Cardinals divided as front-runners’ momentum stalls on conclave eve

The article discusses the preparations for a papal conclave set to take place in Vatican City, where the College of Cardinals will elect a new pope following the death of Pope Francis.The Sistine Chapel has been arranged with voting materials, and red curtains hang from St. Peter’s basilica in anticipation of this important event. In less then 24 hours, voting-age cardinals will pledge to vote for the candidate they believe is divinely chosen to lead the Catholic Church.

As the conclave approaches, the cardinals seem divided with no clear frontrunner emerging among the candidates, referred to as “papabile.” High-profile names like Cardinal Pietro Parolin, Cardinal Luis Tagle, and Cardinal peter Erdő have garnered support but face challenges in securing the necessary two-thirds majority. Discussions surrounding the election are marked by a desire for stability, with many cardinals seeking a leader who can maintain the Church’s direction without introducing further upheaval.

Concerns have arisen regarding the candidates’ ability to unite a polarized Church, especially in light of recent controversies, such as Parolin’s deal with China which has drawn criticism. The concluding general congregation highlighted the need for a pontiff who embodies compassion and a shepherd-like quality amidst global turmoil. The conclave will begin with the locking of doors behind 133 cardinal electors, who will remain in seclusion until a new pope is chosen.


Sistine Chapel prepped for conclave as battle lines are drawn for future of Catholic Church

VATICAN CITY — Red curtains are hung on the balcony of St. Peter’s Basilica. The Sistine Chapel is furnished with tables, ballots, pens, and vote-counting equipment. The Room of Tears is prepped with fresh, white papal vestments in sizes suitable for any possible pontiff.

In less than 24 hours, voting-age members of the College of Cardinals will be forced to stand in front of Michelangelo’s rendition of The Last Judgment and recite an oath to God that the name on the ballot they are about to cast is who they sincerely believe should lead the Catholic Church.

The conclave is imminent, but the cardinals are more discordant than ever. They’ve been meeting for weeks, but no slam-dunk candidates have emerged in the pre-election discussions.

Many of the papabile touted as major contenders are hitting the ceiling of their support without the numbers necessary to clinch the papal tiara.

The tables and voting materials for the next conclave have been prepared inside the Sistine Chapel ahead of the May 7 start date. (Photo courtesy of Sala Stampa della Santa Sede)

Each papabile is flush with supporters, but to become pope requires a two-thirds majority vote. In this conclave, that means 89 ballots — a grueling goal to reach amid a college so divided on matters spiritual and temporal.

Cardinal Pietro Parolin, the Vatican Secretary of State under Pope Francis, remains the man to beat, but the movement behind him is losing momentum. He oversaw the Holy See’s widely panned deal with the Chinese Communist Party that allowed the regime to play a role in selecting bishops within its borders.

Just days after the death of Pope Francis, seeing an empty throne, the CCP unilaterally appointed a bishop without approval from the Holy See. It is an embarrassing situation for Parolin, and it seems to have rattled some would-be supporters.

A similar sluggishness is plaguing the bloc hoping to install Cardinal Luis Tagle from the Philippines. The charismatic and progressive prelate enjoyed massive support from the public following Francis’s death, but concerns over his alleged mismanagement of Vatican relief charity Caritas Internationalis have proved damaging.

The Tagle contingent is reportedly considering Cardinal Robert Francis Prevost, an American-born Augustinian with extensive missionary experience in Peru, as an alternative. It is yet to be seen if his Latin American twist can outweigh his U.S. passport and investment in a religious order, two aspects that might complicate his position.

Cardinal Peter Erdő from Hungary remains the most prominent candidate who sits firmly within the “conservative” camp. He has been considered as a possible successor to Pope Francis for a while, having successfully walked the tightrope of disagreeing with his pontiff while never acting against his obligation of obedience.

Cardinal electors will enter the Sistine Chapel on Wednesday, May 7, 2025, to begin the conclave. They will remain in seclusion from the public until the next Bishop of Rome is selected. (Photo courtesy of Sala Stampa della Santa Sede)

The keyword floating the streets of Rome right now is “stability.” The college desires a pope who will neither continue the overhauls implemented by Pope Francis nor radically walk them back.

The former would only further destabilize the Catholic Church. The latter would signal internal confusion and lack of cohesion to the public.

Not everyone is happy with the direction discussions are taking.

Cardinal Oscar Andrés Rodriguez Maradiaga of Honduras allegedly left Rome in a huff earlier this week after becoming frustrated with the number of “turncoats” in the college seeking to slow down the reforms made under Pope Francis. He is too old to vote, and therefore, his departure will not affect the election.

The Sala Stampa, the Holy See press office, released on Tuesday a readout regarding the final general congregation of the College of Cardinals ahead of the conclave.

The memorandum noted that cardinals at the congregation emphasized the need for a pontiff who can unite a world suffering “strong polarization.”

“A central theme of the reflection was that of communion, indicated as an essential vocation for the new Pontiff,” the memo reads. “The profile of a shepherd Pope, a teacher of humanity, capable of embodying the face of a Samaritan Church, close to the needs and wounds of humanity, was outlined. In times marked by wars, violence and strong polarization, a strong need is felt for a spiritual guide who offers mercy, synodality and hope.”

PAPARAZZI AND TOURISTS HUNT FOR STRAY CARDINALS AS PAPAL CONCLAVE FEVER BUILDS

With the end of general congregations and the imminent seclusion of cardinal electors in the Sistine Chapel, Tuesday night will be the final chance for members of the college over 80 to bend the ear of their younger counterparts.

A fresh wardrobe of papal vestments in various sizes is shown in the “Room of Tears” inside the Sistine Chapel. The quarters, situated in the back of the church, are where a new pope dresses himself before facing the public on the balcony of St. Peter’s Basilica for the first time. Its name is derived from the habit of new pontiffs breaking down in tears over the weight of their position. (Photo courtesy of Sala Stampa della Santa Sede)

Wednesday afternoon, 133 electors will proceed into the Sistine Chapel, and the doors will be locked behind them. They will not emerge until the next pope is selected and the era of sede vacante comes to an end.

Whether the college is suffering from disunity, as reported, or alliances are being strengthened in secret, with each ballot, members will swear that their vote is uncompromised by outside pressures, reciting in Italian: “I call as my witness Christ the Lord, who will be my judge, that my vote is given to the one whom I believe should be elected according to God.”



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