{"id":2108520,"date":"2023-11-27T08:09:01","date_gmt":"2023-11-27T13:09:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/gavin-newsom-is-running-the-campaign-ron-desantis-should-have-run\/"},"modified":"2023-11-27T08:19:03","modified_gmt":"2023-11-27T13:19:03","slug":"gavin-newsom-is-running-the-campaign-ron-desantis-should-have-run","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/gavin-newsom-is-running-the-campaign-ron-desantis-should-have-run\/","title":{"rendered":"Newsom runs the campaign DeSantis should&#8217;ve"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">12<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fgavin-newsom-is-running-the-campaign-ron-desantis-should-have-run%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2108520&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><div class=\"article-content\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ron DeSantis: A \u200cMissed Opportunity<\/h2>\n<p>If ever someone needed an old-fashioned do-over, it\u2019s Ron DeSantis. His highest \u200cfavorability rating came in early January of this year, before he announced his candidacy for president. He started sliding in February, and by April he was upside down. Today, he\u2063 is upside down in favorability by 15 percent. Coming off \u2062of a historic reelection as governor of Florida, this seems rather odd. How could\u200d the most popular Republican governor (arguably) who piloted Florida through \u2064Covid as good \u2062as or better than any other\u2064 red state take such a dive in such a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrat-official-who-pulled-knife-on-trump-supporters-indicted-on-weapons-charges-media-tries-to-frame-him-as-victim\/\" title=\"Democrat Official Who Pulled Knife On Trump Supporters Indicted On Weapons Charges; Media Tries To Frame Him As Victim\">short time<\/a>?<\/p>\n<p>The Federalist\u2019s Mollie Hemingway had a recent <a href=\"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/2023\/11\/06\/the-inflection-point-for-desantis-campaign-woes-isnt-what-he-thinks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">piece<\/a> detailing his slide inside the GOP voters\u2019\u200c minds,\u2062 but\u2063 let\u2019s also admit that he\u2064 isn\u2019t a \u2062great candidate to follow \u2063Trump, regardless of his missteps. There\u200c is an old saying in sports that you don\u2019t want to replace a legend, you want \u200cto\u2064 replace the person who\u2064 replaced\u200d the legend.<\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-2-long d-flex justify-content-center\" style=\"margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center; \" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-511431441\">\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-1379703300879-0\" class=\"mb-30\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-0a516768b8d61a9a8288eccf68194536 fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-2\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-0a516768b8d61a9a8288eccf68194536\"><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Missing\u2063 Connection<\/h2>\n<p>The decision to launch his presidential run on Twitter was too cute\u200d by half. The\u200c daring, throw-out-the-playbook-type \u200bmove that some political\u2064 consultant got handsomely rewarded for was \u200da disaster on several levels, but most notably, the technical\u200c problems became symbolic of his \u2064early campaign days. Fits and starts followed by awkward silences.<\/p>\n<p>There is no escaping that\u200c Trump\u2019s communication style and effectiveness have \u200caltered what we expect from our candidates. He broke the mold, riding down that golden elevator with the spitfire speech\u2062 that followed. It isn\u2019t returning to pre-2015 levels anytime soon. Trump speaks at a sixth- or seventh-grade level depending on if you believe Fast \u2063Company or The Washington Post. Either way,\u200d they thought it was an insult. They were wrong.\u200c Regular people\u200c want to \u2064hear regular words, and they want those words\u200c delivered with energy,\u2063 conviction, and conciseness.<\/p>\n<p>Politicians routinely trot out long-winded talking point answers. Trump speaks in rapid-fire short\u200d bursts. Give me a \u200dsixth grader who learned about\u200c supply and demand trading\u2062 baseball cards over\u2062 a double Ph.D.\u2063 economics \u2064professor who uses words even he can\u2019t spell to tell us that printing money isn\u2019t inflationary.<\/p>\n<p>When DeSantis decided to run, he was following the easiest-to-understand politician in the history of our country. Trump\u2019s communication style is effective because anyone can understand his point, and that makes him \u2063very hard to follow\u200b for professional politicians, even good ones like DeSantis. It is often said by those who knew Trump\u2062 before politics and those who spend time with him in private that he is the exact same person publicly as he is privately. He says the same things, the same way, and with the same vigor. In politics that is rare, and it\u2019s the thing that dooms\u2062 so\u200b many on the \u2062right these days.