The Western Journal

White House touts murder rate trending toward lowest levels ever

The White House has highlighted recent crime statistics suggesting that the murder rate in the United States is on track to reach historically low levels. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that since President Trump’s administration began, murder rates have substantially declined. She emphasized the administration’s tough stance on crime and its support for law enforcement as factors contributing to this trend. Crime analyst Jeff Asher reported a 22% decrease in murders and reductions in violent and property crimes as well for the year 2025. Though, the data’s reliability has been questioned due to varying reporting practices among law enforcement agencies. The White House’s positive framing of these statistics also coincides with ongoing discussions about addressing illegal immigration and antisemitic incidents.


White House touts murder rate trending toward lowest levels ever

The White House is embracing new crime statistics that indicate the murder rate could be trending toward its lowest level ever.

“Since President [Donald] Trump took office, murder rates have plummeted across the entire United States,” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told the Washington Examiner on Tuesday. “American families were promised their communities would be safer, and President Trump swiftly delivered by vocally being tough on crime, unequivocally backing law enforcement, and standing firm on violent criminals being held to the fullest extent of the law.”

Although there are still seven more months of the year to go, crime analyst Jeff Asher has underscored a more than 20 percentage point decrease in murders compared to last year, citing Real-Time Crime Index data.

“Murder is down almost 22% while violent crime (-11%) and property crime (-14%) are also down substantially,” Asher, co-founder of AH Datalytics and a former CIA officer, wrote on social media. “Bottom line, crime of all type is falling fast in the United States so far in 2025. There’s still time for these trends to become more modest but no evidence yet that the declines are flattening.”

The Real-Time Crime Index is updated with 407 agencies covering 98 million people with data through March 2025. Murder is down almost 22% while violent crime (-11%) and property crime (-14%) are also down substantially. Murder was down 6+ in 26 agencies while it was up 6+ in 5 Realtimecrimeindex.com

Jeff Asher (@jeffasher.bsky.social) 2025-05-16T13:37:10.260Z

In a separate, earlier post, he wrote: “To definitively answer the question of whether 2025 will feature the lowest murder rate ever recorded, I would say ‘maybe.’ The math generally checks out, and the idea that it’s even plausible just 5 years after the largest increase in murder ever recorded is quite remarkable.”

But the analysts behind Real-Time Crime Index acknowledge weaknesses with their own data because they sample reported crime statistics from hundreds of law enforcement agencies across the country, as opposed to being based on national crime estimates that are published every year. It is also based on FBI data, with the Uniform Crime Reporting Program and the National Crime Victimization Survey being disputed in the past because of how police departments report offenses to the top law enforcement agency and victims report offenses to police departments.

“Another complicating factor is underreporting by the police themselves, who might be under pressure to ‘downcharge’ offenses or dissuade the victims from reporting the crime at all,” Mark Morgan, a former assistant FBI director and now president of the Coalition for Law Order and Safety, and Sean Kennedy, the executive director of CLOS, wrote for the Washington Examiner last year. “Any such malfeasance, when officials are under immense pressure to show progress in fighting crime, would inject bad data into the FBI’s estimation model, only compounding its errors.”

Regardless, the lowest murder rate to date was in 2014, when the FBI reported a rate of 4.45 per 100,000 people. Data collected prior to the 1960s are difficult to compare with current statistics because of a lack of participation from law enforcement agencies.

The White House embracing the data coincides with Trump and his aides emphasizing the administration’s work countering illegal immigration and crime amid a spike in antisemitic incidents, including illegal immigrant Mohamed Sabry Soliman, 45, injuring at least eight people with a flamethrower and Molotov cocktails last weekend during a Jewish community event in Boulder, Colorado.

BOULDER SUSPECT CHARGED WITH FEDERAL HATE CRIME FOR TARGETING ‘ZIONIST GROUP’

On Monday, during a brief exchange with reporters outside the West Wing, Leavitt said antisemitic violence, such as the shooting deaths of two Israeli Embassy aides in May outside the Capital Jewish Museum in Washington, D.C., “is unacceptable to this president and this White House.”

“Rest assured to all Jewish Americans across our great country, this president has your back and he’s not going to allow anyone to take part in violent terrorism,” Leavitt added. “It’s acts of terrorism in our country, and that’s what this case in Boulder, Colorado, is being investigated as. Kudos to our FBI Director Kash Patel for immediately calling this a targeted terrorist attack. That’s clearly what it was.”



" Conservative News Daily does not always share or support the views and opinions expressed here; they are just those of the writer."
*As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Related Articles

Sponsored Content
Back to top button
Available for Amazon Prime
Close

Adblock Detected

Please consider supporting us by disabling your ad blocker