{"id":1709192,"date":"2022-10-24T11:06:28","date_gmt":"2022-10-24T15:06:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1709192"},"modified":"2022-10-24T14:05:02","modified_gmt":"2022-10-24T18:05:02","slug":"new-study-less-than-1-in-100-million-chance-that-covid-19-has-natural-origin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/new-study-less-than-1-in-100-million-chance-that-covid-19-has-natural-origin\/","title":{"rendered":"New Study: Less Than 1 in 100 Million Chance That COVID-19 Has Natural Origin"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">28<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fnew-study-less-than-1-in-100-million-chance-that-covid-19-has-natural-origin%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1709192&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p><em>News Analysis<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>A <\/span><span>new study<\/span><span> on the origins of the pandemic, \u201cEndonuclease fingerprint indicates a synthetic origin of SARS-CoV2,\u201d published on the preprint server bioRxiv, concludes that it is highly likely that the SARS-CoV-2 virus that causes COVID-19 originated in a laboratory. The odds of a natural origin, according to the study, are placed at less than 1 in 100 million.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Unlike previous studies that analyzed qualitative aspects such as virus features, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.biorxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2022.10.18.512756v1\">new study<\/a> for the first time assesses the likelihood of a laboratory origin on a quantitative basis. This breakthrough methodology allowed the authors to present objective findings that appear to exceed any previous studies.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Significantly, the new study does not rely on any of the known evidence pointing toward a lab origin of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. For instance, it does not take into consideration the highly unusual Furin Cleavage Site that makes the virus particularly virulent and which it is widely thought to have been <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/research-proposal-from-2018-shows-remarkable-similarities-to-pandemic-outbreak_4043725.html\"><span>inserted<\/span><\/a><span> into the virus at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Nor does it factor in the huge coincidence that the pandemic started on the door steps of the world\u2019s premier coronavirus laboratory.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_4158417\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/wuhan-lab-1200x675-1200x675-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazy wp-image-4158417 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/assets\/themes\/eet\/images\/white.png\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/wuhan-lab-1200x675-1200x675-1.jpg\" alt=\"Epoch Times Photo\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\"><noscript><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-4158417 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/wuhan-lab-1200x675-1200x675-1.jpg\" alt=\"Epoch Times Photo\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" \/><\/noscript><\/figcaption><\/a> The P4 laboratory on the campus of the Wuhan Institute of Virology in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China, on May 13, 2020. (Hector Retamal\/AFP via Getty Images)<\/figure>\n<p><span>Instead, the authors\u2014Valentin Bruttel, a molecular immunologist at the University of W\u00fcrzburg in Germany; Alex Washburne, a mathematical biologist at Selva Science; and Antonius VanDongen, a pharmacologist at Duke University\u2014took a novel approach that assesses the genesis of the SARS-CoV-2 virus from an entirely new angle. The authors examined tiny fingerprints left behind in the process in which viruses are assembled in laboratories. While use of seamless genetic engineering techniques in creating viruses in laboratories typically conceals evidence of manipulation, the new study developed a statistical process for uncovering such hidden evidence by comparing the distribution of certain strands of genetic code in wild viruses and lab-made viruses.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>When viruses are constructed in a lab, they are typically assembled by piecing together various virus parts. According to a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/alexwasburne.substack.com\/p\/a-synthetic-origin-of-sars-cov-2\"><span>blog post<\/span><\/a><span> from Washburne that accompanied the release of the study, it is like taking Mr. Potato Head from the movie Toy Story and replacing his arms with the arms of GI Joe to help \u201cus study things like whether GI Joe arms provide any clear benefit for an important task in the virus life cycle like lifting weights.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>In other words, one of the main purposes of manipulating viruses is to better understand which parts of viruses make them particularly infectious, lethal, or transmissible. A related purpose is to develop bioweapons but the authors of the new study reject the idea that that is why SARS-CoV-2 was made. They believe that the virus \u201cwas assembled in a lab via common methods used to assemble infectious clones pre-COVID.