{"id":2219095,"date":"2024-04-12T03:54:04","date_gmt":"2024-04-12T07:54:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/is-trump-riding-a-realignment-wave\/"},"modified":"2024-04-12T03:59:40","modified_gmt":"2024-04-12T07:59:40","slug":"is-trump-riding-a-realignment-wave","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/is-trump-riding-a-realignment-wave\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Trump Leading a Major Political Shift?"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">14<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fis-trump-riding-a-realignment-wave%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2219095&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>A recent Gallup poll revealed a significant decline in Democratic support among black and Hispanic voters over the years. This shift \u200csuggests \u2064a potential realignment in political loyalty within traditionally Democratic communities. The \u200cemerging trend \u200breflects a departure\u200b from the norm of alternating party control in American politics, hinting at a possible shift in\u200b federal power dynamics. The Gallup poll highlights a notable decrease \u2063in Democratic backing among black and Hispanic voters, signaling a potential shift in political\u200c allegiance within traditionally Democratic groups. This trend deviates from the usual pattern of party control rotation in American politics, indicating a potential change \u2062in federal power dynamics.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"article-content\">\n<p>A recent <a href=\"https:\/\/news.gallup.com\/poll\/609776\/democrats-lose-ground-black-hispanic-adults.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Gallup poll<\/a> showed Democrats\u2019 lead over Republicans with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/judges-say-north-carolina-law-requiring-voter-photo-id-is-discriminatory\/\" title=\"Judges Say North Carolina Law Requiring Voter Photo ID Is Discriminatory\">black voters \u201c<\/a>has shrunk by nearly 20 points over the past three years,\u201d and their lead among Hispanics has dropped \u201cnearly as much.\u201d\u00a0Gallup found that 66 percent of non-Hispanic black adults identify as Democrat or lean-Democrat, while 47 percent of Hispanics do.\u00a0Both are enormous drops from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/election\/2020\/exit-polls\/president\/national-results\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2020 exit polling<\/a>,\u00a0which showed 87 percent of blacks and 65 percent of Hispanics voting for Biden.<\/p>\n<p>Far bigger than just a loss of support for Biden, these figures point to a significant shift of partisan loyalty within communities that have been overwhelmingly Democratic.\u00a0In political terms, their shift signals a potential realignment.<\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-2-long d-flex justify-content-center\" style=\"margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center; \" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-310959380\">\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-1379703300879-0\" class=\"mb-30\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-e9079b5fb023f7c01d9375d82484db9e fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-2\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-e9079b5fb023f7c01d9375d82484db9e\"><\/div>\n<p>For over 70 years, America has been in what could be termed a period of dealignment.\u00a0Starting with Eisenhower\u2019s 1952 presidential victory, America\u2019s two parties have alternated presidential power with striking regularity.\u00a0In 18 elections, only once has a party held the White House more than two terms (Republicans winning in 1980, 1984, and 1988), and only twice has a party held it for only a single term (Democrats from 1977-1981 and Republicans from 2017-2021).<\/p>\n<p>Assuredly, these alternating presidential periods have not equated to total federal power shifts.\u00a0 Democrats\u2019 control of Congress extended well beyond its lock on the presidency, and there have been several instances since 1994, when Republicans broke through Democrats\u2019 congressional dominance, that presidential and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/manchin-says-budget-framework-really-should-be-finished-soon\/\" title=\"Manchin Says Budget Framework \u2018Really Should Be\u2019 Finished Soon\">congressional control<\/a> have conflicted.\u00a0Nonetheless, for seven decades, America has seen an amazingly consistent alternating of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-admin-says-travelers-from-u-k-must-test-negative-for-covid-19-amidst-new-strain-concerns\/\" title=\"Trump Admin Says Travelers From U.K. Must Test Negative For COVID-19 Amidst New Strain Concerns\">federal government\u2019<\/a>s primary power: the presidency.<\/p>\n<p>Yet just because this is what we have known for three generations does not mean it is America\u2019s historical norm.\u00a0Rather, historically the norm has been for a single party to control the presidency for relatively long periods.\u00a0In short: an alignment that gave one party clear political dominance.\u00a0Such was the case for Democrats in the 19th\u00a0century up to the Civil War, for Republicans from the Civil War to the Depression, and then Democrats from 1932 to the mid-1960s.<\/p>\n<p>The Civil War and the Depression clearly triggered realignments. What could be today\u2019s?\u00a0The left\u2019s increasing radicalization and its increasing control of the Democrat Party.