{"id":1515505,"date":"2022-06-14T13:34:18","date_gmt":"2022-06-14T17:34:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1515505"},"modified":"2022-06-14T13:34:57","modified_gmt":"2022-06-14T17:34:57","slug":"ten-races-to-watch-toady","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/ten-races-to-watch-toady\/","title":{"rendered":"Ten Races to Watch Toady"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">10<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ften-races-to-watch-toady%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1515505&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><div class=\"wp-block-abc-blocks-article-header abc-blocks-article-header--short-form abc-blocks-article-header--default abc-blocks-article-header--without-dek\">\n<div class=\"abc-blocks-article-header__container\">\n<header class=\"post-info single-post-header\">\n<div class=\"single-header\">\n<p class=\"single-metadata single-topic\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/tag\/2022-election\/\" class=\"term\" name=\"\" id=\"\">2022 Election<\/a><\/p>\n<h1 class=\"article-title article-title-single entry-title\">10 Elections To Watch Today<\/h1>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"single-header-metadata-and-share-wrap\">\n<div class=\"single-header-metadata-wrap\">\n<p class=\"single-metadata single-byline vcard\">By <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/contributors\/nathaniel-rakich\/\" title=\"\" class=\"author url fn\" rel=\"author\">Nathaniel Rakich<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/contributors\/alex-samuels\/\" title=\"\" class=\"author url fn\" rel=\"author\">Alex Samuels<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"topic single-topic\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<time class=\"datetime\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tJun. 14, 2022, at 6:00 AM\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/time><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"share\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/header>\n<figure id=\"single-featured-image\" class=\"single-featured-image\"><span class=\"has-bugs post-thumbnail\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"bug-container\"><source media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" \/><source \/><\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t<\/span><figcaption class=\"caption featured-image-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tNevada will be one of the most important states to watch on Tuesday as it hosts seven competitive primaries.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p class=\"credits\">Bill Clark \/ CQ-Roll Call, Inc. \/ Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">This week\u2019s primaries are a gamble \u2014 and not just because many of them are in Nevada. Former President Donald Trump is backing challengers to not one but two incumbent members of Congress, which will once again put the power of his endorsement to the test. Meanwhile, both parties face decisions about how far right or left of center a nominee can be in a swing seat and still stand a chance of winning in November.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">All told, four states are holding primaries on Tuesday: Maine, Nevada, North Dakota and South Carolina. We aren\u2019t expecting any races in Maine or North Dakota to be competitive, but to make up for it, there\u2019s a special election in Texas that either party could plausibly win. So grab your lucky dice and let\u2019s roll through the important elections this week.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1422\" height=\"948\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1239146693-711.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-336697\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1239146693-711.jpg?w=712 1x, https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1239146693-711.jpg?w=1424 2x\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1239146693-711.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1239146693-711.jpg?w=712 1x, https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1239146693-711.jpg?w=1424 2x\" \/><figcaption>Former state Rep. Katie Arrington is one of two primary challengers in South Carolina who has former President Donald Trump\u2019s endorsement. <\/p>\n<p class=\"photo-credit credits\">Sean Rayford \/ Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><strong>South Carolina<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\"><strong>Races to watch:<\/strong> 1st and 7th congressional districts<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\"><strong>Polls close:<\/strong> 7 p.m. Eastern<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Plenty of Republicans \u2014 like South Carolina\u2019s own senators, Lindsey Graham and Tim Scott \u2014 have walked the line between criticizing and praising Trump and have managed to stay on his good side, but Rep. Nancy Mace, of South Carolina\u2019s <strong>1st Congressional District<\/strong>, has not. Despite working for his 2016 presidential campaign early in the primary season, Mace <a href=\"https:\/\/www.postandcourier.com\/news\/newsmaker-scs-nancy-mace-speaks-out-about-jan-6-and-her-former-boss-donald-trump\/article_0134c7f8-61ce-11ec-8f9a-c317e9d5151b.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ripped Trump a new one<\/a> after the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol, saying that the insurrection had \u201cwiped out\u201d \u201c[e]very accomplishment that Republicans have made over the last four years.\u201d However, she quickly tried to mend those fences with votes against a bipartisan Jan. 6 commission and for ousting anti-Trump Rep. Liz Cheney from House Republican leadership.