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/nih-investigating-boston-universitys-covid-19-study-with-80-percent-mortality-in-mice_4811739.html\"><span>recent experiment<\/span><\/a><span> at Boston University is an example of piecing together virus parts. Researchers created a COVID-19 variant that killed 80 percent of exposed mice using the backbone of the ancestral SARS-CoV-2 virus and replacing its spike gene with that from the Omicron variant. Put another way, the Boston lab created a COVID-19 version of Frankenstein\u2019s monster by piecing together different parts from different variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Piecing together viruses in labs is subject to limitations. The genetic information for SARS-CoV-2 is contained in 30,000 base pairs of RNA nucleotides. However, the 30,000 base pairs are not pieced together all at once. Instead, laboratory viruses are assembled from a collection of smaller strands of base pairs that are later \u201cglued\u201d back together as chimeras, or compounds. Enzymes are used to cut viruses apart at certain points along the DNA strand (laboratories use DNA instead of RNA as it is more stable; the assembled DNA is then added to bacteria that create RNA viruses).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Enzymes are proteins that cut through DNA strands at specific recognition sites. These recognition sites, or cutting sites, are the genetic sequences within DNA strands that are sought out by the enzymes. Enzymes are like biological scissors that cut only at particular cutting sites marked by sequences that are recognized by particular enzymes.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Since cutting sites look like normal sequences of nucleotides, they can be found on RNA strands of naturally occurring viruses as well as on lab-made viruses. This is why this form of genetic engineering leaves no seams or obvious fingerprints. However, there is an important difference between cutting sites on wild-type and lab-made viruses that the authors exploited. Naturally occurring cutting sites are not necessarily located where scientists want them to be. Laboratories therefore routinely insert cutting sites in favorable locations and remove them from unfavorable locations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>While naturally occurring cutting sites and cutting sites added in a lab are biologically indistinguishable, Bruttel, Washburne and VanDongen hypothesized that they could detect a \u201cvery subtle but identifiable fingerprint\u201d by plotting the distribution of the cutting sites on the SARS-CoV-2 virus. They would then compare this to the distribution of such sites on wild-type SARS viruses, as well as on other, pre-pandemic lab-made SARS viruses. They carried out their analyses for the most commonly used enzymes (biological \u201cscissors\u201d) which, according to a series of pre-pandemic <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/journals.asm.org\/doi\/10.1128\/JVI.03079-15?url_ver=Z39.88-2003&#038;rfr_id=ori:rid:crossref.org&#038;rfr_dat=cr_pub%20%200pubmed\"><span>publications<\/span><\/a><span> from the Wuhan Institute of Virology, were also used for experiments in the Wuhan lab.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_3871850\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/img.theepochtimes.com\/assets\/uploads\/2021\/06\/23\/screenshot-bat-feeding-worm-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazy wp-image-3871850\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/assets\/themes\/eet\/images\/white.png\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/screenshot-bat-feeding-worm-1-600x327-1.jpg\" alt=\"screenshot bat feeding worm\" width=\"640\" height=\"349\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\"><noscript><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-3871850\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/screenshot-bat-feeding-worm-1-600x327-1.jpg\" alt=\"screenshot bat feeding worm\" width=\"640\" height=\"349\" \/><\/noscript><\/figcaption><\/a> A researcher at the Wuhan Institute of Virology in Wuhan in China\u2019s central Hubei Province feeds a bat with a worm in a 2017 video. (Screenshot)<\/figure>\n<p><span>The results of the new study are stark.\u00a0<\/span><span>While cutting sites on wild-type SARS viruses are randomly distributed, they tend to be regularly spaced on pre-pandemic lab-made viruses, as well as on SARS-CoV-2. So the authors found that regular spacing suggests that the location of the cutting sites was manipulated in a lab.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The new study also compared the length of the longest segments seen in wild-type viruses and lab-made viruses. The longest segments in wild-type viruses are far longer than any found in lab-made viruses, including in SARS-CoV-2. The findings again pointed to a lab origin for COVID-19.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The longest segments in lab-made viruses were found to be unusually short. As previously noted, the process of genetically engineering viruses requires scientists to use several shorter segments, which are then pieced together. Natural viruses are not pieced together and thus the length of segments is randomly determined and includes very short and very long segments.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Bruttel, Washburne, and VanDongen estimate that the odds that the SARS-CoV-2 virus arose naturally lie between 1 in 100 and 1 in 1,400. However, this estimate only factors in the distribution of cutting sites. The authors also observed a concentration of mutations within the cutting sites that was \u201cextremely unlikely in wild coronaviruses and nearly universal in synthetic viruses.\u201d The estimate drops to a 1 in 100 million chance that\u00a0SARS-CoV-2 was a naturally-occurring virus if these mutations are factored in. When considering additional criteria, such as the fact that the \u201csticky ends\u201d where the viruses are \u201cglued\u201d back together all happen to fit perfectly, the authors estimate the odds of a natural origin to be even lower.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The authors conclude that SARS-CoV-2 was assembled in a lab using common methods for assembling viruses. The authors do not speculate on which lab the virus escaped from.