<\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-76232f9dbac5d179efee47f17afdeb2a fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-6\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-76232f9dbac5d179efee47f17afdeb2a\"><\/div>\n<p>Does anyone think DeSantis is that uneasy when he is among his friends taking politics? That\u2019s the Ron voters want, the unadulterated, unvarnished truth teller he is with his \u2062buddies. That\u2019s the bar that Trump \u200dset: Be a real human being at all times.<\/p>\n<p>Plenty of \u200cink has been\u200c spilled on Trump\u2019s lack of\u200d self-control (and rightfully so) over the body\u2019s most troublesome muscle, the tongue. The flip side of \u2063that is Trump refused to table his own views or use watered-down political words in order to make \u2064himself into a palatable politician.<\/p>\n<p>DeSantis in November of 2022 was the perfect blind-date candidate. On paper, he had everything going for him. But once the first date came, the interest started to wane, and it is not getting better. What became apparent to the GOP electorate was that\u200d he \u2064wanted to replace the legend with below-average personality and political communication skills that\u200c would have been better suited to a 2008 run at the White House. The more he\u200c talked, the more the GOP just wanted \u2063the date to\u200c end so we could go back to the ex.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DeSantis Should Have Run the\u2062 Newsom Playbook<\/h2>\n<p>What DeSantis failed \u2064to realize is that his \u2064opportunity \u2063wasn\u2019t to\u2063 declare and run the\u200c standard\u200b playbook to try to become the\u200b nominee; he needed to take a sober look at the landscape he was wading into.<\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-cc9a67a7e8d448c526b62da9972b6804 fdrlst__b89e9-paragraph-10\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-cc9a67a7e8d448c526b62da9972b6804\"><\/div>\n<p>The person who didn\u2019t make that mistake \u2063is Gavin Newsom. \u200dThe <a href=\"https:\/\/electionbettingodds.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">betting markets<\/a> have Newsom \u2062as the \u200bthird most likely to win the presidency, behind Trump and Biden but way in front \u200cof DeSantis, Nikki Haley, and Vivek Ramaswamy. Newsom\u2062 is also four times more likely to be the Democratic nominee for president than Kamala Harris, who is in third. His main tactic \u200bis that he is running without running. It\u2019s politically genius and should have been exactly what DeSantis did. Both political parties are experiencing\u2062 the same phenomena but for different reasons. Biden and\u200d Trump have super high <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/47-of-voters-dont-want-to-see-biden-run-in-2024-58-oppose-trump-run-poll\/\" title=\"47% Of Voters Don\u2019t Want To See Biden Run In 2024, 58% Oppose Trump Run: Poll\">unfavorable ratings<\/a>, and the \u200cpublic is wary of a rematch.<\/p>\n<p>If DeSantis could be granted\u2064 a do-over, \u2062he would never \u2062have announced. Instead, he would have pulled a Newsom \u2014 be visible, but deferential to\u2063 the party\u2019s (unofficial) head\u2062 and hang back. Waiting. Watching. Ready to jump in\u200b if need be or even better, be asked to jump in. In this\u200c crazy <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/the-red-wave-of-conservative-women-elected-to-congress\/\" title=\"The Red Wave of Conservative Women Elected to Congress\">election cycle<\/a>, anything is possible, and\u200d the GOP might need an alternative candidate despite\u200c the statical stranglehold Trump has on the nomination currently.<\/p>\n<p>Imagine\u2063 the power DeSantis would have today if he had never declared, raised money, advertised, or debated. He would be\u2062 the second most powerful\u2063 person in the GOP primary like Newsom is on the Democratic side. All of the awkward exchanges would have \u2064never taken place because he would be busy smiling and running\u2062 Florida, minding his \u200down business, and waiting for the phone \u200bto ring.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s also not forget that DeSantis is 45. If he had held back, he would be almost impossible to \u2064deny for the 2028 nod. Trump can only be in office four years if he were to win, and DeSantis wouldn\u2019t\u200c have to worry about winning over Trump\u2019s base. They would \u2064have \u200dcalled him\u2062 in 2027 and asked him to be next, at the ripe old age of \u200d49. \u2063There\u2063 are many hall of fame NBA players who don\u2019t have a championship ring because they had the misfortune of playing when Michael Jordan reigned supreme. Sometimes the \u2062wise move is to wait until the superstar retires or someone retires him.