{"id":1500128,"date":"2022-06-01T16:15:16","date_gmt":"2022-06-01T20:15:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1500128"},"modified":"2022-06-01T16:15:29","modified_gmt":"2022-06-01T20:15:29","slug":"experts-sound-the-alarm-that-census-bureaus-serious-errors-may-impact-2024-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/experts-sound-the-alarm-that-census-bureaus-serious-errors-may-impact-2024-election\/","title":{"rendered":"Experts Sound The Alarm That Census Bureau\u2019s Serious Errors May Impact 2024 Election"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fexperts-sound-the-alarm-that-census-bureaus-serious-errors-may-impact-2024-election%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1500128&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Serious errors committed by the Census Bureau may end up impacting the 2024 election, experts warn.<\/p>\n<p>A Census Bureau study <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/newsroom\/press-releases\/2022\/pes-2020-undercount-overcount-by-state.html\">published in late May<\/a> shows that Republican-leaning states were under-counted by statistically significant margins, while Democrat-leaning states were over-counted by statistically significant margins.\u00a0The census, mandated every 10 years, was conducted during the pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/who-rigged-the-census-republican-states-democrats-population-undercount-overcount-biden-administration-11653084199\">highlighted<\/a> the undercounting in a late May piece, writing, \u201cRemember how Democrats accused the Trump administration of trying to rig the 2020 Census? Now a Census Bureau study reveals that Republican-leaning states may have been hurt by mistaken under-counts.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>States that had large over-counts included Hawaii, Delaware, Rhode Island, Minnesota, New York, Utah, Massachusetts, and Ohio, the WSJ noted, and states that under-counted include Arkansas, Tennessee, Mississippi, Florida, Illinois, and Texas.<\/p>\n<p>In Florida, for example, two additional congressional seats <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thenextmiami.com\/census-bureau-says-it-severely-undercounted-florida-in-2020\/\">were expected to be added<\/a> following the 2020 census. The state only gained one, but if the census had been properly counted, it would have gained two.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTexas was under-counted by about 570,000 people while New York was over-counted by 695,000,\u201d The Wall Street Journal noted, highlighting that \u201cthe inaccuracies may have cost Florida and Texas an additional House seat and given Rhode Island and Minnesota one they shouldn\u2019t have received.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNew York might have also lost another House seat if the Census were more accurate,\u201d the board continued. \u201cSo how did the bureau get the counts so wrong? The bureau blames the pandemic.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The 2024 election will already be a close race \u2014 \u201cperhaps the closest\u201d in history, <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/opinion\/campaign\/3504546-census-blunder-may-tip-2024-to-democrats\/\">Kristin Tate writes for The Hill<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLast week\u2019s Census Bureau announcement of serious errors will impact the next decade\u2019s congressional apportionment and delegations, and play a crucial role in the presidential race,\u201d Tate said. \u201cGiven the nature of the mistakes, Democrats could hang onto the presidency under particularly controversial circumstances due to publicly-acknowledged errors.\u201d<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Census Bureau acknowledged that 14 states had significant miscounts in the 2020 census. See if you notice a pattern here: Among the overcounted states are Hawaii, Delaware, Rhode Island, Minnesota, New York and Massachusetts. <\/p>\n<p>My new <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thehill?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@thehill<\/a>: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/o5OKIn4gUW\">https:\/\/t.co\/o5OKIn4gUW<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Kristin B. Tate (@KristinBTate) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KristinBTate\/status\/1532023073205108739?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 1, 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Tate notes that accurately counting every person in a nation is \u201ca logistical challenge, to be sure,\u201d but noted: \u201cit is difficult to understand how the Census Bureau missed more than 5 percent of the populations of Arkansas, Delaware and Hawaii.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The 2020 census resulted in \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www2.census.gov\/programs-surveys\/decennial\/2020\/data\/apportionment\/apportionment-2020-map01.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">significant changes<\/a>\u00a0to congressional seats apportioned to states,\u201d Tate said: North Carolina, Florida, Montana, Colorado, and Oregon each gained one congressional seat while Texas gained two, and New York, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, and California all lost one seat each.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSimply put, the revised figures show that (mostly) red states had even quicker relative population growth compared to the rest of the country \u2014 and especially compared to (mostly) blue states,\u201d she continued. \u201cIt is entirely possible that undercounted states could have gained at least one seat in Congress, while overcounted states may have lost at least one each.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Each lost or misplaced seat is \u201ccrucial,\u201d Tate emphasized, pointing to the census bureau\u2019s admission that it overcounted over\u00a0600,000 New Yorkers and undercounted almost as many in Texas.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLast year,\u201d she wrote, \u201cmedia coverage lamented that New York lost a member of Congress by being\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2021\/04\/26\/nyregion\/new-york-census-congress.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">89 residents short<\/a>. With the revised, accurate numbers, New York may have lost a second seat \u2014 had the corrected numbers been available earlier.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Sheldon H. Jacobson, director of the Institute for Computational Redistricting, <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/opinion\/campaign\/3497868-census-bureau-miscounts-could-have-midterm-consequences\/\">notes<\/a> that one extra or one fewer congressional seat can spell the difference between winning \u2014 or losing \u2014 control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 midterms.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWith both Florida and Texas Republican gerrymandered states, those two extra seats would have likely added to their House seats, increasing the likelihood of Republicans regaining control in the upcoming midterms,\u201d he writes.<\/p>\n<p>And the mistake cannot be corrected ahead of the midterms \u2014 or even 2024 presidential election, according to Tate.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Supreme Court considered whether revised, more accurate numbers could be used for reapportionment in 1999 and determined that such differences\u00a0could not be considered\u00a0in congressional seat counts,\u201d she said. \u201cThe inaccurate 2020 figures will stand.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Jacobson agreed, writing, \u201cNothing can be done to correct the consequences of population undercounts or overcounts on apportionment.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRepublicans [appear] to have drawn the short end of the apportionment stick this time, although their history of\u00a0gerrymandering dominance\u00a0could more than compensate for it in the November midterms,\u201d he added. \u201cWhether that\u00a0plays out at the ballot box\u00a0remains to be seen.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Tate warned that the errors run the risk of undermining trust in the Census Bureau and the election, since \u201calmost every error benefited Democrats.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe only potential life-preserver for the GOP is that the current Supreme Court could consider a challenge based on the accurate figure,\u201d she said. \u201cAs of now, no challenge exists \u2014 and the time to file one is rapidly running out.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Census Bureau<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Serious errors committed by the Census Bureau may end up impacting the 2024 election, experts warn. A Census Bureau study published in late May shows that Republican-leaning states were under-counted by statistically significant margins, while Democrat-leaning states were over-counted by statistically significant margins.\u00a0The census, mandated every 10 years, was conducted during the pandemic. The Wall &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":496,"featured_media":1500159,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1500128","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1500128","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/496"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1500128"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1500128\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1500159"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1500128"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1500128"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1500128"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}