{"id":2156930,"date":"2024-01-23T13:15:02","date_gmt":"2024-01-23T18:15:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/haleys-path-to-nomination-depends-on-trump-pollster-zogby\/"},"modified":"2024-01-23T13:18:14","modified_gmt":"2024-01-23T18:18:14","slug":"haleys-path-to-nomination-depends-on-trump-pollster-zogby","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/haleys-path-to-nomination-depends-on-trump-pollster-zogby\/","title":{"rendered":"Zogby pollster says Haley&#8217;s nomination hinges on Trump"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">16<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fhaleys-path-to-nomination-depends-on-trump-pollster-zogby%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2156930&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><blockquote>\n<h2>Can Nikki Haley Pull Off a Surprise Victory in the Republican Nomination?<\/h2>\n<p>Pollster John Zogby isn\u2019t dismissive of former\u200b U.S. Ambassador\u2063 to the United Nations Nikki Haley\u2019s chances of making it to the\u200b party nominating convention in Milwaukee despite polls showing\u200b the odds are \u2064against\u200c her.<\/p>\n<p>In laying out Haley\u2019s path to the nomination,\u200b Zogby said the easiest way would\u2062 be to pull off a shocker in New Hampshire. \u201cNikki Haley has to win. There\u2019s no \u200cifs, ands,\u200c or buts about this. No <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/the-woke-policing-the-woke\/\" title=\"The Woke Policing the Woke\">coming close<\/a>. \u200dNo making a nice showing,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Zogby added, \u201cShe\u2019s got to win, \u2062win somewhere, show results \u200bfor all of her efforts to stop\u2063 Donald Trump, and this is the \u2063place to do it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In a new podcast with his son\u2063 and fellow pollster Jeremy\u2064 Zogby, the Democratic pollster said\u200c there is a path to Milwaukee. But it will require\u200d several perfectly threaded needles.<\/p>\n<h3>A \u2064Potential Victory Scenario<\/h3>\n<p>First, he \u2064didn\u2019t rule out a surprise \u2063Tuesday night.\u2064 He \u200bcited Hillary Clinton\u2019s comeback in New Hampshire in 2008 as an\u2062 example. At\u2064 that time, Barack Obama \u2063had momentum with a stunning victory in Iowa,\u2062 but Clinton won in New Hampshire, and the \u2062race became a delegate fight\u200d all the way to the Democratic National Convention in Denver.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIs \u200bthere a \u200bpotential victory scenario? I\u2019m going to say there is a potential victory scenario, but it\u2019s remote, especially\u200c given the polling,\u201d John Zogby said.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Here\u2019s where front-runner\u2064 former President\u2062 Donald Trump comes in.<\/p>\n<p>First, he \u2063said, Haley may have hit \u2062\u201cpaydirt\u201d in questioning Trump\u2019s mental readiness after he confused\u200c her with\u2064 former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) in a \u2064speech \u200blast week.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cThat was much more than\u2063 a gaffe,\u201d John Zogby said. \u201cThat \u200cwas either anger and rage \u200dtaking over a \u2064person\u2019s\u200d mind or\u200b someone\u200d who\u2019s lost contact with reality. Either \u2064way, \u200dit\u2019s up for\u2064 the voters to decide. Too soon\u200d to\u2064 get any real measurement, but that\u2019s a \u200dpossibility.\u2063 In conjunction\u200d with\u200d that,\u2062 or another possible victory scenario, involves \u200ca huge turnout\u200c among independent voters, many of \u200dwhom want \u2062to \u200cstop Trump and\u2064 many of whom may want\u200d to cause some\u200d disruption within the Republican Party.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Then, there are criminal\u2064 cases against the former president that could\u200c undermine\u200c his march to\u2062 the nomination, though they haven\u2019t affected his efforts yet. But should they, he said, Haley would be able \u200dto note that, like Clinton, she has won delegates\u200d to make her the next pick.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cGoing against Donald \u2063Trump for the \u2063remainder, even if he wins likely every primary\u200b and caucus \u200bfrom\u2064 here \u2063on in, she gets delegates. And if for some\u200b reason,\u2064 whether \u200cit\u2019s\u2064 a criminal conviction or questions\u200c about his mental judgment, she goes \u200cto the convention\u200c with some\u200d delegates and says, \u2018Hey, I won some delegates. I\u2019m your nominee,\u2019\u201d John Zogby said.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u201cNot likely\u2063 scenarios,\u201d\u200b he said, \u201cbut worth talking about.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>For her part, Haley dished a memo to the media on Tuesday saying, \u201cWe aren\u2019t \u200bgoing anywhere.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Jeremy Zogby, the managing partner of their John Zogby Strategies firm, agreed there\u2019s a slight chance of a surprise. He noted comebacks that started in New \u2064Hampshire by the 2008 GOP nominee John McCain and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) in \u20622016.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cThere is\u2063 a wild-card factor, but \u200bI just don\u2019t see it,\u201d he said, \u2063noting there has been only one recent poll showing Haley close to\u200d Trump.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>And as for \u200dTrump \u200closing support over a criminal conviction or gaffes,\u2062 Jeremy\u200b Zogby said it\u2019s unlikely, given MAGA\u2019s embrace of Trump.