{"id":1726667,"date":"2022-11-06T07:51:26","date_gmt":"2022-11-06T12:51:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1726667"},"modified":"2022-11-06T22:19:35","modified_gmt":"2022-11-07T03:19:35","slug":"republican-insiders-predict-tuesday-bloodbath-for-dems","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/republican-insiders-predict-tuesday-bloodbath-for-dems\/","title":{"rendered":"Republican Insiders Predict Tuesday &#8220;Bloodbath&#8221; for Dems"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">14<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Frepublican-insiders-predict-tuesday-bloodbath-for-dems%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1726667&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/949701c6-d682-4046-881b-e411096965cb-1110x740-1.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\" alt=\"image\" \/><\/div>\n<p>The New Yorker spoke to Republican insiders about the coming election. What they heard was that, as bad as things look for Democrats now, the reality Tuesday is going to be even worse. Author Benjamin Wallace-Wells says the word that kept coming up in his conversations was \u201cbloodbath.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>On Wednesday afternoon, I spoke with a leading Republican political consultant about the Senate campaign in Georgia. That race is strategically significant for both parties, but it has a special symbolic importance for Democrats. The incumbent, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/the-political-scene\/the-political-gospel-of-raphael-warnock\" data-uri=\"bc258038a272955a302f94e5dcca610c\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Raphael Warnock<\/a>, who for many years has occupied Martin Luther King, Jr.,\u2019s pulpit at Ebenezer Baptist Church, in Atlanta, is seen as a potential national leader of the Democratic Party\u2014and he may still lose to a scandal-ridden ex-football star, the Republican\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/magazine\/2022\/07\/25\/herschel-walkers-deficits-are-not-the-only-cause-for-concern\" data-uri=\"ad3078ce7f342d58789628bb58b1df0f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Herschel Walker<\/a>. The Republican consultant told me that Warnock\u2019s prospects were even bleaker than many recent public polls suggest. \u201cThere isn\u2019t a single private poll in America that has Herschel Walker anything but ahead,\u201d the Republican consultant told me. \u201cNot one.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The consensus among a number of G.O.P. pollsters and operatives I spoke to this week is that in the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/tag\/2022-midterm-elections\" data-uri=\"2ad50c513e553cf3ec0aaa182bb9fc31\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Senate races<\/a>\u00a0that are thought to be competitive, Republican candidates are heading for a clean sweep: Mehmet Oz will beat\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/the-political-scene\/what-to-make-of-john-fettermans-struggles-at-the-pennsylvania-senate-debate\" data-uri=\"d7104ee9fb1cba915077032f11bdecc0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">John Fetterman<\/a>\u00a0in Pennsylvania, and not just by a point or two; Adam Laxalt looks pretty certain to defeat the incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada; even less regarded candidates such as Blake Masters in Arizona will be carried into office by a predicted wave. \u201cHe won\u2019t deserve it, but I think at this point he falls into a Senate seat,\u201d one Republican strategist told me. To these Republican insiders, certain high-profile races in which G.O.P. candidates were already favored now look like potential blowouts\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/the-political-scene\/kari-lake-and-the-power-of-a-polished-maga-message\" data-uri=\"e26856bb5faa3e7c20c32d58138cb0f8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kari Lake<\/a>\u2019s campaign for governor in Arizona,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/the-political-scene\/what-j-d-vances-victory-in-the-ohio-republican-primary-means-for-trumpism\" data-uri=\"6a94d4782cd18770030d7aaa333fd2e6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">J. D. Vance<\/a>\u2019s for Senate in Ohio. And some races that seemed out of reach, such as the Senate campaign, in New Hampshire, of the election denier\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/q-and-a\/the-republicans-running-to-support-donald-trump\" data-uri=\"4e6afc3c8276c990f869ea2f29c4ca0d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Don Bolduc<\/a>, now look like possible wins. The word that kept coming up in these conversations was \u201cbloodbath.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Wallace-Wells let everyone speak anonymously so he could get an unvarnished take on the election. Some of the consultants he spoke to had a theory about the Democrats seeming revival this summer. In their view, there was initially some real energy that was seen in the willingness of Democrats to pick up the phone for pollsters. \u201cAnswering a political poll itself became a kind of expression of political identity,\u201d one GOP strategist said. But an analysis found that more than half of the people who picked up those calls were \u201csuper voters\u201d meaning Democrats who consistently vote in every election. Those were the people worked up about Dobbs but they would have voted blue anyway.<\/p>\n<p>As a result of all of this feedback from blue super voters, Democrats became convinced that abortion was a winning issue. So they focused on that for months while the GOP talked about inflation and crime. And only in the last few weeks, as polls have red-shifted, has the Democratic Party realized they\u2019d have been better off talking about the economy and Social Security.<\/p>\n<p>But talking endlessly about abortion also had a downside that Democrats couldn\u2019t see. There were Latino and Black voters, especially men, who started to feel like the abortion party wasn\u2019t the party for them. One GOP strategist summed it up this way, \u201cThe reason that Democrats have f**ked this up is that they won\u2019t stop talking about abortion. And the reason that they screwed it up with Blacks is they won\u2019t stop talking about abortion. . . . It\u2019s like they\u2019re a two-issue party. It\u2019s this and Trump. They can\u2019t stop. I don\u2019t think they have anything else.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Republicans are running on a few issues on which a majority of Americans agree with them.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Back in the summer, I\u2019d spoken with the Republican strategist, who then predicted that the Dobbs wave would be ephemeral. \u201cThe Republican base is asking for very, very little,\u201d he told me this week. \u201cFor all the stories we have about, like, the election deniers, from March of last year until now, their demands have basically been, like, \u2018Please do something about the economy, please do something about immigration, please don\u2019t let dudes participate in girls sports, and please do something about crime.\u2019 \u201d When it came to independents, he went on, \u201cIt\u2019s, like, \u2018Please do something about inflation, please do something about crime, we\u2019re pretty much with you on the girls-sports thing, just don\u2019t be a dick about it.\u2019 \u201d\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI can show you the trajectory of all our races,\u201d the Republican pollster told me. \u201cWe took a benchmark in July\u2014O.K., this is going to be harder than we thought. And it looks like a \u2018V.\u2019 We went straight down. And then once we finally got to October, we have enough money, the electorate becomes more fully engaged, and then the other side of the \u2018V\u2019 is straight back up. I can show you the same story in probably twenty-five races.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Time\u2019s up for Democrats to change their focus. They went with Dobbs and abortion and it looks like the result is going to be a bloodbath. Maybe that\u2019s fitting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The New Yorker spoke to Republican insiders about the coming election. What they heard was that, as bad as things look for Democrats now, the reality Tuesday is going to<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1726670,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[547],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1726667","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-bongino-report"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1726667","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1726667"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1726667\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1726670"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1726667"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1726667"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1726667"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}