{"id":1558882,"date":"2022-07-18T06:00:17","date_gmt":"2022-07-18T10:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1558882"},"modified":"2022-07-18T07:04:29","modified_gmt":"2022-07-18T11:04:29","slug":"gop-up-3-points-on-the-generic-ballot-as-biden-continues-sinking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/gop-up-3-points-on-the-generic-ballot-as-biden-continues-sinking\/","title":{"rendered":"GOP Up 3 Points on the Generic Ballot as Biden Continues Sinking"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">24<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fgop-up-3-points-on-the-generic-ballot-as-biden-continues-sinking%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1558882&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Before readers scoff at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/official-polls\/fox-news-poll-voters-say-economy-bad-expect-get-worse\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a poll from Fox News<\/a>, recall that this has been among the more friendly polling series in the business for Joe Biden. The Fox poll had him underwater by only single digits as late at the first of May, don\u2019t forget, when he polled 45\/53 on overall job approval.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s going downhill rapidly since, however, just as it has in other polling series such as Reuters and YouGov. The latest Fox News survey puts Biden at 40\/59 and 16\/41 on the \u201cstrongly\u201d positions, and shows Biden in a much worse position for the midterms than Donald Trump faced:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The president\u2019s job rating hit a low this week, with 40% of voters approving and 59% disapproving. That\u2019s net negative by 19 points. His ratings were underwater by 14 points last month and by 8 points in early May. Biden\u2019s best marks were in June 2021, when 56% approved and 43% disapproved.<\/p>\n<p>Four years ago, at this same point in the election cycle, former President Donald Trump\u2019s job rating was underwater by 5 points: 46% approved and 51% disapproved (July 2018).<\/p>\n<p>Biden gets the thumbs-down from record numbers of women, Black voters, moderates, voters under age 30, Democrats, and independents.<\/p>\n<p>And majorities overall disapprove of his issue performance: 73% disapprove on inflation, 68% on the economy, 61% on immigration, 59% on guns, 57% on energy policy, and 55% on handling Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>We\u2019ll get to issues and a couple of other questions in the poll shortly, but let\u2019s take a look at the demos on overall job approval. They are almost uniformly bad; the gender gap has all but disappeared as Biden gets a 38\/62 among men and a 42\/57 among women. He\u2019s well underwater among voters under the age of 35 (41\/57) and over the age of 45 (41\/58). He\u2019s barely above water with urban voters (51\/49) and crashing in the suburbs (42\/58), and with suburban women (45\/54).<\/p>\n<p>So how does Biden get to 40%? He\u2019s well below the 30% among independents ay 27\/72,\u00a0 which raises the question of how Biden got to 40% approval in the first place. Normally the independents hew closer to the overall result if the sample is properly balanced. This sample <em>appears<\/em> to be decently balanced; when leaners are added to the party totals, the D\/R\/I is 41\/41\/19, and that\u2019s likely the issue. They have calculated Biden\u2019s indie rating among only the true independents, which makes that result a <em>whole<\/em> lot worse.<\/p>\n<p>Even where Biden does well, he doesn\u2019t come close to doing well enough. Biden only gets a 78\/22 among Democrats \u2014 not great in a polarized environment like ours, and only 35% strongly approve. Biden has a 64\/36 job approval rating among black voters who usually support Democrats on a 90\/10 basis, and only 20% strongly approve. He\u2019s barely above water with Hispanics at 52\/48, and only 22% strongly approve there too.<\/p>\n<p>How bad has it gotten for Biden? Voters don\u2019t want either of 2020\u2019s candidates to run again, but a lot fewer want Biden than Donald Trump:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">FOX NEWS POLL: 27% of voters want President Biden to run again in 2024. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FoxNewsSunday?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">#FoxNewsSunday<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Ecp8oiaKPI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/Ecp8oiaKPI<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Fox News Sunday (@FoxNewsSunday) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/FoxNewsSunday\/status\/1548670913587171332?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">July 17, 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>That doesn\u2019t bode well for turnout in the midterm elections for Democrats. That\u2019s reflected in the generic ballot results, which look consistent in more than one aspect:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">FOX NEWS POLL: GOP Candidates still hold a 3 point lead over Democratic candidates. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FoxNewsSunday?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">#FoxNewsSunday<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qTfpcd9hdE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/qTfpcd9hdE<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Fox News Sunday (@FoxNewsSunday) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/FoxNewsSunday\/status\/1548669706848145408?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">July 17, 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The remarkable steadiness of the generic-ballot question in Fox\u2019 series is reflected in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/other\/2022-generic-congressional-vote-7361.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the RCP<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/polls\/generic-ballot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FiveThirtyEight<\/a> aggregations as well. The midterm environment hasn\u2019t changed significantly all year, which is to say it hasn\u2019t changed since <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/pdf\/cpi.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CPI inflation hit 7%<\/a> and continued to climb. That issue remains the most potent for voters as inflation bites more and more households over that same period:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">FOX NEWS POLL: Has inflation caused you financial hardship over the last six months? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FoxNewsSunday?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">#FoxNewsSunday<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IggpCp304l\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/IggpCp304l<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Fox News Sunday (@FoxNewsSunday) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/FoxNewsSunday\/status\/1548655687340904448?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">July 17, 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>This also matches up with the open-ended results of the issues question asked by Fox. Rather than pick one issue, Fox runs through a number of them and asks respondents to rate their levels of concern with each. Inflation and higher crime rates top the list, both with historic levels of high concern:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Before anyone thinks that abortion has become a leading contender, Fox provides a history for each of these issues. Abortion only ticked up a single percentage point since the last poll at the beginning of May, which ended two days before the leak from the Supreme Court of the eventual decision on\u00a0<em>Dobbs.\u00a0<\/em>The \u201cextremely\u201d responses did tick up seven points, but at 43% it\u2019s still twenty-four points behind inflation. This midterm is about the economy and crime, concern over which has grown much more acute over the last few months.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, it looks like the results of Biden\u2019s Saudi trip are already coming in before Fist-BumpGate.\u00a0<em>D\u2019oh!<\/em><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">FOX NEWS POLL: 55% of voters disapprove of President Biden&#8217;s handling of the U.S.-Saudi Arabia relationship. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FoxNewsSunday?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">#FoxNewsSunday<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/eBhpXIGWaN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/eBhpXIGWaN<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Fox News Sunday (@FoxNewsSunday) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/FoxNewsSunday\/status\/1548665141016887300?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">July 17, 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Before readers scoff at a poll from Fox News, recall that this has been among the more friendly polling series in the business for Joe Biden. The Fox poll had<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1574181,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1558882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1558882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1558882"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1558882\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1574181"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1558882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1558882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1558882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}