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ad-incontentTeads\" class=\"ad-incontentteads\" data-defer=\"none\"><\/div>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Trump didn\u2019t buy it. In February, he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.donaldjtrump.com\/news\/news-49ynqegxvm1542\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">endorsed<\/a> former state Rep. Katie Arrington \u2014 a loyalist who shares his false belief that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wltx.com\/article\/news\/local\/vote\/mace-arrington-meet-in-south-carolina-1st-district-unitedstates-house-representative-debate-politics\/101-29a0132a-8f28-4804-a2e5-86456ea8d9e6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2020 election was stolen<\/a> \u2014 in the Republican primary against Mace. Notably, too, Arrington has experience taking down incumbents in this coastal, Charleston-area seat: She <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goupstate.com\/story\/news\/politics\/elections\/state\/2018\/06\/13\/trump-backer-arrington-defeats-sanford-in-primary\/11985379007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">defeated former Rep. Mark Sanford<\/a> in the 2018 Republican primary.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Mace looks like a tougher foe, however. First, she outraised Arrington by a whopping <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H0SC01394\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$4.1 million<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H2SC01150\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$909,447<\/a>, as of May 25. Second, Mace isn\u2019t as anti-Trump as Sanford, who briefly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2019\/11\/12\/mark-sanford-presidential-bid-trump-069872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ran against Trump<\/a> for the 2020 Republican presidential nomination; she didn\u2019t vote to impeach Trump, for instance. She\u2019s also <a href=\"https:\/\/m.facebook.com\/nancyrmace\/videos\/im-standing-in-front-of-trump-tower-with-a-message-this-morningsc01-lowcountryfi\/1054561101770084\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">argued<\/a> that Arrington (who lost the general election in 2018) would lose the seat to Democrats in the fall, though redistricting made the 1st District safely Republican (it has a <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/how-red-or-blue-is-your-state-your-congressional-district\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FiveThirtyEight partisan lean<\/a><a class=\"espn-footnote-link\" data-footnote-id=\"1\" href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/10-elections-to-watch-in-nevada-south-carolina-and-texas\/#fn-1\"><\/p>\n<p>Partisan lean is the average margin difference between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall. This version of partisan lean, meant to be used for congressional and gubernatorial elections, is calculated as 50 percent the state or district\u2019s lean relative to the nation in the most recent presidential election, 25 percent its relative lean in the second-most-recent presidential election and 25 percent a custom state-legislative lean.<\/p>\n<p><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;><sup id=\"ss-1\">1<\/sup> of R+17), so that isn\u2019t an honest argument. The primary could go either way: The only non-internal poll of the race, conducted May 26-29 by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetrafalgargroup.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/SC01-GOP-Primary-Poll-Report-0601.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trafalgar Group<\/a>, gave Mace 46 percent and Arrington 41 percent.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"fte-single-story-promo fte-single-story-promo--full\">\n<div class=\"fte-single-story-promo__title\">\n<p>RECOMMENDED<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"fte-single-story-promo__story\">\n<div class=\"fte-single-story-promo__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a target=\"_BLANK\" href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/3-in-10-americans-named-political-polarization-as-a-top-issue-facing-the-country\/\" class=\"post-thumbnail\" rel=\"noopener\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"fte-single-story-promo__image-wrapper\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"IPSOS-ISSUES-0614-4\u00d73\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IPSOS-ISSUES-0614-4x3-1.png\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IPSOS-ISSUES-0614-4x3-1.png 1x, https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IPSOS-ISSUES-0614-4x3-1-1.png 2x\" class=\"\" data-sizes=\"100vw\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IPSOS-ISSUES-0614-4x3-1.png\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IPSOS-ISSUES-0614-4x3-1.png 1x, https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IPSOS-ISSUES-0614-4x3-1-1.png 2x\" \/><\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"fte-single-story-promo__wrapper\">\n<p class=\"fte-single-story-promo__story__vertical\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tPolitics\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p class=\"fte-single-story-promo__story__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/3-in-10-americans-named-political-polarization-as-a-top-issue-facing-the-country\/\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t3 In 10 Americans Named Political Polarization As A Top Issue Facing The Country\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p class=\"fte-single-story-promo__story__cta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a target=\"_BLANK\" class=\"button\" href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/3-in-10-americans-named-political-polarization-as-a-top-issue-facing-the-country\/\" rel=\"noopener\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tRead Now\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Next door in the <strong>7th District<\/strong>, though, another anti-Trump Republican looks like he\u2019s in more trouble. Rep. Tom Rice was one of the more anonymous members of the House GOP caucus before Jan. 13, 2021, when he shockingly <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/donald-trump-us-news-elections-impeachments-south-carolina-7278bdc701aaa2d74d1f46c97a6233e0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">voted to impeach Trump<\/a> for his role in the Jan. 6 riot. (The vote came so far out of left field that some observers initially thought it was an error.)