{"id":1746905,"date":"2022-11-21T12:09:49","date_gmt":"2022-11-21T17:09:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1746905"},"modified":"2022-11-21T12:18:09","modified_gmt":"2022-11-21T17:18:09","slug":"republicans-on-track-for-222-213-house-majority","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/republicans-on-track-for-222-213-house-majority\/","title":{"rendered":"Republicans on Track for 222-213 House Majority"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">14<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Frepublicans-on-track-for-222-213-house-majority%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1746905&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/dcec482e-613b-4f50-98b3-b198e9e6f287.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\" alt=\"image\" \/><\/div>\n<p>It took days of counting, but control of the House of Representatives in the upcoming Congress was finally called for Republicans last week &#8212; a widely expected outcome that has come via an unexpectedly tight outcome. \u00a0Votes are still being tabulated, but as of this writing, the GOP has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cookpolitical.com\/charts\/house-charts\/national-house-vote-tracker\/2022\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">won millions more votes<\/a> than Democrats have across the nation&#8217;s 435 House races, leading on this &#8216;popular vote&#8217; metric by approximately three-and-a-half percentage points. \u00a0That advantage has not translated into more substantial seat gains because of the &#8216;inefficiency&#8217; of those votes, meaning that Republican gains were disproportionately achieved in non-competitive races. \u00a0GOP candidates ran up the score in deep red districts, and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RRHElections\/status\/1593955613482299398\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">gained ground<\/a> in blue areas &#8212; but where it was most important, they often fell short. \u00a0Among <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2022\/11\/08\/us\/elections\/results-house.html\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">the top 36<\/a> most competitive seats, according to the <em>New York Times&#8217;\u00a0<\/em>pre-election ratings, Republicans won just nine (and are leading in two more). \u00a0Democrats won the rest of them. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>House Republican leaders will have very little breathing room over the next two years, finding themselves presiding over a slim majority that will roughly (or exactly, see below) mirror the historically tight margin the Democrats currently have, following a worse-than-anticipated 2020 House cycle. \u00a0Speaker Pelosi has been adept at keeping her coalition together, and Democrats are generally better about party discipline and falling in line when the chips are down. \u00a0GOP leadership will have to contend with a more rambunctious membership, including more than a few actors who are more than happy to go rogue. \u00a0For that reason, every seat counts &#8212; and every bit of cushion will matter. There has been some movement on that front over the last few days. \u00a0In CO-03, it looked like Rep. Lauren Boebert&#8217;s race would come down to a recount, but her challenger chose to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/democrat-frisch-concedes-republican-incumbent-boebert-us-house-election-colorado-2022-11-18\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">concede the race<\/a>, with a rematch likely brewing. \u00a0Boebert survived, by the skin of her teeth (a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2022\/11\/08\/us\/elections\/results-colorado-us-house-district-3.html\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">few hundred votes<\/a>), in a district that was drawn to to be a safer Republican haven. \u00a0It will be up to her to decide whether she plans to change her approach as a firebrand, given the signal sent by voters. \u00a0This is <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RRHElections\/status\/1594340191933763585\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">certainly interesting<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The <em>Times<\/em> tracker shows the Colorado race still uncalled, even though it&#8217;s been conceded. \u00a0That&#8217;s <strong>seat 219<\/strong> for Republicans. \u00a0The same tool also shows three uncalled races in California, representing some of the last outstanding Congressional contests of the cycle (in addition to Alaska, where the Democrat appears to be in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/alaskas-senate-and-house-races-inch-toward-finish-11668956038\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">pretty strong position<\/a> to win &#8212; thanks to two Republicans splitting the majority-red electorate, under the state&#8217;s ranked-choice voting system). \u00a0One of those races is CA-03, which Decision Desk HQ <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IAPolls2022\/status\/1592657245439168513\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">has already called<\/a> for Republican Kevin Kiley. \u00a0<strong>Seat 220<\/strong>. \u00a0In CA-22, incumbent Republican David Valadao has won re-election, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Redistrict\/status\/1593790887926136832\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">per Dave Wasserman<\/a>, which would be <strong>seat 221<\/strong>. \u00a0This was an interesting race in a double-digit Biden district, featuring a Republican who voted to impeach President Trump after January 6th. \u00a0Valadao ran a strong race and hung on (by contrast, Republicans in Washington state barely ousted another pro-impeachment incumbent in the primary process, in a <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AGHamilton29\/status\/1591592621012844544\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">much redder district<\/a>, then blew the seat to Democrats).<\/p>\n<p>Then there&#8217;s CA-13, a true nail-biter. \u00a0The Republican in the race enters this week in the lead by a few hundred votes, but thousands of ballots remain uncounted in the preposterous and interminable process they have in place out there. It&#8217;s unclear where this one ends up, but <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rpyers\/status\/1593795842754088960\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">here is an update<\/a> from over the weekend:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\" style=\"text-align: center;\">There are probably between 5,500 and 6,000 uncounted votes remaining out of all <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/CA13?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">#CA13<\/a>&#8216;s counties.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Rob Pyers (@rpyers) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rpyers\/status\/1593796176624484352?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">November 19, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>If John Duarte can close this thing out, that would be House GOP <strong id=\"isPasted\">seat 222<\/strong>. And <em>if<\/em> that happens, Republicans and Democrats will have precisely flipped majorities, down to the seat. \u00a0222-213 blue after 2020; 222-213 red after 2022. \u00a0And when I say that every seat matters, in terms of whip counts, I mean <em>every<\/em> seat matters. \u00a0Republicans are already <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/video\/6315829840112\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">running into headaches<\/a> over the fate of the very first vote their members will be taking in the new Congress:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\" style=\"text-align: center;\">Kevin McCarthy faces opposition from some GOP leaders on path to speakership | Fox News Video <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mDym48i108\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/t.co\/mDym48i108<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Chad Pergram (@ChadPergram) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ChadPergram\/status\/1593937587927797760?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">November 19, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I&#8217;ll leave you with this good advice from Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, reiterating <a href=\"https:\/\/townhall.com\/tipsheet\/guybenson\/2022\/11\/18\/the-coming-desantis-balancing-act-n2616127\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">part of what he&#8217;s been saying<\/a> to Republican audiences in recent days. \u00a0The quality and palatability of the party&#8217;s candidates matters <em>a lot<\/em>, but conditioning Republican and Republican-leaning voters to adapt to voting rules as they exist (absent sensible reforms like Georgia&#8217;s, which aren&#8217;t realistic in non-Republican states) is also a necessity. \u00a0Democrats take full advantage of the system. \u00a0Republicans must, too:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\" style=\"text-align: center;\">There was applause at this conference for Rs who&#8217;d said Rs need to get over their 2020 angst and take advantage of early\/mail voting. Bigger applause when DeSantis says: &#8220;We&#8217;ve made ballot-harvesting a third degree felony.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>But! &#8220;Whatever the rules are, take advantage of that.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 David Weigel (@daveweigel) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/daveweigel\/status\/1594196510534959111?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">November 20, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It took days of counting, but control of the House of Representatives in the upcoming Congress was finally called for Republicans last week &#8212; a widely expected outcome that has<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1746908,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[547],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1746905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-bongino-report"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1746905","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1746905"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1746905\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1746908"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1746905"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1746905"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1746905"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}