{"id":1464802,"date":"2022-05-05T09:14:42","date_gmt":"2022-05-05T13:14:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1464802"},"modified":"2022-05-05T09:14:46","modified_gmt":"2022-05-05T13:14:46","slug":"democrats-worry-as-fundraising-fails-to-surge-after-scotus-leak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-worry-as-fundraising-fails-to-surge-after-scotus-leak\/","title":{"rendered":"Democrats Worry as Fundraising Fails to Surge After SCOTUS Leak"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">20<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fdemocrats-worry-as-fundraising-fails-to-surge-after-scotus-leak%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1464802&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Is it too apples-and-oranges to compare their online haul yesterday to their haul the day after Ginsburg died in September 2020? That was six weeks before a presidential election, at a moment of high civic engagement when liberals were already shelling out money hand over fist to try to push Trump and the GOP out of power.<\/p>\n<p>Whereas yesterday was just a spring day, six months out from a midterm election, when the news was dominated by a leak that may or may not portend the imminent demise of Roe v. Wade.<\/p>\n<p>Look at it this way, I guess. Had there been a gigantic spike yesterday in donations, that would be a signal that Dem voters really have awakened suddenly from their midterm stupor and that the outcome this fall might newly be in doubt. As it is, there\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2022\/05\/04\/democrats-scotus-abortion-midterms-00029810\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">no such evidence<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The day after Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died, Democratic donors poured more than $30 million into Democratic campaigns and groups through ActBlue, shattering its own one-day fundraising records.<\/p>\n<p>In the 23 hours after POLITICO reported a draft Supreme Court opinion that would overturn Roe v. Wade, ActBlue took in just $9 million \u2014 <strong>just a small uptick from the days prior<\/strong>\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMidterm voters care about affordability first and foremost, and they are not people who are worried every single day about losing access to abortion,\u201d said Julie Roginsky, a Democratic strategist who began her career as a researcher at the abortion rights group EMILY\u2019s List. <strong>\u201cMy fear continues to be that sometimes we as Democrats run on things that we wish the voters cared about, rather than what the voters do care about.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Tell it <a href=\"https:\/\/theliberalpatriot.substack.com\/p\/the-democrats-common-sense-problem?s=r\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">to Ruy Teixeira<\/a>, Julie. Dem strategists interviewed by Politico broadly agreed with Roginsky\u2019s conclusion, that the end of Roe might goose turnout at the margins but certainly won\u2019t be enough in its own right to relieve the party of the burden of high inflation. (\u201cI just don\u2019t see how this isn\u2019t a bloodbath for Dems.\u201d) Some pointed to Terry McAuliffe\u2019s campaign last year in Virginia, which tried to spook suburban women into turning out for him by warning that abortion rights would be at risk if Glenn Youngkin were to be elected governor.<\/p>\n<p>That pitch fell short, although there may be an apples-and-oranges problem there too. It was one thing to yammer about abortion being banned last year when Roe was still the law of the land, it\u2019s another to do it this year after Roe has fallen. Democratic pollsters told Politico that it\u2019s hard to accurately poll this subject since some voters simply don\u2019t believe that Roe really might go. What happens when the decision is finally handed down and they have to face the new reality? Do the wallets \u2014 and votes \u2014 come out then?<\/p>\n<p>Senate Republicans are worried enough about the prospect to have spent most of yesterday <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2022\/05\/03\/politics\/republican-abortion-politics-midterms\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">focusing on the fact that Alito\u2019s draft was leaked<\/a>, not on the holding of his opinion. They want to let sleeping dogs lie as long as possible.<\/p>\n<p>Insofar as we can trust abortion polling right now, what do the polls say? There are two new ones this morning with good and bad news for both sides. The bad news for Republicans and good news for Dems is that a solid majority of Americans don\u2019t want to see Roe overturned. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2022\/05\/04\/poll-roe-v-wade-00029889\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Morning Consult<\/a> has it 28\/50 against while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/official-polls\/fox-news-poll-just-over-half-favor-banning-abortions-after-15-weeks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fox News<\/a> has it 27\/63. No wonder the Senate GOP doesn\u2019t want to do any victory dances.<\/p>\n<p>How many Americans wrongly believe, however, that overturning Roe means abortion will be banned nationally?<\/p>\n<p>What happens to the expected surge in Democratic voter enthusiasm once rank-and-file Dems realize that abortion will remain legal in the blue states where most of them are concentrated? Will the wind go out of the party\u2019s sails en route to the midterms?<\/p>\n<p>That brings us to the good news for Republicans the bad news for Dems in the polling. While it\u2019s true that Americans don\u2019t want Roe overturned \u2014 i.e. they want abortion to be legal at *some* point during pregnancy \u2014 they\u2019re willing to be much more restrictive in setting cut-off dates than the average Democrat is. From Fox:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s in line with Americans\u2019 views on abortion in numerous polls dating back many years. They oppose outright bans but support tightening regulations as pregnancy develops and the fetus begins to evolve into something more recognizable as a person. Morning Consult finds just 25 percent want abortion legal in all cases while a mere 11 percent want it illegal in all cases; in Fox\u2019s survey those numbers are nearly identical (27 and 11). The debate among most Americans is when to start limiting a woman\u2019s right to choose, not whether to limit it or to recognize it in the first place. Which explains why majorities continue to support the general holding of Roe.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s one more new poll to chew on:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">According to our latest poll conducted after the Supreme Court story broke, 51% of Americans say a decision to overturn Roe v. Wade would have no effect on whether they vote in the midterms.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vnbmz5tazf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/t.co\/vnbmz5tazf<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2CJsqpckQ2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/2CJsqpckQ2<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 YouGov America (@YouGovAmerica) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/YouGovAmerica\/status\/1521858497121554433?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">May 4, 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Again, that shows why the GOP is reluctant to do an end-zone dance over Alito\u2019s opinion. Those numbers don\u2019t mean that ending Roe would be an electoral game-changer, as I\u2019m sure most of the 47 percent who say they\u2019ll be more likely to vote were already preparing to turn out and vote Democratic. But it\u2019ll squeeze a few extra votes out, the same way that Democratic threats to regulate guns help the GOP to turn out some extra low-engagement voters. Some Americans don\u2019t take an interest in voting until their own rights are suddenly threatened.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ll leave you with Tim Ryan, the Democrats\u2019 new Senate nominee in Ohio, getting out of the box early in trying to find those extra votes.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\u201cJ.D. Vance and these other folks are telling a mom or a young woman that if she gets raped\u2026the government is going to make you bring that pregnancy to term. That\u2019s insane in a free society.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ohio Sen. candidate <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RepTimRyan?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">@RepTimRyan<\/a> (D) on SCOTUS draft opinion to overturn Roe v. Wade <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/72g1EbqNAn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/72g1EbqNAn<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 The Recount (@therecount) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/therecount\/status\/1521849146319294464?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">May 4, 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Is it too apples-and-oranges to compare their online haul yesterday to their haul the day after Ginsburg died in September 2020? That was six weeks before a presidential election, at<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":498,"featured_media":2315279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1464802","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1464802","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/498"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1464802"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1464802\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2315279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1464802"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1464802"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1464802"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}