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cWe\u2019ve seen \u200cthat movie, I don\u2019t know,\u2063 25 \u200dtimes, 20 times, I\u2019m exaggerating slightly,\u200b and\u2063 that doesn\u2019t seem to \u2064be delivering the results \u2064that those who\u2063 believe that \u2063would like to see,\u201d he said.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <\/p>\n<h2> What challenges\u2063 does Nikki Haley face\u2064 in appealing to both conservative and moderate voters in the Republican \u200bParty?<\/h2>\n<p><span>  Rs to\u2063 decide.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Second, Zogby believes that Haley must hope for a crowded field and a split vote among \u2062the\u200b other candidates. \u201cIf we have three or four candidates going into the primaries, and\u2063 each one\u2063 is getting \u200c20-25% of\u2064 the vote, then there\u2019s a possibility for Haley \u2063to \u200bsurge \u200dahead with a smaller but passionate base of support,\u201d he\u200b explained.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, Zogby emphasized the importance of fundraising. Haley will need to\u200d gather significant financial support to compete with the well-funded Trump campaign.\u200d \u201cShe needs the resources to get her name\u200c out\u2062 there, to run \u2063a strong \u2064campaign, and to \u2063capture the attention of the GOP primary voters,\u201d he said. Without adequate funding, her chances of success would be severely limited.<\/p>\n<h3>Remaining Challenges<\/h3>\n<p>Despite these potential advantages, Zogby recognizes \u200cthe challenges that Haley will face.\u200d First and foremost, she will have to contend with the \u2062popularity and loyalty that Trump\u2064 still enjoys among many Republican voters. \u201cTrump\u2019s\u2062 base is loyal and enthusiastic, and it may be difficult \u200cfor Haley \u2062to \u2064convince them \u200dto abandon \u2062him,\u201d Zogby acknowledged.<\/p>\n<p>Secondly, Haley will need to navigate the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/state-department-backs-iranian-protesters-as-biden-admin-emboldens-hardline-regime\/\" title=\"State Department Backs Iranian Protesters as Biden Admin Emboldens Hardline Regime\">delicate balancing act<\/a> of appealing to both the conservative base and the moderate voters \u2064within the Republican\u200b Party. While she has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trumps-feud-with-iowas-governor-tests-his-lead-in-crucial-caucuses\/\" title=\"Trump's clash with Iowa's governor challenges his advantage in vital caucuses.\">strong conservative record<\/a>\u2064 as governor of South Carolina,\u200d she will need \u2062to\u2064 avoid alienating more moderate voters \u200bwho may be crucial in the general election.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, Zogby highlighted the importance of timing. Haley would \u200cneed to build momentum and gain traction \u2064before\u200c the Super \u2064Tuesday primaries, where a significant number \u200bof delegates are up for grabs. \u200d\u201cShe can\u2019t afford\u2062 to fall behind in \u200cthe \u200dearly contests.\u2062 She \u200bneeds to make a decisive impact early on \u2063to remain viable,\u201d \u200bhe said.<\/p>\n<h3>Conclusion<\/h3>\n<p>While the odds may be stacked against Nikki Haley in her bid \u200bfor the Republican nomination, John Zogby emphasizes that it is not completely out of the realm of possibility. With a surprise victory in New Hampshire, a crowded field, successful fundraising, and a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/georgia-republicans-give-huge-gift-to-fulton-county-da-going-after-trump\/\" title=\"Georgia Republicans have bestowed a significant favor upon the Fulton County District Attorney in their pursuit of President Trump.\">delicate balancing \u200cact<\/a>,\u2062 Haley\u200b could potentially build \u2064enough momentum \u200bto challenge \u2063Donald Trump.<\/p>\n<p>However, she will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/small-business-group-says-biden-vaccine-mandate-will-make-life-harder-for-entrepreneurs\/\" title=\"Small Business Group Says Biden Vaccine Mandate Will Make Life Harder For Entrepreneurs\">face numerous challenges<\/a> along the way, including Trump\u2019s loyal base, the\u200b need to appeal to both conservative \u200band moderate voters, and the importance\u200c of early success in \u200dthe\u200b primary contests.<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, whether Nikki Haley can pull off a surprise victory in the Republican nomination\u200b remains to be\u2062 seen. As \u200cZogby \u2064aptly puts it, \u201cTime will tell if she \u2062can thread those needles and pull off the shocker in Milwaukee.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pollster John Zogby believes Nikki Haley has a shot at the party nominating convention in Milwaukee, despite unfavorable polls. Zogby suggests Haley&#8217;s best chance is to create a surprise outcome<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2647,"featured_media":2315279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2156930","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2156930","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2647"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2156930"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2156930\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2315279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2156930"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2156930"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2156930"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}