{"id":1713695,"date":"2022-10-27T14:34:45","date_gmt":"2022-10-27T18:34:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1713695"},"modified":"2022-10-27T14:35:02","modified_gmt":"2022-10-27T18:35:02","slug":"politico-election-forecaster-shifts-az-senate-to-toss-up-after-late-blake-masters-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/politico-election-forecaster-shifts-az-senate-to-toss-up-after-late-blake-masters-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Politico Election Forecaster Shifts AZ Senate To \u2018Toss Up\u2019 After Late Blake Masters Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">28<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fpolitico-election-forecaster-shifts-az-senate-to-toss-up-after-late-blake-masters-rally%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1713695&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Politico elections forecaster Steven Shepard changed the rating of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailywire.com\/topic\/u-s-senate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">U.S. Senate<\/a> race in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailywire.com\/topic\/arizona\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Arizona<\/a> to a \u201ctoss up\u201d Wednesday, shifting it away from Democrats less than two weeks away from the election.<\/p>\n<p>Republican <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailywire.com\/topic\/blake-masters\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Blake Masters<\/a> has surged in recent weeks on a wave of support for GOP priorities such as immigration, inflation, and crime. Masters has also been aided by a strong Republican performance in the Arizona gubernatorial race by former television news anchor Kari Lake, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2022\/10\/27\/arizonas-senate-blake-masters-forecast-00063661\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Politico<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Masters is running to oust Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly. Kelly won his seat in a special election in 2020 and is running to secure his first full term in the Senate. Kelly\u2019s campaign has hammered abortion access following the overturning of <em>Roe v. Wade<\/em> while distancing the senator from President Joe Biden, who threatens to drag down Democrats with his <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/biden-approval-rating\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">unpopularity<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Masters has lagged behind Kelly, but polling now shows him within the margin of error. A Trafalgar\/Daily Wire <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailywire.com\/news\/hold-exclusive-poll-kari-lake-in-lead-for-arizona-gov-masters-trails-kelly-by-one-point-for-senate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a> last week put the race within one point. It found Masters trailing Kelly 46% to 47%.<\/p>\n<p>Arizona\u2019s Senate race has joined contests in Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in Politico\u2019s \u201ctoss up\u201d category. The shift strengthens the GOP\u2019s chances of taking control of the U.S. Senate next year. Republicans must score wins in three of the five \u201ctoss up\u201d states to gain the majority if every other race goes with the favored candidate, according to Politico.<\/p>\n<p>Kelly has one of the best-funded campaigns in the U.S. He has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bizjournals.com\/phoenix\/news\/2022\/10\/18\/mark-kelly-fundraising-dwarfs-blake-masters-senate.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">raised<\/a> well over $70 million for his re-election campaign and had an estimated $13 million on hand at the end of September.<\/p>\n<p>Masters has struggled to raise funds and lagged behind in the money race for the entirety of the campaign. Masters\u2019 largest backer is tech maven Peter Thiel, who backed Masters to the tune of $15 million during the primary. Theil has withheld additional support during the general, though reporting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2022\/10\/13\/thiel-masters-mcconnell\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">suggests<\/a> that Thiel plans to spend $5 million in Masters\u2019 race in the final weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Masters has received some help in the final stretch from outside groups and political action committees. Saving Arizona PAC, initially backed by Thiel, has <a href=\"https:\/\/go.politicoemail.com\/?qs=61984925ded8da8ce9b4817c50926a1d35433d99a0cddde987b3b91eb800dc356ee1c4e35dd6847e120dad6026023689\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">spent<\/a> roughly $3.7 million on ads. It is unclear whether that additional spending is from money Thiel donated.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Politico elections forecaster Steven Shepard changed the rating of the U.S. Senate race in Arizona to a \u201ctoss up\u201d Wednesday, shifting it away from Democrats less than two weeks away from the election. Republican Blake Masters has surged in recent weeks on a wave of support for GOP priorities such as immigration, inflation, and crime. &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1713698,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[541],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1713695","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-daily-wire"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1713695","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1713695"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1713695\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1713698"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1713695"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1713695"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1713695"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}