<\/p>\n<p>Since a do-over\u2064 isn\u2019t possible, the question is what now for DeSantis? It feels like a three-person race\u200b with Trump, DeSantis, and Haley rising to the top. Although Trump has a tight grip, a lot can change quickly in this election cycle, Haley is gaining on DeSantis (in some early states surpassing), and some big donors are starting to defect to her \u2014 but \u200cthe voters aren\u2019t sold yet that she isn\u2019t\u2062 just a better-packaged Mitt Romney.<\/p>\n<p>The clock\u200d is ticking for DeSantis. His inability to viscerally connect to voters\u2063 is why he can\u2019t erode Trump\u2019s base and why Haley is gaining on him. His politics are fine, \u2064and his record of governance is solid, but challenging Trump before it\u2019s clear Trump is done coupled with a ho-hum persona is a disaster that might cost him a real shot at 2024 and doom a future 2028 run. Trump\u2019s refusal to get a dog (first president in more\u2062 than 100 years not to have one) even though it\u2019s politically \u200dexpected is a great \u2062lesson. DeSantis needs to embrace his humanity in short order before it\u2019s too late.<\/p>\n<div class=\"fdrlst__b89e9-a31b16d47a6415bf3753097e75831388 fdrlst__b89e9-after-post-content\" id=\"fdrlst__b89e9-a31b16d47a6415bf3753097e75831388\"><\/div>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\">\n<\/div>\n<p> <\/p>\n<h2> Why did\u200c Ron DeSantis&#8217;s favorability rating decline after \u200cannouncing his candidacy for president?<\/h2>\n<p><span>  Ron \u200dDeSantis: A Missed Opportunity<\/p>\n<p>If ever someone\u2062 needed \u200can old-fashioned do-over, it&#8217;s Ron DeSantis. His \u2063highest\u2062 favorability rating came in early January of this year, before\u200c he announced\u200b his candidacy for president. He started sliding \u2064in February, and by April he was upside down. Today, he is upside down in favorability by 15 percent. Coming off of a historic reelection as governor of Florida, this seems rather\u200d odd. How could the most \u200cpopular Republican governor (arguably) who \u2063piloted Florida through Covid \u200das good as or better than any other red state take such a dive in \u200bsuch\u2064 a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/pa-flash-flood-victims-identified-search-for-two-missing-children-continues\/\" title=\"Victims of PA Flash Flood Identified, Search for Missing Children Ongoing\">short \u2062time<\/a>?<\/p>\n<p>The Federalist\u2019s Mollie Hemingway had a \u2064recent piece detailing his slide inside the GOP voters\u2019 minds, but \u2064let&#8217;s also admit that he isn&#8217;t a great candidate to follow Trump,\u200b regardless of his missteps. There is an old saying in sports that you don\u2019t\u200d want to replace a legend, you \u2063want\u200b to \u2062replace the \u2063person who replaced\u200c the\u2062 legend.<\/p>\n<p>The \u200bdecision to launch\u200b his presidential run on Twitter was too cute by half. \u200cThe\u200c daring, throw-out-the-playbook-type move that some political consultant\u200d got handsomely rewarded for was a disaster on \u2063several levels, but most notably, the technical problems became symbolic \u200dof his early campaign days. Fits and\u2062 starts followed by \u2062awkward \u200bsilences.<\/p>\n<p>There is no escaping that Trump\u2019s\u200c communication style and effectiveness have altered what \u200cwe expect \u200dfrom our candidates.\u200d He broke the mold, riding down that golden elevator with\u2062 the spitfire speech\u200d that followed. It isn&#8217;t returning to pre-2015 levels anytime \u2064soon.\u2062 Trump speaks at a sixth- or seventh-grade level depending on if you believe Fast Company or The Washington Post. Either \u2064way, they \u200bthought it was an insult. They were wrong. \u2063Regular people want to hear regular words, \u2064and they want those words delivered\u2062 with energy, conviction, and conciseness.<\/p>\n<p>Politicians routinely trot out long-winded talking point answers. Trump speaks in rapid-fire\u2063 short bursts. Give me a sixth grader who learned about supply and demand trading baseball\u2063 cards over\u2064 a double Ph.D. economics professor who uses words\u2064 even he\u200c can&#8217;t spell to tell us that \u2064printing money isn&#8217;t inflationary.<\/p>\n<p>When\u2064 DeSantis decided to run, \u2063he was following the easiest-to-understand politician in\u200d the history of\u200c our country.\u2064 Trump&#8217;s communication \u200bstyle is effective because\u200d anyone can \u200cunderstand his point, \u2063and that makes him very hard to follow\u200c for professional politicians, even \u2063good\u2062 ones like DeSantis. It is \u200coften said by those who knew Trump before politics and\u2062 those who spend time with \u2064him in private that he is the exact \u2064same person publicly as he is privately. He \u200csays the same things, the same way, and with the same vigor.