<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Six other Republicans, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/groups\/454411952597146\/permalink\/697460194958986\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">all<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spencermorrisforcongress.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">of<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/barbaraarthurforcongress.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">them<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GarrettBartonSC\/status\/1473815874561667075?s=20&#038;t=BrkMwQl3bZd9Mabp7BE0jg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ardent<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MarkMcBrideUS\/status\/1409976933601927170?s=20&#038;t=BrkMwQl3bZd9Mabp7BE0jg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsobserver.com\/news\/state\/south-carolina\/article259273459.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">defenders<\/a>, filed to run against Rice, and initially the field was <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IAmNickReynolds\/status\/1504097178700165123?s=20&#038;t=GA4y7JlS1eh2Ch6Jjg-Wxg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">quite muddled<\/a> \u2014 Rice wasn\u2019t polling great, but neither was anyone else. But in February, Trump tapped state Rep. Russell Fry as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.postandcourier.com\/myrtle-beach\/politics\/donald-trump-endorses-russell-fry-in-primary-challenge-to-sc-congressman-tom-rice\/article_863bba62-8387-11ec-ab26-63ae4d94c45d.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">his preferred candidate<\/a>, and Fry shot up in the polls. According to another <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetrafalgargroup.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/SC07-GOP-Primary-Poll-Report-0601.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trafalgar Group poll<\/a>, also conducted May 26-29, Fry entered the home stretch with 42 percent support to Rice\u2019s 25 percent.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">With other candidates like self-funder Ken Richardson still earning a decent share of the vote, however, it looks very possible that no one will win a majority on Tuesday. If that happens, the top two finishers \u2014 likely to be Fry and Rice \u2014 will head to a runoff on June 28. But given the size of the anti-incumbent vote, Rice is probably cooked either way.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ad-InContent\" class=\"ad-incontent\" data-defer=\"none\"><\/div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1422\" height=\"948\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240727010-711.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-336696\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240727010-711.jpg?w=712 1x, https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240727010-711.jpg?w=1424 2x\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240727010-711.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240727010-711.jpg?w=712 1x, https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240727010-711.jpg?w=1424 2x\" \/><figcaption>Could Republican congressional candidate Mayra Flores flip Texas\u2019s 34th District red?<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><strong>Texas\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\"><strong>Races to watch: <\/strong>34th Congressional District\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\"><strong>Polls close: <\/strong>8 p.m. Eastern<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Texas\u2019s primaries <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/live-blog\/texas-election-biden-state-of-the-union\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">were on March 1<\/a> with its <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/11-primaries-to-watch-in-alabama-arkansas-minnesota-and-texas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">runoff elections<\/a> on May 24, but there\u2019s one more election on our radar in the Lone Star State before this November\u2019s general election: the special election in the <strong>34th District<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/2022\/03\/24\/filemon-vela-resign\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">following the resignation<\/a> of Democratic Rep. Filemon Vela. <\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">The winner of Tuesday\u2019s special election will finish Vela\u2019s truncated term, which ends in January. But Republicans in the state are eager to go ahead and flip the 34th District as they attempt to make inroads in South Texas \u2014 along with <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/why-democratic-gains-in-texass-big-metro-areas-could-outweigh-republican-success-in-south-texas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">several other border-area seats<\/a> in the fall. Republican gains in the 34th might be short-lived, though, because while Tuesday\u2019s election will happen under the previous, more competitive boundaries of the 34th District \u2014 which has a partisan lean of D+5 \u2014 the November election, which will decide who succeeds Vela for a full term in Congress, will be held under new district boundaries that are much more favorable to Democrats \u2014 its boundaries have a partisan lean of D+17. <\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">On the Republican side, the biggest name in the four-person field is Mayra Flores, the current GOP nominee for the seat in the November general election. Not only does Flores have the backing of Texas Gov. