{"id":2082772,"date":"2023-10-28T22:47:02","date_gmt":"2023-10-29T02:47:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/latest-presidential-polls-does-an-rfk-jr-independent-run-hurt-trump-or-biden\/"},"modified":"2023-10-28T22:51:51","modified_gmt":"2023-10-29T02:51:51","slug":"latest-presidential-polls-does-an-rfk-jr-independent-run-hurt-trump-or-biden","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/latest-presidential-polls-does-an-rfk-jr-independent-run-hurt-trump-or-biden\/","title":{"rendered":"Impact of RFK Jr.&#8217;s Independent Run on Trump and Biden in Latest Polls"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Flatest-presidential-polls-does-an-rfk-jr-independent-run-hurt-trump-or-biden%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2082772&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><h2>RFK Jr.&#8217;s Independent Run Shakes\u2063 Up \u20632024 Presidential Race<\/h2>\n<p>Former Democratic candidate\u200d Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has thrown a wrench into the 2024 \u2064presidential race by announcing his independent \u2064run. With President Joe Biden and former \u200cPresident Donald\u2063 Trump in\u200c a statistical polling tie, the question arises: who will lose votes to\u2063 RFK Jr.?<\/p>\n<p>Recent polls attempt to answer this question, but the answer remains \u2063unclear. Two polls suggest \u200cthat \u2063Trump is \u200bmost affected \u2063by RFK Jr.&#8217;s independent bid, while the third poll \u200dindicates that RFK Jr. takes more crucial independent votes away from Biden than from Trump.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/news\/politics\/elections\/2023\/10\/23\/biden-trump-rfk-jr-poll\/71281814007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">USA Today\/Suffolk \u200cUniversity poll<\/a> released\u2062 on Monday reveals that in a four-way race between\u200b Biden, Trump, RFK Jr., and Cornel \u200bWest, Biden and \u2064Trump are tied at 37%. However, Trump loses more voters to RFK Jr. than Biden does. Among the 1,000\u200c registered voters surveyed, 13%\u2062 support\u2064 RFK Jr., who draws \u2062potential Republican voters away \u200dfrom Trump by \u2064a 2-1 \u200bmargin. On the other hand, leftist political activist Cornel West takes votes away from Biden, but his impact is\u200c minimal at 4% in the poll.<\/p>\n<p>The same poll shows that RFK Jr.&#8217;s independent run costs \u2063Trump a narrow lead.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/themessenger.com\/politics\/poll-rfk-jr-throws-wrench-into-2024-race-between-trump-biden-exclusive\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Messenger\/HarrisX poll<\/a> released on Tuesday similarly \u200bindicates \u2064that Trump\u200b loses ground when RFK Jr.&#8217;s independent run is factored in. However, Trump&#8217;s lead over Biden only \u200dsuffers a \u2062one-point drop. According to\u200d the\u2063 poll, Trump \u200cleads Biden 45% to 41%, but when the independent candidates are included, Trump\u200b drops to 38% and Biden falls to 35%, while RFK Jr. maintains 13% support.\u200d Dritan\u2063 Nesho, CEO and chief pollster at HarrisX, highlights that RFK Jr. pulls \u2064equal numbers of 2020\u2062 Trump\u2062 and Biden voters, but it&#8217;s the crucial independent voters that \u200bshould concern the Trump campaign.<\/p>\n<p>However,\u2063 the findings from HarrisX are challenged by\u2062 a <a href=\"https:\/\/harvardharrispoll.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/HHP_Oct23_KeyResults.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Harvard\/Harris poll<\/a>, which shows that\u2063 RFK Jr. leads Biden among independent voters, while Trump captures the majority of the independent vote.<\/p>\n<p>The Harvard\/Harris survey of over 2,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-say-overturning-roe-v-wade-wont-help-them-in-the-midterms-report\/\" title=\"Democrats Say Overturning Roe V. Wade Won\u2019t Help Them In The Midterms: Report\">000 registered voters conducted<\/a> on October 18 and 19 paints\u2062 a\u200c bleaker picture for Biden when\u2064 considering RFK Jr.&#8217;s \u200cindependent bid.\u2062 Trump leads a four-way race \u2062with \u206439%,\u2063 followed by Biden at 31%, RFK Jr. at 18%, and Cornel West at \u20623%. Among the undecided voters, \u206241% lean \u200dtoward Trump, 34% lean toward Biden, and 21% \u2064lean toward RFK Jr.<\/p>\n<p>The \u2064RFK \u2062Jr. shakeup has caused a stir between the Trump and DeSantis campaigns. Florida\u200c Governor Ron DeSantis believes \u200cthat RFK Jr. would hurt Trump&#8217;s chances more than his \u2062own\u200c if \u200bhe \u2063were the nominee. DeSantis emphasizes his anti-Fauci and anti-lockdown platform,\u200d which he\u200d believes would \u200c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/desantis-says-he-would-do-better-than-trump-against-rfk-jr\/\" title=\"DeSantis confident in outperforming Trump against RFK Jr.\">attract anti-lockdown<\/a> and anti-Fauci voters away from RFK Jr.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Kennedy conundrum: Ron DeSantis says he\u2019d be stronger against RFK Jr. in a general election than Donald Trump because \u2064of his anti-Fauci and anti-lockdown platform.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHe would hurt Trump,\u201d DeSantis says of Kennedy at a New Hampshire campaign stop. