Poll shows Paxton beating incumbent Cornyn in heated battle for Texas senate seat – Washington Examiner
A recent poll indicates that texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is leading incumbent Senator John Cornyn by nine points in the race for the Texas senate seat in 2026. The poll, conducted by the Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center, shows that Paxton has 43% support compared to Cornyn’s 34%.Paxton’s favorability rating stands at 68%, exceeding Cornyn’s 58%. As he aligns himself with former President Donald Trump, which resonates with Texas voters, half of those surveyed believe that Trump’s endorsement could influence their choice. Amidst this, Democrats see an opportunity to potentially flip the seat if the Republican primary becomes particularly contentious, with former Democratic Rep. Colin allred being a possible contender, currently trailing Paxton and Cornyn in hypothetical match-ups.
Poll shows Paxton beating incumbent Cornyn in heated battle for Texas senate seat
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton beat incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) by nine points in a poll released Wednesday, previewing the 2026 Senate race.
Paxton has attempted to portray himself as more in line with President Donald Trump, which could help him win the Republican primary in a state where Trump won 56.2% of the vote in the 2024 election.
Polling conducted by Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University shows Paxton getting 43% of the vote and Cornyn getting 34%.
Paxton also scored a 68% favorability rating among voters, compared to 58% for Cornyn.
Trump has yet to weigh in on the Senate seat, but half of those polled said Trump’s endorsement could sway their decision, while 38% said it wouldn’t.
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Meanwhile, Democrats view the Texas Senate as an opportunity to flip the seat blue if the primary becomes particularly messy.
Former Democratic Rep. Colin Allred, who lost to Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) in 2024, has not announced a bid for the seat. Allred is just two points behind in a hypothetical match-up against Paxton. In a hypothetical match-up against Cornyn, he is behind by 4%.
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