{"id":1599804,"date":"2022-08-10T17:53:49","date_gmt":"2022-08-10T21:53:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1599804"},"modified":"2022-08-10T17:54:01","modified_gmt":"2022-08-10T21:54:01","slug":"fed-may-slow-rate-hikes-but-policymakers-say-more-is-needed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/fed-may-slow-rate-hikes-but-policymakers-say-more-is-needed\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed may slow rate hikes, but policymakers say more is needed"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">22<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ffed-may-slow-rate-hikes-but-policymakers-say-more-is-needed%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1599804&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>By Ann Saphir and Howard Schneider<\/p>\n<p>(Reuters) -Slowing U.S. inflation may have opened the door for the Federal Reserve to temper the pace of coming interest rate hikes, but policymakers left no doubt they will continue to tighten monetary policy until price pressures are fully broken.  <\/p>\n<p>A U.S. Labor Department report Wednesday showing consumer prices didn\u2019t rise at all in July compared with June was just one step in what policymakers said would be a long process, with a red-hot job market and suddenly bouyant equity prices suggesting the economy needs more of the cooling that would come from higher borrowing costs. <\/p>\n<p>The Fed is \u201cfar, far away from declaring victory\u201d on inflation, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari said at the Aspen Ideas Conference, despite the \u201cwelcome\u201d news in the CPI report.<\/p>\n<p>Kashkari said he hasn\u2019t \u201cseen anything that changes\u201d the need to raise the Fed\u2019s policy rate to 3.9% by year-end and to 4.4% by the end of 2023. <\/p>\n<p>The rate is currently in the 2.25%-2.5% range.<\/p>\n<p>Kashkari is, to be sure, the Fed\u2019s most hawkish member; most of his 18 colleagues believe a little less policy tightening may be enough to do the trick to bring prices under better control.<\/p>\n<p>Calling inflation \u201cunacceptably\u201d high, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said he believes the Fed will likely need to lift its policy rate to 3.25%-3.5% this year and to 3.75%-4% by the end of next year, in line with what Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled after the Fed\u2019s latest meeting in July.<\/p>\n<p>Still, he said, the CPI report marks the first \u201cpositive\u201d reading on inflation since the Fed began raising interest rates in March in increasing increments \u2014 a quarter of a percentage point to start, then a half a point, and then three-quarters-of-a-percentage point in both June and July.<\/p>\n<p>After Wednesday\u2019s CPI report, traders of futures tied to the Fed\u2019s benchmark interest rate pared bets on a third straight 75-basis-point hike at its Sept. 20-21 policy meeting, and now see a half-point increase as the more likely option.<\/p>\n<p>Equity markets took a similar cue on hopes for a less aggressive central bank, with the S&#038;P 500 rising 2.1%.<\/p>\n<p>Financial markets are currently pricing a top fed funds rate of 3.75% by year-end, with rate cuts to follow next year, presumably as policymakers move to counter economic weakness. <\/p>\n<p>Kashkari called that scenario unrealistic, and said Fed policymakers are \u201cunited\u201d in their determination to bring interest rates down to the Fed\u2019s 2% target. The risk of recession \u201cwill not deter me\u201d from advocating for what\u2019s needed to do so, he said.  <\/p>\n<p>DATA ON TAP <\/p>\n<p>For the Fed to scale back, fresh inflation data will need to confirm the idea that price increases are slowing.<\/p>\n<p>The consumer price index rose 8.5% in July from a year earlier, Wednesday\u2019s report showed. While that marked a drop from June\u2019s 9.1% rate, prices are still rising at levels not seen since the high inflation era of the 1970s and early 1980s. Food prices in July were up 11% from the year before, devastating for lower income families in particular. <\/p>\n<p>For the moment, however, analysts focused on the fact that, after months in which accelerating price pressures pushed Fed policymakers to tighten credit conditions faster than at any time since the 1980s, inflation data finally surprised in the other direction.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Fed needs a lot more evidence (of slowing inflation)\u2026 but this is a good start,\u201d said Karim Basta, chief economist with III Capital Management. Data on August consumer inflation will be released on Sept. 13, the week before the Fed meets, and given recent trends in energy and some other prices the report \u201cshould also be friendly to the disinflation path and should make a 50 basis point hike the preferred option.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Still, the Fed\u2019s battle with high inflation is far from over.<\/p>\n<p>The core consumer price index \u2013 which strips out volatile gas and food prices and is seen as a better predictor of future inflation \u2013 rose 0.3% from June and 5.9% from a year earlier.<\/p>\n<p>The Fed targets 2% inflation based on a different index that is rising at a lower, but still high, rate of more than 6%.<\/p>\n<p>An alternative measure of consumer prices compiled by the Cleveland Fed, known as the Median Consumer Price Index and considered a good view of the breadth of prices pressures in the economy, rose 6.3% on an annual basis in July, compared to 6% in June. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cOverall, prices remain uncomfortably high,\u201d wrote High Frequency Economics\u2019 Rubeela Farooqi, who stuck with her call for a 75-basis point rate hike next month. \u201cCoupled with strength in job growth and wages, the data support the case for another aggressive rate hike in September.\u201d<\/p>\n<p> (Reporting by Ann Saphir; Additional reporting by Howard Schneider, Lindsay Dunsmuir; Editing by Toby Chopra and Mark Potter)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oann.com\/?attachment_id=2736386\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tagreuters.com2022binary_LYNXMPEI790LI-VIEWIMAGE.jpg\" alt=\"tagreuters.com2022binary_LYNXMPEI790LI-VIEWIMAGE\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Ann Saphir and Howard Schneider (Reuters) -Slowing U.S. inflation may have opened the door for the Federal Reserve to temper the pace of coming interest rate hikes, but policymakers<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":66,"featured_media":2315279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1599804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1599804","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/66"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1599804"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1599804\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2315279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1599804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1599804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1599804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}