{"id":2215375,"date":"2024-04-08T07:48:02","date_gmt":"2024-04-08T11:48:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/black-voters-disillusionment-with-biden-could-help-trump-pull-off-a-2016-repeat\/"},"modified":"2024-04-08T07:52:05","modified_gmt":"2024-04-08T11:52:05","slug":"black-voters-disillusionment-with-biden-could-help-trump-pull-off-a-2016-repeat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/black-voters-disillusionment-with-biden-could-help-trump-pull-off-a-2016-repeat\/","title":{"rendered":"Dissatisfaction Among Black Voters with Biden May Aid Trump in Repeating 2016 Victory"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fblack-voters-disillusionment-with-biden-could-help-trump-pull-off-a-2016-repeat%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2215375&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The article discusses President \u2064Biden&#8217;s challenge in connecting with\u200d black voters, highlighted by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/republican-flips-iowa-state-house-seat-held-by-democrats-for-decades\/\" title=\"Republican Flips Iowa State House Seat Held By Democrats For Decades\">low approval ratings<\/a> and waning enthusiasm. Polls\u2063 show a\u2062 decline in\u2064 support among \u200bblack\u2062 voters, raising concerns \u2064for \u2062the Biden campaign. The narrative\u2064 draws parallels to the 2016 election\u2063 and the importance of voter turnout and enthusiasm in shaping electoral\u200b outcomes. The article delves into President Biden&#8217;s \u2064struggle to \u2062engage with black voters, marked \u200bby diminishing approval ratings and declining enthusiasm. Recent polls\u200b indicate \u200ba drop in \u200dblack voter support, posing challenges for the\u200d Biden \u2063administration.\u200c The \u2063piece draws comparisons to the 2016 election, emphasizing the\u2063 critical role of\u2064 voter turnout \u2064and enthusiasm in determining\u200c election results.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"article-content\">\n<p>During a recent segment on \u201cSaturday Night Live,\u201d Michael Che <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/media\/snl-torches-biden-baltimore-bridge-collapse-no-longer-connecting-black-communities\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">joked<\/a> President Joe Biden, like the Baltimore bridge that collapsed, \u201cis no longer connecting with black communities.\u201d But for the Biden campaign, it\u2019s not funny. In fact, the president\u2019s low approval ratings and apparent inability to inspire enthusiasm among black voters could mean a repeat of 2016 for Democrats, if the enthusiasm gap is wide enough to outweigh Democrats\u2019 ballot trafficking operations. <\/p>\n<p>A poll surveying Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin conducted by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/politics\/elections\/trump-biden-poll-swing-states-ad594acb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Wall Street Journal<\/a> found that Biden is winning about 68 percent of black voters in those swing states \u2014 a low number, by historical comparison. During the 2020 election, Biden received 91 percent of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/biden-brings-black-wisconsin-voters-to-forefront-of-campaign-with-economic-victory-lap\/\" title=\"Biden spotlights black Wisconsin voters in campaign with economic triumph\">black vote nationwide<\/a>, according to the WSJ.<\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-2-long d-flex justify-content-center\" style=\"margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center; \" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-158215801\">\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-1379703300879-0\" class=\"mb-30\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-b7166bb72f7b4d7147f593b3ee03f0a4 fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-2\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-b7166bb72f7b4d7147f593b3ee03f0a4\"><\/div>\n<p>The WSJ poll, which was conducted March 17-24 and included 600 voters in each state, isn\u2019t the first to suggest black voters may be growing dissatisfied with the Biden administration. In November, a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/11\/05\/us\/politics\/biden-trump-2024-poll.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">New York Times and Siena College poll<\/a> found 22 percent of black voters in six key swing states would choose Trump over Biden. A December <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2023\/12\/12\/poll-a-fifth-of-black-voters-want-someone-else-instead-of-trump-or-biden-00131185?nname=playbook&#038;nid=0000014f-1646-d88f-a1cf-5f46b7bd0000&#038;nrid=ae289d5d-ae4f-4185-981c-7310dd10e250&#038;nlid=630318\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">poll<\/a> from the University of Chicago found 63 percent of black Americans would vote for Biden while 20 percent said they would vote for \u201csomeone else\u201d besides Trump or Biden. Seventeen percent said they would choose Trump. <\/p>\n<p>An NBC News <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/joe-biden\/rep-jim-clyburn-biden-win-young-black-voters-2024-election-rcna134512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">poll<\/a> also found that while black voters may still overwhelmingly favor Biden when compared to Trump, \u201cthe margin shrank\u201d when it came to those under the age of 34. Biden\u2019s support went from 73 percent among black voters of all ages to 60 percent amongst those under 34. Meanwhile, Trump went from 17 percent to 28 percent respectively, according to the poll. The demographic is key for Biden, who won \u201c89% of Black voters under 29 and 78% of those 30 to 44,\u201d according to the poll. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u2018Overall Lack of Enthusiasm\u2019<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cIt doesn\u2019t seem like any choice is really a good choice at all,\u201d 30-year-old Detroit native Kaja Braziel told <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2024\/02\/28\/1234145544\/2024-election-michigan-voters-disillusioned-biden-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NPR<\/a>. Braziel, who voted for former President Barack Obama, said she\u2019s upset Biden \u201chasn\u2019t done more\u201d to pay for her student loans and is not sure she will even head to the polls come November. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt feels more so like you\u2019re caught between the devil you know and the devil you don\u2019t. And at this point in time, it feels like both the devils that we know. And I\u2019m not comfortable with either of them,\u201d Braziel said. <\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-377a925525843b98cc7fecc8cf67a397 fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-6\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-377a925525843b98cc7fecc8cf67a397\"><\/div>\n<p>Ka\u2019Marr Coleman-Byrd, 27, is a tax consultant who voted for Biden in 2020 but said as of now he has not made up his mind about the 2024 election. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cGrowing up, I feel like I voted Democrat just because it just seemed like the thing to do,\u201d Coleman-Byrd told NPR. \u201cI\u2019d say now \u2026 I\u2019m sort of more into politics and seeing exactly what both parties present, so it\u2019s not just like a blind vote in a sense.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Then there is 31-year-old CJ Sampson, who told NPR that while he considers himself to be liberal, Biden does not inspire confidence. He said when comparing whether life was better under Trump or Biden, \u201cit\u2019s kind of a mixture of both.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Team Trump appears eager to capitalize on the shift among voters. Trump received 6 percent of the black vote in 2016 and 8 percent in 2020, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/politics\/2021\/06\/30\/behind-bidens-2020-victory\/#voting-patterns-in-the-2020-election\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Pew Research<\/a> analysis. Now the former president is encouraging Republicans in key states like Michigan to reach out to black voters in Detroit and other areas, in the hopes of drawing them away from Biden, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/trump-michigan-black-voters-e6cfb99c3963da3a31c7f2e86f743d8d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Associated Press<\/a>. <\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-e29788401f0d6081d7f7fef4cf7f9869 fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-10\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-e29788401f0d6081d7f7fef4cf7f9869\"><\/div>\n<p>\u201cThis is part of Donald Trump\u2019s path to victory,\u201d CEO of Democrat firm HIT Strategies Terrance Woodbury told <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/nation\/2024\/03\/08\/trump-black-voters-election\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Washington Post<\/a>. \u201cThere\u2019s about 32 percent of the Black electorate that\u2019s just cynical, frustrated, closest to the pain, and that voter doesn\u2019t like Democrats or Republicans. They feel like they\u2019ve been failed by both sides and they\u2019ve been failed by a system. And that\u2019s a part of Donald Trump\u2019s \u2018the system is broken\u2019 message that appeals to them.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>For Trump, the goal isn\u2019t about \u201cwinning\u201d the black vote so much as it is chipping away at Biden\u2019s base.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNobody thinks we are going to win the Black vote,\u201d an anonymous Trump adviser told the Post. \u201cBut if you get 10 percent or more, the election is over.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>Democrat strategist Doug Schoen contends that \u201coverall lack of enthusiasm\u201d is the biggest issue for Biden. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cI tend to think that black voters will probably come back to Biden in bigger numbers than they are now but that there\u2019s an enthusiasm gap and turnout will be an issue for Biden,\u201d Schoen told The Federalist.<\/p>\n<p>Biden does not have much leeway. In 2020, he won states like Georgia and Arizona by less than 15,000 votes. Voters who decide to choose Trump over Biden \u2014 or even the couch over Biden \u2014 present a roadblock to the incumbent.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A 2016 Repeat?<\/h2>\n<p>If enough voters choose to stay home, Biden could run into the same problem Hillary Clinton did in 2016 when she lost by thin margins after millions of voters either sat the race out or voted for her opponent. <\/p>\n<p>The Washington Post <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/the-fix\/wp\/2016\/12\/14\/1-7-million-people-in-33-states-and-dc-cast-a-ballot-without-voting-in-the-presidential-race\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">reviewed data<\/a> from 33 states and Washington D.C. and found at least 1.75 million people who went to the polls in 2016 did not vote for a presidential candidate. <\/p>\n<p>A separate review from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2017\/06\/01\/dislike-of-candidates-or-campaign-issues-was-most-common-reason-for-not-voting-in-2016\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Pew Research<\/a> found that out of the \u201ctens of millions of registered voters\u201d who did not vote at all in 2016, 25 percent said their \u201cdislike\u201d of the candidate drove their decision. When broken down by race, 19 percent of black voters who did not vote cited issues with the candidates. <\/p>\n<p>Clinton\u2019s team misjudged their chances in Wisconsin, for example, where the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2016\/11\/21\/us\/many-in-milwaukee-neighborhood-didnt-vote-and-dont-regret-it.html?