\u00a0It would not be the first time the left has subverted Democrat dominance.\u00a0In 1968, it broke with the Democrat Party \u2014 giving the election to Republican Richard Nixon \u2014 and in 1972, it fractured the Democrat Party \u2014 driving out the conservatives of the old New Deal coalition. <\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-39572514acb4da068edac95e8f515148 fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-6\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-39572514acb4da068edac95e8f515148\"><\/div>\n<p>Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama successfully created their own coalitions from the left\u2019s remnants of the Democrat coalition.\u00a0Four years ago, Joe Biden did too; today, Biden\u2019s base of support has dwindled to little more than the left itself and Democrats\u2019 most partisan faithful.\u00a0This is manifest in Biden\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/poll-republicans-like-their-governors-democrats-dont\/\" title=\"Poll: Republicans Like Their Governors. Democrats Don\u2019t.\">low poll numbers<\/a> and most profoundly in its erosion of Democrats\u2019 minority base.<\/p>\n<p>With his conservative populist approach, Trump is capitalizing on the radical left\u2019s fracturing of the Democrat coalition; he did so in 2016.\u00a0With Trump in the White House in 2020 amid the pandemic, the effectiveness of his populist versus elite strategy was blunted.\u00a0However, while the 2024 race is once again a clear contest between the populous and the elite, Trump can capitalize on it only to a point.\u00a0According to\u00a0RealClearPolitics, Trump\u2019s average of national polling of a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">head-to-head rematch<\/a> with Biden puts him at 45.5 percent \u2014 barely ahead of Biden (45.3 percent), and even behind his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/election\/2020\/results\/president\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2020 popular vote<\/a> percentage of 46.9 percent. <\/p>\n<p>Trump remains a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/michael-flynns-brother-takes-over-command-of-us-army-pacific\/\" title=\"Michael Flynn's Brother Takes Over Command of US Army Pacific\">polarizing political figure<\/a>. Again according to\u00a0RealClearPolitics\u2019 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/other\/other\/FavorabilityRatingsPoliticalLeaders.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">national average<\/a>, Trump\u2019s unfavourability rating of 53.6 percent is only slightly lower than Biden\u2019s at 55.3 percent.\u00a0Trump will not fully realize Republicans\u2019 opportunity with conservative populism despite benefitting from it. <\/p>\n<p>However, a Trump victory could set the stage for Republicans to win far more than the White House for four years.\u00a0Constitutionally barred from serving more than a single term, he must relinquish the populist baton.\u00a0In the right hands, this could allow Republicans to solidify and magnify disaffected minorities\u2019 attachment to their party. <\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-8bc7a55ecabcebab8fdbe89f3ec8c1b2 fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-10\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-8bc7a55ecabcebab8fdbe89f3ec8c1b2\"><\/div>\n<p>Trump remains in many ways a political novice. He certainly remains a polarizing figure. But he is also a populist savant.\u00a0Through the seemingly improbable rise of a political novice and the radical left\u2019s imposed role reversal on the Democrat Party, a political realignment may be underway that would ironically restore America\u2019s historical norm of alignment domination of presidential politics.\u00a0If so, it has the potential to be both enduring and self-reinforcing as realigned voters provide critical mass and cover for more of their compatriots to switch. <\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-73f73a738a26dc9208b06da1af95d142 fdrlst__b89e9-after-post-content\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-73f73a738a26dc9208b06da1af95d142\"><\/div>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\">    \t\t\t\t\t   \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to a recent Gallup poll, the Democratic lead over Republicans among black voters has decreased by almost 20 points in the last three years. Additionally, their lead among Hispanics has also decreased significantly. Currently, 66% of non-Hispanic black adults lean towards the Democratic party, while 47% of Hispanics do, marking significant declines from the 2020 figures<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2425,"featured_media":2219096,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/25318458044_5a292e9dad_k.jpeg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[546],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2219095","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-federalist"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/25318458044_5a292e9dad_k.jpeg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2219095","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2425"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2219095"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2219095\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2219096"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2219095"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2219095"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2219095"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}