{"id":1712682,"date":"2022-10-27T03:19:31","date_gmt":"2022-10-27T07:19:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1712682"},"modified":"2022-10-27T03:19:39","modified_gmt":"2022-10-27T07:19:39","slug":"republicans-dont-be-fooled-by-fraudulent-left-wing-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/republicans-dont-be-fooled-by-fraudulent-left-wing-polls\/","title":{"rendered":"Republicans, Don\u2019t Be Fooled By Fraudulent Left-Wing Polls"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">16<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Frepublicans-dont-be-fooled-by-fraudulent-left-wing-polls%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1712682&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Stories about dropping Republican poll numbers are so predictable among the legacy media that they have become almost as much of a fall tradition as pumpkin carving and the changing of the leaves. Left-leaning journalists take particular delight in using flawed polling to construct distorted narratives to discourage conservative voters from showing up at the voting booth.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Despite recent polling that indicates Republicans are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/other\/2022-generic-congressional-vote-7361.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">likely to retake the House<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2022\/senate\/elections-map-rcp-projection.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">have a good shot at retaking the Senate<\/a>, Democrats and their allies in the legacy media continue to advance phony arguments to suggest Republicans are disadvantaged by things voters don\u2019t care about. For instance, the corporate media continues to relentlessly insist that abortion will \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.usnews.com\/news\/elections\/articles\/abortion-rights-and-the-2022-elections\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">shape the midterms<\/a>,\u201d despite that issue <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/3693810-inflation-crime-immigration-top-voter-concerns-ahead-of-midterms-poll\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ranking lower in importance<\/a> to voters than others such as inflation, crime, and immigration.<\/p>\n<p>This is psychological warfare. It\u2019s part of a broad media strategy to use bad polling to skew the outcome of the midterm elections and suppress conservative voter turnout \u2014 and we shouldn\u2019t fall for it.<\/p>\n<p>This comes as no surprise. The Democrats have been weaponizing polling for years, so now both political acolytes and campaigns know there are two distinct kinds of polls: those used internally by campaigns, with a stringent methodology to produce accurate results, and those designed as propaganda for public consumption.<\/p>\n<p>The truth is, many polls aren\u2019t worth the paper they\u2019re printed on. Often, unscrupulous firms and candidates put their thumbs on the scales, intentionally using bad polling methodology to get a predetermined outcome. Some media outlets also only cover polls that fit their narrative. Many \u201cmainstream\u201d pollsters oversample college-educated voters and Democrats. But whatever the cause or intent, the pattern is clear.<\/p>\n<p>Just look at 2016, when countless public polls confidently projected Hillary Clinton\u2019s election triumph over Donald Trump \u2014 right up until the time election returns started rolling in. <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2016-election-forecast\/wisconsin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Not a single media-sponsored poll<\/a> called Trump\u2019s Wisconsin victory in the two months before the election, and <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2016-election-forecast\/michigan\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">only one<\/a> called Michigan correctly. After promising to examine what went wrong, pollsters managed to underestimate Republican strength again in 2018, when the media\u2019s much-hoped-for \u201cblue wave\u201d turned out to be little more than a blue splash.<\/p>\n<p>The pollsters somehow did even worse in 2020. As late as September, <a href=\"https:\/\/poll.qu.edu\/poll-release?releaseid=3800\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Quinnipiac<\/a> polling showed incumbent Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina tied with challenger Jaime Harrison. But on Election Day, Graham ran away with a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/news\/politics\/elections\/2020\/11\/03\/elections-2020-results-who-won-the-lindsey-graham-jaime-harrison-senate-race-in-south-carolina\/6155730002\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">10-point margin of victory<\/a>. The FiveThirtyEight average, which aggregates polls, projected incumbent Sens. <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2020-election-forecast\/senate\/maine\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Susan Collins<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2020-election-forecast\/senate\/iowa\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Joni Ernst<\/a> would lose their seats by about 2 points. Instead, Collins won by 8.6 points, and Ernst won by 6.6.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s not just isolated incidents: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/2022\/9\/23\/23353634\/polls-bias-democrats-midterms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Vox found that<\/a> Republican Senate candidates overperformed their polling averages by 3 points in 2016, 2.5 points in 2018, and a full 5 points<em> <\/em>in 2020. That doesn\u2019t happen by accident.<\/p>\n<p>Now it looks like 2022 will be no different. According to a recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/09\/12\/upshot\/polling-midterms-warning.html\">New <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/09\/12\/upshot\/polling-midterms-warning.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">York Times<\/a> elections analysis of flawed polling, \u201cThat warning sign is flashing again: Democratic<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Democrats and the media are notorious for using biased polls to shift elections in their favor. GOP voters shouldn&#8217;t fall for these tricks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1476,"featured_media":1712685,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[546],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1712682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-federalist"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1712682","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1476"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1712682"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1712682\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1712685"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1712682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1712682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1712682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}