{"id":1409256,"date":"2022-03-30T08:01:03","date_gmt":"2022-03-30T12:01:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1409256"},"modified":"2022-03-30T08:01:18","modified_gmt":"2022-03-30T12:01:18","slug":"america-shouldnt-go-to-war-for-ukraine-but-it-should-sell-ukraine-weapons","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/america-shouldnt-go-to-war-for-ukraine-but-it-should-sell-ukraine-weapons\/","title":{"rendered":"America Shouldn\u2019t Go To War For Ukraine, But It Should Sell Ukraine Weapons"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Famerica-shouldnt-go-to-war-for-ukraine-but-it-should-sell-ukraine-weapons%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=1409256&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>History, analogy, logic and morality are all useful in weighing policy decisions \u2014 including those involving national security and war. But while useful, these have their limitations. Regarding national security, the bottom line is, as Henry Kissinger once said, \u201cAmerica has no permanent friends or enemies \u2014 only interests.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Defining those interests and then balancing them with risks, considering tradeoffs, building public support to sustain policies: This is the hard part. Given America\u2019s nature, morality often informs our foreign policies, and sometimes drives them, yet our national interests should always have primacy.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Defying Expectations <\/h2>\n<p>In his <a href=\"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/2022\/03\/23\/the-u-s-should-have-no-part-in-fomenting-a-war-of-attrition-in-ukraine\/\">essay<\/a> on March 23, John Daniel Davidson said \u201ca protracted war of attrition is not in the American national interest, and that a U.S. strategy that enables and encourages such a war, in addition to the indifference it shows for the suffering of the Ukrainian people, is misbegotten in the extreme.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>How Davidson arrives at this conclusion is important. First, he acknowledges that the war \u201cseems to be entering a new phase\u201d \u2014 by which he means the Ukrainians are effectively resisting the Russian invasion of their nation. This comes as a surprise to much of the U.S. foreign policy establishment, including the CIA, which expected that Russia\u2019s military campaign to topple the Ukrainian government and install a puppet would be over in three days. To be fair, Russian President Vladimir Putin expected this as well.<\/p>\n<p>Now, with the war apparently transformed from a war of decisive maneuver into a war of attrition, Davidson suggests this doesn\u2019t mean an eventual end to the war via the collapse of Putin\u2019s rule, one way or the other. Rather, Davidson posits, \u201cA bloody war of attrition could drag on for months\u201d with the destruction of \u201cvast swathes of Ukraine,\u201d with Russia unlikely to \u201crun out of soldiers and war materiel anytime soon.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Davidson signals that America needs to reassess what role it is to play in this conflict, so long as it\u2019s not based on the \u201cneoconservative consensus in Washington.\u201d He then says that role appears to be to force the conflict into a \u201cprolonged war of attrition, or a western-backed insurgency inside Ukraine,\u201d which the Biden administration seems to see as preferable to a peace agreement. But it is important here to understand that many conservatives who are not foreign policy neoconservatives also believe it is in America\u2019s interest to help Ukraine stay in the fight.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, Davidson asserts that \u201cMoscow has gambled everything on this war,\u201d with Russia likely to draw \u201cmilitary forces from elsewhere \u201cto make up for casualties and equipment losses in Ukraine.\u201d He also cites the Russian use of \u201cadvanced weapons\u201d such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2022\/03\/22\/hypersonic-missiles-why-would-russia-use-the-kinzhal-in-ukraine.html\">hypersonic missiles<\/a> while suggesting that the \u201cspecter of nuclear weapons\u201d remains on the table.<\/p>\n<h2>A Crucial Debate on the Right<\/h2>\n<p>There\u2019s a lot to unpack here and doing so is important for our national debate, especially for the vitally needed reassessment of conservative foreign policy in the post-Afghanistan, post-Iraq, post-Arab Spring interventionist era. If conservatives can generally agree now that, regardless of the initial rationale for going into Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, and Syria, staying there, and in some cases, attempting to introduce democracy and rule-of-law in ancient, tribal lands, was a bloody, costly fool\u2019s errand.<\/p>\n<p>For the record, I have consistently warned against American interventions and nation-building for more than 30 years. I agree with John Quincy Adams that America \u201cgoes not abroad, in search of monsters to destroy. She is the well-wisher to the freedom and independence of all. She is the champion and vindicator only of her own.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Many conservatives have maintained since the end of the Cold War that it is in the U.S. national interest to stay focused on existential threats and that only nations with the military-industrial means to support conventional armies and deploy nuclear weapons can truly threaten America\u2019s national existence. Thus, China and Russia are major threats \u2014 Libya and Afghanistan aren\u2019t.<\/p>\n<p>Returning to Ukraine, many, myself included, have advocated for sending the Ukrainian defenders military equipment they can use to better defend themselves, such as the MiG-29 fighters and S-300 long-range antiaircraft missile systems they already know how to use.<\/p>\n<p>Davidson, however, <a href=\"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/2022\/03\/11\/unlike-past-conflicts-with-russia-escalation-in-ukraine-risks-pulling-the-west-into-war\/\">opposes such weapons transfers<\/a>, arguing that Ukraine is a core Russian interest with Davidson <a href=\"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/2022\/03\/18\/the-u-s-is-mindlessly-marching-toward-war-with-russia\/\">repeatedly<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/2022\/03\/01\/reckless-neocons-want-escalation-with-russia-in-order-to-regain-control-of-the-gop\/\">referencing<\/a> the possibility of Putin using nuclear weapons or starting a war with NATO if we \u201cescalate\u201d the war.<\/p>\n<p>There are two problems with this approach, which parallels the Biden administration\u2019s conduct in vetoing the transfer of Polish MiG-29s to Ukraine. First, it allows Putin to determine what is escalatory. Second, it risks fulfilling Davidson\u2019s fear of \u201ca bloody war of attrition\u201d by denying Ukraine the equipment needed to preserve its national sovereignty while minimizing its own casualties.