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>In response to the new study, Kristian Andersen, the leading author of the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41591-020-0820-9\"><span>Proximal Origin<\/span><\/a><span> paper\u2014the\u00a0Dr. Anthony <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/new-emails-reveal-faucis-role-in-shaping-highly-influential-paper-that-established-covid-natural-origin-narrative_4225917.html\"><span>Fauci-led effort<\/span><\/a><span> to dispel the lab leak theory\u2014went on Twitter to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HansMahncke\/status\/1583298649995763712\"><span>slam<\/span><\/a><span> the new study as \u201ckindergarten molecular biology.\u201d Andersen\u2019s criticism is that cutting sites are common in naturally occurring SARS viruses. However, this criticism does not explain the very unusual placement of cutting sites in SARS-CoV-2.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_3847691\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/and92010310230-1200x799-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazy wp-image-3847691 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/assets\/themes\/eet\/images\/white.png\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/and92010310230-1200x799-1.jpg\" alt=\"Epoch Times Photo\" width=\"640\" height=\"426\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\"><noscript><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-3847691 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/and92010310230-1200x799-1.jpg\" alt=\"Epoch Times Photo\" width=\"640\" height=\"426\" \/><\/noscript><\/figcaption><\/a> Kristian Andersen briefs reporters in San Diego on Dec. 30, 2020. (AP Photo)<\/figure>\n<p><span>The Proximal Origin paper itself, which boldly <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41591-020-0820-9\"><span>proclaimed<\/span><\/a><span> that \u201cour analyses clearly show that SARS-CoV-2 is not a laboratory construct or a purposefully manipulated virus,\u201d has been <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/franciscodeasis\/status\/1561443473458429952\"><span>dismissed<\/span><\/a><span> after it emerged that Andersen and his co-authors had <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HansMahncke\/status\/1583298649995763712\"><span>relied<\/span><\/a><span> on an obsolete database for their findings.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Notably, Andersen told Fauci privately that SARS-CoV-2 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/emails-reveal-how-influential-articles-that-established-covid-19-natural-origins-theory-were-formed_3848832.html\"><span>looked engineered<\/span><\/a><span>, while publicly pushing the natural origin narrative. Fauci was director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) at the time. He will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/fauci-announces-hes-stepping-down-as-niaid-director-medical-adviser-to-biden_4680373.html\">resign<\/a> from the position in December.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Andersen and a group of other scientists who receive funding from Fauci\u2019s NIAID also co-authored another natural origin paper that\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/zenodo.org\/record\/6299600\"><span>declared<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0their \u201canalyses provide dispositive evidence for the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 via the live wildlife trade.\u201d That paper, too, has since been <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.biorxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2022.10.10.511625v1\"><span>criticized<\/span><\/a><span> for its reliance on faulty data.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>While there is still no dispositive evidence on either side of the origin debate, it is noteworthy that the papers from natural origin advocates tend to make grand claims of indisputable evidence. In contrast, the authors of the new study have invited criticism and debate of their findings and are engaging with such criticism online.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Although it is too early to reach a final verdict on the new study, which is still subject to peer review, its methodology offers for the first time a path to solving the COVID-19 origin puzzle without having to rely on data that is being withheld by the Chinese Communist Party.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"author_wrapper\">\n<div class=\"one_author_block round\">\n<div class=\"top_row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/author-hans-mahncke\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/WEB_HansMahncke2.jpg\" alt=\"Hans Mahncke\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Follow<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Hans Mahncke is a co-host of \u201cTruth Over News\u201d on EpochTV.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>News AnalysisA new study on the origins of the pandemic, \u201cEndonuclease fingerprint indicates a synthetic origin of SARS-CoV2,\u201d published on the preprint server bioRxiv, concludes that it is highly likely<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1709201,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[547],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1709192","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-bongino-report"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1709192","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1709192"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1709192\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1709201"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1709192"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1709192"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1709192"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}