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KUOAejWx8H\">pic.twitter.com\/KUOAejWx8H<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014\u2063 Stephanie Murray (@stephanie_murr) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stephanie_murr\/status\/1716811524814344551?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 24, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The Trump campaign responded to DeSantis&#8217;\u2064 comments, with chief \u200cspokesman Steven Cheung calling DeSantis&#8217; take &#8220;uninformed.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Currently,\u200d Trump holds a significant lead in the GOP primary, according to the\u2062 Real Clear Politics polling average,\u2064 with 59.1% compared\u200d to DeSantis&#8217;\u200b 12.6%. The\u200b average also shows Trump leading Biden by less than one percentage point.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/onelink.to\/dwapp\">CLICK HERE TO GET THE\u200c DAILY WIRE APP<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p> <\/p>\n<h2> \u200cHow does RFK Jr.&#8217;s independent run impact Biden&#8217;s support in the 2024 presidential\u2062 race according to the Harvard\/Harris Poll?<\/h2>\n<p><span>  Rel=&#8221;noopener&#8221;>Harvard\/Harris Poll<\/a> \u200c released on Wednesday. This poll suggests that RFK \u2063Jr.&#8217;s independent \u2062run\u200d has a more significant impact on Biden&#8217;s support than Trump&#8217;s. In a head-to-head matchup between Biden and Trump, Biden holds a narrow lead of 47% to 45%. However, when RFK \u2064Jr. \u200dis included as an independent candidate, Biden&#8217;s\u200d support drops to 38%, while Trump&#8217;s remains stable at 45%. RFK Jr. attracts 10% of the vote in this poll. Co-director of the Harvard\/Harris Poll Mark Penn notes that RFK Jr. primarily takes votes away from Biden from the\u2062 left-leaning independent electorate, posing a challenge for the Biden campaign \u2063to maintain strong support among independent voters.<\/p>\n<p>These <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/latest-presidential-polls-does-an-rfk-jr-independent-run-hurt-trump-or-biden\/\" title=\"Impact of RFK Jr.'s Independent Run on Trump and Biden in Latest Polls\">conflicting poll \u200dresults showcase<\/a> the uncertainty surrounding RFK Jr.&#8217;s impact\u2062 on the 2024 presidential race. While all three polls indicate that RFK Jr.&#8217;s independent run affects both Biden and Trump to some degree, \u2062the degree of impact varies. It is clear that RFK Jr. has the potential to sway voters from both sides, but the\u200d key battleground lies with the crucial independent voters who could determine the outcome of\u200d the election.<\/p>\n<p>RFK Jr.&#8217;s decision to run as an independent candidate adds\u200b an\u2063 interesting twist to\u2064 the 2024 presidential race. \u200bHis stance on key \u2063issues, as \u200cwell as his family\u200d legacy, may attract voters who are dissatisfied with the two major \u200bparty candidates. Furthermore, his unique position as both \u200ca Kennedy\u2064 and an \u200boutsider allows him \u2064to appeal to \u200ba wide \u2062range of voters across party lines.<\/p>\n<p>It is\u200b still early in the election cycle, \u200cand much can change\u2062 between now and \u2063the 2024 presidential election. The impact of RFK Jr.&#8217;s independent \u2063run on the final \u2063outcome remains uncertain. However, one\u2063 thing is clear: his entry into the\u200b race has shaken up the political landscape and introduced a\u200c new dynamic that could heavily influence the battle between Biden and Trump for the presidency.<\/p>\n<p>As the race progresses, it will be interesting to see how\u2063 RFK Jr.&#8217;s independent run evolves and how it ultimately affects the strategies and alliances of both\u2063 the Democratic and Republican parties. Only time will tell \u2063whether RFK Jr. can sustain his support and emerge as a viable \u200dcontender in \u2062the 2024 presidential race. Until \u2062then, the uncertainty surrounding his candidacy will \u2064continue to be a focal point of \u200cpolitical discussions and analysis.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>the most prominent figures in American politics are now vying for the same pool of voters. As the race intensifies, the outcome becomes increasingly uncertain, leaving political analysts and voters alike wondering how this unexpected twist will shape the future of the 2024 presidential election.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":324,"featured_media":2082773,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[541],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2082772","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-daily-wire"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2082772","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/324"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2082772"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2082772\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2082773"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2082772"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2082772"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2082772"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}