_r=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NYT noted<\/a> \u201cClinton had assumed she would win.\u201d Trump ended up winning the state, which saw its lowest voter turnout in 16 years, by just 27,000 votes. (Trump lost the state in 2020 by less than 21,000 votes.)<\/p>\n<p>Wisconsin\u2019s District 15, which was 84 percent black during the 2016 election, saw the state\u2019s biggest turnout decline in 2016 compared to 2012, according to the NYT. Several voters told the Times they were upset about the candidate choices \u2014 a common sentiment heard this go-around as well. <\/p>\n<p>Since 2016, of course, Democrats have come a long way in institutionalizing their ballot trafficking operations, which make voter enthusiasm less of a gold standard. Even if enthusiasm for Biden remains dismal, Democrats will do their best to counteract it by harvesting ballots for voters who aren\u2019t motivated enough to get themselves to the polls.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Biden Courts Anti-Israel Radicals<\/h2>\n<p>As Biden faces polling drops among black voters, he is also struggling among anti-Israel radicals. In Michigan\u2019s majority-Arab Dearborn, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/2024\/02\/28\/biden-lost-in-dearborn-again-proving-radical-is-the-new-mainstream-in-the-democrat-party\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">uncommitted<\/a>\u201d beat Biden during the state\u2019s presidential primary. Statewide, more than 100,000 voters chose \u201cuncommitted\u201d in the primary, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/02\/27\/us\/elections\/results-michigan-democratic-presidential-primary.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NYT<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Schoen told The Federalist that Biden appears more concerned about losing the progressive wing of his party rather than black voters. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think Biden\u2019s worried about progressives,\u201d he said. \u201cHe\u2019s worried about the left undermining him, he\u2019s worried about Arab-Americans in states like Michigan and that I think explains in large part his movement \u2026 to a policy now that is going to condition military aid for Israel.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019m more confident that black voters will come home [in November] than progressives and I think that\u2019s what Biden thinks as well,\u201d Schoen added. But will taking black voters for granted only give them more reason to be disillusioned with Biden?<\/p>\n<p>Democrats in general seem less enthusiastic about Biden than they were in 2020. A Gallup <a href=\"https:\/\/news.gallup.com\/poll\/643172\/americans-showing-average-enthusiasm-voting-2024.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">poll<\/a> found 42 percent of Democrats say they are less enthusiastic about voting than normal compared to 35 percent of Republicans. A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/news\/politics\/elections\/2024\/01\/01\/biden-trump-poll-odds-black-hispanic-young-voters\/72072111007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">USA Today\/Suffolk University poll<\/a> released in January found 44 percent of Trump supporters scored their enthusiasm for Trump as a 10. Just 18 percent of Biden supporters said the same for the Democrat president. <\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s little wonder Democrats have tried to keep the election from being a referendum on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/third-times-the-charm-former-presidents-who-have-tried-again\/\" title=\"Third Time\u2019s The Charm? Former Presidents Who Have Tried Again\">unpopular incumbent president<\/a>. The campaign strategy appears to be fearmongering about \u201cthreats to democracy\u201d and waging lawfare against Trump, instead of touting Biden\u2019s uninspiring record.<\/p>\n<p>Schoen said Biden needs to address Americans\u2019 concerns about illegal immigration and inflation. Asked whether Biden\u2019s messaging about alleged \u201cthreats to democracy\u201d would increase voter turnout and appeal to dissatisfied voters, Schoen told The Federalist: \u201cYou can\u2019t eat \u2018threat to democracy.&#8217;\u201d<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-2990c7a084f77fd4756b6eba169abb8a fdrlst__b89e9-after-post-content\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-2990c7a084f77fd4756b6eba169abb8a\"><\/div>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\">    \t\t\t\t\t   \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In a recent &#8220;Saturday Night Live&#8221; sketch, Michael Che quipped that President Biden, much like the collapsed Baltimore bridge, fails to resonate with black communities. While humorous on TV, the reality is no laughing matter for the Biden campaign. Biden&#8217;s declining approval ratings and lack of appeal to black voters might lead to a repeat scenario<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":74,"featured_media":2215376,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/49405125001_269683c4fc_k-e1712338152173.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[546],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2215375","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-federalist"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/49405125001_269683c4fc_k-e1712338152173.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2215375","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/74"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2215375"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2215375\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2215376"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2215375"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2215375"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2215375"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}