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gregabbott.com\/governor-greg-abbott-endorses-mayra-flores-for-congressional-district-34\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Greg Abbott<\/a>, but she also has the support of the <a href=\"https:\/\/congressionalleadershipfund.org\/trailblazers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Congressional Leadership Fund<\/a>, a super PAC close to House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy. There haven\u2019t been many public polls of the race, but a new <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/5u8kf9ryfiwrb7i\/RRH%20Elections%20TX-34%20Poll%20Release.pdf?dl=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">RRH Elections\/Poll Project USA<\/a> poll gave Flores a 9-point edge over her nearest opponent, former Cameron County Commissioner Dan Sanchez, a Democrat. According to the survey, Flores led among likely or completed voters with 43 percent support, while Sanchez netted 34 percent. Another internal party poll conducted in late April by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nrcc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/TX-CD-34_Memo.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ragnar Research Partners for Flores<\/a> and the National Republican Congressional Committee similarly gave Flores an edge over Sanchez, 24 percent support to 19 percent. In that survey, Democrat Rene Coronado, a civil service director, came in third, at 9 percent, while Republican Juana Cantu-Cabrera, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2022\/03\/01\/us\/elections\/results-texas-us-house-district-34.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">one of Flores\u2019s opponents<\/a> in the March primary, earned 7 percent. Forty-one percent of voters, however, were still undecided. And as far as outside spending goes, Flores has an edge here, too. She and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PatrickSvitek\/status\/1534518699805261825\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">her allies<\/a> have <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PatrickSvitek\/status\/1529849232521322503\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poured hundreds of thousands<\/a> of dollars and resources into TV ads, and as of May 25, Flores significantly outraised Sanchez. Sanchez does, though, have a little bit more cash on hand (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/committee\/C00811901\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$104,017<\/a>) than Flores (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/committee\/C00768994\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$100,387<\/a>).<\/p>\n<div id=\"ad-incontentTeads2\" class=\"ad-incontentteads2\" data-defer=\"none\"><\/div>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">This is a historically Democratic seat. Vela <a href=\"https:\/\/bioguide.congress.gov\/search\/bio\/V000132\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">represented the district since 2013<\/a>, and Democratic presidential candidates handily beat Republicans in the district in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailykos.com\/stories\/2021\/3\/23\/1220127\/-Daily-Kos-Elections-statewide-election-results-by-congressional-and-legislative-districts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2012 and 2016<\/a>. And in 2020, President Biden still won the district by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailykos.com\/stories\/2012\/11\/19\/1163009\/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-the-2012-2008-elections\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">4 percentage points<\/a>. But the Republican offensive has caught Democrats off guard in an area of the state <a href=\"https:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/2020\/11\/04\/joe-biden-texas-border-democrats\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">they have long dominated<\/a>. Part of the struggle for Democrats here is that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee didn\u2019t get involved in the race <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PatrickSvitek\/status\/1533090469504245761?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">until recently<\/a>, when it launched a $100,000 ad buy in partnership with Sanchez\u2019s campaign.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">It seems as if Democrats\u2019 strategy has been to avoid investing heavily in this race and instead wait until the fall. It\u2019s also worth noting that Sanchez <em>isn\u2019t<\/em> running to fill Vela\u2019s full term; instead, it\u2019s Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez \u2014 who opted to not run in Tuesday\u2019s special election \u2014 who <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2022\/03\/01\/us\/elections\/results-texas-us-house-district-34.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sailed through the March 1 primary<\/a> and will be the party\u2019s nominee against Flores this fall. So, even if Sanchez were to<em> <\/em>win, he\u2019d hold the seat only until January. National Democrats, meanwhile, have maintained that Gonzalez will easily triumph in November, especially since that race will take place under district lines that are more favorable to Democrats. <\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Of course, though, another possible wrinkle in Tuesday\u2019s race is that the special election could<em> <\/em>go to a runoff given the presence of Coronado and Cantu-Cabrera, two lesser-known candidates, on the ballot; if no candidate receives a majority of the vote, the top two vote-getters go head-to-head later this year. Still, Sanchez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/2022\/06\/06\/republicans-south-texas-special-election-tx-34\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">has expressed confidence<\/a> that his party can win the seat outright.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1422\" height=\"948\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240964086-711.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-336695\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240964086-711.jpg?w=712 1x, https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240964086-711.jpg?w=1424 2x\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240964086-711.