{"id":1619950,"date":"2022-08-23T08:46:56","date_gmt":"2022-08-23T12:46:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1619950"},"modified":"2022-08-23T08:49:10","modified_gmt":"2022-08-23T12:49:10","slug":"new-york-special-election-to-test-if-abortion-is-weakening-midterm-red-wave","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/new-york-special-election-to-test-if-abortion-is-weakening-midterm-red-wave\/","title":{"rendered":"New York Special Election To Test  If Abortion Is Weakening Midterm Red Wave"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">28<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fnew-york-special-election-to-test-if-abortion-is-weakening-midterm-red-wave%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1619950&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><div><\/div>\n<div class=\"RichTextArticleBody\">\n<div class=\"RichTextArticleBody-body\">\n<div class=\"Enhancement\">\n<div class=\"Enhancement-item\"><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>A <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/house-races-democrats-republicans-win-majority\">special congressional election<\/a> in upstate New York on Tuesday could offer a unique window into whether <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/anti-abortion-democrat-mark%20haugen-north-dakota-house\">abortion access<\/a> is animating voters as much as Democrats hope it can.<\/p>\n<p>Republican Marc Molinaro and Democrat Pat Ryan are squaring off this week in New York\u2019s 19th Congressional District, which former Rep. Antonio Delgado vacated in May to become the state\u2019s lieutenant governor.<\/p>\n<p>Polls suggest the race is extremely tight heading into an Election Day that analysts will watch closely for clues about the GOP\u2019s strength. While Republicans have for months expected to wrest control of Congress away from Democrats by decisive margins, more recent numbers suggest the red wave so frequently predicted by pundits could be considerably weaker by November.<\/p>\n<p><b><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/biden-talks-up-the-economy-midterms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BIDEN TALKS UP ECONOMY AMID RECESSION FEARS AND LOOMING MIDTERM ELECTIONS<\/a><\/b><\/p>\n<p>The New York race has provided a chance for each party to prove its theory of the case for the midterm elections. Democrats have bet the Supreme Court\u2019s landmark decision this summer on abortion will anger enough otherwise disinterested voters to overcome the lack of enthusiasm pollsters detected earlier this year.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans have banked on a backlash to the struggling economy to sweep them into congressional majorities.<\/p>\n<p>For his part, Molinaro has <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ny1.com\/nyc\/all-boroughs\/ny-state-of-politics\/2022\/07\/28\/new-molinaro-ad-highlights-crime--inflation-woes\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">drilled down<\/a> on the issues where Democrats are arguably the weakest: crime and high prices.<\/p>\n<p>He\u2019s spent time pushing <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ny1.com\/nyc\/all-boroughs\/ny-state-of-politics\/2022\/07\/28\/new-molinaro-ad-highlights-crime--inflation-woes\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">affordable housing<\/a>, attacking New York\u2019s <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/marcmolinaro\/status\/1560990033808596992?s=20&amp;t=hu14ceKgyaM7yq8Xzsrz0w\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cashless bail system<\/a>, and talking with voters about the effects of the national <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/marcmolinaro\/status\/1560762453260214273?s=20&amp;t=hu14ceKgyaM7yq8Xzsrz0w\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">labor shortage<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>But Molinaro has largely sidestepped strong positions on abortion while campaigning. The Republican said he would not back an effort in Congress to ban abortion access, even though he has <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfreeman.com\/2022\/08\/06\/molinaro-says-he-wouldnt-back-anti-abortion-legislation-ryan-says-fundamental-rights-being-ripped-away\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">described himself<\/a> as pro-life.<\/p>\n<p>Ryan\u2019s campaign has centered on abortion, which he has sought to elevate even though New York has relatively few restrictions on the procedure.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHow can we be a free country if the government tries to control women&#8217;s bodies?\u201d Ryan asks in <a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PatRyanUC\/status\/1540349018647183362\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">one ad<\/a> as he strolls through what appears to be a hospital.<\/p>\n<p>Cartney McCracken, a Democratic strategist, pointed to voters\u2019 overwhelming support for protecting abortion rights in red Kansas through a ballot initiative earlier this month as evidence that abortion is a motivating issue.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Kansas abortion amendment clearly highlights the strength of the pro-choice movement in the wake of overturning <i>Roe v. Wade<\/i>,\u201d McCracken told the <i>Washington Examiner<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs Republicans have no accomplishments to tout, they\u2019re banking that inflation messaging will pull them through,\u201d she added. \u201cBut what I\u2019m looking at, in the wake of the FBI\u2019s search at Mar-a-Lago and multiple Trump investigations, are the recent NBC News poll results that the vast majority of Americans see the threat to democracy as their top most concerning issue.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Redistricting has made the contest a structural mess. While both candidates are running to fill a vacancy in the current 19th Congressional District for the special election this week, Ryan will shift gears and compete until November in the 18th Congressional District after election night \u2014 regardless of whether he wins. That\u2019s because the newly redrawn map puts his home in the 18th District, and that map will be in effect by November.<\/p>\n<p>Molinaro is competing for a full term in the 19th Congressional District whether he wins or loses the special election this week. He\u2019ll face a different opponent, whom voters will select Tuesday in a Democratic primary, for the final weeks of the midterm elections, but Tuesday\u2019s results will determine if he runs as an incumbent or to unseat a short-lived one.<\/p>\n<p>Their clash also comes as long-held assumptions about how Republicans will perform collide with new evidence that Democrats are gaining ground.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans had for months enjoyed a lead in the so-called generic ballot, a survey question that asks voters which party they would back if the election were held today.<\/p>\n<p>But more recent polls have shown that lead narrow, and the <i><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/other\/2022-generic-congressional-vote-7361.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">RealClearPolitics<\/a><\/i><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/other\/2022-generic-congressional-vote-7361.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> average<\/a> of the generic ballot finds Republicans clinging to a 0.2-point advantage.<\/p>\n<p>The 19th District special election could offer a window into whether that red wave is approaching. While a Democrat represented the district previously, the area leans slightly toward Republicans, according to the data website <i><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/new-york-is-holding-another-primary-heres-everything-you-need-to-know\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FiveThirtyEight<\/a><\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>President Joe Biden won the district by less than 2 points in 2020, and his popularity has fallen considerably since then.<\/p>\n<p><b><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER<\/a><\/b><\/p>\n<p>But more than Biden\u2019s performance, abortion could determine who serves the remainder of Delgado\u2019s term.<\/p>\n<p>Ryan has placed nearly all of his chips on the prospect of the issue swaying voters, distributing signs that read, \u201cChoice is on the ballot,\u201d and casting the fight for abortion access as existential.<\/p>\n<p>The race will also test whether the centrist Republican strategy of declining to stake out strong positions on abortion, and instead deferring to states, can help candidates withstand a wave of outcry over the Supreme Court ruling.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A special congressional election in upstate New York on Tuesday could offer a unique window into whether abortion access is animating voters as much<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1619957,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1619950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1619950","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1619950"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1619950\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1619957"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1619950"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1619950"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1619950"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}