{"id":1642423,"date":"2022-09-16T08:17:46","date_gmt":"2022-09-16T12:17:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1642423"},"modified":"2022-09-16T08:19:51","modified_gmt":"2022-09-16T12:19:51","slug":"new-alaska-senate-poll-reveals-lisa-murkowski-neck-and-neck-with-kelly-tshibaka","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/new-alaska-senate-poll-reveals-lisa-murkowski-neck-and-neck-with-kelly-tshibaka\/","title":{"rendered":"New Alaska Senate Poll Reveals Lisa Murkowski Neck-and-Neck With Kelly Tshibaka"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">22<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fnew-alaska-senate-poll-reveals-lisa-murkowski-neck-and-neck-with-kelly-tshibaka%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1642423&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><div><\/div>\n<p>A new poll out Thursday shows GOP incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski in a dead heat to keep her seat against Republican candidate Kelly Tshibaka, who has been endorsed by former President Donald Trump. According to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aarp.org\/content\/dam\/aarp\/research\/surveys_statistics\/politics\/2022\/aarp-alaska-2022-elections-voter-survey.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00550.009.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">poll <\/a>from Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research, commissioned by AARP, Murkowski leads on the final round of balloting by a mere three votes among the 1,050 likely voters surveyed. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is an understatement to call that within the margin of error,\u201d the pollsters wrote in their report, noting \u201c10 percent of voters did not rank either of those candidates in the final round.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The survey was conducted by phone with a +\/- 4.4 percent margin of error between Sept. 6-11. <\/p>\n<p>Under Alaska\u2019s unusual and complicated ranked-choice voting system first used this year, the top four candidates from the open-party primary compete in the general election among voters, who \u201crank\u201d their preferences on the ballot. If no candidate receives a majority, or 50 percent of the first-choice ballots case, the votes are re-tabulated again after eliminating the lowest vote-getter. The lost candidate\u2019s ballots are then counted towards the voters\u2019 second-choice pick, and the process is repeated until a candidate reaches more than 50 percent.<\/p>\n<p>According to the AARP survey, Tshibaka holds a 13 percent lead over Murkowski with 43 percent of the vote to 35 percent, while Democrat Patricia Chesbro comes behind at 13 percent followed by Republican Buzz Kelley at 1 percent. Seven percent reported they were undecided. <\/p>\n<p>Kelley dropped out of the race Monday and <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/2022-midterm-elections-sarah-palin-donald-trump-general-campaigns-8b1b8dc64c4b2022e63f39e3fd359249\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">endorsed <\/a>Tshibaka, who is also running with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.alaskasnewssource.com\/2021\/07\/11\/alaska-gop-leaders-endorse-challenger-us-sen-murkowski\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">support <\/a>of the state party.<\/p>\n<p>After eliminating Kelley on the second round of ballot tabulation, the race remained virtually unchanged, with Tshibaka in the lead with 46 percent to Murkowski\u2019s 38 percent and Chesbro\u2019s 14 percent. On the final round of ballot counting, however, Tshibaka and Murkowski are tied, with the incumbent lawmaker edging out her Republican opponent by three votes after Democrat ballots from Chesbro largely flow to Murkowski. <\/p>\n<p>The AARP poll closely matches an internal survey the Tshibaka campaign told supporters about on a statewide call Monday, moments after Kelley dropped out of the contest and threw his support behind Tshibaka. According to the campaign\u2019s internal poll conducted by Cygnal in August, Tshibaka leads on the first two rounds of ballot tabulation, only to lose by 0.2 percent in the final vote, well within the +\/- 4.32 percent margin of error. <\/p>\n[READ:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/2022\/09\/09\/alaskas-ranked-choice-voting-scheme-was-a-plot-to-save-murkowski-but-it-also-doomed-palin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Alaska\u2019s Ranked-Choice Voting Scheme Was A Plot To\u00a0Save\u00a0Murkowski, But It Also Doomed Palin<\/a>]\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\n<p>\n  Tristan Justice is the western correspondent for The Federalist. He has also written for The Washington Examiner and The Daily Signal. His work has also been featured in Real Clear Politics and Fox News. Tristan graduated from George Washington University where he majored in political science and minored in journalism. Follow him on Twitter at @JusticeTristan or contact him at Tristan@thefederalist.com.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new poll out Thursday shows GOP incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski in a dead heat to keep her seat against Republican candidate Kelly Tshibaka, who has been endorsed by former<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":494,"featured_media":1642425,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1642423","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1642423","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/494"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1642423"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1642423\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1642425"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1642423"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1642423"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1642423"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}