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240964086-711.jpg?w=712 1x, https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/GettyImages-1240964086-711.jpg?w=1424 2x\" \/><figcaption>Former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt is the front-runner in Nevada\u2019s Republican primary for U.S. Senate. <\/p>\n<p class=\"photo-credit credits\">Bill Clark \/ CQ-Roll Call, Inc \/ Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><strong>Nevada<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\"><strong>Races to watch:<\/strong> U.S. Senate; 1st, 3rd and 4th congressional districts; governor; attorney general; secretary of state<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\"><strong>Polls close:<\/strong> 10 p.m. Eastern<\/p>\n<div id=\"ad-incontentTeads3\" class=\"ad-incontentteads3\" data-defer=\"none\"><\/div>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto is one of the most vulnerable politicians in the country this year, and eight Republicans are running for <strong>U.S. Senate<\/strong> in hopes of replacing her. The front-runner is former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt, who boasts endorsements from both <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reviewjournal.com\/news\/politics-and-government\/nevada\/donald-trump-endorses-ex-nevada-ag-adam-laxalt-for-senate-2424479\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.clubforgrowth.org\/elections\/pac-endorsed-candidates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Club for Growth<\/a>, an anti-government-spending outside group that has a lot of influence in Republican primaries. Laxalt was a co-chair of Trump\u2019s 2020 campaign in Nevada and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nevadacurrent.com\/2021\/11\/08\/adam-laxalt-trumpism-and-the-big-lie-a-chronology\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">announced a lawsuit<\/a> two days after the election, falsely alleging that thousands of improper votes had been cast in Nevada.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">However, Army veteran Sam Brown has run a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rgj.com\/story\/news\/2022\/05\/10\/republican-candidate-sam-brown-nevada-senate-race-primary-election-2022\/7374118001\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">stunningly effective grassroots campaign<\/a> that has contrasted his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/2022-election\/outsider-nevadas-gop-senate-primary-surges-rattling-trumps-pick-rcna31225\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">outsider status<\/a> with Laxalt\u2019s establishment roots. (Laxalt is the grandson of former Nevada Gov. and Sen. Paul Laxalt.) Brown has also somehow tried to position himself as even Trumpier than Laxalt, too, arguing that Laxalt was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nevadacurrent.com\/2022\/05\/09\/in-an-odd-early-morning-debate-brown-says-laxalts-efforts-to-save-trump-were-too-late\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">not aggressive <em>enough<\/em><\/a> in trying to stop alleged voter fraud. As of May 25, Brown has raised more than $2 million from small donors and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/S2NV00308\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">almost $4 million<\/a> in total, which he has used to outspend Laxalt on TV and radio ads through June 1. A <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/poll-laxalt-has-a-14-point-lead-over-brown-in-week-before-election-day\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">June 6-7 poll<\/a> from OH Predictive Insights\/the Nevada Independent still gave Laxalt a 48 percent to 34 percent lead among likely voters, but that represented a tightening of the race since <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/poll-cortez-masto-leads-laxalt-in-senate-race-but-biden-disapproval-foreboding\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">January<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Even more Republicans \u2014 15! \u2014 are vying for the right to take on Democratic incumbent Steve Sisolak in the race for <strong>governor<\/strong>. When former Sen. Dean Heller <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/dean-heller-launches-bid-for-governor-attempts-political-comeback-three-years-after-senate-loss\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">jumped into the race<\/a> last year, he <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/independent-poll-sisolak-cortez-masto-hold-slim-leads-over-likely-gop-opponents\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">looked like the favorite<\/a> based on his political experience (he didn\u2019t lose a single election from 1990 until 2018) and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/elections\/dean-heller-running-governor-nevada-refuses-say-joe-biden-won-n1279869\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">born-again Trumpism<\/a>. But Heller <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/sisolak-raises-record-4-5-million-in-2021-has-more-cash-than-all-gop-foes-combined\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">struggled with fundraising<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rgj.com\/story\/news\/politics\/2022\/05\/05\/gop-ex-u-s-senator-dean-heller-lags-race-nevada-governor\/7403033001\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">failed to make voters forget his moderate past<\/a>. By January 2022, a new front-runner <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/poll-sisolak-leads-governor-candidates-lombardo-tops-gop-field\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">had emerged<\/a>: Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Ironically, Lombardo is not as Trumpist as Heller on issues like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.8newsnow.com\/news\/local-news\/immigration-proves-to-be-flashpoint-between-lombardo-other-gop-candidates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">immigration<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rgj.com\/story\/news\/politics\/2021\/07\/01\/southern-nevada-sheriff-looks-north-first-bid-governors-office\/7818738002\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2020 