{"id":2016781,"date":"2023-08-30T13:22:42","date_gmt":"2023-08-30T17:22:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/most-2024-gop-candidates-are-closer-to-dropping-out-than-winning-the-nomination\/"},"modified":"2023-08-30T13:24:18","modified_gmt":"2023-08-30T17:24:18","slug":"most-2024-gop-candidates-are-closer-to-dropping-out-than-winning-the-nomination","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/most-2024-gop-candidates-are-closer-to-dropping-out-than-winning-the-nomination\/","title":{"rendered":"Many 2024 GOP candidates are more likely to quit than secure the nomination."},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fmost-2024-gop-candidates-are-closer-to-dropping-out-than-winning-the-nomination%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2016781&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><h2>Miami Mayor Francis Suarez Drops Out\u2064 of 2024 Presidential Race, Setting a Trend for the GOP Field<\/h2>\n<p>Miami Mayor Francis Suarez made headlines this week as he became the first\u2064 Republican candidate to drop out of the 2024 presidential race. But he certainly won&#8217;t be the last.<\/p>\n<p>Suarez&#8217;s decision marks the beginning of a trend in the GOP field, \u200dwith \u2062candidates starting to withdraw from the race months before the \u200dfirst votes are cast in Iowa\u2063 next January. The big question now is\u200c how many more will follow suit.<\/p>\n<h3>The Republican Field: A Paper Giant<\/h3>\n<p>On paper, the Republican field \u2062appears\u2063 to be quite large. However, in \u2063reality, most candidates are polling closer\u200b to Suarez, who didn&#8217;t even qualify for the first GOP debate earlier this month. The overwhelming frontrunner,\u2064 former President Donald Trump, remains far \u2064ahead \u200bof the pack.<\/p>\n<p>Only a few candidates, such as Gov. Doug Burgum (R-ND) and former Arkansas \u200bGov. Asa Hutchinson, managed to \u200dqualify for the debate\u2062 stage in Milwaukee. Yet, \u2063their polling numbers are still quite low, with both hovering\u2063 around\u200d 0.4% in the RealClearPolitics national polling average and 0% in the latest\u200b Economist\/YouGov poll.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Struggle for \u200dRelevance<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>For candidates who\u2062 failed to make it onto the debate stage, serious questions arise about their path to electoral\u200c relevance, let alone securing the\u2064 nomination. And the \u200drules \u200dfor participating\u2062 in the next debate in September will only become stricter.<\/p>\n<p>Most\u200c of the eight \u200bcandidates who \u200ddebated in Milwaukee are closer \u2064to the \u200dend of their presidential campaigns than the beginning. The real question is how many \u200dof them are aware of it.<\/p>\n<h3>The Numbers Game<\/h3>\n<p>Nationally, only three Republican candidates are polling above 5% in the RealClearPolitics average. \u2062Former \u200bUnited Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley and former\u2062 Vice President Mike Pence are close to reaching that figure. However, \u2063only two candidates are in the double digits, \u2063while the rest are not even close. Trump continues to \u200bdominate the majority of \u200bthe vote.<\/p>\n<p>Fortunately for the \u200dother Republicans running, there is no <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/pictures-nigeria-destroys-one-million-expired-coronavirus-vaccines-donated-by-west\/\" title=\"Pictures: Nigeria Destroys One Million Expired Coronavirus Vaccines Donated by West\">national primary<\/a>. However, these polling \u2062figures may provide a glimpse into what could happen on Super Tuesday \u200bif a non-Trump candidate fails to gain traction by then. The early\u200d states hold more significance, and \u2064in those, Trump&#8217;s support is below 50%.<\/p>\n<p>In New Hampshire, the situation looks less\u2063 promising for Trump&#8217;s rivals. Trump has maintained a lead of at least 30 points since mid-July, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/most-2024-gop-candidates-are-closer-to-dropping-out-than-winning-the-nomination\/\" title=\"Many 2024 GOP candidates are more likely to quit than secure the nomination.\">recent statewide\u2062 polls show<\/a> \u2064him hovering around 50%. The gap between Trump and Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) in the race for first place is much wider than the gap between DeSantis and other candidates vying for second place.<\/p>\n<p>However, a\u2063 breakthrough could be \u200dpossible in Iowa.\u2063 DeSantis has been polling at or around 20%, while \u200dTrump seems determined to repeat the mistakes that cost him the\u200b caucuses in 2016.<\/p>\n<h3>The \u2063Road to Iowa<\/h3>\n<p>How many candidates will make it to Iowa? DeSantis\u200b has a stronger case for continuing than any other candidate and is best\u2064 positioned to inherit Trump&#8217;s\u200d support if the former president&#8217;s legal burdens become too overwhelming. However, other candidates, including Haley and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, generated\u2063 buzz during the \u2062first debate and will spend the next few weeks trying \u200bto build on\u2064 that momentum.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, many of these candidates will likely have little impact,\u200b similar to Suarez, regardless of whether\u2064 they drop out or stay in\u200b the race.<\/p>\n<p>We are \u2062still in the early \u2062stages of the 2024 Republican presidential nomination contest. In previous races, \u2062the lead in Iowa has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/ghislaine-maxwell-claims-prince-andrew-virginia-giuffre-photo-is-fake\/\" title=\"Ghislaine Maxwell Claims Prince Andrew, Virginia Giuffre Photo Is Fake\">changed multiple times<\/a> \u2063between now and the caucuses.<\/p>\n<p>However, time is running out. The fall\u2064 season will mark the first time primary voters seriously consider their options for\u2063 next year. Then the holidays will \u2062arrive, followed quickly by the \u200bcaucuses.<\/p>\n<p>And then, the real race begins.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\">CLICK HERE TO \u200bREAD \u200bMORE FROM THE WASHINGTON \u200cEXAMINER<\/a><\/p>\n<p>In\u2064 the Republican primary fight, the end of the beginning is \u2062near.<\/p>\n<p>For \u2064most of those running, however, it is the beginning of the end.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Miami Mayor Francis Suarez, the initial 2024 Republican presidential candidate to withdraw, sets a precedent for others to follow. With the Iowa votes scheduled for January, the GOP field is expected to shrink further. The duration of this trend remains uncertain.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2016782,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2016781","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2016781","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2016781"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2016781\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2016782"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2016781"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2016781"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2016781"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}