<\/p>\n<p>Core interest or not, it makes close to zero sense strategically that Putin would seek to add enemies when he can\u2019t easily vanquish the one he invaded a month ago. Putin will not knowingly provoke NATO into intervening directly in its war in Ukraine with combat forces.<\/p>\n<p>In 10 years of combat in Afghanistan, the Soviet Union lost 15,000 soldiers, while killing up to 2 million Afghan civilians and fighters and displacing more than half the population of 13 million, generating 7 million refugees, 5 million of whom fled outside of their homeland.<\/p>\n<p>In one month of fighting, Ukraine has reportedly killed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/2022\/03\/24\/russia-troops-casualties-nato-ukraine\/\">15,000 Russian troops<\/a>. Russia may be pulling in forces from other parts of the nation, even the Far East, but <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WarintheFuture\/status\/1501357989428535296?s=20&#038;t=GtTh80HH0YkLnc4wE4f-GQ\">some 55 percent of Russia\u2019s ground combat power was committed<\/a> in the initial invasion of Ukraine \u2014 they simply don\u2019t have much more. <\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s more, the purported Russian use of hypersonic missiles betrays weakness, not strength. Such systems are no magic bullet and were likely used because a corrupt Russian regime has unexpectedly exhausted its stocks of precision-guided munitions (the money for weapons procurement having been long ago skimmed for the superyacht fund). Relatedly, we hear that up to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/aerospace-defense\/exclusive-us-assesses-up-60-failure-rate-some-russian-missiles-officials-say-2022-03-24\/\">60 percent of Russian missiles are malfunctioning<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine has already shown the world that it has the will to fight and that it can fight effectively against Russia. As the great strategist Edward Luttwak recently tweeted, \u201cNations are forged in war \u2014 if they prevail against the odds as the Americans did against the Brits\u2026\u201d and \u201cUkraine is now doing, they are empowered to achieve great things.\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/twitter.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-269749\" width=\"-299\" height=\"-83\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/twitter.png 939w, https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/twitter-300x83.png 300w, https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/twitter-768x213-1.png 768w\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Self-defense is the first of the natural rights. Helping Ukraine defend itself, so long as it has the will and the capacity to do so, is moral. But warfare is brutal. It\u2019s the nature of war. At its core, the object of war is to, as Carl von Clausewitz (someone the Russians take care to read) wrote, \u201c\u2026impose our will on the enemy\u2026 To secure that object we must render the enemy powerless.\u201d Russia seeks to render Ukraine powerless to defend itself. The object of our policy ought to be to deny Russia that object \u2014 so long as the Ukrainians have the capacity and the will to resist.<\/p>\n<h2>Anticipating What Russia Will Become<\/h2>\n<p>Ukraine has successfully resisted Russia\u2019s attempt to impose its will on Ukraine in a stand-up conventional fight. But Ukraine may eventually lose a conventional war. Even if Russia manages to occupy Ukraine, Ukraine may still prevail as did the Algerians against the French, or the Afghans against both the Soviets and the United States. This is why small nations often defeat the large, for what is a small war to a big nation is often a war of national survival to a smaller nation.<\/p>\n<p>Returning to Clausewitz, \u201cWar is a trial of moral and physical forces by means of the latter\u2026 In the last analysis it is at moral, not physical strength that all military action is directed\u2026 Moral factors, then, are the ultimate determinants in war.\u201d In Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine, we have witnessed the clear moral superiority of Ukraine vs. Russia. We see it in the low morale of the Russian invaders and in the high morale of Ukrainians defending their homeland. We also see it in the reaction of the international community to Russia\u2019s aggression.<\/p>\n<p>It is in America\u2019s national interests to block an ascendant alliance of dictatorial nations, with China and Russia at the forefront. This is also the moral policy \u2014 moral for America and for the world because a victorious and confident bloc of China and Russia would, necessarily, threaten all democracies. <\/p>\n<p>Whatever Russia may become as the result of launching its invasion, we can be sure of one thing: it won\u2019t become a nation willing to so cavalierly invade and kill its neighbors. Further, there may be a sympathetic realization in Beijing that invading Taiwan would levy an unbearable cost.<\/p>\n<p>As for Ukraine, if it survives this crucible of conflict, as I expect it to, look for a dynamic, self-confident nation to emerge from the ashes \u2014 one confident enough to reform its corrupt institutions and attract investment. In so doing, it will become what Russia might have become before Putin decided to tame Russia\u2019s oligarchs to enrich himself rather than his people. \u00a0<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\n<p>\n  Chuck DeVore is vice president of national initiatives at the Texas Public Policy Foundation, a former California legislator, special assistant for foreign affairs in the Reagan-era Pentagon, and a lieutenant colonel in the U.S. Army (retired) Reserve. He&#8217;s the author of two books, &#8220;The Texas Model: Prosperity in the Lone Star State and Lessons for America,&#8221; and &#8220;China Attacks,&#8221; a novel.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>History, analogy, logic and morality are all useful in weighing policy decisions \u2014 including those involving national security and war. But while useful, these have their limitations. Regarding national security,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":563,"featured_media":2315279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1409256","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1409256","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/563"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1409256"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1409256\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2315279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1409256"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1409256"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1409256"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}