{"id":2119852,"date":"2023-12-08T14:12:10","date_gmt":"2023-12-08T19:12:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/presidential-elections-of-1944-and-2024-have-staggering-similarities\/"},"modified":"2023-12-08T14:16:24","modified_gmt":"2023-12-08T19:16:24","slug":"presidential-elections-of-1944-and-2024-have-staggering-similarities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/presidential-elections-of-1944-and-2024-have-staggering-similarities\/","title":{"rendered":"1944 and 2024 Presidential Elections: Strikingly Similar"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">14<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fpresidential-elections-of-1944-and-2024-have-staggering-similarities%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2119852&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><h2>Presidential\u200c Elections of \u20641944 and 2024 Have Staggering Similarities<\/h2>\n<p>Encouraged by President Joe Biden\u2019s\u2063 consistently\u200b weak\u2063 poll numbers, the Republican contenders participating in Wednesday night\u2019s\u2062 presidential\u2063 debate \u200brepeatedly lashed out at his administration and policies. But as politically vulnerable as the president appears to be,\u200d he\u2062 may not be\u2064 the most vulnerable member of the \u200bDemocratic ticket.<\/p>\n<p>When the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/pro-palestinian-mob-turns-violent-democratic-party-headquarters-multiple-police-officers-injured\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Democratic Party<\/a> \u200d delegates convene to nominate \u2063their presidential and vice \u2064presidential candidates\u200d for next year\u2019s election, it is Vice\u200d President Kamala \u200dHarris who may find herself \u2063stranded\u200b in the more precarious \u2062position.<\/p>\n<p>State law will\u2064 protect Biden\u200b after he wins every primary,\u200d thus locking the individual delegates\u2019 votes\u2062 through the first ballot and, in some states, the second and third convention roll\u2063 calls.<\/p>\n<p>No such protection is awarded to the vice presidential\u200d contender.\u200c While voters in every state collectively determine the presidential nominee, the convention delegates have \u2063the sole\u200c power\u2064 to accept or reject that nominee\u2019s choice as a\u200d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/desantis-considers-key-gop-player-trump-criticized-disloyalty-running-mate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">running mate<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>With Harris\u2019 approval numbers consistently dropping\u200c even below Biden\u2019s typically poor showing, jittery delegates might\u2063 believe\u200c replacing Harris would strengthen the party\u2019s chances next November.<\/p>\n<p>Despite Biden\u2019s\u200d advanced age and questionable \u200dhealth, most pundits expect\u2064 he will seek re-election and secure re-nomination. Winning the general election\u200d and completing another term, however, is far from certain.<\/p>\n<p>Ironically, the parallels between the 1944 and 2024 presidential election campaigns are \u200bstaggering. Could what\u200d happened at \u200cthe 1944 Democratic National Convention repeat \u2063itself \u2062at the party\u2019s\u200d 2024 \u200cnomination gathering?<\/p>\n<p>Democrats ventured to Chicago \u200din \u2063the summer of 1944 for\u2062 their national political convention.\u2062 Where are Democrats holding their \u2064convention\u200c next year? \u2063 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/chicago-construction-crew-blocks-view-illegal-migrant-encampment-site-local-news-station\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Chicago<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In 1944, Vice \u200cPresident Henry Wallace was considered an electoral liability by Democratic Party insiders. According to historian David McCullough, they believed having Wallace on the ticket with Franklin D. \u2064Roosevelt could\u2063 cause the Democrats to lose two \u200bor three million \u200cvotes and\u200b ultimately \u201cthe loss of New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and\u200b California.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, as a recent headline (\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/news\/politics\/a-career-politician-who-has-%E2%80%9Cpeddled-hate%E2%80%9D-biden-faces-2024-turmoil-as-approval-plummets\/ss-AA1kvIez#image=5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The VP is a Drag on the Ticket<\/a>\u201d) suggests, \u2064Harris is also considered a drag on the \u200cpresidential ticket. Within a year of assuming\u2063 office, she sported\u200c the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/border-patrol-chief-resists-biden-i-cannot-comply-with-demand-to-use-non-legal-immigration-terms\/\" title=\"Border Patrol Chief Resists Biden: \u2018I Cannot\u2019 Comply With Demand To Use Non-Legal Immigration Terms\">lowest approval rating<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/kamala-harris-approval-rating-historic-low-compared-to-other-vp-2021-11?op=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">28\u2063 percent<\/a>)\u200b of any sitting vice president in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/world-news\/2021\/11\/08\/kamala-harris-least-popular-vice-president-50-years-according\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">50 years<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Today, Harris\u2019 net favorability rating (approval \u200crating minus disapproval rating) is -16.3 percentage points. While\u2064 82 percent of Democrats hold a favorable opinion\u200d of Harris, a\u2064 whopping \u206270 percent of \u200dpolitical independents \u200b\u2014 the voters Biden will need behind him \u200dto win re-election \u2014 \u2064hold an unfavorable opinion \u2062of her.