Iowa Congressional Race Could Flip Vulnerable Democrat’s Seat
As Republicans strive to regain control of the U.S. House, Iowa’s lone congressional Democrat is facing a strong challenge for her seat in the state’s third congressional district.
Rep. Cindy Axne advanced to the general election without competition in the June 7 primary while state Sen. Zach Nunn easily won the Republican nomination.
A week before the primary, all three major independent observers rated the general election as a toss-up. When Nunn prevailed in the Republican primary, Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball adjusted their forecasts to “lean Republican.” Inside Elections continues to rank the race as a toss-up.
Republicans believe they can flip Iowa’s only blue district, which is now rated R+2 by FiveThirtyEight after redistricting.
In 2018, Axne defeated two-term incumbent Republican David Young, 49 percent to 47.5 percent. She edged Young again in 2010, 48.9 percent to 47.6 percent.
The new 3rd Congressional District includes nine counties that tend to vote Republican and supported President Donald Trump in 2020.
A state senator, former state representative, and combat aviator in the U.S. Air Force, Nunn easily won the third district Republican primary with 66.5 percent of the vote. Nicole Hasso finished second with 19.6 percent.
Axne is supported by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), who campaigned with Axne on July 9.
Nunn received the coveted Trump endorsement on July 6.
“Zach Nunn is a conservative warrior running to represent Iowa’s 3rd congressional district!” Trump wrote in a statement through his Save America PAC. “A combat veteran, Zach knows how to strengthen our military, defend our country, and care for our brave veterans.
“In Congress, Zach will tirelessly work to support our great farmers, cut taxes, and protect our Second Amendment,” Trump added. “His opponent, Cindy Axne, a puppet of Nancy Pelosi, has been
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