{"id":1549963,"date":"2022-07-12T07:50:24","date_gmt":"2022-07-12T11:50:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1549963"},"modified":"2022-07-12T07:50:42","modified_gmt":"2022-07-12T11:50:42","slug":"for-biden-polls-are-probably-worse-than-they-seem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/for-biden-polls-are-probably-worse-than-they-seem\/","title":{"rendered":"For Biden, Polls Are Probably Worse Than They Seem"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">18<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ffor-biden-polls-are-probably-worse-than-they-seem%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1549963&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Screen-Shot-2022-07-11-at-4.31.11-PM-1024x513-1.png\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\" alt=\"image\" \/><\/div>\n<p>President Biden has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/07\/11\/us\/politics\/biden-approval-polling-2024.html\">miserable<\/a> 33 percent job-approval rating, according to the New York Times\/Siena College poll, making him one of the least popular first-term presidents in history. Sixty-four percent of Democrats say they want another candidate in the 2024 presidential race. <\/p>\n<p>No modern president, as far as I can tell, has faced higher dissatisfaction in his own party during his first term. Only 13 percent of voters say the United States is on the right track, the lowest number since they began asking this question during the great recession.<\/p>\n<p>Not long ago, left-wing pundits couldn\u2019t <em>stop<\/em> talking about Donald Trump\u2019s poll numbers \u2014 \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/policy-and-politics\/2017\/1\/13\/14250944\/donald-trump-unpopular\">Donald Trump is remarkably unpopular<\/a>,\u201d \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/the-fix\/wp\/2017\/01\/13\/donald-trumps-unpopularity-is-historic\/\">The unprecedented unpopularity of Donald Trump<\/a>,\u201d \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bostonglobe.com\/2021\/01\/19\/nation\/trump-is-officially-most-unpopular-president-since-modern-polling-began-1930s-it-will-forever-be-his-legacy\/\">Trump is officially the most unpopular president since modern polling began in the 1930s. It will forever be his legacy<\/a>,\u201d and so on. A president with that kind of piddling support, they would argue, had no business initiating policy changes. Nowadays, Democrats want <em>their<\/em> historically unpopular president to sign \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/briefing-room\/statements-releases\/2021\/10\/28\/president-biden-announces-the-build-back-better-framework\/\">transformative<\/a>\u201d legislation using reconciliation and unilaterally restructure American governance. The only consistent characteristic of modern liberalism is the unyielding belief that politics should be played by two sets of rules.<\/p>\n<p>Still, I don\u2019t put too much reliance on national polls. Yes, unpopularity matters. It hurts Democrats. It also further debunks the notion that the Democratic Party\u2019s agenda items are vastly more popular, and Republicans who stand in their way are undermining \u201cdemocracy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Republicans, though, should remember that job approval rating is measured in a bubble. The New York Times\/Siena College poll finds Biden winning a match-up against Donald Trump 44-41. The real presidential election is largely a binary choice for those who vote, and many of those dissatisfied with Biden may never vote for a Republican.<\/p>\n<p>Then again, this seems to be the <em>only<\/em> takeaway for Democrats like Joe Scarborough. \u201cSo Biden\u2019s going into halftime shooting 33% from the field and he is STILL beating Trump University,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JoeNBC\/status\/1546486732899684352\">tweets<\/a> Morning Joe. All these unforeseen and unfair events have befallen the poor Biden, they argue, and yet, he still leads Trump (conveniently forgetting that he also had to deal with a once-in-a-century worldwide pandemic and ensuing economic fallout from lockdowns.)<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s certainly entertaining watching partisans feign excitement over their mollycoddled candidate holding a 44-41 lead in a national poll against a guy who is accused of sedition on virtually every news channel daily. What do these numbers look like when Trump (or someone like Ron DeSantis) is reminding voters what gas prices and their 401(k)s looked like before Covid?<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, the left is again convincing themselves that winning a national poll means something. (Siena, incidentally, had Clinton <a href=\"https:\/\/scri.siena.edu\/2016\/11\/06\/clinton-carries-17-point-lead-over-trump-into-final-days\/\">up<\/a> 17 points in its final 2016 poll.) There is no popular vote. Biden must win states. And the president is underwater in almost <a href=\"https:\/\/www.breitbart.com\/politics\/2022\/07\/04\/poll-joe-bidens-job-approval-underwater-48-states-30-overall\/\">every one of them<\/a>, on almost <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/administration\/3499304-biden-underwater-on-almost-all-issues-except-handling-of-covid-poll\/\">every issue<\/a>, in almost every poll. I\u2019m no prognosticator or election expert \u2014 Biden might well win reelection \u2014 but none of that could possibly be heartening news for Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m just unsure how it gets any better for Biden. Democrats on social media do a lot of self-soothing, convincing themselves that events will become more hospitable for the president. Perhaps, if Biden stopped undermining the economy and energy production, they may, to some extent. Economic indicators, however, aren\u2019t projecting a big turnaround. Even if they did, Biden\u2019s claim to moderation, largely a function of his age, has already been obliterated. Two-thirds of independents don\u2019t approve of his performance. At the same time, Biden\u2019s progressive rhetoric is also transparently unprincipled. Neither Biden, nor any president, really has the power to mollify progressives. Not until the Constitution is rendered inoperative.<\/p>\n<p>With all that said, the prevailing concern about Biden among voters in the New York Times\/Siena College poll isn\u2019t ideological, it\u2019s his age \u2014 by which we can deduce they mean his competence. In the 2020 race, Biden\u2019s fragile state was largely concealed from the public by the campaign and press. These days, on the rare occasions the president wanders into an unscripted interaction, he is incoherent. The chances of the president\u2019s cognitive state improving, I\u2019m afraid, are nil. That\u2019s not how nature works.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\n<div class=\"article-author-description fst-italic\">\n  David Harsanyi is a senior editor at The Federalist. Harsanyi is a nationally syndicated columnist and author of five books\u2014the most recent, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Eurotrash-America-Reject-Failed-Continent\/dp\/0063066017\/\">Eurotrash: Why America Must Reject the Failed Ideas of a Dying Continent<\/a>. His work has appeared in National Review, the Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Reason, New York Post, and numerous other publications. Follow him on Twitter, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidharsanyi\/\">@davidharsanyi<\/a>.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>President Biden has a miserable 33 percent job-approval rating, according to the New York Times\/Siena College poll, making him one of the least popular first-term presidents in history. Sixty-four percent<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":831,"featured_media":2315279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1549963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1549963","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/831"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1549963"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1549963\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2315279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1549963"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1549963"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1549963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}