<\/p>\n<p>In 1944, Wallace was \u2063unceremoniously tossed from the ticket in \u200bfavor of then-Sen. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/kennedy-served-2nd-term-60th-anniversary-jfks-assassination\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Harry Truman<\/a>. Why? According \u200dto McCullough, \u2064FDR viewed\u200d Truman \u201cas the one who \u2063would do the\u200c ticket the least harm.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The same can\u2019t be said of Kamala Harris, given her decrepit poll numbers.<\/p>\n<p>Another parallel between 1944\u200d and\u2063 2024 is the growing concern that the president may\u2063 not\u200d survive an additional term\u2063 in office.<\/p>\n<p>Roosevelt \u2063turned 62 in April\u200c 1944. Due to wartime concerns and political expediency, Roosevelt\u2019s declining\u2062 health was intentionally kept from the public. His aides and associates, however, knew better.<\/p>\n<p>Ed Flynn, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Edward_J._Flynn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">one of FDR\u2019s \u200dassociates<\/a>, reportedly urged \u200dEleanor Roosevelt to persuade her husband not to \u200bseek re-election, arguing that\u2062 the president\u200d \u201cwould never survive his\u200d term.\u201d George Allen, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/George_E._Allen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">one of\u2064 FDR\u2019s cronies<\/a>, wrote that\u200d FDR\u2019s \u2062closest allies \u201crealized that the\u2063 man\u200c nominated to run with Roosevelt would in all probability be the next President.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>They \u2064were right to be \u200dconcerned. Harry Truman served\u2064 as vice president for all of 82 days \u200dbefore assuming the presidency upon <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/pathetic-wapo-covers-biden-publishing-story-saying-cocaine-wh-goes-way-back-fdr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Roosevelt\u2019s<\/a> death.<\/p>\n<p>Joe Biden turned 81 last\u2063 month. Should he win and survive a second\u200c term, he will be 86 years old upon leaving office. According \u200cto the Social Security Administration\u2019s \u2064actuarial\u2063 life table, an 81-year-old man has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssa.gov\/oact\/STATS\/table4c6.html#fn1\">7.2 percent probability<\/a> \u200cof dying within one year.\u200b That probability jumps to 12.1 percent for\u200d a man\u2062 of 86. \u2062Those odds\u2062 are just shy of a game of Russian roulette \u2014 a 1 in 6 possibility.<\/p>\n<p>But should\u200b Biden win\u200c re-election, \u2063his vice president \u200cstands \u2064a\u2062 meaningful chance \u200dof assuming the top \u200bjob. Biden needn\u2019t die for his vice president to assume his office; he could step down in perhaps a \u2062mentally\u2064 or physically\u2063 disabled condition.<\/p>\n<p>For that \u200creason \u200balone, ambitious Democrats could, in\u200b 2024, as in 1944, jockey for their party\u2019s vice\u200d presidential \u2062nomination. \u2063Henry Wallace stood\u200c against 15 other men seeking the Democratic nomination for vice president in\u2063 1944. How many people will Kamala \u2062Harris\u2062 face next year?<\/p>\n<p>A crowded field of contenders, \u200cdesigned to prevent Harris \u2064from securing the vice \u200dpresidential nomination quickly, could spell the end of her tenuous hold on the office. That \u2063could open \u200dthe door to\u200b any number \u2064of possibilities. Vice President Michelle Obama? Vice President Amy Klobuchar? Vice President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/senator-oprah-winfrey-talk-show-mogul-become-lawmaker-without-elected\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Oprah Winfrey<\/a>?<\/p>\n<p>In consolation, Truman appointed former Vice \u200cPresident Wallace \u2063as Secretary of Commerce. In that vein, should Joe Biden secure a \u2063second term, we\u2019d\u200d like to\u200d be the first \u2063to congratulate Ambassador \u200bKamala Harris on her \u200cnew role abroad\u200b in the years ahead.<\/p>\n<p><em>James\u200d Carter was a Deputy\u2064 Undersecretary\u200b of Labor and Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury under President George W. Bush.\u00a0 Jim Ellis is \u2062the founder of the Ellis Insight election analysis service.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The\u200c views and opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the \u2064author\u200b and\u2063 do not reflect the official \u2064position of the Daily Caller News Foundation.