{"id":1703049,"date":"2022-10-20T06:30:09","date_gmt":"2022-10-20T10:30:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1703049"},"modified":"2022-10-20T07:03:25","modified_gmt":"2022-10-20T11:03:25","slug":"kari-lake-ahead-masters-surging-in-arizona","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/kari-lake-ahead-masters-surging-in-arizona\/","title":{"rendered":"Kari Lake Ahead, Masters Surging in Arizona"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">14<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fkari-lake-ahead-masters-surging-in-arizona%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1703049&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>It will come down to the wire in Arizona, but the signals look better and better for the GOP in both major races. In a new Trafalgar poll commissioned by Daily Wire, Kari Lake\u2019s lead has expanded to nearly three points over Democrat and debate-refusenik Katie Hobbs, just a\u00a0<em>skosh<\/em> outside the margin of error.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Republican challenger Blake Masters is just a point back from incumbent Senator Mark Kelly, who clearly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailywire.com\/news\/hold-exclusive-poll-kari-lake-in-lead-for-arizona-gov-masters-trails-kelly-by-one-point-for-senate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">isn\u2019t closing the sale<\/a> with Arizona voters:<\/p>\n<p>Republicans are close to holding Arizona\u2019s governor\u2019s seat and potentially flipping a U.S. Senate seat, according to a new Trafalgar Group\/Daily Wire poll.<\/p>\n<p>Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake is ahead of her Democratic opponent, Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, with a lead just inside the poll\u2019s 2.9-point margin of error: 49.2% to 46.4%. Republican Blake Masters at 46.4% is running close behind incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly (47.4%).<\/p>\n<p>The poll consists of responses from 1,078 likely 2022 general election voters taken on October 16-17.<\/p>\n<p>In both cases, the Democrats\u2019 biggest problem resides in the White House, especially among the undecideds. That could impact both races, Robert Cahaly told the Daily Wire:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMost of the undecideds have a negative opinion about how Biden is handling his job as president, 55.9% in the Senate race and 56.9% in Governors race,\u201d Trafalgar founder Robert Cahaly told The Daily Wire.<\/p>\n<p>Want to guess how they\u2019ll break in the last three weeks?\u00a0<em>Oh, let\u2019s not always see the same hands<\/em> \u2026<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetrafalgargroup.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/AZ-Gen-1017-Poll-Report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trafalgar\u2019s demos<\/a> are interesting in both races, too. In the Senate race, Kelly leads among all of the non-white demos except for \u201cother,\u201d while Masters only has a two-point lead among white voters. However, Masters gets 45% of the Hispanic vote, 36% of the black vote, and 39% of the Asian vote, very large percentages for any Republican candidate and a signal of danger for Democrats. Lake does slightly better among black voters (39%) and Hispanics (46%), while winning among white voters by nearly eight points.<\/p>\n<p>In other words, the competitiveness of Lake and Masters isn\u2019t some kind of evidence of \u201cwhite supremacy.\u201d It\u2019s a demonstration of a fairly broad appeal among all four candidates, with the election clearly being decided on lines other than ethnic signaling.<\/p>\n<p>The one weakness both Republicans have may be in their own party. Both have narrow leads among independents, but Lake loses 13% of Republicans to Hobbs and Kelly takes 14% of Republicans away from Masters. One has to wonder, though, whether the debate between Masters and Kelly and Hobbs\u2019 refusal to debate may change that. If Republicans come home in the final days of this cycle, these races might end up being easy wins for both Lake and Masters.<\/p>\n<p>RCP shows this result <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2022\/governor\/az\/arizona_governor_lake_vs_hobbs-7842.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">right in line<\/a> with their aggregation for Lake. It\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2022\/senate\/az\/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pretty close to the aggregate<\/a> for the Senate race too, so Trafalgar\u2019s results don\u2019t look like an outlier. They look more like a momentum test, especially when combined with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/newsletters\/playbook\/2022\/10\/19\/breaking-down-the-gops-midterm-momentum-00062464\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">this report from Politico<\/a> on the GOP\u2019s gathering<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It will come down to the wire in Arizona, but the signals look better and better for the GOP in both major races. In a new Trafalgar poll commissioned by Daily Wire, Kari Lake\u2019s lead has expanded to nearly three points over Democrat and debate-refusenik Katie Hobbs, just a\u00a0skosh outside the margin of error. Meanwhile, &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1896407,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[547],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1703049","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-bongino-report"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1703049","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1703049"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1703049\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1896407"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1703049"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1703049"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1703049"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}