election<\/a> (when asked if it was fair, he said he didn\u2019t have enough information to say), but Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5vegas.com\/2022\/04\/28\/trump-endorses-joe-lombardo-governor-nevada\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">endorsed him anyway<\/a> in late April, after it became clear he was leading. Despite that vote of confidence, however, Lombardo doesn\u2019t seem to be running away with the nomination. The aforementioned <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/poll-lombardo-maintains-gop-governor-primary-lead-lg-and-sos-races-remain-close\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">OH Predictive Insights\/Nevada Independent poll<\/a> gave him just 34 percent, little changed from January. But instead of Heller (who took just 10 percent), his closest competitor was Trump true believer Joey Gilbert, an attorney and former professional boxer who <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nevadacurrent.com\/2022\/01\/06\/gubernatorial-hopeful-joey-gilbert-no-regrets-about-jan-6\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">attended the Jan. 6 riot<\/a>. Gilbert received 21 percent support in the poll.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Republicans also face a choice of whom to nominate in Nevada\u2019s three competitive, Democratic-held U.S. House seats. Thanks to <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/redistricting-2022-maps\/nevada\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">redistricting<\/a>, that list now includes the <strong>1st District<\/strong>, which went from a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of D+22 to just D+4 in an attempt to <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/videos\/democrats-gamble-with-their-nevada-gerrymander\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">shore up the other Democratic seats<\/a>. Eight Republicans are <a href=\"https:\/\/lasvegassun.com\/news\/2022\/jun\/10\/scrum-of-challengers-jockey-to-face-titus-in-nevad\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">fighting for the nomination<\/a>, and without any public polls of the primary, it\u2019s hard to say who\u2019s favored.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">One strong contender could be Carolina Serrano, who led the Trump campaign\u2019s Hispanic outreach efforts in Las Vegas in 2020. In addition to her campaign experience, Serrano has raised the most money as of May 25 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H2NV04094\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$568,123<\/a>) and has Laxalt\u2019s endorsement. But Army veteran Mark Robertson has raised nearly as much (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H2NV03153\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$542,621<\/a>) and has the backing of diehard Arizona conservative Rep. Andy Biggs. Pro-Israel activist David Brog has also raised a respectable <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H2NV01298\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$381,728<\/a>, and former Rep. Cresent Hardy could draw support from those looking for an experienced hand (though he has somehow raised just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H8NV04059\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$9,000<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Whoever wins will face Democratic Rep. Dina Titus in November \u2026 probably. Titus <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/titus-facing-hardest-race-in-recent-years-to-retain-seat-in-newly-competitive-district\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">faces a challenge in the Democratic primary<\/a> from progressive activist Amy Vilela, who has been endorsed by <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/bernie-sanders-endorses-vilela-in-house-primary-against-incumbent-titus\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sen. Bernie Sanders<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/ourrevolution.com\/endorsements\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Our Revolution<\/a>. It\u2019s rare, of course, for an incumbent to <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/ed-markey-won-but-its-still-been-a-rough-year-for-incumbents\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lose in a primary<\/a>, but there are a couple reasons to think this could be a sleeper race. First, because of how drastically Nevada\u2019s congressional map was redrawn, only 52 percent of people in the new 1st District are Titus\u2019s current constituents, meaning she may not get the full benefits of incumbency. Also, despite getting outraised <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H8NV03036\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$1.3 million<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H2NV01264\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$490,568<\/a>, Vilela has actually spent more money than Titus ($437,195 to $329,210) as of May 25, suggesting Titus may not be taking the challenge seriously. (That said, it\u2019s possible that Titus has spent a lot more since then.) If Vilela does pull off an upset, though, it could make it more challenging for Democrats to hold this newly competitive seat in the current, <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/polls\/generic-ballot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Republican-leaning<\/a> political environment.