{"id":2240269,"date":"2024-05-08T16:05:02","date_gmt":"2024-05-08T20:05:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/pollster-figures-out-weird-trump-biden-results-ask-your-neighbor\/"},"modified":"2024-05-08T16:08:29","modified_gmt":"2024-05-08T20:08:29","slug":"pollster-figures-out-weird-trump-biden-results-ask-your-neighbor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/pollster-figures-out-weird-trump-biden-results-ask-your-neighbor\/","title":{"rendered":"Pollster uncovers unusual Trump-Biden data: Check with your neighbor"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">18<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fpollster-figures-out-weird-trump-biden-results-ask-your-neighbor%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2240269&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The article discusses a recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-beats-biden-in-key-swing-state-poll-crushes-with-independents-by-14-points\/\" title=\"Trump triumphs over Biden in crucial swing state poll, dominates with a 14-point lead among independents.\">presidential election poll<\/a> showing varying results for\u200d Trump and Biden. To <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/nothing-about-this-election-seems-to-add-up-the-liberty-loft\/\" title=\"Nothing about this election seems to add up | The Liberty Loft\">make sense<\/a> of the data, the\u2064 suggestion is to ask neighbors\u2064 about \u2064their voting intentions. The polling firm, TIPP\/Insights,\u200b delved into the data\u2063 and highlighted indicators favoring Trump, particularly among\u2063 independent\u2064 voters. The survey depicted a tight race within the margin of error. The recent article \u2062highlights a presidential election poll with\u2063 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/when-you-search-pregnancy-on-google-the-top-result-is-for-planned-parenthood\/\" title=\"Top Google result for 'Pregnancy': Planned Parenthood.\">diverse results<\/a> for Trump and Biden. To interpret \u2063the data, seeking input \u200dfrom\u200b neighbors on their voting preferences is advised. TIPP\/Insights analyzed \u2064the data, \u200drevealing \u2062Trump&#8217;s edge, especially among independent voters. The survey indicates a closely contested race falling within the margin of error.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Another day, another <a href=\"https:\/\/washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/2024-elections\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"presidential election\">presidential election<\/a> poll. One says former <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>President Donald Trump<\/a> is up, and another gives the nod to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/joe-biden\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>President Joe Biden<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>How does a voter make sense of it all?<\/p>\n<p>One pollster thinks it has an answer: Just ask your neighbor whom he or she is planning to vote for.<\/p>\n<p>Like many consumers of political surveys, pollster <a href=\"https:\/\/tippinsights.com\/biden-and-trump-neck-and-neck-but-most-americans-think-trump-will-win-i-i-tipp-poll\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>TIPP\/Insights<\/a> has been angling to determine who is really leading in the dead heat race.<\/p>\n<p>So, for its latest analysis, it did a deep dive into the data and found five indicators that Trump could be ahead.<\/p>\n<p>The headline numbers for its latest survey found Biden with 42% national support and Trump with 40%. It described the race as \u201cneck and neck\u201d and within the margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 points.<\/p>\n<p>But as it dug into other questions, it found an edge for Trump.<\/p>\n<p>First, the polling outfit looked at independent voters, who are expected to play an outsize role in the November outcome. Among independents, TIPP said Trump led 35% to 30%.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhy is this important? Independents in the last election favored Biden 54% to Trump\u2019s 41%. That has, for all intents and purposes, been reversed this time around,\u201d the analysis said.<\/p>\n<p>Next, Biden is losing his big advantage among black and Hispanic people. \u201cAfrican Americans, for instance, gave 87% of their vote to Biden in 2020, compared to just 12% for Trump. But that\u2019s changed dramatically in 2024: Black voters say they favor Biden by 59%, a 28% decline from four years ago, while 15% say they back Trump, a three percentage-point gain. All told, it\u2019s a 31-point swing,\u201d TIPP said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAmong Hispanics, Biden slammed Trump in 2020, 65% to 32%. In this month\u2019s I&#038;I\/TIPP Poll, Hispanics give just 47% support to Biden, 26% to Trump, and 13% to Kennedy,\u201d it added.<\/p>\n<p>Voter support, or intensity for their choice, is also key. The gap favors Trump, 64% to 54%.<\/p>\n<p>Then, there is the question of who voters \u201cthink\u201d will win. It\u2019s Trump again, but closer, 37% to 34%.<\/p>\n<p>But the kicker, the pollster said, is in the question about who voters think their neighbor will vote for. Here, it cited a Brookings Institution report that said the neighbor vote is among the best predictors.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/washington-secrets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SEE THE LATEST POLITICAL NEWS AND BUZZ FROM WASHINGTON SECRETS<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe demonstrate that polls of voter expectations consistently yield more accurate forecasts than polls of voter intentions,\u201d Brookings said. TIPP added, \u201cI&#038;I\/TIPP data indicate that even voters who support Biden show a lack of enthusiasm, while most registered voters now expect Trump to win, significant since <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/biden-aims-to-reopen-over-half-of-schools-just-at-least-one-day-a-week-by-100-day-goal\/\" title=\"Biden Aims to Reopen Over Half of Schools Just \u2018At Least One Day a Week\u2019 By 100-Day Goal\">recent studies<\/a> indicate such expectations have a high likelihood of becoming reality.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>On the question of how neighbors are voting, TIPP concluded, \u201cThe answer is revealing: 43% responded Trump, while just 31% said Biden. Another 25% said \u2018not sure.&#8217;\u201d<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the latest presidential polls, results vary between Trump and Biden. To navigate the confusion, consider a simple strategy: ask your neighbor about their voting intentions. This grassroots approach resonates with many voters seeking clarity in a sea of poll data<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2647,"featured_media":2240270,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/wex-s3.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/AP23348723098120-1024x668.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2240269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/wex-s3.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/AP23348723098120-1024x668.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2240269","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2647"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2240269"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2240269\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2240270"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2240269"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2240269"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2240269"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}