{"id":1501842,"date":"2022-06-02T20:29:48","date_gmt":"2022-06-03T00:29:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1501842"},"modified":"2022-06-02T20:29:50","modified_gmt":"2022-06-03T00:29:50","slug":"republican-candidate-holds-lead-in-traditionally-blue-oregon-governors-race-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/republican-candidate-holds-lead-in-traditionally-blue-oregon-governors-race-poll\/","title":{"rendered":"Republican Candidate Holds Lead In Traditionally Blue Oregon Governor\u2019s Race: Poll"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">22<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Frepublican-candidate-holds-lead-in-traditionally-blue-oregon-governors-race-poll%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1501842&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>A new poll shows that the Republican candidate for governor in the traditionally deep-blue state of Oregon holds a slight lead in the upcoming election.<\/p>\n<p>The poll of 516 likely voters, conducted between May 25-27 by Oregon-based polling firm <a href=\"https:\/\/oregoncatalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/OR-STATE_Governor_6.1.22_TOPLINE.pdf\">Nelson Research<\/a>, found that former Oregon House Minority Leader Christine Drazan, the Republican nominee in the governor\u2019s race, holds a 2-point advantage, 29.5%-27.5%, over Democratic nominee and former Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives Tina Kotek. Independent candidate Betsy Johnson, a former Democratic State Senator running as a non-party affiliated candidate, came in third with 19.4% of the vote. The remaining 23.6% of voters were undecided.<\/p>\n<p>Drazan\u2019s lead is currently within the poll\u2019s 4-point margin of error, but the poll\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/oregoncatalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/OR-STATE_Governor_6.1.22_CROSSTAB.pdf\">crosstabs<\/a> show that Drazan has several factors working in her favor. Drazan garners more support from her own party than Kotek does: 68.2% of Republicans supported Drazan, while 57% of Democrats supported Kotek. Drazan garnered more support from Independents as well: 19.1% of independents backed Drazan, while 14.7% backed Kotek. Johnson siphoned off a significant chunk of voters from both parties, but took more votes away from Kotek than Drazan: 18.4% of Democrats backed Johnson, compared to just 13.9% of Republicans.<\/p>\n<p>The poll also presented some findings that may spell trouble for Democrats in other races in the state in 2022. A plurality of the voters surveyed, 40.1%, identified as Democrats, while 33.5% identified as Republicans, and 26.4% identified as Independents or non-affiliated voters. Despite those margins, Drazan maintains the edge, and Republicans also hold a 1-point advantage in the generic ballot, 40.0%-39.0%.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans also hold a slight advantage in voters who are more likely to vote for them in November: 31.2% of respondents said they were \u201cstrongly\u201d likely to vote for a Democratic candidate in the general election, while 35.9% of respondents were strongly likely to vote for a Republican. Republicans also held a strong advantage among Independents, the poll found.<\/p>\n<p>In the generic ballot, Independents favored Republicans by a nearly 10-point margin, 33.1%-23.6%. Among voters who were \u201cstrongly likely\u201d to support a party, Republicans held an even bigger advantage: 25.7% of Independents said they were \u201cstrongly likely\u201d to support a Republican candidate, while just 14% said they were \u201cstrongly likely\u201d to back a Democrat.<\/p>\n<p>Drazan is basing her campaign on fixing the issues brought on by Democratic leadership, including outgoing governor Kate Brown, as well as Kotek. Drazan\u2019s priority issues include reversing Brown\u2019s COVID-19 mandates, as well as addressing the ongoing crises of crime and homelessness in the Beaver State. She also lists education, election integrity, the cost of living, gun rights, and pro-life as other key issues on her <a href=\"https:\/\/www.christinefororegon.com\/issues\/\">website<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Oregon has not elected a Republican governor since 1982, but recent political trends might favor Republicans in 2022. Kate Brown won a special election in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/elections\/2016\/results\/oregon\">2016<\/a> by just 7.2 points, then won election to a full term in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2018\/11\/06\/us\/elections\/results-oregon-elections.html\">2018<\/a> by just 6.4 points. President Joe Biden\u2019s approval rating is underwater by 5 points, 46% disapprove-41% approve, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/civiqs.com\/results\/approve_president_biden?uncertainty=true&#038;annotations=true&#038;zoomIn=true&#038;map=true\">Civiqs<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>On top of that, the Cook Political Report\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cookpolitical.com\/analysis\/house\/house-overview\/house-rating-changes-eight-races-move-republicans-direction\">Dave Wasserman<\/a> notes that, at least at the Congressional level, \u201cthe political environment has deteriorated for Democrats\u201d so much that \u201cno Democrat in a single-digit Biden (or Trump-won) district is secure, and even some seats Biden carried by double-digit margins in 2020 could come into play this fall.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new poll shows that the Republican candidate for governor in the traditionally deep-blue state of Oregon holds a slight lead in the upcoming election. The poll of 516 likely voters, conducted between May 25-27 by Oregon-based polling firm Nelson Research, found that former Oregon House Minority Leader Christine Drazan, the Republican nominee in the &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":189,"featured_media":1483639,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1501842","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1501842","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/189"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1501842"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1501842\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1483639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1501842"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1501842"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1501842"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}