Peter Laffin suggests voters will forget shutdown by 2026 elections
Peter Laffin, editor of Washington Examiner’s In Focus, predicts that the recent government shutdown, which lasted over 40 days adn caused federal employees too miss two paychecks, will have little impact on the upcoming midterm elections. The shutdown was triggered by disagreements among Democratic senators over a continuing resolution to fund the government, particularly related to premium tax credits under the Affordable Care Act (ACA). While the shutdown caused real hardship, especially for federal workers in northern Virginia-helping Democrat Abigail Spanberger in her gubernatorial race-Laffin believes the public will quickly forget the event.
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer faced criticism within his party for failing to secure support for the ACA tax credits, though resolving these issues was challenging. The tax credits remain important to swing voters, as their expiration at the end of the year threatens to increase the number of uninsured Americans by millions and raise healthcare costs. Senator Jeanne Shaheen expects legislation extending these credits to be considered in mid-December, potentially with bipartisan support, as concerns about rising healthcare costs grow even among some Republicans and Trump supporters.
Peter Laffin suggests voters will forget about shutdown by midterm elections
Washington Examiner In Focus editor Peter Laffin predicted that the recent government shutdown would have no effect on either party during next year’s midterm elections.
For over 40 days, the government was without funding, forcing federal employees to miss two paychecks. The shutdown was the result of a holdout from Democratic senators who could not agree to vote on the continuing resolution to fund the government, which was originally drafted under President Joe Biden’s term.
“I actually don‘t think [the shutdown is] going to make much difference at all in the upcoming midterms. And I don‘t think there were particularly any winners in this shutdown,” Laffin said on CSPAN’s Washington Journal on Sunday.
“No, I think we are going to forget about this one really quick,” Laffin said. “It was a long shutdown; there was a real pain that was inflicted, particularly in northern Virginia. And so with all the federal workers who were laid off or not getting paid, I think that helped Abigail Spanberger win her race for governor of Virginia, but beyond that, I think we are going to forget about this story pretty quick.”
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) led the coalition to demand a guaranteed extension of the premium tax credits initially drafted under the Affordable Care Act, which were enhanced under the Biden administration amid the coronavirus pandemic. When eight Democratic senators defected to vote to fund the government, they did so without a deal on the tax credits.
“When it comes to the Democrats, the one-day loser of this whole thing is almost certainly Chuck Schumer. Chuck Schumer has been getting lambasted by his own party for failing to keep his caucus together, but it‘s hard to say exactly how this could have been resolved and any other way,” Laffin said. “They were never going to get what they were after.”
However, the tax credits were an important issue to swing voters, according to a poll from February. A Congressional Budget Office report estimated that permanently extending the enhanced credits would cost the government $383 billion. However, if they permanently expire, the number of people without health insurance would rise by an average of 3.8 million annually by 2034.
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) projected that a bill on the ACA credit deadline, meant to expire at the end of this year, could be expected in mid-December.
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“We’re going to have a vote, and I believe there are a number of Republicans who are going to join us in trying to address healthcare costs for Americans,” Shaheen said. “We believe there are a lot of Republicans, including a lot of Trump supporters, who want to see us do something about this because their costs are going up.”
Without a bill to extend the deadline, ACA credits are set to expire on Dec. 31.
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