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Republicans also have their eye on defeating Democratic Rep. Susie Lee in the <strong>3rd District<\/strong>, with its partisan lean of only D+2. Attorney April Becker looks like the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nevadacurrent.com\/2022\/05\/09\/attorney-leads-in-fundraising-endorsements-in-cd3-republican-primary\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cream of a five-candidate crop<\/a>: She has raised <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H2NV03161\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$1.2 million<\/a> and has a ton of institutional support from the <a href=\"https:\/\/nrcc.org\/candidates\/april-becker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">National Republican Congressional Committee<\/a>, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and the Nevada Republican Party. Groups that aim to elect more Republican women to Congress, such as <a href=\"http:\/\/maggieslist.org\/candidates\/2022-candidates\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Maggie\u2019s List<\/a> and Rep. Elise Stefanik\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/elevate-pac.com\/our-candidates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">E-PAC<\/a>, are also <a href=\"https:\/\/viewpac.org\/who-we-support\/#NEVADA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">backing her<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/winningforwomen.com\/2022-candidates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the hilt<\/a>. However, two men \u2014 engineer John Kovacs and Army veteran Noah Malgeri \u2014 have also raised a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/elections\/house\/NV\/03\/2022\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">respectable sum of money<\/a> for their campaigns and can\u2019t be counted out.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Finally, three candidates are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reviewjournal.com\/news\/politics-and-government\/nevada\/trio-of-republicans-target-horsford-in-4th-district-2577111\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">seeking the Republican nomination<\/a> to take on Democratic Rep. Steven Horsford in the <strong>4th District<\/strong>, which is now Nevada\u2019s bluest House seat, at D+5. Assemblywoman Annie Black is probably Democrats\u2019 dream opponent; she has <a href=\"https:\/\/anniefornevada.com\/anniegrams\/the-real-big-lie-is-that-biden-won-fair-and-square\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">vociferously argued<\/a> that the 2020 election was stolen, and she <a href=\"https:\/\/lasvegassun.com\/news\/2021\/jan\/09\/democratic-group-wants-nevada-lawmaker-who-cheered\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">attended the Jan. 6 riot<\/a> outside the Capitol (but also condemned those who actually broke into the building). However, she has raised only about half as much money as Air Force veteran Sam Peters, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H2NV04128\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$360,755<\/a> versus <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fec.gov\/data\/candidate\/H0NV04023\/?cycle=2022&#038;election_full=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$716,382<\/a>, respectively. Peters, though, is no moderate; he has said he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2021\/06\/07\/us\/politics\/republican-election-fraud-claims.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">would not have voted to certify<\/a> the results of the 2020 election.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">With Republican <strong>Secretary of State<\/strong> Barbara Cegavske term-limited, Nevadans will also elect a new top election official this year \u2014 an extremely important post given Nevada\u2019s status as a key swing state. And most of the candidates in the Republican primary are at least sympathetic to \u2014 if not fully convinced by \u2014 Trump\u2019s false belief that the <a href=\"https:\/\/lasvegassun.com\/news\/2022\/jun\/09\/gop-secretary-of-state-candidates-largely-cling-to\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2020 election was stolen<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">That includes the two front-runners, former Assemblyman Jim Marchant and former state Sen. Jesse Haw, who were tied for first place in the <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1CTiQCmW_nxI108fJ9qg6VzVm_pGvctHi\/edit#gid=1338850840\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">most recent poll<\/a> of the race. However, Marchant has been much more assertive about his antidemocratic convictions. After losing a congressional race in 2020, Marchant <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/judge-rejects-marchant-request-for-new-election-in-congressional-race-over-voter-fraud-allegations\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sued for a rerun of the election<\/a>, claiming he was a victim of fraud. \u201cYour vote hasn\u2019t counted for decades,\u201d he <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/in-debates-secretary-of-state-candidates-cast-wildly-different-visions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">told voters at a February debate<\/a>. \u201cYou haven\u2019t elected anybody. The people that are in office have been selected. You haven\u2019t had a choice.\u201d Marchant says he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/2022-election\/candidates-say-trump-won-2020now-running-oversee-future-elections-rcna26241\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">would not have certified the 2020 election<\/a> in Nevada if he had been secretary of state at the time, and he wants to ban the use of electronic voting machines, mail voting and early voting.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">By contrast, Haw, who has been blanketing the state with <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/haw_jesse\/status\/1519346263031894016?s=20&#038;t=rGq0l2QaQq7Cm2tfa-sbYQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">TV ads<\/a> thanks to his significant financial advantage over his opponents, has been more evasive. He <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/elections-and-big-lie-come-to-the-fore-in-secretary-of-state-primaries\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">told the Nevada Independent<\/a> that the 2020 election \u201chad a lot of shenanigans and potential fraud\u201d but has focused mostly on besmirching Nevada\u2019s liberal election laws, such as a new regulation allowing non-family members to return other people\u2019s absentee ballots.