Trump’s Maduro Capture Is A Warning For China: Stay Out Of Our Hemisphere
When President Trump announced the U.S. military’s capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro over the weekend, he framed it as a judicial operation tied to Maduro’s U.S. narcotics charges. Yet, the action carries profound geopolitical ramifications, with China emerging as the second-biggest loser after Maduro himself.
China’s Deep-Rooted Investment in Venezuela
While Russia, Cuba, and Iran have supported Venezuela’s socialist regime, China’s engagement has been the most extensive and strategic. For over two decades, Beijing has cultivated ties with Caracas, beginning under Hugo Chávez. Venezuela offers not just vast oil and mineral resources but a key foothold for expanding Chinese influence in the Americas.
Venezuela has become a hub for China’s Belt and Road Initiative (Beijing’s geopolitical expansion project disguised as an infrastructure program) in Latin America. Under this initiative, China and Venezuela have signed over 600 bilateral agreements, underscoring Beijing’s determination to dominate the region.
Venezuela’s reliance on China has grown dramatically in the last two decades. Beijing has extended over $100 billion in loans and aid, secured by Venezuelan resources, making it Caracas’ largest creditor. The most revealing example of the two countries’ economic tie is that China buys more than 80 percent of Venezuela’s oil exports, helping evade U.S. sanctions. Since 2016, Chinese state-owned enterprises have invested over $2 billion in the oil sector. Beyond energy, China ranks as Venezuela’s second-largest arms supplier after Russia. In 2023, Maduro and Chinese leader Xi Jinping met in Beijing, elevating ties to an “all-weather strategic partnership.” Bilateral trade hit $6.4 billion in 2024, up more than 50 percent from 2023.
Shadowy Chinese Criminal Networks in Latin America
Beijing’s influence extends beyond official channels. In December 2025, former Chief of Operations of the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA), Ray Donovan, testified before U.S. Congress, warning the expansion of Chinese transnational criminal organizations (TCOs) in Latin America, alongside growing state and business presence.
These Chinese TCOs fuel the global drug trade by supplying synthetic precursors for methamphetamine and fentanyl to cartels, using Chinese ports for transit, and laundering illicit profits — estimated at $154 billion annually through China. A 2024 ProPublica report revealed the Chinese government’s tacit support for these groups, which advance pro-China agendas, launder funds for elites, and suppress dissents overseas in exchange for Beijing’s tolerance. This nexus elevates the drug trade to a U.S. national security threat.
The Trump Administration Pushback
The Trump administration countered China’s Latin American expansion with a December 2025 national-security strategy, aiming to enforce the Monroe Doctrine and “restore American preeminence in the Western Hemisphere.” Beijing swiftly issued its own policy paper, declaring it would not yield an inch in Latin America. In a show of commitment, Chinese leader Xi Jinping sent a high-level delegation, including his Special Envoy for Latin America, Qiu Xiaoqi, to meet with Nicolás Maduro on Jan. 2, 2026.
Yet, merely hours later, U.S. forces extracted Maduro and his wife from their compound, extraditing them to the U.S. The Chinese delegation, along with allegedly Chinese military personnel, found themselves stranded in Caracas — a humiliating blow. Social media captured the fallout: a viral video showed a CCP advisor reacting in disbelief, and Taiwanese outlets highlighted the failure of Chinese-supplied early warning radars during the raid. A well-known CCP Critic Jennifer Zeng shared on X.com that Venezuela’s “most modern” Chinese-built defense systems suffered “catastrophic paralysis,” exposing technical shortcomings.
This should caution other regimes relying on cheap Chinese arms. The reality is that you get what you pay for. While China may produce weapons at low cost and speed, the United States undeniably maintains a technological edge.
Broader Implications
The capture of Maduro and Trump’s declaration that the U.S. will temporarily oversee Venezuela signals that the U.S. has both capability and determination to thwart non-Western Hemisphere rivals, particularly China, from gaining military footholds or control of strategic assets in our backyard, as outlined in the administration’s national security strategy. Additionally, Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s announcement restricting sanctioned oil tankers — primarily affecting Chinese vessels — further targets Beijing’s interests.
After two decades and over $100 billion invested, China’s bid to turn Venezuela into a Latin American vassal now faces a severe setback. Beijing condemned the capture as “hegemonic” and demanded Maduro’s release, but it hasn’t come to Maduro’s rescue, despite vows of “unbreakable brotherhood” between the two countries. China’s inaction speaks louder than its rhetoric, and will undoubtedly tarnish China’s credibility with other authoritarian regimes globally, as they will realize that China cannot be counted on as a dependable ally.
As events in Venezuela continue to unfold, challenges remain for the U.S. Nevertheless, the beginning of 2026 holds great promise, as the Trump administration has significantly countered Beijing’s geopolitical ambitions in Latin America.
Helen Raleigh, CFA, is an American entrepreneur, writer, and speaker. She’s a senior contributor at The Federalist. Her writings appear in other national media, including The Wall Street Journal and Fox News. Helen is the author of several books, including “Confucius Never Said” and “Backlash: How Communist China’s Aggression Has Backfired.” Her latest book is “Not Outsiders: Asian Americans’ political activism from the 19th century to today.” Follow her on Twitter: @HRaleighspeaks.
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