\u2062 In politics that is rare, and it&#8217;s the thing that dooms so many on the right these days.<\/p>\n<p>Does anyone think DeSantis is that uneasy when he is \u200damong his friends taking politics? That\u2019s\u200d the Ron voters want, the \u2063unadulterated, unvarnished truth teller he is with his buddies.\u2064 That\u2019s the bar that Trump \u200cset: Be a real\u2063 human being at \u2063all times.<\/p>\n<p>Plenty \u200dof ink has been spilled on Trump&#8217;s lack of self-control (and \u2063rightfully so) over\u2063 the body&#8217;s most \u2063troublesome muscle, the tongue. The flip side of that is Trump refused to table his own views or \u2062use watered-down political words in order to make himself \u200dinto \u200ca \u200bpalatable politician.<\/p>\n<p>DeSantis in November of 2022 was the perfect blind-date candidate. \u200bOn paper, he had\u2064 everything going for him. But once the first date came, the interest started to wane, and it is not getting better. What became apparent to the GOP electorate was that he \u2064wanted \u200bto \u200breplace the legend with below-average personality \u200cand political communication skills that would \u2062have been \u200bbetter suited to a 2008 run at the White House. The more he talked, the more \u2062the GOP \u2063just wanted the date to end so \u2063we \u2064could \u2063go back to\u2064 the\u200d ex.<\/p>\n<p>DeSantis\u2062 Should Have Run the Newsom Playbook<\/p>\n<p>What DeSantis\u2062 failed \u200bto realize is that his opportunity\u2064 wasn&#8217;t to declare and run the standard playbook to\u2063 try to become the nominee; he needed to\u2062 take a sober look at the landscape \u2063he was wading into.<\/p>\n<p>The person who didn&#8217;t make that mistake is Gavin Newsom. The betting markets have Newsom as the third most likely to win\u2063 the presidency, behind Trump and Biden but\u200d way in front of DeSantis, Nikki Haley, and Vivek Ramaswamy. Newsom is also four times more \u2063likely to \u2063be the Democratic nominee for president than Kamala Harris, who is \u2062in \u200dthird. His main tactic is that\u2062 he is running without running. It\u2019s politically\u200b genius and should have \u2062been \u2062exactly what DeSantis did. Both \u200bpolitical parties are experiencing the same phenomena but for different\u200c reasons. Biden\u2062 and Trump have super high\u2062 unfavorable \u2064ratings, and the public is wary of a rematch.<\/p>\n<p>If DeSantis could\u2062 be\u200b granted \u2063a do-over, he would never have announced. Instead, he would have pulled a Newsom \u2014 be visible, but deferential to the \u200cparty&#8217;s (unofficial) head and hang back. Waiting. \u2062Watching. Ready to jump in if need\u2064 be \u2063or\u200d even \u200bbetter, be asked \u200dto\u200b jump \u2063in. In this crazy election cycle, \u200danything is \u200bpossible, and the GOP might need \u2062an alternative candidate despite the statistical stranglehold Trump\u200c has on the nomination currently.<\/p>\n<p>Imagine the power DeSantis \u2064would have\u2062 today if he had\u2062 never declared, raised money, advertised, or debated.\u200c He would be the second most powerful person in the\u200c GOP primary like\u200b Newsom is \u2063on the Democratic side. All of the awkward encounters, missteps, and unfavorable ratings could have been avoided. It&#8217;s\u200d a missed opportunity that may cost him dearly in the \u2063<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/did-president-trump-spring-a-trap-on-treasonous-democrats-on-election-night\/\" title=\"Did President Trump Spring a Trap on Treasonous Democrats on Election Night?\">long run<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ron DeSantis could use a classic do-over. FiveThirtyEight reveals his peak favorability rating was in January, before he declared his presidential candidacy. However, his popularity declined in February, reaching a negative rating by April. Despite announcing in late May, his favorability remains in the negative zone today<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2524,"featured_media":2108521,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[546],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2108520","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-federalist"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2108520","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2524"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2108520"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2108520\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2108521"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2108520"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2108520"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2108520"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}