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/dc.medill.northwestern.edu\/blog\/2022\/05\/24\/nevada-sos-race\/#sthash.92Cx5p68.cSjmsZ6M.dpbs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">only Republican<\/a> who has publicly acknowledged that President Biden legitimately won the election is Sparks City Councilman Kristopher Dahir, but he took only 3 percent in the poll. The winner of the GOP primary will face attorney Cisco Aguilar, the only Democrat in the running, in November.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ornamental-rule\">\n<hr \/>\n<p><span><\/span><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"video-title\">Meet the Nevada GOP candidates who support Trump\u2019s \u2018big lie\u2019 | FiveThirtyEight<\/h3>\n<div class=\"video-placeholder videoplayer abc\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"video-footer\">\n<div class=\"video-footer-links\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/videos\/\">All Videos<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/FiveThirtyEight\" rel=\"noopener\">YouTube<\/a><\/div>\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Finally, two Republicans are also running in hopes of unseating Democratic <strong>Attorney General<\/strong> Aaron Ford, the state\u2019s chief law-enforcement officer. Former Nevada Cannabis Association President Tisha Black\u2019s campaign is being run by consultants with <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/gop-primary-for-nevadas-top-cop-pits-establishment-backed-lawyer-against-conservative-firebrand\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ties to the Republican establishment<\/a>, but she faces a spirited challenge from conservative activist Sigal Chattah.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Chattah says she decided to run for attorney general because of her belief that Nevada\u2019s COVID-19 restrictions were unconstitutional, and her <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=SwwGGjk2XUs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">provocative rhetoric<\/a> on and off the campaign trail has sometimes gotten her in trouble. (Most notably, a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reviewjournal.com\/news\/politics-and-government\/nevada\/ag-candidate-in-feud-with-former-ally-says-text-not-racist-leaked-to-damage-her-2528181\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">text message was leaked<\/a> in which she said Ford, who is Black, \u201cshould be hanging from a [expletive] crane.\u201d) She also says she wants to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nevadacurrent.com\/2022\/05\/20\/chattah-black-spar-in-republican-ag-primary\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">prosecute women who have abortions<\/a>, though she has acknowledged that abortion is legally protected in Nevada and that she is obligated to uphold the law.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Both Black and Chattah have also pledged to use the power of their office to prosecute voter fraud, which they believe is <a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Politics\/wireStory\/state-ag-races-litmus-test-gop-election-claims-82706738\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">more common than it really is<\/a>. (\u201cOur democracy, I believe, is in question,\u201d Black told the <a href=\"https:\/\/thenevadaindependent.com\/article\/gop-primary-for-nevadas-top-cop-pits-establishment-backed-lawyer-against-conservative-firebrand\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nevada Independent<\/a>.) The <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1i1i21SmRkaavn80r1vqV89tVJcUY5JdO\/edit#gid=1473190800\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">only poll of the primary<\/a>, conducted back in early May by OH Predictive Insights\/the Nevada Independent, found a toss-up race, with the two candidates virtually tied and a plurality of voters undecided.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ornamental-rule\">\n<hr \/>\n<p><span><\/span><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"video-title\">Nevada Democrats are vulnerable this fall | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast<\/h3>\n<div class=\"video-placeholder videoplayer abc\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"video-footer\">\n<div class=\"video-footer-links\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/videos\/\">All Videos<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/FiveThirtyEight\" rel=\"noopener\">YouTube<\/a><\/div>\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ornamental-rule\">\n<hr \/>\n<p><span><\/span><\/div>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">That\u2019s all she wrote for now, but our primary coverage will continue when the results start to roll in on Tuesday night. Join us at 7 p.m. Eastern for our <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/live-blog\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">live blog<\/a>!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2022 Election 10 Elections To Watch Today  By Nathaniel Rakich and Alex Samuels  Jun. 14, 2022, at 6:00 AM<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1894336,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1515505","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cndimages.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/IMG_2758-scaled-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1515505","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1515505"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1515505\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1894336"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1515505"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1515505"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1515505"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}