GOP loses support in new 2024 election forecast.

House Republicans Face Uphill⁢ Battle in 2024 Elections

According to ⁢political​ handicappers, House Republicans​ have lost ground in three key 2024 elections, potentially jeopardizing their⁤ majority in the House. The Cook Political Report reveals that⁢ Democrats have gained an advantage in Colorado, California, and ‌Ohio, making it ⁣difficult for Republicans to expand their slim⁢ majority. While initial fundraising reports show GOP​ candidates in battleground districts outpacing their opponents, several factors, ‍including a questionable ⁤candidate, legal⁤ challenges, and internal conflicts, could make the 2024 elections an ‍uphill battle‌ for ‍Republicans.

Here ‍are ⁣the three seats where Republicans will face tough fights in 2024:

CO-03: Rep. ⁤Lauren Boebert (R-CO)

One ​of the most well-known candidates on this⁣ list, Boebert’s seat has shifted from⁤ “lean Republican” to “toss-up.” In⁤ the 2022 elections, Boebert faced a close race, with the winner not ⁢being announced for days. Democratic challenger Adam Frisch is already⁢ preparing for ⁤a rematch, having⁣ raised three times ⁣more funds‍ than Boebert.⁤ The presence‌ of approximately 80,000 independent-leaning⁣ voters who didn’t participate⁤ in the last ⁢election could sway⁢ the outcome in 2024. Additionally, Colorado’s political landscape has been shifting leftward, while Boebert‍ has ⁤maintained her ⁤conservative⁣ stance. The close previous election and Frisch’s impressive fundraising suggest that the House may lose ⁣one of its most outspoken conservative ​members in 2024.

CA-41: Rep.​ Ken Calvert (R-CA)

Democrats⁤ have an opportunity to reverse the trend of Republicans gaining ground in California, as California’s 41st Congressional District‍ has transitioned from “lean Republican” to “toss-up.”⁤ Similar to Boebert, Calvert narrowly defeated Democrat Will Rollins, who is now seeking a ​rematch. Rollins ‍expressed confidence in flipping the seat in 2024, given the foundation they built during⁣ the previous election. ‌Calvert’s district has become more Democratic due ‍to redistricting, particularly⁤ with ‌the inclusion of parts of Palm Springs, making his re-election campaign even ⁤more challenging.

OH-01: Rep.⁤ Greg ⁤Landsman (D-OH)

Republicans’ chances of⁢ reclaiming Ohio’s 1st​ Congressional District are diminishing,‌ as the Cook Political Report ⁤has shifted ⁢the ‌race from “toss-up” to “lean Democrat.” While a recent Supreme Court order to revisit a​ gerrymandered congressional map could ⁤potentially hinder Democrats statewide, the conservative⁣ majority in the state’s Supreme Court suggests that the map may⁣ not change until⁣ 2026. This means that Landsman, ‌a freshman⁣ Democrat who defeated long-serving Rep. Steve‍ Chabot, may not face significant‌ challenges due to redistricting.

Overall, these three races highlight the challenges House Republicans will encounter in the ⁣2024 elections. ‍The shifting political landscape, fundraising disparities,⁣ and⁣ potential changes⁤ in district maps make it crucial for Republicans to strategize​ effectively to maintain their‍ majority in ‍the House.

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