<\/em><\/p>\n<p> <\/p>\n<h2> If Kamala Harris&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/bidens-one-hundred-days-of-hubris\/\" title=\"Biden\u2019s One Hundred Days of Hubris\">approval ratings continue<\/a> to drop, and delegates\u200c become apprehensive about\u200b her as the running mate, what\u200d are \u2064the potential \u2062consequences and\u200b considerations for the Democratic Party, as shown by historical parallels with the 1944\u2063 campaign<\/h2>\n<p><span>  If history is \u200dany indication, Vice \u200bPresident \u2062Kamala Harris may face a precarious position in\u200d the upcoming presidential elections of 2024. Just like Vice President Henry \u200dWallace in\u2062 1944,\u200d Harris\u200b is seen by many as a liability to the Democratic Party&#8217;s chances of winning\u200b the \u2064election.<\/p>\n<p>In 1944, Democratic Party insiders believed that \u200chaving Wallace on the ticket alongside Franklin D. Roosevelt \u2064could cost the Democrats millions of \u2064votes\u200c and the\u200b loss of key states like\u2062 New York, \u2063Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and California. Similarly, Harris is considered a drag on the presidential \u2062ticket, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/republican-flips-iowa-state-house-seat-held-by-democrats-for-decades\/\" title=\"Republican Flips Iowa State House Seat Held By Democrats For Decades\">low approval ratings<\/a> and \u200dunfavorable \u2064opinions among \u2063political \u2064independents, a crucial group of voters for President Joe Biden&#8217;s re-election.<\/p>\n<p>The parallels \u200bbetween the two election campaigns don&#8217;t end \u2064there. In 1944, there were \u200cconcerns about Roosevelt&#8217;s\u2063 declining health and his ability to survive another term in \u2064office. While his\u200d health issues were kept hidden from the public,\u200b his closest allies knew that the vice president might end up \u200cbecoming the next president. And just as\u2062 predicted, Harry Truman assumed the presidency upon Roosevelt&#8217;s death shortly after being elected as vice president.<\/p>\n<p>Today, there\u200b are \u200csimilar concerns about\u2062 President Biden&#8217;s age and health.\u2063 At 81 years old, he \u2062would be \u2063the oldest president ever if he were to win\u200d a second term and\u2064 serve until the end. This \u2064raises questions\u200d about his ability to complete another term, especially considering his \u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/biden-officials-felt-relief-when-supreme-court-forced-admin-to-reinstate-trump-immigration-policy-nyt-reports\/\" title=\"Biden Officials Felt \u2018Relief\u2019 When Supreme Court Forced Admin To Reinstate Trump Immigration Policy, NYT Reports\">declining poll numbers<\/a> and the growing \u2063desire for change within the Democratic Party.<\/p>\n<p>The article raises the possibility that history could repeat itself at the Democratic National Convention\u200c in 2024, just like it\u2064 did in 1944. If\u200c Kamala Harris&#8217;s approval ratings continue to drop and delegates become jittery about her as a running mate, they \u2063might \u2062consider replacing her to\u200c strengthen the party&#8217;s chances of winning the\u200c election.<\/p>\n<p>It is important to\u200d note that this article is speculative and \u2064based\u200c on \u200chistorical parallels. The outcome of the 2024 presidential \u200belections and the Democratic Party&#8217;s decision regarding their vice presidential nominee are yet to be determined. However, the similarities between\u200c the 1944\u200d and 2024 campaigns serve as a reminder that political dynamics can often repeat\u200c themselves, and history can\u200b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/live-4-pm-et-hudson-institutes-presidential-speech-series-mike-pence-on-foreign-policy\/\" title=\"LIVE NOW: Hudson Institute's Presidential Speech Series featuring Mike Pence on Foreign Policy at 4 PM ET.\">offer valuable insights<\/a> into the present.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When the Democratic Party delegates convene, President Joe Biden&#8217;s weak poll numbers have encouraged Republican contenders in the presidential debate to criticize his administration and policies. However, despite his vulnerability, Biden may not be the most vulnerable member of the Democratic ticket<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2595,"featured_media":2119853,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[548],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2119852","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-conservative-news-daily"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2119852","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2595"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2119852"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2119852\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2119853"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2119852"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2119852"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2119852"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}