{"id":1651872,"date":"2022-09-21T16:37:18","date_gmt":"2022-09-21T20:37:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1651872"},"modified":"2022-09-21T16:38:01","modified_gmt":"2022-09-21T20:38:01","slug":"elections-forecasting-big-data-algorithms-and-baseball","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/elections-forecasting-big-data-algorithms-and-baseball\/","title":{"rendered":"Elections Forecasting: Big Data, Algorithms\u2013and Baseball"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">12<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Felections-forecasting-big-data-algorithms-and-baseball%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1651872&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p class=\"p1\">There are less than 50 days before the Nov. 8 elections and the stage is set with local, state, and national media churning out a blizzard of stretch-run campaign coverage.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">In print media, there is a uniformity in how elections articles are structured. Most routinely note how the race fits into the \u201cbig picture;\u201d how much money candidates raised; and what polls say.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">This century, another element has become standard with the convergence of \u2018Big Data\u2019 and algorithmic modeling\u2014electorate ratings and forecasts from analysts mining historical statistics, crunching voter data, and aggregating polls to make predictive judgments based on an ever-expanding realm of factors and relationships.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">Until the late 1970s, predicting the outcome of an election was a parlor game for academics, political scientists, and pundits on par with Ouija boards, tea leaves, and the \u2018Washington Rule,\u2019 which said if the city\u2019s NFL team won its last home game before Election Day, the president\u2019s party would win. The \u201crule\u201d picked every presidential winner between 1940 and 2000, but since then has been right only once.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">The templates for the \u201cmodern era of elections forecasting\u201d were set in 1978 by a Yale University professor\u2019s model based on the economy and incumbency, and in 1979 by a University of Kentucky professor\u2019s model charting relationships between presidential approval ratings and subsequent votes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">By the late 1990s, the American Political Science Association\u2019s PS: Political Science &#038; Politics magazine and International Journal of Forecasting were annually introducing new elections forecasting models developed by universities, analysts, consultants, nonprofits, media outlets, and the gaming industry, based on \u201ceconometrics,\u201d public opinion, incumbency, party unity, scandals, poll aggregation, and historical voting patterns, to provide \u201cfluid intelligence\u201d for voters, media, pundits, candidates, and campaigns.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">But it wasn\u2019t until a sports writer used the same tools developed to project baseball players\u2019 performances<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There are less than 50 days before the Nov. 8 elections and the stage is set with local, state, and national media churning out a blizzard of stretch-run campaign coverage. In print media, there is a uniformity in how elections articles are structured. Most routinely note how the race fits into the \u201cbig picture;\u201d how [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":509,"featured_media":2315279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1651872","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1651872","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/509"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1651872"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1651872\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2315279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1651872"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1651872"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1651872"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}