{"id":1720690,"date":"2022-11-01T20:33:52","date_gmt":"2022-11-02T00:33:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1720690"},"modified":"2022-11-01T20:33:59","modified_gmt":"2022-11-02T00:33:59","slug":"the-red-wave-narrative-was-bull-legacy-journalists-attack-polls-favoring-gop-after-one-poll-shows-dems-ahead-in-swing-states","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/the-red-wave-narrative-was-bull-legacy-journalists-attack-polls-favoring-gop-after-one-poll-shows-dems-ahead-in-swing-states\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018The Red Wave Narrative Was Bull****\u2019: Legacy Journalists Attack Polls Favoring GOP After One Poll Shows Dems Ahead In Swing States"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">42<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fthe-red-wave-narrative-was-bull-legacy-journalists-attack-polls-favoring-gop-after-one-poll-shows-dems-ahead-in-swing-states%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1720690&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailywire.com\/topic\/legacy-media\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Legacy media<\/a> journalists attacked polls favoring Republicans in key swing states, accusing them of pushing a false narrative of a Republican wave.<\/p>\n<p>Journalists lit up Twitter on Monday evening after The New York Times and Siena College released a spate of polls showing Democrats in the lead in four hotly-contested Senate races. The journalists seized on the polls in an effort to debunk a \u201cnarrative\u201d that Republicans\u2019 lead in recent generic ballot polling would help carry Republicans in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Georgia across the finish line.<\/p>\n<p>The polls, conducted by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2022\/10\/31\/upshot\/senate-polls-az-ga-nv-pa-toplines.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NYT\/Siena<\/a>, found that Democrats led in Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Georgia. In Arizona, incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly held a six-point lead over Republican Blake Masters, 51%-45%; in Georgia, incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock held a three-point lead over Republican challenger Herschel Walker, 49%-46%; in Pennsylvania, Democrat John Fetterman led Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz by five points, 49%-44%. The Senate race in Nevada between incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto and Republican challenger Adam Laxalt was tied at 47%.<\/p>\n<p>Washington Post opinion columnist <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ThePlumLineGS\/status\/1587027024476082177\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Greg Sargent<\/a> was the first to comment on the polls. \u201cThese polls should shake up The Narrative,\u201d Sargent wrote on Twitter.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAfter a flood of GOP outlier polls in all of these races designed to create stories about an impending red wave and digging into why Dems are losing (\u2018is it crime\/inflation?\u2019), NYT\/Siena suggests not much has changed in these races in the past two weeks,\u201d wrote <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/tbonier\/status\/1587029434644807680?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1587029434644807680%7Ctwgr%5E381d782df4ea9f1d0ba4ad1a771a1c5b14232353%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&#038;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fpublish.twitter.com%2F%3Fquery%3Dhttps3A2F2Ftwitter.com2Ftbonier2Fstatus2F1587029434644807680widget%3DTweet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tom Bonier<\/a>, CEO of the data analytics firm TargetSmart and a panelist on MSNBC.<\/p>\n<p>Several legacy journalists and Democrats amplified Bonier\u2019s argument.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cImportant thread,\u201d Politico investigative reporter <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HeidiReports\/status\/1587067462532595712?s=20&#038;t=Y-E4HmdJddsOV5vJ82x-Cg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Heidi Przybyla<\/a> commented on Bonier\u2019s thread. \u201cMany partisan \u2018outlier\u2019 polls funded by GOP are driving the narrative. Nonpartisan polls find these races are very close.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThese encouraging Senate polls confirm that the red wave narrative was bull***, again,\u201d Democratic activist <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SimonWDC\/status\/1587037982749560834?s=20&#038;t=EalJ6RwfZZp5J0pFWlFwVg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Simon Rosenberg<\/a> commented. \u201cIt\u2019s a close, competitive election and the Senate is leaning Dem.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c[L]ast weeks polls from outlets you\u2019ve never heard about may be nonsense designed to change press narrative,\u201d election lawyer and university lecturer <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NeilMakhija\/status\/1587048099700162561?s=20&#038;t=ib974dJn5oEq1utqR2Zzrg\">Neil Makhija<\/a> wrote.<\/p>\n<p>But these polls may not be the smoking gun to debunk projections of a Republican wave. Despite the claims from journalists, the New York Times\/Siena College poll consistently overstated Democratic support in battleground states by significant margins in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2020\/senate\/az\/arizona_senate_mcsally_vs_kelly-6801.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Arizona<\/a>, The New York Times and Siena College projected a seven-point win for Kelly; he beat Republican Martha McSally by less than 2.4 points, a 4.5-point miss. The NYT\/Siena poll missed by about two points in both of Georgia\u2019s contested <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2020\/senate\/ga\/georgia_senate_perdue_vs_ossoff-7067.html#polls\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Senate<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2020\/senate\/ga\/georgia_senate_special_election_open_primary-7069.html#polls\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">races<\/a>. In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2020\/president\/nv\/nevada_trump_vs_biden-6867.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nevada<\/a>, NYT\/Siena predicted Joe Biden would beat Donald Trump by six points; Biden won by 2.7 points, a 3.3-point miss. In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2020\/president\/pa\/pennsylvania_trump_vs_biden-6861.html#polls\">Pennsylvania<\/a>, NYT\/Siena predicted Biden would beat Trump by six; Biden won by just 1.2 points, a nearly five-point miss.<\/p>\n<p>The comments prompted several independent pollsters to fire back, pointing out that NYT uses an unreliable method for collecting responses, and slamming the journalists for pushing a narrative of their own.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNew \u2018outrage\u2019 coverage: GOP aligned pollsters flooding the zone and tipping the RCP average towards the GOP,\u201d Public Opinion Strategies partner <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/pollsterguy\/status\/1587403364077273089?s=20&#038;t=3nGjaJkjimW21Yj_1Nwafw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bill McInturff<\/a> wrote. \u201cDo you think EVERY Dem candidate and group stopped polling? Not releasing bc it\u2019s all grim. If they had a counter story, they would release their own data. Not complicated.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLive caller is more expensive\u2026 and that\u2019s about it,\u201d Big Data Poll director <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Peoples_Pundit\/status\/1587199185828433924\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Richard Baris<\/a> said of the poll\u2019s methodology. \u201cBecause it sure as Hell isn\u2019t more accurate. Not anymore, as the NYT\/Siena Poll has shown over and over\u2026 and over. Live caller interviews had the highest error for us in the last two cycles.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cApparently the NYT\/Siena still has live callers asking respondents highly personal political questions? In 2022?\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Rasmussen_Poll\/status\/1587201852868804613?s=20&#038;t=aZ4DdgOJBzPUp7qI34eCdQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rasmussen Reports<\/a> mocked. \u201cWe\u2019ve always avoided that like the plague. We believe PRIVACY is a key advantage to respondent CANDOR and survey ACCURACY.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Legacy media journalists attacked polls favoring Republicans in key swing states, accusing them of pushing a false narrative of a Republican wave. Journalists lit up Twitter on Monday evening after The New York Times and Siena College released a spate of polls showing Democrats in the lead in four hotly-contested Senate races. The journalists seized &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":189,"featured_media":1424508,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[541],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1720690","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-daily-wire"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1720690","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/189"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1720690"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1720690\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1424508"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1720690"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1720690"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1720690"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}