.appendChild( cap_s ); }\">Contact<\/label><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>C. Douglas Golden is a writer who splits his time between the United States and Southeast Asia. Specializing in political commentary and world affairs, he&#8217;s written for Conservative Tribune and The Western Journal since 2014.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div>\n<p>  C. Douglas Golden is a writer who splits his time between the United States and Southeast Asia. Specializing in political commentary and world affairs, he&#8217;s written for Conservative Tribune and The Western Journal since 2014. Aside from politics, he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/joe-biden-leaves-for-delaware-as-russians-prepare-to-take-kyiv\/\" title=\"Joe Biden Leaves for Delaware as Russians Prepare to Take Kyiv\">enjoys spending time<\/a> with his wife, literature (especially British comic novels and modern Japanese lit), indie rock, coffee, Formula One and football (of both American and world varieties). <\/p>\n<p>  Birthplace <\/p>\n<p>  Morristown, New Jersey <\/p>\n<p>  Education <\/p>\n<p>  Catholic University of America <\/p>\n<p>  Languages Spoken <\/p>\n<p>  English, Spanish <\/p>\n<p>  Topics of Expertise <\/p>\n<p>  American Politics, World Politics, Culture <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Commentary by C. Douglas Golden, June 7, 2024. If you were in a CNN-filled airport last Thursday or with your MSNBC-loving aunt, you likely caught the excitement from anchors and pundits over the former President&#8217;s news<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":663,"featured_media":2262251,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/trump-v-biden.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2262250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/trump-v-biden.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2262250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/663"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2262250"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2262250\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2262251"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2262250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2262250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2262250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}