Biden’s 2024 Outlook: New Year’s Resolutions
President Biden’s 2024 Test: Securing Four More Years
President Joe Biden faces a unique challenge in 2024 as he fights for what could be his final election and strives to avoid becoming a one-term president. After navigating a series of domestic and international obstacles in 2023, Biden’s New Year’s resolutions must include reshaping his economic messaging and addressing the Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Hamas conflicts if he hopes to secure a historic second term in office.
A Year of Triumphs and Trials
In 2023, Biden, at 81 years old, experienced both personal and political highs and lows. From declaring an end to the COVID-19 pandemic health emergency and visiting war-torn Ukraine to dealing with a Chinese spy balloon incident and his son Hunter’s indictment on gun and tax charges, Biden’s journey has been eventful. However, as he seeks reelection as the oldest president in U.S. history, he must prioritize the economy and foreign conflicts, according to Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg.
The Economy and Foreign Conflicts: Key Priorities
“There are two things that are most important for him now: It’s for the economy to stay strong and for the conflicts in the Middle East and in Ukraine to feel like they’re successful,” Rosenberg explained. These issues will shape Biden’s success in the coming year.
Rosenberg believes that despite the possibility of another government shutdown in January, the strong state of the economy will work in Biden’s favor. With a consumer price index increase of only 0.1% between October and November and an annual inflation rate of 3.1%, the economy appears to be in good shape. However, the cost of food and interest rates remain high.
“The administration … will be freed to be more aggressive about making their case on the economy,” Rosenberg said. “The administration is going to be on much more of a front foot in making their case that he’s been a good president, the country is better off, and he deserves reelection.”
Simultaneously, Biden’s average job approval-disapproval rating stands at a net negative 17 percentage points, with 39% approval and 56% disapproval, according to FiveThirtyEight. This rating is lower than that of one-term Presidents Jimmy Carter, George H.W. Bush, and Donald Trump at the same point in their presidencies.
Challenges Ahead
Biden’s poor poll numbers, combined with his age, the border situation, and the high cost of living for many Americans, pose challenges for his 2024 campaign, according to Cesar Conda, former chief of staff to Sen. Marco Rubio. Conda suggests that Biden needs to address border security and the cost of living, but doing so may upset his liberal base. Additionally, reducing inflation requires cutting government spending and reopening domestic energy production, which contradicts Biden’s previous actions.
“For Biden to have a good 2024, he is going to have to make a resolution to stop listening to the hard Left of his party and go back to the moderate views he espoused when in the Senate,” Conda emphasized.
These concerns are not limited to Republican talking points, as a majority of the public holds a negative perception of Biden’s performance and is dissatisfied with the country’s direction, according to political science professor Barry Burden.
A Winning Bid
Despite the challenges, the Biden campaign remains confident in their ability to build a winning bid. Spokesman Seth Schuster assures that the campaign will focus on the issues that matter to the American people and make aggressive efforts to connect with voters.
“Next year, you’ll see a campaign laser-focused on the real issues that matter to the American people and aggressive efforts to meet voters where they are — undistracted from the beltway pundits who’ve counted us out before,” Schuster said.
How will Biden highlight and communicate his administration’s accomplishments to strengthen his case for a second term
Is on the right track, and we need four more years of Biden to continue the progress.”
In addition to the economy, Biden must also tackle the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine. The Russia-Ukraine conflict looms large as tensions escalate, and there have been concerns about a potential invasion by Russia. Biden’s response to this crisis will be closely watched, as a misstep could have severe consequences for his reelection prospects. Similarly, the Israel-Hamas conflict remains unresolved, with intermittent escalations in violence. Biden’s ability to navigate these conflicts and work towards peaceful resolutions will be crucial in securing a second term.
Changing the Economic Messaging
One area where Biden can improve his chances is by reshaping his economic messaging. Despite the strong state of the economy, there is a perception among some Americans that Biden has not done enough to address rising costs and inflation concerns. In order to counter this narrative, the Biden administration must effectively communicate their efforts to address these issues and highlight the positive impact of their policies.
According to Rosenberg, “They have to come up with a language that allows them to talk about how they tailor what they’re doing so that they’re actually working on the cost of living,” he added. “It’s a messaging challenge, not a policy challenge.”
By effectively communicating their economic agenda and showcasing the ways in which it directly impacts the lives of everyday Americans, Biden’s team can overcome these messaging hurdles and ensure that voters understand the tangible benefits of his policies.
Building on the Prosperous Achievements
As Biden enters what may be his final term, he has the opportunity to build on the accomplishments of his first three years in office. From passing landmark infrastructure bills to implementing initiatives to address climate change and racial inequality, Biden’s presidency has already made significant strides. By highlighting these achievements and emphasizing the positive impact they have had on the American people, Biden can strengthen his case for another term.
Rosenberg highlights the importance of showcasing Biden’s accomplishments, stating, “They should start really making a list of things they’ve done and really communicating them to the American people.” By effectively communicating these achievements, Biden can foster a sense of confidence and trust among voters, ultimately boosting his reelection prospects.
The Road Ahead
As President Joe Biden looks ahead to his 2024 reelection campaign, he faces a pivotal moment in his political career. With the economy and foreign conflicts taking center stage, he must demonstrate strong leadership and navigate these challenges successfully. By reshaping his economic messaging, addressing ongoing conflicts, and highlighting his administration’s accomplishments, Biden can secure a historic second term in office. Only time will tell if he can achieve this monumental task and secure four more years as the leader of the United States.
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